Markets have rallied this year, but the US is still facing a significant risk of recession, Capital Economics warned.
That's because financial conditions are the tightest they've been since 2008.
That's led to the tightest financial conditions since 2008, the firm said, pointing to financial condition indexes, or FCIs, which show financial conditions in US, Europe, Australia, Canada, and Japan nearing Great Recession levels.
Capital Economics' broad financial conditions indexes show financial conditions at their tightest since 2008 across most tracked economies.
Interest rates on consumer credit have spiked past 8%, which is one of the largest drivers of tight financial conditions, the firm said.
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