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The economy is likely already in recession and is expected to contract again next year. Shortly after being sworn in as economy minister, Massa in August 2022 pledged to stop printing money to fight inflation. "Markets will likely prefer a Milei victory simply because he is more credible on delivering the fiscal adjustment." "Every investor understands that the macroeconomic adjustments that Argentina needs will inevitably translate into short-term pain." For investors, Argentine stocks traded in New York (.MIAR00000PUS) have been a beacon of hope, up near 15% year to date.

Persons: Sergio Massa, Javier Milei, Luis Robayo, Pilar Tavella, Alejo Czerwonko, Massa, Carlos de Sousa, UBS's, JPMorgan's Diego Celedon, Celedon, Rodrigo Campos, Adam Jourdan, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: por la Patria, La Libertad, University of Buenos, Law School, Global, Peronist, Barclays, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Argentina, Monetary Fund, Itau, IMF, Emerging, UBS Global Wealth Management, Vontobel Asset Management, Argentine, UBS, Thomson Locations: Argentina, University of Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires Argentina, New York, Argentine, outperforming

☆ Elon Musk needs to 'show us the money' when it comes to the cybertruck: Analyst
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailElon Musk needs to 'show us the money' when it comes to the cybertruck: AnalystFrancisco Bido of Integrated Alpha and Jairam Nathan of Daiwa Capital Markets America discuss Tesla's stock sell-off after the company announced Q3 earnings.

Persons: Francisco, Jairam Nathan Organizations: Elon, Integrated Alpha, Daiwa, Markets

If it cannot secure fresh funds before an approaching deadline, Argentina risks defaulting on repayments to the IMF. Analysts say the central aim of these economic adjustments is to signal to the IMF that Buenos Aires is committed to the program. The left-wing administration has been locked in negotiations with the IMF for months over whether to front-load tranches of the $44 billion program. Both parties said on Sunday that an agreement on the fifth IMF review was close, but not yet finalized. Reporting by Lucinda Elliott in Montevideo, Anna-Catherine Brigida in Buenos Aires, Rodrigo Campos in New York.

Persons: Sergio Massa, Eduardo Levy Yeyati, Eyeing, Marina dal, EcoGo, Alejo Czerwonko, Yeyati, Lucinda Elliott, Catherine Brigida, Rodrigo Campos, Jorgelina de, Karin Strohecker, Catherine Evans Organizations: International Monetary Fund, Economy, Peronist, IMF, Reuters, Emerging, UBS, Analysts, Thomson Locations: BUENOS AIRES, Buenos Aires, Argentina, refinance, Washington, Beijing, Montevideo, Anna, New York, Jorgelina de Rosario, London

☆ UBS just reshuffled its leadership ranks after buying Credit Suisse. See the new power players in charge of the $1.7 trillion Swiss banking behemoth.
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-12 | by ( Michelle Abrego | Kaja Whitehouse | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

The merger between Credit Suisse and UBS creates a new Swiss banking behemoth with $1.7 trillion in assets. Investment bank leadersThe president of UBS's investment bank, Robert Karofsky, circulated a memo on Monday announcing his new leadership team. Ebert, co-head of markets at Credit Suisse, was also named head of Credit Suisse for the Investment Bank, reporting to Karofsky. UBS global wealth management president Iqbal Khan revealed the appointments to its critical wealth business in an internal memo titled "Becoming a global wealth powerhouse." Members of the current Credit Suisse wealth management leadership team will report to both Yves-Alain and to their respective UBS global wealth management regional leader.

Persons: Yves, Alain Sommerhalder, Michael Ebert, Robert Karofsky, Ebert, Karofsky, Marco Valla, Valla, Javier Oficialdegui, Mike, I've, George Athanasopoulos, Jason Barron, Ros L'Esperance, Dan Dowd, Taichi Takahashi, Chris Leone, Julie Beavan, Tricia Hazelwood, Jeff Hinton, Kurt Anthony, Laurence Braham, Richard Hardegree, Richard Casavechia, Ozzie Ramos, Jason Williams, Neil Meyer, Ken Tittle, Iqbal Khan, Francesco De Ferrari, Khan, Reuters Yves, Alain, Wiwi Gutmannsbauer, Benjamin Cavalli, Cavalli, Kinner, Amy Lo, Jin Yee Young, Young, Hatecke, UBS's Anton Simonet, Christl, Jason Chandler, Sergio Ermotti, Ralph Hamers, Ermotti, MICHELE LIMINA, Todd Tuckner, Sarah Youngwood, Michelle Bereaux, Stefan Seiler, Christian Bluhm, Damian Vogel, Ulrich Körner Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Suisse, Credit, Wall Street, Investment, Investment Bank, Barclays, Global Banking, Investment Bank Management, Global Markets, Global Research, IB, Resource Management, Staff, MUFG Securities, Reuters, Yves, Deutsche, Switzerland, Swiss Re, Getty Locations: Switzerland's, Swiss, Americas, Asia, Singapore, Switzerland, Europe, Middle East, Africa, America, AFP

LONDON, May 31 (Reuters) - A decline in labour growth and expected fall in the working age population will be a drag on emerging economies already suffering from fading growth prospects, BlackRock's Global Head of Emerging Markets Amer Bisat told Reuters. "Demographic used to be a tailwind in emerging markets. The golden age for emerging markets, which started at the turn of the century, had come to a swift end after the 2008 financial crisis, Bisat said. While the asset class remained "investable and interesting", the days of putting money to work in all emerging markets assets are over. Bisat also said BlackRock's emerging markets team was focused on building a research library, to include both better data and models on how to use and analyse it.

Persons: BlackRock's, Markets Amer Bisat, Bisat, Karen Leiton, Jorgelina, Rosario, Karin Strohecker, Emelia Sithole Organizations: Markets Amer, Reuters, Labor, Thomson Locations: Mexico, Brazil

☆ A South American currency union? Don't hold your breath
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-23 | by ( Rodrigo Campos | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

That came after the leaders had touted a "common South American currency" on Sunday and officials told the Financial Times the tender could even be called the "sur" and eventually look to bring in other countries around South America. "It has failed to achieve simpler integration goals than that of a common currency." He called the idea of a currency union a "fantasy." Currency union talk was just a distraction, she said. Todd Martinez, a director at Fitch Ratings' sovereigns group focused on Latin America, said the two countries appeared to be unlikely partners to form a successful currency union, given their diverging economies.

REUTERS/Adriano MachadoSAO PAULO/LONDON, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Brazilian equities were higher in choppy trade on Monday, a day after thousands of supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed government buildings in the capital, echoing the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection in Washington. On Friday, both had performed better after Lula said the economy may grow while government finances are kept in check. On Monday hundreds of Brazilian police in riot gear and some on horseback amassed at an encampment of Bolsonaro supporters near Brasilia's army headquarters. "I think the situation will quickly normalize," said Cristian Maggio, head of portfolio strategy at TD Securities in London. "Yet, it is an event worth keeping an eye on, as it may not be fully over just yet."

[1/2] Supporters of Brazil's former President Jair Bolsonaro are pictured through broken glass as they hold a demonstration against President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, in Brasilia, Brazil, January 8, 2023. REUTERS/Adriano MachadoMEXICO CITY/SAO PAULO, Jan 9 (Reuters) - Brazilian assets may be hit by fresh volatility on Monday after supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed key government buildings, echoing the U.S. Jan. 6 insurrection of 2021, analysts said. Ricardo Lacerda, founder and CEO of Brazilian investment bank BR Partners (BRBI11.SA), said he expects markets to react with volatility in the short term, especially on Monday, given the higher institutional risk. But Komura expects the markets to recover by the end of the week considering a strong institutional reaction against the rioters. While large sections of the Brazilian banking industry has tended to back Bolsonaro given his free market credentials relative to Lula's Workers' Party, the sector's main industry association roundly condemned Sunday's violence.

☆ Europe's BNP Paribas appoints senior executives to Global Markets Americas division
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Dec 7 (Reuters) - BNP Paribas SA (BNPP.PA) has appointed several senior executives to its Global Markets Americas division, the European bank said on Wednesday, in a move to further consolidate its presence in the United States. The French bank appointed former Morgan Stanley executive Kunal Maini as the co-head of Global Macro - Americas and he will be responsible for globalizing the US Rates franchise. In addition, BNP also hired a string of executives to strengthen its credit portfolio at a time when global fixed income markets have come under immense pressure from soaring inflation and outsized interest rate hikes. John Hanisch was appointed the co-head of Secondary Credit Americas and Global Head of Securitized Products Trading; Charlie Shah the Head of IG & CDS Trading Americas and Bo Bazylevsky the Head of LatAm Flow Credit Trading. BNP's move to hire across divisions sharply contrasts global banks including HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBA.L) and Goldman Sachs (GS.N), which axed jobs to rein in costs.

☆ Analysis: Peru markets take in political drama as investors focus on fundamentals
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-07 | by ( Rodrigo Campos | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The Peruvian sol currency and dollar bond prices recovered early losses after President Pedro Castillo was removed in an impeachment trial following his attempt to dissolve Congress. The sol remains one of the few emerging market currencies with gains against the U.S. dollar so far this year. "So much political uncertainty is never welcome, yet the reason why markets have historically shrugged off political developments in Peru has to do with the fact that the country's fundamentals are decently strong." The sol fell over 2% against the dollar at its session low of 3.8898 before recovering slightly to trade down 1.4% at 3.8625 per dollar in early afternoon trading. Vice President Dina Boluarte was sworn as president through 2026 and the first woman to lead the Andean nation.

☆ Fed to lift rates by 50 basis points, but peak policy rate may be higher
▼ + stars: | 2022-11-18 | by ( Prerana Bhat | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. consumer price inflation unexpectedly fell below 8% last month, bolstering already well-established market expectations the Fed would go for smaller rate hikes going forward after four consecutive 75-basis-point increases. Peak rate forecasts ranged between 4.25%-4.50% and 5.75%-6.00%. But 16 of 28 respondents to an additional question said the bigger risk was that rates would peak higher and later than they expect now, with another four saying higher and earlier. "While markets are focused on peak inflation, underlying inflation trends are persistent. This could force the Fed to keep raising the federal funds rate well into next year and beyond levels currently anticipated," said Philip Marey, senior U.S. strategist at Rabobank.

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