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☆ What Trump's return to the White House could mean for global bond yields
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Sam Meredith | In Samuelmeredith | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesDonald Trump's U.S. election victory has ratcheted up concerns about higher prices, prompting strategists to rethink the outlook for global bond yields and currencies. Trump's return to the White House is seen as likely to throw a wrench in the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycle, potentially keeping an upward bias on Treasury yields. Bond yields tend to rise when market participants expect higher prices or a growing budget deficit. "Trump's election advances both possibilities as a trade war and increased fiscal spending work at cross purposes," he added. Germany's 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone, stood at 2.337% on Wednesday, marginally lower for the session.

Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump's, Alim Remtulla, Remtulla, Kamala Harris, there's, Trump, There's, Shannon Kirwin, Kirwin, Sameer Goel, CNBC's, doesn't, Goel, MUFG Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, EFG, Fed, CNBC, Treasury, Democratic, New York Stock Exchange, China News Service, Morningstar, European Union, Deutsche Bank, Trump, U.S, U.S ., Singapore, Malaysian, South Korean, ING Locations: Greensboro , North Carolina, Europe, United States, New York City, U.S, Mexico, Asia, China

☆ Dollar steady as investors eye U.S. jobs report, election
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The dollar steadied against major peers on Friday, as investors awaited the U.S. jobs report to confirm economic resiliency heading into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and a close-call U.S. presidential election next week. The dollar steadied against major peers on Friday, as investors awaited the U.S. jobs report to confirm economic resiliency heading into the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting and a close-call U.S. presidential election next week. The U.S. dollar started November off at a lower level after coming under pressure against the yen and euro on Thursday. (Kazuo) Ueda's press conference," Morgan Stanley MUFG economists Takeshi Yamaguchi and Masayuki Inui wrote in a report on Thursday. The Fed's monetary policy decision next week comes just days after the U.S. presidential election on Tuesday.

Persons: Nonfarm, Tapas Strickland, Kazuo, Ueda's, Morgan Stanley, Takeshi Yamaguchi, Masayuki Inui, Sterling, Rachel Reeves, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Trump's Organizations: Federal, Bank of Japan, U.S ., Reuters, National Australia Bank, Gov, U.S, Republican, Democratic, Trump, Treasury, Federal Reserve Locations: U.S

☆ This startup for traders raised $30 million from investors including Stanley Druckenmiller and Greg Coffey. Here's how it plans to transform how Wall Street analyzes data.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Bianca Chan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Reflexivity is a startup cofounded by two former hedge fund traders. AdvertisementA startup looking to transform how investors and traders use data just received funding from some of the biggest names in the hedge fund world. Reflexivity, formerly known as Toggle AI, just raised its $30 million Series B, the startup announced Monday. Interactive Brokers and Greycroft led the round, which included participation from billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller and Greg Coffey, the Australian founder of hedge fund Kirkoswald. AdvertisementIt has a valuation between $115 million and $150 million, Szilagyi said.

Persons: —, Greycroft, Stanley Druckenmiller, Greg Coffey, Izzy Englander, Reflexivity, Jan Szilagyi, Szilagyi, George Soros, Giuseppe Sette, Howard, Wells, Szilyagyi, that's Organizations: Service, Interactive, Millennium, Catalyst, P, Business, Druckenmiller's Duquesne Capital Management, Fortress Investment Group, Millennium Management, Soros Fund, London Stock Exchange Group, Federal Reserve Locations: Australian, MUFG, Fargo, Wells Fargo

☆ Nvidia-backed CoreWeave gets $650 million credit line from top Wall Street banks
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Hayden Field | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CoreWeave, an Nvidia -backed artificial intelligence startup that rents out chips to other companies, announced Friday that it has a new $650 million credit line to expand its business and data center portfolio. In the past, CoreWeave has supplied Microsoft and French AI startup Mistral with graphics processing units, or GPUs. And in addition to developing the chips, Nvidia has taken stakes in emerging AI companies like CoreWeave, partly as a way to make sure its technology gets widely deployed. Last week, OpenAI received a $4 billion revolving line of credit, bringing its total liquidity to more than $10 billion. Many of the same banks contributed to OpenAI's credit line.

Persons: it's, CoreWeave, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Mike Intrator, CoreWeave's, OpenAI Organizations: Nvidia, London, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Barclays, Citi, Deutsche Bank, Jefferies, Mizuho Locations: Austin , Texas, Chicago, Las Vegas, French, MUFG, Wells Fargo

☆ BOE doesn't share the Fed's urgency: MUFG
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBOE doesn't share the Fed's urgency: MUFGHenry Cook, senior Europe economist at MUFG, says the Bank of England is in no rush to front-load its policy easing path, highlighting key areas of concern compared to the Fed & the US economy.

Persons: BOE, Henry Cook Organizations: Bank of England, Fed Locations: Europe

☆ Japan faces labor shortages and demographic crisis as elderly population hits record high
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Dylan Butts | Cnbc Brand Studio | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Japan commemorated its "Respect for the Aged Day" earlier this week, with the national holiday underscoring a somewhat problematic fact — the country has a record number of elderly citizens to celebrate. Government data released ahead of the event showed that Japan's population of people aged 65 and over had risen to an all-time high of 36.25 million. A survey from Teikoku Databank last month showed that 51% of companies across sectors in Japan feel there is a shortage of full-time employees. Meanwhile, 2023 saw the number of Japan's workers aged 65 and over rise for a 20th consecutive year to reach a record 9.14 million, Statistics Bureau data showed. Feldman warned that as these elderly workers begin to retire from the workforce, there won't be the same number of young workers stepping up to replace them.

Persons: Robert Feldman, Morgan, Databank, Feldman Organizations: Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications, Morgan Stanley, Securities Locations: Japan

☆ MUFG Bank says it expects a 50-basis-point Fed rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMUFG Bank says it expects a 50-basis-point Fed rate cutEhsan Khoman, director and head of MENA research at MUFG Bank, says the U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to "go heavy."

Persons: Ehsan Khoman Organizations: MUFG, MUFG Bank, U.S . Federal

☆ Turkey growth projections likely to ease, analyst says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTurkey growth projections likely to ease, analyst saysEhsan Khoman, director of MENA research and strategy at MUFG Bank, Turkish central bank's decision to hold interest rates.

Persons: Ehsan Khoman Organizations: MUFG Bank Locations: Turkey, Turkish

☆ MUFG analyst explains why he expects the RMB to appreciate more against USD
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMUFG analyst explains why he expects the RMB to appreciate more against USDMichael Wan of MUFG says the Chinese economy faces both "cyclical challenges and structural issues."

Persons: Michael Wan, MUFG

☆ A software consultant trading stocks on the side is up 318% in 2024. He shares the stock screener he uses to find the trades he makes.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

He was 13 when he first heard about trading stocks. Finally, he filters for volume with the "50-day average volume"— the average number of shares traded daily over 50 days — above 25,000 shares. He had been watching Nvidia's chart since December, and it had a consistent 200-day moving average trend upward. As of January 3rd, it held above its 50-day moving average, bouncing off resistance points around $8.83 and $8.94 with minor pullbacks. The stock had a strong 150- and 200-day average uptrend.

Persons: Leoš, Benjamin Graham's, William O'Neil, Mark Minervini, Norman Zadeh, Mikulka Organizations: Investor's, Gamestop, US, Business, Apple, Nvidia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Holdings Locations: Prague, IBD

☆ Dollar steadies, yen pinned near 152
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The dollar was steady on Friday after data showed U.S. inflation remained sticky but easing gradually, keeping alive the chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates in June, while the yen slid back to the key 150 per dollar level. The dollar was on the front foot on Wednesday, pinning the yen near its lowest in decades though the heightened threat of currency intervention by Tokyo capped further declines in the Japanese currency. The yen was last at 151.585 per dollar, languishing near last month's slump to 34-year lows of 151.975 in the wake of the Bank of Japan's historic policy shift. The dollar , which on Tuesday touched a nearly five-month high of 105.10 against a basket of currencies, was last steady at 104.76. "I think the dollar will hold up pretty well in the near term, and that will be a headwind for the other major currencies."

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Koichi Sugisaki, Sterling, Carol Kong, CBA's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Bank of, Ministry of Finance, U.S ., U.S, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Traders, Fed, New Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S, CBA's Kong, New Zealand

☆ MUFG analyst says these tri-factors will propel gold prices to new highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMUFG analyst says these tri-factors will propel gold prices to new highsEhsan Khoman of MUFG Bank explains his bullish calls on gold.

Persons: Ehsan Organizations: MUFG Bank

☆ Japan's market is hitting record highs. What to know about the rally and how to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-10 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

U.S. equities aren't the only ones on a bull run — the Japanese stock market is also enjoying an upward climb. "It is the case that the Japanese stock market remains almost exclusively driven by foreign money," Jefferies head of global equity strategy Christopher Wood wrote in a March 7 note. According to Wood, foreign investors now own almost a third of the Japanese stock market, a dramatic rise from the 4% level in 1989, when the asset bubble reached its peak. Morgan Stanley noted that quality stocks have outperformed the broader market so far in 2024. Transitioning out of deflation Rate policy has been another big factor in the recent market rally.

Persons: Jefferies, Christopher Wood, Wood, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Makoto Furukawa, Ryota Sakagami, Citi's Sakagami Organizations: Nikkei, Global, Retailing, Holdings, Toyota Motor, Subaru, Mitsubishi, Citi, Japan, U.S, Bank of Locations: Japan, U.S, Tokyo, Bank of Japan

☆ Japan is facing 'major, major' demographic issues, says Morgan Stanley economist
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan is facing 'major, major' demographic issues, says Morgan Stanley economistRobert Feldman, chief economist at Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities, says Japan's social and medical policies will be "critical" in addressing the issue.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Robert Feldman, Morgan Organizations: Japan, Morgan Stanley, Securities

☆ MUFG discusses ECB rate cut outlook
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAs long as 'actual inflation' falls to 2%, ECB can implement rate cuts: MUFG head of commoditiesEhsan Khoman of Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group discusses Europe's interest rate outlook for 2024.

Organizations: ECB, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial

For its biggest banks, however, there's a hitch: a generation of professional front-line staff have little experience with rising interest rates. The 38 members, which include credit dealers and data scientists, work to improve coordination between retail and wholesale divisions, as higher rates are expected to fuel trading activities. Still, if higher rates are new to most bankers, so they are for their clients, who have for years enjoyed rock bottom rates in Japan. "Almost no front-line bankers have experienced short-term rates above 0.5% as Japan last saw such rates in the 1990s," he said. "I think there are a lot of scepticism among front-line bankers over whether they can really increase their lending rates."

Persons: Masahiro Minami, they've, Izuru Kato, Kato, Satoru Yamamoto, Atsushi Kikuchi, Tokyo Tanshi's Kato, Makiko Yamazaki, Ritsuko Shimizu, David Dolan Organizations: MUFG Bank, TOKYO, Resona Holdings, Reuters, Bank, Mitsubishi, Daiwa Securities, Mizuho Financial, Mizuho, Thomson Locations: Japan, Tokyo

[1/2] A woman counts U.S. dollar bills at her home in Buenos Aires, Argentina August 28, 2018. Cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data on Tuesday and Wednesday hastened market expectations for how soon the Federal Reserve will cut rates. Such a move would weaken a major dollar support and could come as early as next year's first quarter. The yen - punished broadly this year by dollar strength - broke the 150 mark for the first time in nearly two weeks, gaining 0.69% to 149.68 to the dollar. Japanese authorities do not have specific exchange-rate levels in mind when deciding when to intervene in the currency market, Deputy Finance Minister Ryosei Akazawa told parliament on Friday.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Bipan Rai, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, Ryosei Akazawa, Lee Hardman, Robert Holzmann, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde, Herbert Lash, Iain Withers, Rae Wee, Tom Westbrook, Alexander Smith, Matthew Lewis Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, CIBC Capital Markets, FX, Eurostat, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, North America, Toronto, United States, Macquarie, New York, Britain, London, Singapore

[1/2] A woman counts U.S. dollar bills at her home in Buenos Aires, Argentina August 28, 2018. Cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation data on Tuesday and Wednesday reset market expectations for how soon the Federal Reserve will cut rates and weighed on the dollar. The greenback is poised for its biggest weekly drop since July, down 1.6% over the past five days, and second-biggest decline this year. Data that showed U.S. single-family homebuilding increased marginally in October briefly supported the dollar, but with inflation the main market driver it remained lower on the day. The euro was up 0.17% at $1.0868 after Eurostat data confirmed year-on-year inflation in the euro zone slowed sharply in October.

Persons: Marcos Brindicci, Bipan Rai, Thierry Wizman, Wizman, Lee Hardman, Robert Holzmann, Joachim Nagel, Christine Lagarde, Herbert Lash, Iain Withers, Rae Wee, Tom Westbrook, Mark Potter, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, CIBC Capital Markets, FX, Eurostat, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, North America, Toronto, United States, Macquarie, New York, Britain, London, Singapore

☆ Euro finds footing on hawkish policy remarks, lower energy prices
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-09 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. The Australian dollar fell 0.5% overnight and was last at $0.6405, just above its 50-day moving average. It seems set for its largest weekly fall since June, as the central bank appeared to raise the bar for further hikes after lifting rates on Tuesday. In Asia, China's yuan touched a two-month high in overnight offshore trade. China's consumer prices fell in October, data showed on Thursday, stoking expectations for lower interest rates.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Gabriel Makhlouf, Joachim Nagel, Jane Foley, Mario Draghi, Brent, Ping, Michael Wan, Jerome Powell, Tom Westbrook, Christian Schmollinger Organizations: REUTERS, Central Bank's, Bank of Japan, Rabobank, Treasury, New Zealand, Canadian, Italian, ECB, Financial, Reuters, Ping An Insurance Group, HK, MUFG, Bank of Israel, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Ireland's, U.S, Asia, Europe, Singapore, East, Gaza City

☆ Crack in US dollar strength to spread as economy slows: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Hari Kishan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

Suggesting the current dollar weakening trend has further to go, a near two-thirds majority of analysts, 28 of 45, who answered a separate question said the dollar is likely to trade lower than current levels against major currencies by year-end. The euro zone economy shrank 0.1% last quarter and is expected to flat-line in this one, barely skirting a recession. The Japanese yen, the worst-performing major currency for the year, is expected to remain under pressure in the near-term. The yen is expected to gain over 10% to change hands at 136/dollar in a year, the poll showed. Emerging market currencies are expected to take well into next year to post noticeable gains against a retreating U.S. dollar.

Persons: Florence Lo, we’ve, ”, Lee Hardman, “ It’s, we’re, Simon Harvey, Sterling Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, MUFG, Futures Trading, U.S, “ Locations: BENGALURU, U.S, Europe

☆ Goldman says Bank of Japan's policy tweak is good news for banks — and names top picks in the sector
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-07 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

She noted that a flexible YCC "may be conducive to a more controlled yield rise since there's no more line in the sand to go against." Elsewhere, Kuroda wrote in notes to CNBC that Japanese banks "remain in focus as a beneficiary" of BOJ's interest rate normalization. A more flexible interest rate on BOJ operations may allow for a controlled rise in long-term yields, Kuroda said in notes to CNBC. "This might make it easier for banks to buy or reinvest JGB portfolio at higher yields." Japanese bank stock picks Goldman Sachs continues to name conviction list stock Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) and Mizuho as its top picks from the Japanese banking sector.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, BOJ, Makoto Kuroda, CNBC's, Kuroda, Yuka Azami, MUFG, Goldman, CNBC's Naman Tandon, Lim Hui Jie Organizations: CNBC, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mizuho, Tokyo Stock

☆ Japan's labor market shortage has gotten 'extraordinarily serious,' says Morgan Stanley economist
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJapan's labor market shortage has gotten 'extraordinarily serious,' says Morgan Stanley economistRobert Feldman, chief economist of Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities, discusses Bank of Japan policy and the challenges the country's labor market faces.

Persons: Morgan Stanley, Robert Feldman Organizations: Securities, Bank, Japan

☆ From a likely recession to a weakening shekel, here's how the conflict with Hamas is impacting Israel's economy and markets
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-19 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The conflict with Hamas that began October 7 will have widespread financial implications for Israel. A top Israeli economist said a recession in Israel is likely, and Fitch put the country's credit rating on watch for downgrade. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Yet in less than two weeks, Israel's shekel has weakened about 4.8% to hit multi-year lows against the dollar. The Financial Times reported Tuesday that Bank of Israel deputy governor Andrew Abir said policymakers would prioritize stabilizing the currency over growth.

Persons: Fitch, —, Joe Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, Joseph Zeira, Zeira, Israel's shekel, Andrew Abir, Lee Hardman Organizations: Hamas, Service, Tel, Israel's Defense Forces, Hebrew University, CNBC, Bank of Israel, Traders, Deutsche Bank, Financial Times, MUFG Bank Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Tel Aviv, Gaza, Israeli, Iran

Donald Tusk, leader of the largest opposition grouping Civic Coalition (KO), speaks after the exit poll results are announced in Warsaw, Poland, October 15, 2023. The incumbent Law and Justice (PiS) party has repeatedly clashed with the European Union over the rule of law, media freedom, migration and LGBT rights since it swept to power in 2015. An Ipsos exit poll published early on Monday gave PiS 36.6% of the vote, which would translate into 198 lawmakers in the 460-seat lower house of parliament. On Monday, Duda urged patience until the full election results were known. However, with the far-right Confederation seen winning just 6.4%, below expectations, according to the exit poll, PiS will struggle to forge a new government.

Persons: Donald Tusk, Kacper, Donald Tusk's, Tusk, Lee Hardman, Andrzej Duda, Duda, PiS, Wladyslaw Kosiniak, Kamysz, beholden, Iga Frackiewicz, Lidia Kelly, Alan Charlish, Gareth Jones Organizations: Civic Coalition, REUTERS, EU, Justice, European Union, European, Polish Peasants ' Party, Thomson Locations: Warsaw, Poland, WARSAW, Brussels, Europe, Polish, Wrocław, Gdansk, Melbourne

☆ Goldman Sachs says Japan is a 'bright spot' right now and reveals some top stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-10 | by ( Amala Balakrishner | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Goldman Sachs is bullish on Japan right now and says banks in particular are seeing a "high level of interest" following rallies of around 30%. There have also been "fundamental earning power improvements at the banks that have gone under-appreciated by the market," she added. The Bank of Japan maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy and left rates unchanged in September. Japanese bank stock picks Goldman Sachs' picks from the Japanese banking sector include conviction list and "value in action" stock Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) , as well as Mizuho . 8411.T-JP YTD mountain Year-to-date share movement in Mizuho bank The bank has buy calls on both stocks and increased their price targets in a Sept. 18 note.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Makoto Karuda, CNBC's, Kaurda, Karuda, Goldman, CNBC's Naman Tandon Organizations: Bank of, Tokyo Stock, The Bank of Japan, Tokyo, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Mizuho, New York Stock Exchange Locations: Japan, Mizuho

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