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☆ What Trump's election victory means for global investors — and why it's different to 2016
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

President-elect Donald Trump's return to the White House has sent ripples through global financial markets, with many investors looking to recalibrate their portfolios for a dramatically different policy landscape ahead. Higher Treasury yields mean higher interest rates for corporate borrowers. Trump's tariffs Perhaps the biggest concern for investors globally is Trump's campaign promise of aggressive new tariffs , including the potential for a universal 10% tariff on all imports and a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. However, some Asian nations might benefit if higher tariffs on China prompt manufacturers to relocate. Europe Most analysts agree that U.S. trade tariffs are likely to hurt Europe, with some companies able to navigate the challenges better than others.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Russell, Mislav Matejka, David Seif, Goldman Sachs, Gareth Leather, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Mark Diethelm, Diethelm, Emmanuel Cau, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: White, Republican, Trump, U.S, Nasdaq, Treasury, Nomura, Federal Reserve, Asia Capital Economics, Capital Economics, U.S ., Union, Morningstar, Logitech, Barclays Locations: Congress, Treasurys, Trump's, U.S, United States, Korea, Taiwan, China, Vietnam, Asia, India, Europe

☆ CNBC's Inside India newsletter: How will the next Trump administration impact India?
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Global trade changed considerably over the past four years — benefiting India — as President Joe Biden retained much of Trump's tariffs on China. EnergyOn the one hand, analysts expect Indian interests to be aligned with those of the United States regarding oil prices . Trump's previous term in office, whether intentionally or coincidently, saw moderate to low oil prices. As India imports over 90% of its oil needs, New Delhi will likely welcome any move by the U.S. to keep oil prices low. A quick resolution of the war in Ukraine — Trump's campaign promise — would also prove to be negative for oil prices.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Donald Trump, Narendra Modi's, Joe Biden, Macquarie, Aditya Suresh, Trump, Uncle Sam, Samiran Chakraborty, Baqar Zaidi, Ukraine —, —, Sanjeev Prasad Organizations: India's, U.S, Manufacturing, Global, Observer Research Foundation, Treasury, Indian, Citi, Companies, Tata Consultancy Services, HCL Tech, Infosys, Energy, Suzlon Locations: Hyderabad, New Delhi, India, China, U.S, Mumbai, United States, Ukraine

☆ Japan's political instability could cloud economic policy, herald 'revolving door' of prime ministers
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Amember of staff hands flyers with picture of Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba before his election campaign speech in Tokyo on October 26, 2024. Voters delivered a "harsh judgement" to the LDP, in the words of Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. Following that result, parties have 30 days to try to form a coalition government and pick a prime minister. It's still unclear what the exact makeup of a coalition government could look like, clouding the outlook for both economic policy and Ishiba's fate. Thong predicted there will be no significant changes to the country's defense policy, although he pointed out that "a major increase in [defense] exports may be challenging."

Persons: Shigeru Ishiba, Yuichi Yamazaki, It's, William Pesek, CNBC's, Damian Thong, Thong, Fumio Kishida, Masahiko Loo Organizations: Japan's, Afp, Getty, Liberal Democratic Party, Voters, Trump, Macquarie Capital, State Street Global Advisors Locations: Tokyo, Japan

☆ China's steel exports expected to falter in 2025 as pain from tariffs spread
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Anniek Bao | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

China's steel exports will soon hit an eight-year high, before sweeping tariffs sink in and drag down the industry in 2025, industry watchers said. As the biggest exporter of steel, China accounts for about 55% of the world's steel production. Strategists at Macquarie Capital predicted that China's steel exports will reach 109 million tons this year, before declining to 96 million tons in 2025. Trade tariffs could further curb China's steel exports, "albeit this may require a while to play out," analysts from the the investment bank told CNBC. After hitting a record high of 112 million tons in 2015, the country's steel exports had been on a multi-year slide before it started improving in 2020.

Persons: Ren Zhuqian Organizations: Science & Technology, Macquarie Capital, CNBC, Citigroup, Steel Locations: JIUJIANG, CHINA, Jiujiang, Jiangxi Province, China

☆ CNBC Daily Open: In this time of uncertainty, markets seem to rely on logic
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Amazon and Apple report earnings on Thursday, Oct. 31. Tariffs of China's steel exports China's steel exports will hit 109 million tons this year , the highest level since 2016, estimate strategists at Macquarie Capital. However, countries around the world are implementing tariffs on Chinese steel, which analysts predict will lower the country's steel exports starting 2025.

Persons: John Maynard Keynes, Tesla, Dow, Andy Sieg, –, —, Sarah Min, Pia Singh, Lisa Kailai Han Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Apple, Itau, Macquarie Capital, Wall, Nasdaq, Dow, Boeing, IBM, U.S Locations: New York City, U.S, Latin America, China

☆ Strategist: China waiting for U.S. election before larger stimulus
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina probably waiting for U.S. election before moving with a larger stimulus package: StrategistEugene Hsiao, head of China equity strategy at Macquarie Capital, says "right now is really a chance for investors to sit down, reset their thesis on China for more of a medium-term perspective because a lot of this volatility … will wash out and my feeling is here is it may take until after the U.S. election before we see it really settle down."

Persons: Eugene Hsiao Organizations: China, Macquarie Capital Locations: China

☆ India market to underperform near term, quality growth in the long run
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital: India market to underperform near term, but quality growth in the long runAditya Suresh of Macquarie Capital breaks down the Indian Market outlook and compares growth with China markets.

Persons: Aditya Suresh Organizations: Macquarie, Macquarie Capital Locations: India, China

SHANGHAI, CHINA - MARCH 7, 2023 - The Oriental Pearl Tower, Shanghai Tower, Jinmao Tower and World Financial Center are seen on Lujiazui Street, Shanghai, China, March 7, 2023. China stocks will keep rising after markets in the mainland reopen following the Golden Week break, analysts predicted. Beijing's announcements of economic support last week have fueled China's CSI 300 blue-chip index to rally over 25% in a nine-day winning streak. Then, Hong Kong stocks dropped on Thursday, ending a 6-day winning streak and sparking fears that China's stimulus rally could have started to fizzle out. Beijing's recent stimulus blitz coupled with higher participation from retail investors will likely fuel a longer rally, he said.

Persons: Eugene Hsiao, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi, Shaun Rein, it's, Rein, Ting Lu Organizations: Financial, CSI, of China Equity, Macquarie Capital, China Market Research Locations: SHANGHAI, CHINA, Shanghai, China, Hong Kong

☆ Macquarie Capital: Trump or Harris trades 'never really work'
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital: Trump or Harris trades 'never really work'Viktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital sees continued strong earnings growth in the U.S. despite Fed rate cuts and suggests a 60/40 portfolio going forward. He does see U.S. voters having a moderating effect on the presidency, so there is no need for specific political trades.

Persons: Harris, Viktor Shvets Organizations: Macquarie, Trump, Macquarie Capital Locations: U.S

☆ Macquarie Capital: Defense, shipbuilding firms to benefit from launch of Korea's value-up indexes
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital: Defense, shipbuilding firms to benefit from launch of Korea's value-up indexesJames Hong of Macquarie Capital highlights some names in sectors outside of autos and banks that could be big winners from the launch of South Korea's new value-up indexes.

Persons: James Hong Organizations: Macquarie, : Defense, Macquarie Capital

☆ Macquarie Capital: India's steady growth to continue
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital: India's steady growth to continueSandeep Bhatia of Macquarie Capital believes India will continue its growth. Attention to some previously unfancied sectors is coming amid India's weightage increase in the MSCI Emerging Markets index.

Persons: Sandeep Bhatia Organizations: Macquarie, Macquarie Capital Locations: India

☆ India’s economic boom won’t be derailed by its election shock
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-05 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

New Delhi CNN —Narendra Modi has declared victory in India’s election but he’ll need the support of smaller parties to govern, a shock result that could make it harder for him to pass major economic reforms. Experts have highlighted land reform as an example of policies that might now be tougher for Modi to implement. India will need to address those issues if it is to capitalize on the massive rethink underway among companies on supply chains. Despite the surprise electoral setback for Modi’s right-wing, Hindu-nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), experts say the world’s fastest growing major economy will continue to live up to its billing. The party’s underperformance led to a plunge on India’s stock market, which had its worst day in four years Tuesday.

Persons: New Delhi CNN — Narendra Modi, ”, Peeyush Mittal, Modi, ” Shilan Shah, underperformance, Aditya Suresh, Shah, Malcolm Dorson, It’s Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Matthews Asia, Apple, Foxconn, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Capital Economics, Investors, Macquarie Capital, Unified Locations: New Delhi, United Kingdom, India, China, San Francisco, Beijing, Washington, United States, Western

☆ Peloton's demise is another in a long line of failed fitness fads
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-15 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Peloton isn't going under imminently, but let's be real here: No fitness fad lasts forever. While there was a lot that went wrong, the long and short of it is that Peloton failed to read the room on its pandemic popularity. "It's not that Peloton isn't a good business model; it's that it simply isn't a mass product but more of a niche, luxe one," she said. Investors have soured on the company, and Peloton's once $50 billion market cap has fallen to under $2 billion. It also has to contend with the gym, which has all sorts of classes and fitness equipment that let people mix things up, including, in many cases, Pelotons or other connected-fitness devices.

Persons: I've, Tae, monthslong, Rina Raphael, Simeon Siegel, It's, That's, Siegel, Paul Golding, it's, Golding, there's, Raphael, Natalia Mehlman Petrzela, Emily Stewart Organizations: Private, BMO Capital Markets, Macquarie Capital, Google, YouTube, New School, Facebook, Business Locations: COVID, unsubscribing, Barre, America

☆ Higher oil prices from escalating Israel-Iran tensions will make the Fed more dovish: Strategist
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHigher oil prices from escalating Israel-Iran tensions will make the Fed more dovish: StrategistViktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital says "risk is everywhere", and policy makers and central banks will look through risks and supply side disruptions.

Persons: Viktor Shvets, Macquarie Capital Organizations: Macquarie Locations: Israel, Iran

☆ India’s economy and elections: Is the hype around Narendra Modi’s vision justified?
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Diksha Madhok | Rachel Wilson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

New Delhi/London CNN —In just a few days, India will commence the world’s largest democratic election. So, is the hype around Modi’s India, which remains a largely impoverished country, justified? The world’s largest biometric database has also helped the government save millions by reducing corruption in welfare initiatives. Domestic investors, both retail and institutional, have been driving India’s stock market to unprecedented peaks. Still, India’s economy, much like its democracy, is far from perfect.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Indranil Mukherjee, Modi, Himanshu Sharma, Guido Cozzi, Arun Sankar, Billionaire Elon Musk Organizations: London CNN —, Getty, CNN, World, University of St, Unified, Bank, ”, National Stock Exchange of India, bourse, Bombay Stock Exchange, NSE, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, Hong Kong Exchange, World Federation of Exchanges, Macquarie Capital, Apple, Foxconn, Billionaire, International Labour Organization Locations: New Delhi, London, India, China, Beijing, Ajmer, Rajasthan, University of St Gallen, Switzerland, Asia’s, Washington, Sriperumbudur, Chennai, Mumbai's Churchgate, AFP

☆ More upside opportunity for the S&P 500 between now and year end: Evans May Wealth's Brooke May
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMore upside opportunity for the S&P 500 between now and year end: Evans May Wealth's Brooke MayBrook May, Evans May Wealth managing partner and Viktor Shvets, Macquarie Capital head of global desk strategy, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the day's market action.

Persons: Evans, Wealth's Brooke May, Viktor Shvets Organizations: Wealth, Macquarie Capital

☆ Too early for AI productivity to save the U.S. from secular stagnation
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's still too early for AI-related productivity gains to save the U.S. from secular stagnationViktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital says that the U.S. will continue to need fiscal and monetary stimulas in order for the economy to grow and that productivity gains from AI are still 5 to 10 years away.

Persons: Viktor Shvets Organizations: Macquarie Capital Locations: U.S

☆ Why India’s economy under Modi offers a real alternative to China
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-26 | by ( Diksha Madhok | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

The market value of companies listed on India’s exchanges crossed $4 trillion in late November. But the country is stuck in recession and recently lost its position as the world’s third biggest economy to Germany. While interest in the world’s fifth largest economy is rising, the lofty prices of India’s stocks are scaring some international investors away. According to Macquarie, retail investors alone own 9% of India’s equity market value versus foreign investors at slightly under 20%. China “has a few too many companies which are $100 and $200 billion plus [in value],” Mittal said.

Persons: Peeyush Mittal, there’s, ”, Mittal, They’ve, Narendra Modi, Indranil Mukherjee, Jefferies, “, MSCI, Aditya Suresh, Modi’s, Modi, there’ll, ” Suresh, shoring, Hubert de Barochez, Elon Musk, India “, ” Musk, Suresh, Satish Babu, China “, ” Mittal, Priyanka Agnihotri, Nirmala Sitharaman Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN —, Matthews Asia, Getty, Macquarie Capital, Bharatiya Janata Party, Monetary Fund, Jefferies, Capital Economics, Apple, Foxconn, ”, Workers, Chennai Metro Rail, Advisory, Indian Locations: New Delhi, Jaipur, San Francisco, India, China, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hong Kong, Japan, Germany, Beijing, Washington, “ India, Macquarie, Chennai, Baltimore

☆ Macquarie Capital: $1.5 billion to be wagered on Super Bowl LVIII
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMacquarie Capital expects over $1.5 billion to be wagered on Super Bowl LVIIIChad Beynon of Macquarie Capital shares his predictions that Super Bowl LVIII will have on the sports betting industry.

Persons: Chad Beynon Organizations: Macquarie Capital

☆ The 'investment clock is broken', look at these markets to get returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe 'investment clock is broken', look at these two markets to generate returns in 2024Viktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital says business and capital market cycles no longer exist and investors should instead pay attention to markets with strong "secular and productivity drivers".

Persons: Viktor Shvets Organizations: Macquarie Capital

☆ Steeper decline of battery prices in the first half of this year, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSteeper decline of battery prices in the first half of this year, analyst saysJames Hong, head of mobility research at Macquarie Capital, says that will probably lead to better-than-expected profitability for some automakers' battery electric vehicle businesses.

Persons: James Hong Organizations: Macquarie Capital

☆ China is investible, but in a very different form than it used to be: Macquarie Capital
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina is investible, but in a very different form than it used to be: Macquarie CapitalViktor Shvets of Macquarie Capital says stabilization of China's economy and improvements in geopolitical tensions, could result in a re-rating in Chinese stocks.

Persons: Viktor Shvets, Macquarie Capital Organizations: China, Macquarie

☆ Bain Capital to buy consulting firm Guidehouse in $5.3 bln deal
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

The logo of Bain Capital is displayed on the screen during a news conference in Tokyo, Japan October 5, 2017. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon/FIle photo Acquire Licensing RightsNov 6 (Reuters) - Private equity firm Bain Capital will acquire government and business consulting firm Guidehouse in a deal valued at $5.3 billion, the companies said on Monday. Bain Capital declined to comment on specific terms of the Guidehouse deal, when contacted by Reuters. Guidehouse has been owned by Veritas Capital since 2018, when the PE firm acquired Big Four firm PwC's U.S. public sector business and rebranded it as Guidehouse. It also agreed to acquire 90% of India's Adani Capital and Adani Housing, buying out all of the Adani family's private investments in the company.

Persons: Kim Kyung, Guidehouse, Grant, Pritam Biswas, Devika Nair, Savio D'Souza, Shailesh Organizations: Bain Capital, REUTERS, U.S . Department of Defense, Homeland Security, Reuters, Veritas Capital, Big, Macquarie, Dovel Technologies, Chindata, Adani, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, United States, Bengaluru

The Sydney-based financial conglomerate has not had a steeper first-half profit drop in more than a decade. The results capped a run of "exceptional conditions" last year in the company's commodity trading and asset management segments, buoyed by energy market volatility and ripe conditions for asset sales, respectively, Chief Financial Officer Alex Harvey told Reuters. Macquarie said the asset management division's income should rebound in the second half to about the A$940 million it reported in the same period last year. The company said fees and commissions at investment banking arm Macquarie Capital were in line with the previous comparable period. Profit fell 28% to A$430 million.

Persons: David Gray, Alex Harvey, Macquarie, Shemara Wikramanayake, Wikramanayake, Barrenjoey, Lewis Jackson, Roushni Nair, Rishav Chatterjee, Jamie Freed Organizations: Macquarie Group Ltd, REUTERS, Macquarie, Reuters, Citi, Investment, Thomson Locations: Sydney, Australia, SYDNEY, Ukraine, North America, Israel, Bengaluru

☆ Advanced chips: Japan isn't trying to divorce itself from the U.S., analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAdvanced chips: Japan isn't trying to divorce itself from the U.S., analyst saysDamian Thong, head of Japan research at Macquarie Capital Securities (Japan), says "I see it trying to be a more capable and competent partner [to the United States]."

Persons: Damian Thong Organizations: Macquarie Capital Securities Locations: Japan, U.S, United States

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