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Workers assemble at a workshop of an equipment manufacturing enterprise in Yunmenshan Street, Qingzhou city, East China's Shandong province, Aug. 9, 2023. China's factory activity swung back into expansion among smaller manufacturers in October, according to a private survey released on Friday. The Caixin/S&P Global manufacturing PMI came in at 50.3 in October, beating the median estimate of 49.7 in a Reuters poll. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expansion in activity, while a reading below that level points to contraction. This private gauge, which focuses on smaller and export-oriented firms, comes after the official PMI data, released Thursday, indicated that manufacturing activity in the country expanded for the first time since April.
Organizations: P Global, PMI Locations: Yunmenshan, Qingzhou city, East China's Shandong
Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), speaks during a news conference at the central bank's headquarters in Tokyo, JapanAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open on Thursday as investors look to the Bank of Japan's rate decision, as well as key business activity figures from China. Economists polled by Reuters expect the BOJ will hold rates at 0.25%, although the statement will be parsed for any clues on the timing of its next rate hike. In China, the National Bureau of Statistics is set to release the country's official purchasing managers index numbers for September, with the manufacturing PMI forecast to come in at 49.9, a softer contraction than the 49.8 the month before. Still, that would be the sixth straight month of contraction for the country's manufacturing sector.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, Bank of, Reuters, National Bureau, Statistics Locations: Tokyo, Japan Asia, Pacific, China
Yen under pressure as BOJ keeps rates steady
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese Yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. The yen remained under pressure on Thursday as the Bank of Japan kept ultra-low interest rates steady, while the U.S. dollar consolidated ahead of jobs data later this week and the U.S. presidential election next week. The BOJ kept interest rates steady on Thursday and roughly maintained its forecast that inflation will hover near its 2% inflation target in coming years, signaling its readiness to continue rolling back its massive monetary stimulus. Analysts are divided over the prospect of additional interest rate hikes by year-end, putting the focus on BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting briefing for clues on the pace and timing of further increases. "Any strengthening of the yen at present would likely result from a general weakening of the U.S. dollar if interest rates begin to align," said Sean Teo, a sales trader at Saxo.
Persons: Yen, Kazuo Ueda's, Sean Teo, payrolls, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Sterling Organizations: Bank of Japan, U.S ., U.S, Treasury, Saxo, National Statistics, PMI, Westpac, European Central Bank, Australian, Analysts, New Zealand Locations: China, U.S
BEIJING — China's official purchasing managers' index for October came in at 50.1, in expansionary territory for the first time since April, according to National Bureau of Statistics data released Thursday. The last time the PMI was above the 50-point line that determines contraction from activity was in April, with a reading of 50.4. Raw materials inventory ticked up to 48.2, still in contraction territory, along with employment at 48.4, which was mildly better than the prior month. The statistics bureau's PMI for non-manufacturing activity rose to 50.2 in October. The employment portion of the non-manufacturing PMI climbed by 1.1 percentage points to 45.8.
Organizations: BEIJING, National Bureau, Statistics, PMI
Investors are turning their attention to third-quarter earnings season, with 21% of S&P 500 companies set to report this week. Bank of America said that company executives are striking an optimistic tone on earnings calls. The decline on Monday comes as third-quarter earnings season nears its peak, with more than 100 S&P 500 companies set to report results this week, including Coca-Cola, Tesla, Boeing, and UPS. Bank of America strategist Savita Subramanian said that company executives are striking an optimistic tone on earnings calls. Analysts have been feeling bullish on the stock's prospects for further gains amid big demand for its new Blackwell chips.
Persons: , Savita Subramanian, Subramanian, Blackwell, Fedspeak Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Boeing, UPS, Bank of America . Bank of America, PMI, Here's
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as widely expected, but tweaked its policy stance to "neutral," opening the door for rate cuts amid early signs of a growth slowdown in the economy. The Monetary Policy Committee, which consists of three RBI and three external members, kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for a tenth straight policy meeting. The committee, however, changed its policy stance to "neutral" from "withdrawal of accommodation." The MPC last changed rates in February 2023, when the policy rate was raised to 6.50%. India's overall growth slowed to 6.7% in the June quarter.
Organizations: Bank of, Global, Reserve Bank of India, Monetary, Committee, Reuters, MPC, PMI Locations: Bank of India, Mumbai, India
ET, the 10-year Treasury yield was last up by 2 basis points at 3.766%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was last less than 1 basis point higher at 3.625%. Treasury yields were last higher on Wednesday as investors weighed the state of the U.S. economy and considered the latest developments in the Middle East. Powell also said that the recent 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed should not be taken as a signal that the central bank will continue cutting rates aggressively. Treasury yields had pulled back Tuesday as investors looked to them for safety among the developments in the region.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S . Labor, Federal Reserve, Investors, Tuesday Locations: U.S, Iran, Israel, Lebanon
Key data prints are hovering in recession territory, Megan Horneman said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves," she said. This over-enthusiasm could cost the market heavily, pushing stocks toward a 7% to 10% drop, the chief investment officer said. "I think investors got a little ahead of themselves as far as the what strength there is in the economy," she told Yahoo Finance. Still, these data prints have taken a backseat to labor data, which holds the spotlight on Wall Street.
Persons: Megan Horneman, , Tim Fiore, Morgan Stanley, Horneman Organizations: Yahoo Finance, Service, Conference Board, September's, PMI, US Federal Reserve
ET the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over three basis points to 3.7638%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points lower to 3.6289%. U.S. Treasury yields were lower on Tuesday as investors looked ahead to fresh economic data and weighed comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. On Monday, he indicated that if economic data remained consistent, two more rate cuts could come this year but in smaller, 25-basis-point increments. More Fed policymakers are set to give remarks throughout this week, which investors will be following closely alongside the latest data releases.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Treasury, U.S, Federal, Investors, P Global U.S, Manufacturing, ISM, PMI, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Survey
Stock futures were little changed on Monday evening, after the S&P 500 closed at a record to end September. S&P 500 futures inched lower by 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures were just below the flatline. In the regular session, the S&P 500 and the 30-stock Dow notched closing records. All three major averages posted monthly gains, and it was the first positive September for the S&P 500 since 2019. The S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq Composite also ended the third quarter in positive territory.
Persons: Jerome Powell, nonfarm, Dave Sekera Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal, Investors, Morningstar, Traders, International Longshoremen's Association, Gulf Coasts, U.S, U.S . Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Survey, P Global U.S, Manufacturing, ISM, PMI Locations: New York City, U.S, Gulf
A cycler passes the entrance to the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) headquarters building in the Nihonbashi area of Tokyo on May 2, 2024. Richard A. Brooks | Afp | Getty ImagesJapan's Nikkei 225 tumbled over 4% Monday, while Australia stocks hit a fresh high ahead of key economic data from China. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart iconSeparately, China will release its official purchasing managers' index numbers for September, with economists polled by Reuters expecting the manufacturing PMI to come in at 49.5, a softer contraction compared to August's 49.1. The Caixin PMI survey, which is a private survey compiled by S&P Global, will also be released Monday. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.62%, breaching its all-time high of 8,246.2.
Persons: Richard A, Brooks, Topix, Australia's, Korea's Kospi Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Afp, Getty, Reuters, PMI, P Global Locations: Nihonbashi, Tokyo, Australia, China, Japan
The Fed's target inflation rate is 2%, so we're getting closer. In the week ahead, we get quarterly results from Club name Constellation Brands and the government's September employment report. Jobs, Jobs, Jobs This coming Friday's big update on the state of the labor market is the main market event and could have big implications for Wall Street and the path for Fed rate cuts. However, the market took the news in stride because recent weakness in the stock was already reflecting the sluggish sales environment. ET: September ADP Report Before the bell: Conagra (CAG) After the bell: Levi Strauss (LEVI) Thursday, Oct. 3 8:30 a.m.
Persons: Thursday's, Jerome Powell, we'll, We're, Levi Strauss, LEVI, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Spencer Platt Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Core PCE, GE Healthcare, Costco, Constellation Brands, Wall, ADP, Pacifico, McCormick &, PMI, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty Locations: Covid, Corona, New York City
From property woes to sluggish economic data, China appears to be suffering from long Covid. Wall Street turns bullishBillionaire investors, including Appaloosa Management founder David Tepper and "Big Short" investor Michael Burry, recently revealed they are sticking to their China bets. The famed investor loaded up on Alibaba stock in the second quarter, revealing an $11.2 million position in the company. That makes Alibaba Burry's largest holding, with other Chinese tech stocks including Baidu and JD.com also featuring on Burry's portfolio. Meanwhile, BCA Research recently upgraded Chinese onshore stocks to overweight, with China strategist Jing Sima expecting Chinese onshore stocks to passively outperform global equities.
Persons: Jiang Sheng, It's, Ted Alexander, CNBC's, David Tepper, Michael Burry, Alibaba, Tepper, Burry, JD.com, Jing Sima, George Boubouras, Goldman Sachs, Song Zhiyong, Eric Lin Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Appaloosa Management, KE Holdings, Baidu, BCA Research, K2 Asset Management, CNBC, Bank of America, National Bureau of Statistics, China's Ministry of Transport, Civil Aviation Administration, Asia Pacific Summit for Aviation Safety, Paris Olympic Games, Greater, Greater China Research, UBS Locations: China, Beijing, Wall, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Europe, Greater China
Safe-haven gold firms on U.S. recession fears, rate-cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Two Argor-Heraeus SA 250 gram gold bars at Solar Capital Gold Zrt. Gold prices drifted higher on Monday, aided by worries that the United States could be headed for a recession and rising bets that the Federal Reserve will likely need to start cutting interest rates aggressively. Spot gold rose 0.14% to $2,446.83 per ounce, as of 0519 GMT, after falling 1% earlier in the session. "Gold is picking up safe-haven flows, with financial markets in a risk-averse mindset to start the week," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade. Share markets tumbled and bonds rallied in Asia as U.S. recession fears sent investors rushing from risk assets.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Thomas Barkin Organizations: Heraeus, Solar, Federal Reserve, KCM, Richmond Fed, P Global, Pentagon Locations: Budapest, Hungary, United States, Asia, U.S, Iran
Hong Kong/London CNN —Japanese stocks on Monday suffered their biggest daily loss since 1987 as fears about a US economic slowdown sent shock waves through global markets. The Nikkei 225 index of leading stocks in Tokyo lost a staggering 4,451 points, its biggest point drop in history. On the more common, percentage measure, the index closed more than 12% down — according to Reuters, its largest one-day fall since October 1987. He was referring to “Black Monday” in October 1987, when global markets plunged and the Nikkei lost 3,836 points. The Nikkei closed down 5.8% Friday, as traders fretted about the impact of a stronger yen on Japanese companies.
Persons: ” Neil Newman, , Stephen Innes, Newman, Mohit Kumar, Taiwan’s Taiex, Kospi, Innes, Tom Kloza, Bitcoin Organizations: London CNN, Reuters, Advisory, CNN, Nikkei, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, Management, Trading, Nasdaq, Dow, Jefferies, Traders, greenback, PMI, Intel, Brent, Oil Price Information Service Locations: Hong Kong, London, Tokyo, Japan, South Korea, , Asia, Europe, South, Shanghai, China, United States
The firm is looking at specific levels for the 10-year Treasury yield and manufacturing PMI. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. New research from Bank of America outlined two specific criteria that could serve as signals the rally will continue. AdvertisementMeanwhile, manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5 in June. "The Manufacturing economy is in the second longest downturn in history with 21 months without two straight months of 50+ PMI.
Persons: , SPW, Russell, Tom Lee Organizations: of America, PMI, Service, Bank of America, Treasury, 6.3ppt, Bank of America Global Research, Federal Reserve, Barclays Locations: outperformance
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange on June 24, 2024. During Tuesday's main trading session, the broad market index rose 0.62% to close above 5,500 for the first time. U.S. stock futures traded near the flatline Wednesday morning after the S&P 500 closed above 5,500 for the first time. As the S&P 500 continues to climb, concern is growing across Wall Street that the narrow leadership of the rally is not sustainable for much longer. The New York Stock Exchange closes early at 1 p.m.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, Chronert Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Dow, Paramount Global, Wall Street, The New York Times, Skydance Media, Federal Reserve, Citi Research, P Global U.S, Services, ISM, The New York Stock Exchange, Independence Locations: U.S
China's economic situation is 'still mixed,' UOB says
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's economic situation is 'still mixed,' UOB saysTeck Kin Suan, head of research at UOB, discusses China's official purchasing managers' index data released over the weekend and compares it with the Caixin manufacturing PMI.
Persons: UOB, Suan
SHANGHAI, CHINA - JANUARY 01: Sun rises over the Oriental Pearl Tower on New Year's Day on January 1, 2023 in Shanghai, China. (Photo by VCG/VCG via Getty Images)Asia-Pacific markets started the second half of the year mixed as investors assessed official June business activity data from China and Japan's business confidence readings. China released its official PMI figures on the weekend, with its manufacturing PMI coming in at 49.5, unchanged from May and marking its second straight month in contraction territory. Confidence among big Japanese manufacturers improved in the second quarter to a two-month high, with the Tankan survey at +13 compared to +11 in the first quarter. Separately, S&P Global purchasing managers' index readings will be out for several Asian economies, including China, Japan and South Korea.
Organizations: Getty Images, PMI, Reuters, P Global Locations: SHANGHAI, CHINA, Shanghai, China, Asia, Pacific, Japan, South Korea
June U.S. Manufacturing PMI comes in at 51.6
  + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJune U.S. Manufacturing PMI comes in at 51.6CNBC’s Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli Organizations: Manufacturing PMI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailISM non-manufacturing PMI widely beats expectations, best level since August '23CNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli Organizations: ISM
Cramer suggested that bullish investors sometimes want incompatible scenarios — weakness in the economy but not in the companies they're invested in. The weaker-than-expected Manufacturing PMI released on Monday was a big overhang on the market, with investors concerned about the strength of the economy. Cramer said these results could be a harbinger of interest rate cuts and also reminded investors that Friday's nonfarm payroll report for the month of May is vital data for the Fed. "When you read the statement for the Manufacturing PMI, it is weak, weaker than feared. "And that's ultimately what could sway the Fed — particularly if we get any sort of job weakness on Friday's numbers."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Jay Powell, Jerome Powell, Cramer Organizations: Federal Reserve, PMI, Manufacturing PMI
US stocks kicked the first trading day of June off with mixed trades on Monday. Weaker-than-expected manufacturing data pushed stocks lower throughout the day. Investors are looking ahead to a busy week of macro data, including the May jobs report. AdvertisementUS stocks kicked June off with mixed trades on Monday as investors digested a new set of manufacturing data. The mixed data led to a mixed stock market in Monday's trading session, with the Nasdaq 100 printing gains, the S&P 500 about flat, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average moving slightly lower.
Persons: Organizations: Service, PMI, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Bank of America, Federal Reserve
Dell , Super Micro , Vertiv , and Club stock Eaton all fell. Utilities that fulfill the growing power demands of AI data centers, such as Vistra and Constellation Energy Corp , were also lower. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Industrials, , Eaton, Dell, Jensen Huang, we're, Ferguson, Jim Cramer's, Jim, Mauricio Palos Organizations: CNBC, Institute for Supply, Federal Reserve, Utilities, Constellation Energy Corp, Nvidia, Body, Jim Cramer's Charitable, Eaton Corp, Bloomberg, Getty Locations: San Luis Potosi, Mexico
Services and manufacturing PMIs higher than expected
  + stars: | 2024-05-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailServices and manufacturing PMIs higher than expectedCNBC's Rick Santelli reports on the latest economic data to cross the tape.
Persons: Rick Santelli Organizations: Services
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