But the balance of the evidence from the NBC News Exit Poll suggests that Trump owes his victory to more common, less polarizing factors that drive many elections year in and year out.
That included a striking shift of Latino voters into the GOP column compared with 2020 — they backed Trump by 13 points more.
Women broke for Harris, 54%-44%, while men favored Trump, 54%-44% — a gap in support amounting to 22 percentage points.
But in 2020, Trump performed even worse among women, losing them to Biden 57%-42%.
A final factor favoring Trump: his appeal among Americans who are less attached to politics and elections:
Persons:
Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump, Barack Obama, Joe Biden, —, Trump’s, ” Trump, Dobbs, coy, Harris, George W, Bush
Organizations:
NBC, Democratic, Voters, Trump, Biden
Locations:
United States