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☆ How Harris is reversing Biden’s biggest weakness in the campaign
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +16 min

Trump’s plan for blunting Harris’ momentum, some Democrats believe, could reprise elements of the 1988 presidential campaign that George H.W. “I think the Harris campaign has to be prepared for it.”The two sides are already hotly contesting the terrain of strength. Celinda Lake, a Democratic pollster who conducted surveys for Biden’s 2020 campaign, said his strength deficit to Trump had become a nearly insurmountable obstacle for his 2024 campaign. The surveys have also found a huge gender gap in the assessments of whether Harris and Trump are strong. Most important, voters have reached these initial assessments of Harris’ strength before Republicans have really begun their campaign to portray her as weak.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, –, Harris, Trump, ”, Democratic pollster Evan Roth Smith, “ Kamala Harris, …, it’s, blunting Harris, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Lee Atwater, Michael Dukakis, Tad Devine, Dukakis, “, She’ll, ” Trump, ” Harris, Kamala Harris, Biden —, Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Nikki Haley, Marquette, “ Trump, Whit Ayres, Ayres, Harris blunts, ” Lake, “ Joe Biden, White, she’ll, MAGA, Devine, Republicans pilloried Dukakis, Willie Horton, Horton, Bush, ” Devine, ” Ayres, won’t, Roth Smith, ’, Hulk Hogan, Kid Rock, Dana White Organizations: CNN, White, Voters, Democratic, Massachusetts Gov, Trump, Fox News, Marquette Law School, Biden, Marquette Poll, CBS, New York Times, Gallup, Republican, Siena, Republicans, MAGA Inc, Politico, ”, Fighting Locations: George H.W ., Marquette, Siena, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Celinda, Massachusetts, San Francisco, California, “ San Francisco

☆ Wide swath of America remains opposed to Supreme Court’s ruling overturning Roe v. Wade, poll finds
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-09 | by ( John Fritze | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

Sixty-seven percent of respondents in the Marquette poll supported the court’s decision in the abortion pill case. Americans still unhappy with the court overallAlso consistent over the past couple of years has been overall near-record dissatisfaction with the Supreme Court. The latest Marquette poll found 57% of Americans disapprove of the court, compared with 61% who felt that way two years ago. The Marquette poll was conducted from July 24 to August 1 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The survey found that views on the Supreme Court depended heavily on partisan affiliation, with just 24% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents viewing the court favorably compared with 73% of Republicans.

Persons: Roe, Wade, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, Tim Walz, “ Donald Trump, ” Harris, Trump, ” Trump, Dobbs, Marquette Organizations: CNN, White House, Marquette Law School, Minnesota Gov, Jackson, Health Organization, Food, Pew Research, Democratic Locations: Pennsylvania, America, Dobbs v, Florida, Idaho, Marquette

☆ How the GOP’s rightward shift on immigration helps explain Trump’s primary success
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Ron Brownstein | Analysis Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +17 min

Amid widespread discontent over President Joe Biden’s management of the border, the overall electorate is moving rightward on immigration too, polls show. For now, there’s no question that hardening GOP attitudes on immigration have been critical to Trump’s strong performance through the early primaries. Then, 56% of GOP primary voters said undocumented immigrants should be offered legal status; in last month’s primary, 55% said they should be deported. Immigration ranked as the most important issue for most GOP primary voters in South Carolina, and finished close behind the economy in both Iowa and New Hampshire. McLaughlin said Trump’s dominance among the GOP primary voters most concerned about immigration encapsulates a broader reason for his early success: widespread satisfaction among Republicans about his record in office.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Joe Biden’s, Trump, What’s, “, Donald Trump, ”, Jim McLaughlin, Joe Biden, ’, Nikki Haley, Trump’s, Haley, Leah Askarinam, McLaughlin, Robert P, Jones, Charles Franklin, Adolf Hitler, ” Biden, Biden, Stephen Miller, Charlie Kirk, Miller, Dwight D, Eisenhower, Matt Barreto, Barreto, Democratic pollster, ” Barreto, Maria Cardona, Tom Suozzi, George Santos, Suozzi, Bill Clinton Organizations: CNN, GOP, Republican, Trump, Biden, Edison Research, Immigration, Former South Carolina Gov, Quinnipiac University, Survey, Religion Research Institute, Marquette Law School, Marquette, Gallup, Republicans, CBS, National Guard, Democratic, UCLA, New, Republican Rep, White, House Republicans Locations: Alabama, Mississippi, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Iowa, New York, Wisconsin, Mexico, United States, American, Trump, Marquette, America, Texas, Celinda, Arizona, Nevada, Mexico ”, week’s State, Brownsville

☆ The chance of Trump winning another term is very real
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Similarly, Clinton’s edge was in the single digits over Obama in South Carolina at this stage of the campaign. Of course, winning the primary is one thing for Trump, who has led in almost every single Republican primary poll published in the past eight years. A poll out last week from Marquette University Law School had Biden and Trump tied percentage-wise (with a statistically insignificant few more respondents choosing Trump). The good news for Democrats is that general election polling, unlike primary polling, is not predictive at this point. But for now, the chance that Trump is president in less than two years time is a very real possibility.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Democrat Al Gore, Republican George W, Bush, Hillary Clinton, Gore, Clinton, Ron DeSantis, George McGovern, Jimmy Carter, Barack Obama, Obama, Republican John McCain, John Edwards, Rudy Giuliani, Mitt Romney, Romney couldn’t, McCain, Joe Biden, Biden Organizations: CNN, Republican, Democrat, Florida Gov, Trump, Marquette University Law School, Biden, ABC News, Washington Post, Quinnipiac University, Democrats Locations: Bush, Trump’s, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Clinton, Iowa, New Hampshire, Marquette, Pennsylvania, Erie, Quinnipiac

On key issues like abortion and election denialism, Tim Michels, the Republican nominee for governor of Wisconsin, is not moving toward the political middle down the homestretch to Election Day. Michels, following a pattern of other Republican candidates in governor’s races in states like Arizona and Pennsylvania, has not done so. "A change on the abortion issue might even be counterproductive, doesn’t help him with the base and doesn’t help him with moderates or independents." It lets him speak to the base and to independents at the same time.”Michels is locked in a close race with Gov. Michels campaign adviser Chris Walker did not respond to questions about Michels’ strategy on abortion or election issues.

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