Elevated stock market valuations suggest that returns for investors over the next decade could be meager, according to a Bernstein analysis.
The Shiller PE or CAPE — that is, cyclically adjusted price to earnings ratio — sets the market multiple based on average inflation-adjusted earnings over the course of a decade.
"The Shiller PE has historically been a good predictor of very long-run 10-year forward equity returns," the Bernstein analysts wrote.
However, the firm notes that investors shouldn't forego stock market exposure even if returns are likely to be lower.
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research said market valuations could be resetting as Big Tech companies powered by artificial intelligence dominate the market.
Persons:
Bernstein, Sarah McCarthy, Mark Diver, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni
Organizations:
Equity, Yardeni Research, Big Tech
Locations:
Tuesday's