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Chinese authorities last month announced high-level plans for subsidies and tax breaks to households with children under the age of 3. China's efforts to bolster birth rates have yet to address the core reasons for their rapid decline, according to analysts. Births in China have been on a drastic downward trend since the government implemented its "one-child policy" nationwide in 1980. An increasingly pressing factor for families in China is uncertainty about income for raising a child. After decades of rapid expansion, China's economy has slowed down, dragged down by a real estate slump.
Persons: Lauren Johnston, Harry Murphy Cruise, Austin Schumacher, Schumacher, Sheana Yue, Yue Organizations: Dongfang, China Studies Center, University of Sydney, United Nations, Moody's, Institute for Health Metrics, University of Washington, Oxford Locations: Lianyungang, China, U.S
China consumer prices rise slowest in 4 months, despite stimulus
  + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
People purchasing fruit at an agricultural trade market on May 11, 2024 in Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province of China. China's consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in October while producer price deflation deepened, data showed on Saturday, even as Beijing doubled down on stimulus to support the sputtering economy. Analysts say the package will likely do little to boost economic activity, demand and prices in the near term. However, core inflation, excluding volatile food and fuel prices, rose 0.2% in October, accelerating from 0.1% in September. China's central bank in late September unveiled the most aggressive monetary support measures since the COVID-19 pandemic to revive economic growth.
Persons: Bruce Pang Organizations: National Bureau, Statistics, JLL Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, Beijing, China's
“Trump’s return to power will certainly bring greater opportunities and greater risks for China,” said Shen Dingli, a foreign policy analyst in Shanghai. AFP/Getty ImagesChallenges and opportunitiesBut Trump’s “America First” agenda and transactional worldview may also play in Beijing’s favor, experts say. “Although Beijing is deeply concerned about the unpredictability of Trump’s China policy, it reminds itself that challenges also bring opportunities,” said Tong Zhao, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “If the US and Russia ease relations, it could create greater daylight between Russia and China, effectively driving a wedge between them.” Liu said. “From everything he has said, it’s clear that Trump considers China, not Russia, as the main adversary.”
Persons: Donald Trump, , , Shen Dingli, Xi Jinping, Trump, Xi, “ Trump, Liu Dongshu, Jim Watson, Larry Hu, Kamala Harris, Daniel Russel, Russel, Barack Obama, Tong Zhao, Joe Biden, Arleigh Burke, Halsey, Ismael Martinez, China’s, he’s, ” Zhao, Vladimir Putin, Liu, ” Liu Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Foreign, Chinese Foreign Ministry, City University of Hong, Getty, Huawei, Investment, Macquarie, Republican, Asia Society Policy Institute, Shipping, Carnegie Endowment, International, NATO, Asian Nato, Trump, US Navy, U.S . Navy, AP, Russia Beijing, Communist Party, Industry, Wall Street Locations: Hong Kong, China, United States, Beijing, Shanghai, America, City University of Hong Kong, Lago, Florida, AFP, Asia, Lianyungang, China's Jiangsu, Europe, Western, Russia, Asian, Taiwan Strait, AP Taiwan, Taiwan, Washington, Ukraine
China's e-commerce giants stopped reporting Singles Day GMV in 2022 during the pandemic. Singles Day GMV this year as of Oct. 30 was 845 billion yuan ($119.1 billion), according to research firm Syntun. Subsidies boost appliancesHelping boost sales this Singles Day are China's subsidies for trade-ins of home appliances, launched in late July. They predict 4% to 5% growth in Singles Day GMV, with sales in the home appliance category supported by the trade-in program. "Something that kind of came out of nowhere, into all of a sudden really, really big numbers."
Persons: Alibaba, Jacob Cooke, JD's, ByteDance's Douyin, Cooke, Louis Vuitton, we've, UOB Kay Hian, JD.com, Dave Xie, Oliver Wyman, Xie, There's, Liang, Chiikawa, Taobao, Tmall Organizations: Visual China, Getty, Alibaba, Technologies, CNBC, Louis Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, BEIJING, Asia, Alibaba, British
But the measures that Beijing’s economic planning agency announced this week proved to be an anticlimax — the trillions of yuan that observers were hoping would be revealed never materialized. Beijing might even miss its annual growth target of 5% — a figure it often surpassed prior to the pandemic. But while Chinese officials project confidence, the markets and the country’s public seem less convinced. Its broader financial lethargy and this week’s market turmoil will hardly be welcomed by Beijing. Costphoto / NurPhoto via Getty ImagesDomestic stimulus aside, there have been outward signs that China’s economy is in trouble.
Persons: Xi Jinping, Long Wei, , Keyu Jin, Trump, Joe Biden, isn’t, Fu, Miao Yuqing, Miao, Alicia Garcia, Herrero, what’s, Zheng Shanjie, Yue Su, ” Su Organizations: Beijing, Traders, Investors, CSI, Getty Images, London School of Economics, The, Communist Party, U.S, AFP, Getty, , Asia Pacific, , National, Reform, Economist Intelligence Unit Locations: BEIJING, Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, Beijing, Hangzhou, Long, Lianyungang, Natixis, Guizhou province, Washington
London CNN —The United States and Europe are racing to narrow China’s commanding lead in clean energy technologies, throwing subsidies at local manufacturers and hiking tariffs on Chinese imports in a strikingly protectionist turn. Without China’s electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries, reducing planet-heating pollution could take longer and ultimately increase costs for businesses and consumers. Beijing’s virtual monopoly on the processing of some critical minerals comes with particular risks for the global green transition. Zhu Haipeng/VCG/APAny delay in switching to clean energy will exact a heavy toll on the planet. Birol at the IEA also advocates for trade policies that diversify supply chains while reducing the risk of delays to the clean energy transition.
Persons: , Margrethe Vestager, , ” Fatih Birol, David G, Victor, Michael R, Davidson, ” Victor, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Zhu Haipeng, Victor of, Birol, don’t Organizations: London CNN, Russia, Getty, , International Energy Agency, Global, University of California, CNN, Monetary Fund, McKinsey Global Institute, Victor of University of California, IEA Locations: United States, Europe, China, Lianyungang, Washington, Netherlands, Japan, Beijing, of Taicang, Suzhou, Brookings, University of California San Diego, Fuzhou, Victor of University of California San Diego
Chinese brands, led by Shenzhen-based BYD, sold 13.4 million new vehicles last year, while American brands sold about 11.9 million, the data showed. Japanese brands led with 23.59 million sales. "Negligence from legacy automakers, which has resulted in consistently high car prices, has inadvertently driven consumers toward more affordable Chinese alternatives," Jato senior analyst Felipe Munoz said in the report. Brands from China have made particular inroads in emerging economies, where Jato said one in five new car sales were made last year amid increased global demand. That is more than the total sales in the U.S. or Europe during the year," said Munoz.
Persons: Felipe Munoz, Jato, Munoz Organizations: Automotive, Jato Dynamics, Brands Locations: Lianyungang Port, Jiangsu Province, China, U.S, Shenzhen, Europe
The National Bureau of Statistics is due to release data on retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investment for April on Friday. Some of the weakness speaks to genuine sluggish demand in China at present. The firm expects this week's economic data releases to show a "softening in economic momentum," affirming its forecasts for the central bank to cut rates by the end of June. "Some of the weakness speaks to genuine sluggish demand in China at present," said Hui Shan, Goldman Sachs' China chief economist, in a note Sunday. Businesses' loan demand fallsNew bank loans to businesses and government organizations dropped sharply in April from March, as did new loans to households, according to official data accessed through Wind Information.
Persons: Hui Shan Goldman Sachs, Louise Loo, Goldman Sachs, Hui Shan, Goldman, RRR, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Visual China, Getty, BEIJING, National Bureau, Statistics, Reuters, Finance, Oxford Economics, People's Bank of, Information, Clocktower, CNBC Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu Province, China, , Beijing, People's Bank of China
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesElectric vehicle sales have risen sharply this year, led by growth in China and a strong demand for hybrid vehicles in particular, according to a report from Counterpoint Research. Sales of hybrid vehicles, which have both electric motors and combustion engines, vastly outpaced those of full battery-powered alternatives, rising 46% year over year. China extends leadChinese companies have been a huge beneficiary of the rise in demand for electric vehicles, especially firms that sell both BEVs as well as hybrids. According to Counterpoint, EV sales in China jumped 28% in the first quarter of 2023, amid an ongoing price war that has pushed down costs for consumers. But, while overall EV sales in the U.S. rose 2%, those of battery electric vehicles declined by 3% in the quarter.
Persons: BEV, Abhik Mukherjee, Tesla Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Counterpoint Research, EV, Geely Holdings, Li Auto, Volkswagen Locations: Lianyungang Port, Jiangsu Province, China, United States, Europe, U.S
"In the first eleven months of 2023, auto shipments to Russia rose about six times that of 2022 in value terms." While he said it's still unclear exactly why Chinese cars are growing so quickly in Mexico, part of the reason is international automakers. Germany's Volkswagen was among the foreign car companies on track for their worst China market sales in years. Local vs. overseas marketsChinese car makers will likely increase their share of the domestic auto market to 75% by 2030, said Francoise Huang, senior economist at Allianz Trade. That would result in a nearly 40% drop in European car sales in China, she said.
Persons: Sarah Tan, Tan, Jorge Guajardo, Guajardo, it's, they've, BYD, Francoise Huang Organizations: Publishing, Getty, Ministry of Commerce, Moody's, D.C, Dentons Global Advisors, CNBC, Volkswagen, China, Allianz Trade, European Union Locations: LIANYUNGANG, CHINA, Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China, BEIJING, Japan, Russia, Ukraine, Mexico, Belgium, Washington, U.S, Europe
"But there are no signs it should be a strong, V-shaped recovery," said Zipser, who is also a senior partner at McKinsey and author of a new report called "China Consumption: Start of a New Era." China's retail sales have generally remained lackluster since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic in early 2020. The overall economic recovery and the recovery of the property market has not been what people hoped for. "The overall economic recovery and the recovery of the property market has not been what people hoped for," he said. China's retail sales rose by 7.6% in October from a year ago, beating analysts' expectations.
Persons: Daniel Zipser, Zipser, Major Organizations: Future Publishing, Getty, BEIJING, McKinsey, Apple, Starbucks, World Bank . U.S Locations: Lianyungang City, East China's Jiangsu Province, Asia, China, South Korea, India, Indonesia
Nurphoto | Nurphoto | Getty ImagesBEIJING — Most consumers in China are planning to keep a lid on spending during this year's Singles Day shopping festival, which ends Nov. 11. That's according to a survey of more than 3,000 consumers in the country by Bain and Company, released Tuesday. Originally launched by Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba , Singles Day has expanded from a one-day shopping festival into a multi-week period of shopping promotions across different online platforms in China. Bain estimates that including other platforms, Singles Day e-commerce GMV rose by 3% to 934 billion yuan ($128.25 billion) in 2022. When factoring in another 181 billion yuan in livestreaming and content-led e-commerce, the total GMV for last year's festival topped 1 trillion yuan ($140 billion), the report said.
Persons: Bain, , James Yang, Yang, Livestreaming Organizations: Nurphoto, Getty, Bain and Company, Bain, Adobe Analytics Locations: Lianyungang, East China's Jiangsu Province, BEIJING, China, Chinese
Quarterly earnings reports for our industrial stocks begin this week amid an uncertain operating environment. HON YTD mountain Honeywell (HON) year-to-date performance Honeywell and Linde are the first two of the group to report — on Thursday before the bell. This was positive to see and it's reasonable to expect a clean quarter led by aerospace, Honeywell's largest business. Linde has beat and raised for 18 consecutive quarters, and history is likely to repeat itself when the industrial gas company reports. EMR YTD mountain Emerson Electric (EMR) year-to-date performance Emerson Electric is the last of our industrial names to report, on Nov. 7 before the opening bell.
Persons: we're, Stanley Black, Decker, , CNBC's Jim Cramer, it's, Jim, You've, Vimal Kapur, Linde, Jack Umpleby, Emerson, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Wang Chun Organizations: Caterpillar, Honeywell International, Emerson Electric, Linde, LIN, DuPont De Nemours, Honeywell, LSEG, Aerospace, Electric, GE, Club, U.S, Management, CAT, Act, DuPont, Electronics, Emerson, National Instruments, SWK, CNBC, Future, Getty Locations: North America, China, Lianyungang, East China's Jiangsu
NBS statistician Yu Weining said in an accompanying statement that "a series of policies to promote macroeconomic recovery" last month's underpinned earnings. The breakdown in NBS data indicated that there was still some way to go for a robust recovery in overall earnings growth. Profits at state-owned firms slid 3.8% in first eight months, and fell 1.3% for foreign firms while private-sector companies saw earnings shrink 6.1%, the data showed. Industrial profit numbers cover firms with annual revenues of at least 20 million yuan ($2.75 million) from their main operations. Reporting by Qiaoyi Li and Ryan Woo and Beijing newsroom Editing by Shri NavaratnamOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Bruce Pang, Jones Lang Lasalle, Yu Weining, Qiaoyi Li, Ryan Woo, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, National Bureau of Statistics, Jones, NBS, Thomson Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China, Rights BEIJING, Beijing
China Daily via REUTERS Acquire Licensing RightsSept 11 (Reuters) - India on Monday imposed an anti-dumping duty on some Chinese steel for five years, according to a government notification. On Sept 4, India's steel secretary, Nagendra Nath Sinha, said New Delhi was monitoring the steel imports situation after the steel industry raised concerns over potential dumping by Chinese sellers. During April-July, China was the second biggest steel exporter to India, after South Korea, selling 0.6 million metric tons, up 62% from the same period a year earlier. In all, India imported 2 million metric tons of finished steel in the period, the highest since 2020 and up 23% from a year earlier. China, the world's top steel producer, exported mostly cold- rolled coil or sheets to India.
Persons: Nagendra Nath Sinha, Shivani Tanna, Mayank Bhardwaj, Chris Reese, Leslie Adler Organizations: REUTERS Acquire, Thomson Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China, India, New Delhi, South Korea
Hong Kong CNN —Factory activity in China contracted for a fifth straight month in August, adding pressure on Beijing to roll out more stimulus measures to bolster the faltering economy. It was the third straight month that the index had improved from the previous month, and was better than economists were expecting. The non-manufacturing PMI, which measures business activity in services and construction, stood at 51 this month, down from 51.5 in July, according to the NBS. “The PMI surveys suggest a slight improvement in economic activity in August,” wrote analysts from Capital Economics. Some of these moves may have started to bear fruit this month, analysts said.
Persons: , Si Wei, Robert Carnell Organizations: Hong Kong CNN — Factory, government’s National Bureau of Statistics, PMI, NBS, Capital Economics, ING Group, Capital Locations: Hong Kong, China, Beijing, , Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, Asia, Pacific
Asia markets largely rise ahead of China trade data
  + stars: | 2023-08-08 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Cargo ships stop at their berths to load and unload containers at the container terminal in Lianyungang Port, East China's Jiangsu province, June 5, 2023. Asia-Pacific markets largely rose on Tuesday as investors focus on China's trade data for July. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 19,412, pointing to a weaker open compared to the HSI's last close of 19,537.92. Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 0.33%, while the Topix was up 0.25% as the country's household spending remained in negative territory for the fourth straight month. Overall household spending fell 4.2% year on year in June, compared with 4% in May, official data showed.
Persons: Kospi Organizations: Reuters, Nikkei Locations: Lianyungang Port, East China's Jiangsu, Asia, Pacific, Australia, South
Following the trade, Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust will own 315 shares of CAT, decreasing its weighting in the portfolio to 3.03% from 3.26%. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Wang Chun Organizations: Caterpillar, CAT, Management, CNBC, Future, Getty Locations: Lianyungang, East China's Jiangsu
ReutersBEIJING – International investment firms have changed their China GDP forecasts nearly every month so far this year, with JPMorgan making six adjustments since January. Here are some winners to watch The U.S. investment bank most recently cut its China GDP forecast in July to 5%, down from 5.5% previously. In June, the World Bank raised its forecast for China's growth this year to 5.6%, up from 4.3% previously. The International Monetary Fund in April raised its forecast for China's GDP to 5.2%, up from 4.4% previously. Among the six investment firms CNBC looked at, the highest China GDP forecast so far this year was JPMorgan's 6.4% figure — when the bank adjusted for the second time in April alone.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Nomura, Goldman Sachs, Logan Wright, Shehzad Qazi, Qazi Organizations: Reuters, Reuters BEIJING – International, JPMorgan, CNBC, Citi, Beijing, Citi's, UBS, National Bureau, Statistics, U.S, Chinese Communist Party . Investment, Bank, International Monetary Fund, Monetary Fund Locations: Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China, Reuters BEIJING, U.S, Beijing, New York
China Energy Investment Corporation, the world’s largest generator of coal-fired power, said its production of electricity reached a historic high on Monday. Kerry, 79, has traveled to China twice since being appointed as US President Joe Biden’s special climate envoy. Li, the Greenpeace analyst, said he would be closely watching who will meet with Kerry in Beijing. That would require the country to phase out coal power, which accounts for about 60% of its total electricity generation. “The expansion of coal is a grave challenge for China’s climate policy,” Li said.
Persons: John Kerry, , Li Shuo, Nancy Pelosi’s, ” Li, Andy Wong, Kerry, Biden, Antony Blinken, Xi Jinping, Janet Yellen, China’s Premier Li Qiang, Blinken, Wang Yi, Alex Wang, Joe Biden’s, Xie Zhenhua, Arnd Wiegmann, Li, Xie Jianhua, Ding Xuexiang, Xi, Obama, Xie, ” Kerry, “ I’m, Stringer, Wang, “ It’s, , ” Wang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Beijing Sunday, Greenpeace, Washington, US, Taiwan —, China Energy Investment Corporation, China’s Premier, University of California, US State Department, China’s Ministry of Ecology, Economic, Blinken, Kerry, CNN, COP28, UCLA, Global Energy Monitor Locations: Hong Kong, Beijing, United States, China, Greenpeace China, Taiwan, Jakarta, , Los Angeles, Kerry, Shanghai, Tianjin, People’s Republic of China, Davos, Switzerland, Washington, Paris, China Glasgow, Dubai, Lianyungang, China's, Jiangsu, AFP
China Energy Investment Corporation, the world’s largest generator of coal-fired power, said its production of electricity reached a historic high on Monday. Kerry, 79, has traveled to China twice since being appointed as US President Joe Biden’s special climate envoy. Li, the Greenpeace analyst, said he would be closely watching who will meet with Kerry in Beijing. That would require the country to phase out coal power, which accounts for about 60% of its total electricity generation. “The expansion of coal is a grave challenge for China’s climate policy,” Li said.
Persons: John Kerry, , Li Shuo, Nancy Pelosi’s, ” Li, Andy Wong, Kerry, Biden, Antony Blinken, Xi Jinping, Janet Yellen, China’s Premier Li Qiang, Blinken, Wang Yi, Alex Wang, Joe Biden’s, Xie Zhenhua, Arnd Wiegmann, Li, Xie Jianhua, Ding Xuexiang, Xi, Obama, Xie, ” Kerry, “ I’m, Stringer, Wang, “ It’s, , ” Wang Organizations: Hong Kong CNN, Greenpeace, Washington, US, Taiwan —, China Energy Investment Corporation, China’s Premier, University of California, US State Department, China’s Ministry of Ecology, Economic, Blinken, Kerry, CNN, COP28, UCLA, Global Energy Monitor Locations: Hong Kong, Beijing, United States, China, Greenpeace China, Taiwan, Jakarta, , Los Angeles, Kerry, Shanghai, Tianjin, People’s Republic of China, Davos, Switzerland, Washington, Paris, China Glasgow, Dubai, Lianyungang, China's, Jiangsu, AFP
CNBC Daily Open: Troubled economies, calm markets
  + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Yeo Boon Ping | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Despite stumbles in some big-name stocks yesterday, U.S. markets managed to climb as the uncertainty of previous weeks dissipated. Apple shares dipped 0.2% as investors digested information on the technology giant's new mixed reality headset. The CBOE Volatility Index, a measure of investors' 30-day expectations and typically seen as Wall Street's fear gauge, dropped to 13.96 yesterday.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Samik Chatterjee, Coinbase, weren't fazed, , That's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Worldwide Developers, JPMorgan, Boeing, BMO Capital Markets, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Fed Locations: Lianyungang Port, East China's Jiangsu, U.S
Cargo ships stop at their berths to load and unload containers at the container terminal in Lianyungang Port, East China's Jiangsu province, June 5, 2023. In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.25%, ahead of Australia's first quarter GDP numbers. The country's economy is expected to expand 2.4% year-on-year, slightly slower than the 2.7% recorded in the fourth quarter of 2022. Japan stocks were higher, with the Nikkei 225 inching closer to the 33,000 level and rising 0.47%. South Korea's markets came back from a public holiday with a positive start, with the Kospi climbing 0.28% and the Kosdaq up by 0.6%.
Persons: Philip Lowe Organizations: Reserve Bank of Australia, Nikkei Locations: Lianyungang Port, East China's Jiangsu, Asia, Pacific, Australia, Australia's, Japan, South
A container terminal in Lianyungang, China, earlier this month. Photo: Cfoto/Zuma PressSINGAPORE—Chinese export growth slowed in April as global trade cooled, underlining the importance of domestic spending as the main engine of the nation’s economy after three years of strict Covid-19 controls. Exports rose 8.5% in April from a year earlier, China’s General Administration of Customs said Tuesday, faster than the 6% pace expected by economists polled by The Wall Street Journal but weaker than the 14.8% year-over-year jump recorded in March.
watch nowThe U.S. has some rapid catching up to do if it is to secure the reliability of its supply chain and its independence from competitors like China, a top White House advisor admitted this week. "We can't have a supply chain that is concentrated in any country, doesn't matter which country that is," he said. Workers transport soil containing rare earth elements for export at a port in Lianyungang, Jiangsu province, China October 31, 2010. The Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war have also highlighted the fragility of the global supply chain. Globally, China controls most of the market for processing and refining for cobalt, lithium, rare earths and other critical minerals."
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