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London CNN —The US dollar is barreling toward a 3.7% loss this month against a basket of six major currencies in what would be it worst monthly performance in a year. For countries that depend on commodity imports, a weaker dollar means they have to pay less for essentials like wheat and crude oil. A number of up-and-coming economies have debts denominated in dollars, and a weaker dollar can make servicing those debts less expensive. A fall in the greenback’s value also signals better investment opportunities outside the United States, McCormick told CNN. “A weaker dollar is a rising tide that lifts all boats,” he said.
Persons: decelerate, ” Ulrich Leuchtmann, Cameron Willard, , ” Willard, , Mark McCormick, Leuchtmann, McCormick, stokes, Willard Organizations: London CNN, Reserve, CNN, TD Securities Locations: United States, Japan, Korea, India, Handelsbanken
[1/2] Euro and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken March 10, 2023. Net long positions on the dollar rose to a one-year high, according to U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission data released on Friday. But investors aren't expecting another hike from the Federal Reserve in November, according to CME Group data. Its inability to capitalise on healthy U.S. labour market data brings that thinking to the fore," said Paul Mackel, Global Head of FX Research at HSBC. The offshore yuan rose 0.2% to 7.2943 per dollar.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Ulrich Leuchtmann, aren't, Paul Mackel, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Alison Williams, Christina Fincher Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Bank of Israel, greenback, FX, Research, U.S . Commodity Futures, Commission, Federal Reserve, Group, FX Research, HSBC, Golden, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Israel, Palestinian, Israeli, Japan, U.S, Asia, London, Singapore
TRYing times: The slide and fall of the Turkish lira
  + stars: | 2023-06-07 | by ( Marc Jones | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The central bank is however widely expected to get a new head in the coming days. Turkey's economy is no stranger to boom-and-bust cycles, oscillating between double-digit growth and contraction rates in recent years. 3/INFLATION PALPITATIONSA tumbling lira will fan fears over a fresh spike in inflation in the country which only last year saw it top 80%. "It's just so inevitable," Abrdn's head of local currency emerging market debt, Kieren Curtis, said referring to the lira's slump this week. He did add however that the compensation would be paid to depositors in lira rather than dollars or euros and that bill would be split between the Treasury and Central Bank.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Ulrich Leuchtmann, Hasnain Malik, Erdogan, Tellimer's Malik, Kieren Curtis, Frank Gill, Tayyip Erdogan's, Karin Strohecker, David Evans Organizations: Wall, JPMorgan, FX, Reuters Graphics Reuters, International Monetary Fund, P Global, Treasury, Central Bank, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Ankara, Turkey, Commerzbank, Frankfurt, Tellimer
U.S. interest rates though are expected to remain higher for longer. Data showing U.S. pending home sales posting their largest gain in 2-1/2 years failed to lift the dollar, however. Traders now expect the Fed to raise interest rates to around 5.4% by the September meeting, according to pricing in rate futures markets . At the beginning of February, they envisaged rates rising to a peak of just 4.9%. "Whereas headline rates are falling, the trend of rising core inflation rates has been unbroken," he said.
It has weakened recently as markets bet a U.S. Federal Reserve tightening cycle may be nearing an end and sentiment remained fragile. The dollar index, which measures the value of the greenback against a basket of other major currencies, was trading up around 0.16% at 103.65 - off roughly six-month lows hit last week at around 103.38. Against the yen, the dollar was a touch softer at 130.94 , having hit its lowest levels since August last month. "There is an attempt by the dollar index to pull higher today but we do see that it is losing a good part of the strength it gained last year," said Ulrich Leuchtmann, head of forex research at Commerzbank. That Fed tightening helped lift the dollar index 8% last year in its biggest annual jump since 2015.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.06%, just short of an index of global shares, which climbed 0.16%. The pan-European STOXX 600 index (.STOXX) climbed 0.6%, retracing little of the nearly 12% it lost in 2022, bludgeoned by central banks' aggressive monetary policy tightening. Elsewhere, the dollar edged almost 0.2% higher against a basket of major currencies, while the pound and euro fell 0.4% and 0.2% respectively. The benchmark 10-year yield climbed around 27 basis points (bps) last week and over 200 bps last year, ending 2022 around 3.88%. Germany's 10-year bond yield fell 8.4 bps to 2.47%, after hitting its highest since 2011 at 2.57% on Friday.
Stocks edge higher as darker forecasts loom
  + stars: | 2023-01-02 | by ( Nell Mackenzie | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.04%, just short of an index of global shares, which climbed 0.21%. "Europe is taking the latest round of PMIs well enough, as the final readings help to confirm the view (hope?) DOLLAR STRUGGLING TO MAINTAIN STRENGTHElsewhere, the dollar edged almost 0.1% higher against a basket of major currencies, while the pound and euro fell 0.4% and 0.3% respectively. Germany's 10-year bond yield fell 13 bps to 2.43%, after hitting its highest since 2011 at 2.57% on Friday. Reporting by Nell Mackenzie Additional reporting Dhara Ranasinghe Editing by Mark Potter and Barbara LewisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
LONDON/TOKYO, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The dollar slipped on Wednesday as investors awaited a Federal Reserve policy decision amid speculation it might indicate a slowdown in future rate hikes. But for the December meeting, the futures market is split on the odds of a 75- or 50-bps increase. The real was 0.1% higher exchanging hands for 5.14 per dollar. YEN JUMPSThe yen , down a whopping 28% against the dollar this year, outperformed on Wednesday, with traders on alert for possible intervention around the Fed meeting. The BOJ also released minutes of its latest policy meeting, with a member saying the bank must be vigilant for an inflation overshoot, possibly caused by yen weakness.
LONDON/TOKYO, Nov 2 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar slipped on Wednesday as investors awaited for the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision amid speculation it might indicate a slowdown in future rate hikes. But for the December meeting, the futures market is split on the odds of a 75- or 50-bps increase. It will be a difficult balance to strike for Powell," said Daria Parkhomenko, FX strategist at RBC Capital Markets. Against the weakening dollar, the euro and sterling edged up to $0.9889 and $1.1494, respectively. YEN JUMPSThe yen , down a whopping 28% against the U.S. dollar this year, outperformed, with traders on alert for possible intervention around the Fed meeting.
Lira britanică și moneda euro au scăzut luni, în timp ce investitorii au căutat refugiu în dolar, după ce o nouă tulpină de coronavirus cu răspândire rapidă a închis o mare parte din Regatul Unit și a perturbat transportul internațional de marfă, transmite Reuters. Bursele europene au scăzut după ce, cea mai mare parte a Europei, a întrerupt transportul cu Marea Britanie, însămânțând haos pentru cetățeni și companii, cu câteva zile înainte ca Marea Britanie să iasă din Uniunea Europeană. Între timp, au crescut temerile că Marea Britanie ar putea ieși din perioada de tranziție din UE pe 1 ianuarie. La 12:02 GMT, lira a scăzut cu 1,91% până la 1,3270 dolari și a pierdut teren față de euro, în scădere cu 1,23% până la 91,66 cenți. Dolarul a urcat luni față de cele mai importante monede de referință, investitorii căutând siguranța relativă, deoarece multe țări au înăsprit blocajele COVID-19.
Persons: Boris Johnson, Ulrich Leuchtmann, Reuters, Simon Coveney, Holger Organizations: Reuters, Uniunea Europeană, Congresul american Locations: britanică, Regatul Unit, Europei, UE, Franța, Olanda, Danemarca, Belgia, Irlanda, Irlandei
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