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Bitcoin's seven-month rally is on pause heading into May, now that two key catalysts investors had been closely watching this year – the bitcoin ETFs and the halving – are now behind them. The flagship cryptocurrency has fallen nearly 14% in April, according to Coin Metrics, and is on pace to post its first negative month in eight, and its worst month since November 2022, when FTX collapsed. However, it's proved to be a winning month in the previous halving years of 2012, 2016 and 2020. On Tuesday, Hong Kong bitcoin ETFs began trading. "Whether it's the next month or two months, you'll start to see more wealth management firms approve the ETF on their platforms.
Persons: FTX, It's, bitcoin, Antoni Trenchev, Trenchev, it's, Lyn Alden, Swan, Jerome Powell, there's, Alden, Devin Ryan, you'll Organizations: Metrics, Lyn, Lyn Alden Investment, Federal Reserve, JMP Securities Locations: bitcoin, U.S, Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, Singapore, South Korea
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBitcoin and ether dip to end the week, and crypto firm Consensys sues the SEC: CNBC Crypto WorldCNBC Crypto World features the latest news and daily trading updates from the digital currency markets and provides viewers with a look at what's ahead with high-profile interviews, explainers, and unique stories from the ever-changing crypto industry. On today's show, Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy and board director of Swan Bitcoin, provides insight into bitcoin's performance in the face of macroeconomic pressures.
Persons: Consensys, explainers, Lyn Alden, Swan Organizations: SEC, CNBC Crypto, CNBC, Lyn, Lyn Alden Investment
For some investors, however, its strong month isn't necessarily a green light to jump back into the crypto market. As of Tuesday, bitcoin is set to finish the month up 38.39%, which would make it its best month since October 2021 and its best January in 10 years, according to Coin Metrics. Ether , which led the crypto recovery last summer ahead of the merge, has risen 31% this month, coming off a 67.06% decline for 2022. However, "we're not so sure bitcoin is ready for another rocket ship rally just yet." "Thus far, the rise in BTC dominance looks reminiscent of April 2019, during which a BTC rally marked a crypto market bottom, much akin to rising BTC dominance lately."
Investors are constantly reminded that despite the myriad coins, projects and innovations in crypto, bitcoin may be the only "safe" crypto asset to buy. And while Tesla didn't credit the volatility for its reversal, many observers saw it as evidence that the belief in bitcoin's payments capabilities were misguided. "Bitcoin's price on any given day — as a remittance vehicle — has no effect on us," he said. The group that runs the Lightning Network, a payment protocol built on the Bitcoin network, is committed to making Bitcoin network payments even faster, less costly and more readily confirmed than transactions made directly on the Bitcoin blockchain. Crypto investors, on the other hand, were "disproportionately high-income, almost always had a traditional banking relationship, and typically had other retirement savings."
The other was the riskiest of risk assets, whose moves mirrored those of tech stocks. It won't happen overnight, but investors more than ever want to see a crypto market driven by utility rather than speculation . Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish said his team believes "crypto assets are likely to continue to behave like high-beta risk assets going forward." Investing in the next two quarters Bitcoin has fallen more than 60% this year and sits roughly 75% off of its all-time high from November 2021. When there's a pullback in that growth, as there was this year, bitcoin tends to struggle, Alden explained.
In some ways, disgraced FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried helped bring more legitimacy to crypto, pushing it further into the mainstream. Decentralized finance has exploded in popularity, but there are other uses for digital assets that people are excited about. Now is a good time for investors to gain knowledge, and doing so would help them solidify their crypto investment thesis in 2023, he said. Specifically, Blumberg added, leaving funds on centralized exchanges is far more dangerous than keeping custody of funds yourself. "The smart investors are seeing this and remembering that what we have here is a fixed supply and, growing demand."
After years of pooh-poohing cryptocurrency, institutions finally entered the crypto market last year and fell straight into crypto winter. "Right now [investors] are going back to basics, doing their homework, finding out what this means," said Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Near-term risk Institutions often look at big crashes like this one as opportunities , Alden said. "FTX destroyed trust in the industry and may delay traditional finance institutions that haven't already committed to digital assets to invest," Belshe said. However, for "institutions and brands that are already building products in crypto and Web3, we have not seen a slowdown of interest to build, grow and invest."
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