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Small-caps, small-cap value, non-US value stocks are expected to outperform with low valuations. Research Affiliates Founder Rob Arnott sees a bear market ahead for large-cap growth stocks. That spells trouble for the S&P 500, which is heavily made up of giant growth stocks like Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia. Small-cap stocks, small-cap value stocks, and non-US value stocks are all poised to deliver at least 10% returns annually over the next 10 years, he said. Small-cap value stocks (Russell 2000 Value index) are also cheap, with a 14 CAPE ratio.
Persons: Rob Arnott, Arnott, Russell, Vanguard Russell Organizations: Research, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Russell, Equity, Vanguard Locations: Japan, Europe, U.S
Global stocks have largely fallen as the U.S. has rallied, the result of a confluence of factors. The fund gauges how global stocks minus U.S. equities are performing, and it features names such as Taiwan Semiconductor , Tencent and Novo Nordisk . The broad market index was marginally higher on the day and has soared nearly 24% year to date. The dollar index has jumped more than 2% in November, and has climbed nearly 5% year to date. .DXY 3M line Dollar index The underperformance of global stocks might provide some temptation to dive in at a time when they appear undervalued.
Persons: hasn't, Donald Trump, Nick Colas, MSCI ACWI, Colas Organizations: White, DataTrek Research, ETF, Taiwan Semiconductor, Tencent, Novo Nordisk, ACWX Locations: U.S
The Baron Growth Fund (BGRFX) , Baron Small Cap Fund (BSCFX) and Baron Discovery Fund (BDFFX) all invest in the small-cap universe, and they have produced double-digit annualized returns since inception and outperformed their respective benchmarks, according to Morningstar. Total small-cap growth exposure recently hit a 10-year low when investors are shunning the asset class. The Baron Growth and Small Cap funds were created in the 1990s, while the Baron Discovery Fund was launched in 2013. Small companies, which are more domestic-oriented and cyclical, are seen as beneficiaries from President-elect Donald Trump's tax cuts and protectionist policies. "We do an incredible amount of research on these companies, which allows us to find small companies that can have great competitive advantage.
Persons: Baron Capital, Baron, Morningstar, Laird Bieger, Donald Trump's, Russell, Randolph Gwirtzman, Gwirtzman, DraftKings Organizations: Baron Capital, Baron, Baron Growth, Fund, Baron Discovery Fund, Morningstar, Kratos Defense, Security Solutions, Tempus, Gartner Locations: New York
For investment options, she referred to the firm's survey of China stocks the investment bank's analysts already cover. Morgan Stanley's basket of bear case stocks only includes overweight-rated names with a dividend yield above 4% this year. The companies must not be on Morgan Stanley's lists of stocks at a disadvantage from Republican policy and supply chain diversification. Morgan Stanley expects Tingyi's earnings per share to grow 12% this year and 11% in 2025. Sinotruk earnings can grow 18% this year and 17% next year, according to Morgan Stanley estimates.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Morgan Stanley's, Morgan Stanley's Wang, Morningstar, Claire Liang, Liang, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Kong, PepsiCo, Services, Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation, China, CNBC, Republican Party, U.S . Congress Locations: China, Hong Kong, Asia, Europe, Mexico
Decarbonization is hard for a lot of companies, MSCI says
  + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDecarbonization is hard for a lot of companies, MSCI saysLinda-Eling Lee, founding director and head of the MSCI Sustainability institute, says companies are committing to climate targets despite challenges.
Persons: MSCI, Linda, Eling Lee Organizations: Sustainability
"For example, during Trump's previous administration, deregulation in the energy sector boosted oil and gas stocks, benefiting energy ETFs." Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) and Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF (BND), two of the world's largest bond ETFs, and longer-term funds like iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Crypto ETFS having big year and getting bigger Since launching in January, crypto ETFs have attracted roughly $70 billion in assets, one of the most successful ETF launches ever. Bitcoin ETFs including the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest bitcoin ETF by assets under management, have seen significant inflows since October. Rosenberg at Texas Capital acknowledges that certain ETF sectors, like industrials ( Vanguard Industrials Index Fund ETF , or VIS; iShares U.S. Industrials ETF , or IYJ), "could be hurt by more tariffs."
Persons: Trump, Tom Lydon, John Davi, iShares Russell, ROE, Matt Bartolini, Bartolini, Gavi, Edward Rosenberg, Gary Gensler, Michael Novogratz, Cathie Wood, Todd Sohn, Wood, Davi, Rosenberg, industrials Organizations: Astoria, CNBC, Potential Trump, Bank ETF, Assets ETF, Trump, ETF Research, Street Global Advisors, Regional Bank ETF, Treasury, Aggregate Bond, Vanguard, Fund, Treasury Bond ETF, Texas, SEC, Commodity Futures, Galaxy Digital Holdings, ARK, Innovation, ARKK, Downside, China ETF, Texas Capital, Index, Industrials, U.S, Edge Locations: Astoria, Congress, rulemaking, Coinbase, China, Mexico
Former U.S. President Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in this week's election has raised questions about how Asia will be impacted. "When passed, the [tariffs] will sweep across Asia, particularly China [and] should spike volatility and compress multiples as uncertainty prevails." Even so, the analysts say the region is "more prepared than in 2016" and investment opportunities remain, especially given the weaker yen and stimulus in China. This will bring about "structural shifts in global supply chain ... [and] could boost infrastructure spending in ASEAN and South Asia," he added. The currency has fallen versus the dollar following Trump's win, hitting 154.7 per dollar on Wednesday — its weakest level since July 30.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, India's, Hong, Tai Hui, Hui, Stocks, — CNBC's Lim Hui Jie Organizations: U.S, Trump, Macquarie Research, Nikkei, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Morgan Asset Management, Congress, Mitsubishi Electric, Mitsubishi, Japanese pharma, Chugai Pharmaceutical, SK Hynix Locations: Asia, China, ASEAN, South Asia, U.S, Macquarie, Japan
Donald Trump's second presidency could help supercharge small cap stocks further, according to Fundstrat managing partner and head of research Tom Lee. "Since 1987 small caps traded on a median price-to-earnings [ratio] at a premium basis to the S & P 500, and the S & P 500 is at 17 times. I think small caps could over the next couple of years outperform by more than 100%," Lee told CNBC's " Squawk Box " on Friday. Lee is also bullish on equities more broadly, and doesn't limit his optimistic outlook to only small caps. He also forecast the S & P 500 could break above 6,000 before the end of the year and top 6,700 in 2025.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Tom Lee, Lee, CNBC's, Russell, Stocks, Trump's, haven't, FundStrat Organizations: Trump, U.S, Granny Shots, Tesla, Oracle
Japan is one stock market outside the U.S. that could win now that Donald Trump is headed back to the White House. Trump has previously proposed tariffs of up to 20% on imports, with a stringent tax of 60% on goods coming from China. Japanese stocks rallied, however, as the yen weakened with some investors expecting the U.S. defense partner stands to gain most from Trump's policies. However, Akutsu warned, with few positive earnings surprises in the market, a year-end rally could be "limited in scope." Takada said investors may have to weigh the near-term benefits of a Trump market against the risks of a possible trade war, even with a rise in the Japanese equity risk premium.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Goldman Sachs, Tony Pasquariello, What's, Pasquariello, America's Masashi Akutsu, Akutsu, Morgan's Masanari Takada, Takada, It's Organizations: Nikkei, Bank, Bank of America, Hitachi, Retailing, Trump Locations: Japan, China, U.S, Europe
Two stocks have outperformed the S & P 500 every November when elections have been held over the past three decades — regardless of the outcome, according to a CNBC Pro study. Electrical and industrials giant Eaton Corporation and Sweden's second-largest lender, Svenska Handelsbanken , are the two stocks that beat the U.S. benchmark in November every election year. CNBC Pro screened for stocks currently in the MSCI World Index that gained more than the S & P 500 — or lost less than the index — in November of every election year since 1988. Every time is different Historical performance is never a guarantee of future performance, and stocks often move for idiosyncratic reasons. This year, for instance, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce a decision on interest rates on Thursday, which could also influence the trajectory of stocks.
Persons: Brett Linzey, Mizuho, Eaton, Arctic's Roy Tilley, Henry Allen, Pfizer's, Barack Obama, Allen Organizations: CNBC, Eaton Corporation, Svenska, CNBC Pro, Eaton Corp, Mizuho, Svenska Handelsbanken, Arctic Securities, Federal Reserve, Deutsche Locations: U.S, Industrials, Sweden, Greece, Europe
Several U.S.-listed funds tracking global stocks pulled back in Wednesday's session as investors considered Donald Trump's victory harmful to international equities. "While the investing landscape remains favorable in the U.S., international markets are very exposed to tariff policy, " said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. These moves reflect the divergence between U.S. and international markets as investors around the globe take in America's election results. Still, the U.S.-listed iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) shed more than 2% on Wednesday. Indeed, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) slid more than 1% on Wednesday.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump's, Yung, Yu Ma, Javier Milei, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, , Sarah Min, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim Organizations: U.S, NBC, BMO Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Trump, Japan's Nikkei, American, ICE, greenback, LPL Financial Locations: Paris, France, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Chile, U.S, China, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Argentina
"The differences between Trump and Harris are as wide as we have ever seen." Differences in trade policy specifically, he said, are going to "determine where growth and earnings take place around the world." In contrast to Trump's trade policy, reduced trade tensions under Harris could lead to gains for FedEx , which has advanced more than 8% this year. During that debate, Harris also accused Trump of gearing up to abandon support of Ukraine. If Harris were to win the election, Clifton believes RTX is beneficiary of continued U.S. support of Ukraine.
Persons: Strategas, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Daniel Clifton, Harris, Clifton, Lazard, Trump, RTX Organizations: U.S, NBC, Trump, Republican, Basel III, Nasdaq, FedEx, Biden, NextEra Energy Locations: China, Basel, India, Cleveland, Southern, Ukraine, U.S
The new year is commencing with most sectors — and stocks — being overvalued, according to Kotak's analysts. Here are four buy-rated Indian stocks with over 30% potential upside that analysts are betting on this Diwali. Kotak has a 12-month target price of 2,140 Indian rupees ($25.45) on the stock, implying around 40.8% potential upside. Other factors in its favor include regulatory tailwinds promoting recycling and the formalization of reverse charge mechanism on metal scrap, Kotak's analysts wrote in a Sept. 30 note. "SHK['s] tiny relative to global majors, but its technical capabilities are reputable," Kotak's analysts wrote in their Sept. 30 re-initiation report.
Persons: Kotak, Kelkar, Gabriel India, Organizations: South, Kotak Securities, Bombay Stock Exchange, Industries Fiem Industries, India's National Stock Exchange, Company, BSE, Anand, Gabriel Locations: India, automotives
The outcome of this snap election signals that Ishiba may face difficulties in getting his party's policies passed in parliament. These include "more fiscal stimulus measures," and a cut in tax rates, Okamura added. His comments come amid expectations of the Bank of Japan leaving its rates unchanged at its meeting on Oct. 31. 'High-quality companies' Okamura is now betting on "higher quality companies with good pricing power." The five are also among the top holdings in the 19.1 billion yen (124.6 million) Japan Equity Engagement Fund .
Persons: Shigeru Ishiba's, Komeito, Izumi Devalier, CNBC's, Neuberger Berman's Kei Okamura, Okamura —, , Okamura, bode Organizations: Liberal Democratic Party, Bank of America, Nikkei, Tokyo Stock Exchange, Bank of Japan's, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Bank of Japan, Hitachi, Mitsubishi Logistics, Tokyo Marine Holdings, Japan Equity, Tokyo Marine Locations: Japan, Tokyo, shareholdings
After a sweeping look at global trade shifts, JPMorgan strategists have concluded that some of Apple's Chinese suppliers could benefit from the trend of supply chain diversification. The Oct. 18 report looked at 10 aspects of "the great supply chain relocation and the rise of trading blocs." The analysis ranged from China's dominance in the global supply chain and overcapacity concerns, to U.S. policy. Calls for supply chain diversification picked up during the Covid-19 pandemic. "Further, they highlight names that could benefit from Apple's supply chain relocation," the report said.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, Kamala Harris, Oppo, Bernstein, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Republican, Democratic, Biden, Apple, Wingtech, Luxshare Precision Industry Locations: U.S, China, India, ASEAN, Mexico, iPhones, GoerTek, Luxshare, Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines, Shenzhen, Indonesia
The electricity industry is transforming, according to Morgan Stanley, and multiple power producers, grid operators and utilities are set to benefit. "Global power markets have surprised on multiple fronts, and investors are navigating a new normal in the power value chain," they added. Morgan Stanley's analysts named three overweight-rated global stocks in the electricity sector which they give more than 40% potential upside. RWE RWE : Morgan Stanley notes that the German power giant, which generates and trades electricity, is exposed to "tight electricity markets rewarding flexibility + value creation in renewables in Europe & US." AES Corp. AES Corp.: Morgan Stanley highlighted the company's "expanding renewable portfolio" as a theme to watch.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, RWE, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Frankfurt Stock Exchange, American Depository, AES Corp, U.S, Global X FTSE, Asia, Malaysian Locations: Asia, Europe, U.S, Nasional Tenaga Nasional, Malaysian, Bursa Malaysia, Malaysia
The slump comes as investors price in higher odds of a Trump win in the upcoming US election. Emerging market stocks are headed for their worst monthly decline since January, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index falling for a fourth day on Thursday for a 3.1% decline this month. A select few EM stocks have taken the biggest hits, with Samsung, Alibaba, Tencent, and Meituan accounting for more than half of the index's fall. "There has been a significant change in investor sentiment, and investors' risk budgets have likely been changing as a function of that." Investors are also expressing disappointment in China's stimulus measures, which initially fueled a rally in EM stocks last month.
Persons: Trump, , It's, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Trump, Service, Samsung, Citi Locations: China
As investors attempt to navigate volatile global markets, Morgan Stanley is reiterating its recommendation to buy dividend stocks. Morgan Stanley named the world's largest contract electronics manufacturer as its top pick. Shares of Hon Hai are traded on the Taiwan Stock Exchange and are included in ETFs such as the iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF (6.2% weight). Morgan Stanley has a 12-month target price of 270 New Taiwan dollars ($8.42) on the stock, giving it around 30% potential upside. Morgan Stanley has a target price of 8.76 Hong Kong dollars ($1.13) on the stock, implying around 43% upside.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Morgan, Mogan Stanley, Hai, Brent, CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Asia, Apple, Hai Precision, Taiwan Stock Exchange, New, Hong Kong, Brent, Shanghai Stock Exchanges Locations: Japan, Asia, Pacific, China , Hong Kong, Taiwan, New Taiwan, Hong Kong, U.S
A slew of Wall Street analysts last week turned even more bullish on three stocks ahead of their quarterly earnings reports. CNBC Pro screened for stocks in the MSCI World Index that have received share price target upgrades from Wall Street analysts over the past seven days. Despite raising their price target, Phillip Capital analysts have a "neutral" rating on the stock. The median price target of 17 analysts points to 18% upside potential. The company's share price is correlated to the price of gold , and also copper to a lesser degree.
Persons: Barrick, Jeffrey Wlodarczak, Wlodarczak, Zuckerberg, Helena Wang Organizations: Street, Ltd, Barrick Gold, CNBC Pro, Wall Street, Facebook, Research, Limited, New York Stock Exchange, Phillip Capital Locations: U.S, Singapore, SeaMoney, Canada
Howard Schnapp | Newsday | Getty ImagesThe tide could be turning for commercial real estate. That could give interest rate-sensitive sectors such as commercial real estate long-awaited positive momentum. While lower rates are not a "magic bullet," the easing of the Fed's monetary policy "lays the groundwork for a commercial real estate recovery," analysts wrote in a follow-up report in late September. More than $40 billion in transactions occurred during the second quarter, a 13.9% jump quarter over quarter, but still 9.4% lower year over year, according to real estate data intelligence firm Altus Group. While these dynamics could set the stage for a broader recovery, with some major subsectors such as commercial retail real estate picking up in tandem, the path forward will likely be uneven.
Persons: Howard Schnapp, Alan Todd, Todd, Willy Walker, Walker, Dunlop, what's, Wells, Wells Fargo, , Chad Littell, Littell Organizations: Newsday, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, CNBC, REIT, Real, Board, New York, U.S, Capital Locations: Melville , New York, Wells, U.S, Manhattan, Wells Fargo
Goldman Sachs has refreshed its lists of top global stock picks, adding some and removing others. There have also been plenty of additions to the Directors' Cut, including the following three stocks which Goldman also gives more than 20% upside potential over the next 12 months. Goldman has a 12-month target price of £52 ($68) on the stock, implying nearly 33% potential upside. The bank's analyst Andrew Baker likes that the company is "well positioned for central bank policy rate easing." Goldman has a target price of 7.80 Singapore dollars on the stock, implying 20.4% potential upside.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Experian, Suhasini, Assicurazioni Generali, Andrew Baker, Baker, Keppel, Xuan, Tan, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Companies, Qantas Airways, Shell, London Stock Exchange, U.S, Milan Stock Exchange, Keppel, Singapore Exchange Locations: Asia, Europe, Danish, Suhasini Varanasi, Italy, Goldman's Asia, Singapore, U.S
Markets just keep rallying this year, with the S & P 500 up nearly 22% year-to-date and the Nasdaq jumping around 21%. In global stocks, the MSCI World index is around 16% higher. Meanwhile, recent data indicates that the U.S. Federal Reserve could be close to pulling off the much-discussed economic soft landing . With markets already running high, CNBC Pro screened for global stocks that have outperformed the MSCI World index, but still look cheap based on their forward price-to-earnings ratios. Returns of more than 16% so far this year, beating the MSCI World index.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Mary Ann Bartels Organizations: Nasdaq, Fed, U.S . Federal, CNBC Pro Locations: Wells Fargo
China's CSI 300 index has gained about 25% since the stimulus measures were announced. That would depend on whether the measures announced will likely target China's stock market or the real economy. Even if China's economy improves and its stock market soars, experts suggest it's unlikely to hurt the Indian equity market's growth outlook over the long term. For now, a strong and rapidly growing economy, as well as a "resilient" domestic investor base, continue to be significant drivers of Indian stock markets, according to Wall Street's observers. "The Indian market has numerous positive domestic drivers which underpin our overweight recommendation," Morgan Stanley's Jonathan Garner said in a note to clients this week.
Persons: India's, Chris Ma, Berstein's Rupal Agarwal, David Aserkoff, Aserkoff, Morgan Stanley's, Wall, Morgan, Jonathan Garner, Michael Bloom Organizations: CSI, Beijing, Citi, Central Locations: China, India, Asia, Eastern Europe, Africa
But he did not announce any major new plans for ensuring economic health, leaving investors feeling underwhelmed. The iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) sank nearly 11%, on track for its worst day ever. The iShares China Large-Cap ETF, for example, soared 33% between Sept. 23 and Oct. 7. Morgan Stanley strategist Laura Wang on Tuesday revised price targets for the major Chinese stock market indexes, suggesting no room for further gains compared with current levels. "Today's press conference at least in the near term reinforces such belief, in our view, and the stock market could see more divergence at individual stock level."
Persons: Zheng Shanjie, Bilibili, Nio, Ray Dalio, FXI, Jeff deGraaf, David Tepper, Morgan Stanley, Laura Wang, Wang, Merrill Lynch, Helen Qiao, Xiangrong Yu, Yu Organizations: National, Reform Commission, CSI China Internet, Billionaire, Bridgewater Associates, Greenwich Economic, Appaloosa Management, U.S . Federal Reserve, Wynn Resorts, Sands, Macau — Locations: China, Greenwich, Greenwich , Connecticut, Beijing, Macau, Tuesday's, U.S
Goldman Sachs is the latest in a flurry of calls to upgrade China stocks after the Asian giant's recent wave of stimulus measures. Goldman predicts that Chinese stocks could even jump a further 15% to 20%, given the powerful comeback rally that has already occurred. It says the MSCI China index could have another 15% upside, and the CSI 300 index could enjoy a further 18% upside. In a Monday note, Citi also increased its price target for Chinese stocks. Following that, Wall Street started getting bullish on those stocks again, with Morgan Stanley predicting Chinese stocks are set to rally 10% and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Morgan Stanley, , Vishnu Varathan Organizations: CSI, Citi, Wall, BlackRock Investment Institute, Mizuho Securities Locations: China, China's
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