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But the decline in support for Ms. Harris in some of the country’s most liberal areas is particularly notable. For example, in Fulton County, which contains most of Atlanta, Ms. Harris gained about 4,500 votes, but Mr. Trump gained more than 7,400. He similarly outran Ms. Harris where she made gains in Wake County, N.C., Lancaster County, Pa., and Montgomery County, Texas. In Milwaukee County in swing-state Wisconsin, Ms. Harris lost 1,200 voters compared with Mr. Biden’s total in 2020, while Mr. Trump gained more than 3,500. But he lost votes, as did Ms. Harris, in majority-Black counties, especially those in the South where turnout dropped overall.

Persons: Harris, Biden, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris’s, Joseph R, Iowa Kan, Trump, Larry Sabato, Mr, Sabato, “, Trump Harris, Eli Murray, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Christine Zhang, Biden’s, Christine Zhang Ms, Joel Benenson, Barack Obama’s, ” Mr, Benenson, Harris Trump, John McLaughlin, pollster, McLaughlin, ” Organizations: Trump, New York Times, Hawaii Idaho Ill, N.D . Ohio Okla, D.C, Biden, Mr, Harris Trump, Democratic, Lean Democratic, Lean Republican, Center, Politics, University of Virginia, Florida’s Miami, Republican, Republicans, Harris Trump Arizona, Indiana, Nebraska, Washington, of Columbia Locations: Ala, Alaska, Calif, Colo, Conn, Del, Fla . Ga, Hawaii Idaho, Ind, Iowa, Ky, La . Maine Md, Mass, Mich, Minn, Miss, Mo, Mont, Neb, N.H . N.J, N.M, N.Y, N.C, N.D . Ohio, N.D . Ohio Okla ., Pa, S.D . Tenn . Texas Utah, Va, Wash, W.Va . Wis, Wyo, Chicago, Los Angeles and New York, Texas, Florida, New Jersey, New York, Georgia, Fulton County, Atlanta, Wake County, Lancaster County, Montgomery County , Texas, Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Charlotte, Flint, Scranton, Dade County, Miami, Fresno County, Pinellas County, Fla, Black, Michigan, Nevada, Carolina, Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Hampshire, Jersey, Mexico, York, Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Wyoming

“The fact that there could have been a South Asian woman in the White House … we’re not there yet, but it would have been very nice. “There’s a great deal of disappointment in that sense,” said Shakeel Syed, executive director of the nonprofit South Asian Network. She steeped her daughters in all things South Asian, said Harris, who grew up eating South Indian food, like potato curry and masala dosa, and hearing Gopalan speak Tamil. Like many young and progressive Asian Americans, she said Israel’s war in the Gaza Strip has been an important issue for her. In the meantime, South Asian voters say they have no choice but to keep pushing.

Persons: they’re, Kamala Harris ’, Harris, Donald Trump, ”, Anjali Bhatt, we’re, ” Bhatt, Trump, she’s, Sumati Thomas, Harris ’, I’ve, Kamala Harris, ” Harris, Joe Biden, Biden, There’s, Shakeel Syed, Gopalan, “, P.V, Thomas, Bhatt, they’d, Harris didn’t, Syed, ” Syed, Harris wanes, Usha Vance, Vivek Ramaswamy, “ It’s, ” Thomas Organizations: South, D.C, Republican, Harris ’ Democratic, South Asian, Democratic, South Asian Network, Democratic National Convention, University of California, Civil Rights Movement, DNC, ”, American, Trump, White, Indian American Locations: South Asian, Washington, America, In Mississippi, South, India, California, Chennai, Indian, Berkeley, U.S, Gaza, Southeast Michigan, Pakistan, Bangladesh, American

Voter turnout among this group is low — less than 8% in the 2020 presidential election, according to FVAP, compared with almost 67% overall. Overseas voters “can sway an election, especially in the swing states,” said James Lockett, chair of Democrats Abroad Hong Kong. During the 2022 midterm elections, overseas voters also made the difference in close races in Connecticut, New Hampshire and North Carolina, the DNC said. Even as Republicans raise concerns about overseas voters, their presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump, appears to be seeking their support. “You can’t treat overseas Americans as second-class citizens, and I don’t care if they are Republicans, Democrats or independents.”

Persons: ”, James Lockett, Lockett, Abhi Rahman, “ We’re, ” Lockett, we’re, Biden, Lloyd Austin, “, Donald Trump, ” Trump, Solomon Yue, Trump, Kamala Harris, Yue, “ It’s, “ You’ve Organizations: U.S, Republicans, Voting, Overseas, Democratic National Committee, Republican National Committee, ” Reuters, Wall Street, Republicans Overseas, Democratic, RNC Locations: HONG KONG, United States, U.S, Hong Kong, Texas, Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Connecticut , New Hampshire, North Carolina, Michigan , North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Eritrea, Oregon

Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde sparred over abortion rights and economic issues Friday night during their first and only debate of a hotly contested Wisconsin Senate race that has tightened just weeks before Election Day. “Look, it’s been brought back to our state,” Hovde said during the exchange. It’s very clear that he has never read Roe v. Baldwin won her 2012 Senate race by more than 5 percentage points and her 2018 re-election contest by nearly 11 percentage points, demonstrating her appeal in rural areas. Baldwin received her undergraduate degree from Smith College in Massachusetts and graduated from the University of Wisconsin Law School.

Persons: Democratic Sen, Tammy Baldwin, Eric Hovde sparred, Hovde, Baldwin, “ Eric Hovde, —, Roe, Wade, ” Baldwin, it’s, ” Hovde, “, …, ”, Amy Walter, you’ve, he’s, who’s, “ I’m, I’m, you’re Organizations: Democratic, Wisconsin Senate, U.S, Supreme, GOP, ”, Social Security, Washington , D.C, UW, “ Law, Smith College in, University of Wisconsin Law School, University of Wisconsin - Locations: Wisconsin, America, East, Ukraine, Washington, California, Washington ,, Smith College in Massachusetts, University of Wisconsin - Madison

☆ What weeks of early-voting data tell us about how Democrats and Republicans are turning out in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Marc Meredith | Joelle Gross | Marc Meredith Is A Professor Of Political Science At The University Of Pennsylvania | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +8 min

Early voting is getting underway throughout the country, including in key battleground states like Georgia, where more than 300,000 people voted Tuesday, the first day of early voting. However, there were substantial differences in the number of early voters based on a city or county’s partisan lean. So far in 2024, more absentee voting has occurred in places that tend to support Republicans than places that tend to lean Democratic. However, if early voters are less consistent or new voters, it could signal a shift in electoral trends ahead of November. These satellite voting locations may make early in-person voting accessible in more populous areas, which tend to be more Democratic-leaning.

Persons: Virginia’s, TargetSmart Organizations: Republican, Democratic, Voters, Republicans, NBC Locations: Georgia, Virginia

☆ In razor-thin Georgia, Harris campaign eyeing Asian American voters
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-30 | by ( Jeff Zeleny | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

A poll released last week from AAPI Data, a data analytics firm that focuses on Asian Americans, found that 66% of Asian American voters plan to support Harris and 28% intend to back Trump. The same survey found that 62% of Asian American voters say they have a favorable opinion of Harris, compared with 35% who hold an unfavorable view. Republican officials declined to elaborate on efforts to win over Asian American voters. The Harris campaign has three full-time staffers at the national headquarters dedicated to engaging Asian American voters, a spokeswoman said, with additional staff being deployed to Georgia and other battleground states. As she presided over a virtual phone bank from her kitchen one night last week, she said she believed Asian American voters could make the difference in her Southern battleground state.

Persons: Cumming, Kannan Udayarajan, Republican Sen, David Perdue, Donald Trump, mispronounced Kamala Harris ’, “, Kamala, ”, Udayarajan, Harris, Joe Biden, Forsyth, ” Udayarajan, James Woo, Georgia – Biden, Woo, ” Woo, “ It’s, Trump, Trump’s, ” Steven Cheung, Georgia’s, Ashwin Ramaswami, Sen, Shawn Still, Ramaswami, Sonjui Kumar, ” Kumar Organizations: Georgia CNN, Republican, Forsyth County Democratic Party, Trump, “, Georgia, Democratic, CNN, American, Advancing Justice, South, ”, Asian, AAPI, Pew Research Center, Pacific Islander, Republicans, Democratic Party, Forsyth County Democratic Locations: Georgia, Forsyth County, India, Atlanta, Georgia , North Carolina, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Asian America, American, Norcross, Gwinnett County, Georgia’s Forsyth, “, “ Forsyth

He bemoaned that, despite those milestones, which he framed as being on behalf of the Jewish people, he had not seen an increase in support from Jewish voters. The Trump campaign did not immediately respond to a request for further comment on the former president's remarks. At a separate event in the capital on Thursday evening, he shared a similar warning with Jewish voters about the stakes of their support in the election. As Trump continues to court Jewish voters ahead of the November general election, he has continued to publicly assail high-profile Jewish leaders like Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., and Pennsylvania Gov. Trump’s comments Thursday echo his years of frustration at Jewish voters’ lack of support for him (they historically lean Democratic, according to the Pew Research Center.)

Persons: WASHINGTON —, Donald Trump, I’m, ” Trump, Trump, ”, “, Israel, Chuck Schumer, Josh Shapiro, Schumer, Shapiro, Benjamin Netanyahu, Trump’s Organizations: Jewish, Embassy, Office, - American, National Summit, Pennsylvania, Trump, Pew Research Center, Democratic Locations: WASHINGTON, America, U.S, Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, Israel, Lago, Florida

☆ Democrats could suffer a 'landslide' defeat, sweeping them out of office everywhere, former Obama advisor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Thibault Spirlet | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewDemocrats could suffer a "landslide defeat," sweeping them out of office everywhere, a former Obama advisor told The Atlantic. Since his disastrous debate performance last month, Biden has fallen further behind former President Donald Trump — even in states key to Biden's reelection. Last week, Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Michigan from "Lean Democratic" to "Toss Up" and Minnesota from "Likely Democratic" to "Lean Democratic." If accurate, the latest poll numbers would narrow Biden's path to victory, as he is already fighting in the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Persons: —, David Axelrod, Barack Obama's, Joe Biden's, Biden, Axelrod, Donald Trump —, Crystal Ball, Mark Levine Organizations: Service, Business, Electoral College, Bloomberg, Trump, Lean, Republicans, Democratic, Democratic Manhattan Borough, CNN Locations: Virginia , New Hampshire, Minnesota, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Virginia, Maine, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

☆ Biden's path to victory is much narrower following his debate disaster with states like New Mexico and Virginia suddenly in play for Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Under the University of Virginia Center for Politics' current projections, there are five true toss-up states: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada. The reality is that if Biden is stuck playing defense in states Democrats usually win, Trump's return to the White House will be a foregone conclusion. The only question then will be how many Electoral College votes would the former president win. "If Biden's position gets worse, that's when you see maybe a Virginia or New Mexico get in play," Kondik said. Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, or Minnesota are not going to be the states that put Trump over 270.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Nate Silver, Biden, hadn't, Trump, Crystal Ball, Kyle Kondik, Kondik, Ball, hasn't, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Jen O'Malley Dillon, O'Malley Dillon, There's, Trump's, Harry Enten, Biden's, 8KhJEsd8Dc —, Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, Lloyd Doggett, we're Organizations: Service, Nebraska, Trump, Business, Sun, Lean, University of Virginia Center, Politics, Electoral College, Republican, Saint Anselm College, Biden, Independent, Granite, Democratic National Convention, California Gov Locations: Michigan , Wisconsin, Omaha, Midwest, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan , Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Nevada, Virginia, New Mexico, Maine, Nebraska, George H.W ., New Hampshire, Granite State, Florida, Texas, Virginia , New Hampshire , New Mexico

☆ Politicians keep courting the TikTok vote. Users aren’t impressed
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-12 | by ( Brian Fung | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +9 min

Many TikTok users in the survey said they care far more about entertainment, culture and friends. TikTok users don’t care much about politicsMany TikTok users, roughly 4 in 10, said they do see at least some politics content on the app, according to the survey. Only a third of TikTok users said they use the app to keep up with politics; 41% said they use it to get news. Right now, 22% of TikTok users say content on the app is mostly liberal, while 6% say it’s mostly conservative, according to Pew’s latest survey. TikTok users who identify as Republicans were slightly more likely than Democratic TikTok users to say TikTok is bad for US democracy, but only by a slim margin of 7 percentage points.

Persons: Washington CNN —, John S, James L, Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s, TikTok, Biden, Pew, ” Pew, we’ve, ”, Colleen McClain, —, Elon Musk, ” McClain, McClain, Musk, it’s Organizations: Washington CNN, Pew Research Center, Knight Foundation, TikTok, Facebook, Trump, CNN, Pew, Democratic, Elon, “, Republican Twitter Locations: China, United States, TikTok, Gaza

☆ Disengaged voters could be the key to Biden winning a second term. But they need to be convinced on the economy.
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +1 min

A new poll shows Trump's polling gains have been powered by voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2020. The Times says these voters could stay home or return to Biden. Many of these voters actually lean Democratic, but they've drifted away from Biden over the economy. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.

Persons: didn't, they've, Biden, —, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump Organizations: Times, Biden, Service, Business

☆ Election Updates: Koch group attacks Biden on the economy, hoping to engage Latino voters
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( Jazmine Ulloa | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +5 min

Despite a run of positive economic data, including strong job growth and record unemployment, the economy has been a stubborn weakness for President Biden and Democrats, particularly among Black and Latino voters. The group rolled out a similar effort with an anti-“Bidenomics” message last year, but organizers said this campaign would be much larger in scope. Although Latino voters still overall lean Democratic, former President Donald J. Trump improved his performance with the slice of voters in 2020, and in some areas like South Florida and South Texas made sizable gains. Mr. Biden, on the other hand, has stepped his up — and has been looking to sharpen his own economic message after an earlier push to reclaim the term “Bidenomics” largely fell flat. The liberal organizations have earmarked $33 million to mobilize Hispanic voters for Mr. Biden and other key Democratic races in several battleground states.

Persons: Koch, Biden’s, “ Bidenomics, Biden, “, ” Jose Mallea, Donald J, Trump, ”, Somos, Somos Votantes, Josh Harder, Mike Levin, Gabriel Vasquez, Yadira Caraveo, NoBidenomics.com — Organizations: Libre, New York Times, Republicans, Pew Research Center, Associated Press, Somos PAC, Mr, Republican Locations: Spanish, ”, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Arizona, South Florida, South Texas, Libre, Montana , Nevada , Ohio, Wisconsin, In California, New Mexico, Colorado, America

☆ CNN Poll: Few think Trump is being treated the same as other defendants
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-25 | by ( Jennifer Agiesta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —As the first criminal prosecution of a former American president began just 13% nationwide feel Donald Trump is being treated the same as other criminal defendants, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds. Most of the country was divided over whether he is being treated more harshly (34%) or more leniently (34%) than other defendants. Most Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents say Trump is being treated more leniently than other defendants by the criminal justice system (61%), while Republicans and Republican-leaning independents largely say he’s being treated more harshly than others (67%). A broad majority of Democratic-aligned Americans say Trump’s behavior during the trial thus far has been inappropriate (72%), though Republicans haven’t leapt to his defense. Only 46% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents say Trump’s conduct has been appropriate, with 15% saying it’s been inappropriate and 39% that they haven’t heard enough to say.

Persons: Donald Trump, SSRS, Stormy Daniels, Trump, Joe Biden, Biden, Honig, there’s, it’s, haven’t, CNN’s Ariel Edwards, Levy, Ed Wu Organizations: CNN, Republican, Trump, Biden, Capitol, Republican Party, Democratic, Republicans Locations: American

☆ Share of Democratic Registrations Is Declining, but What Does It Mean?
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( Nate Cohn | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Newly registered voters, who are disproportionately young and nonwhite, have tended to lean Democratic. That’s been less and less true during the Biden era. A majority of states ask people to select a party affiliation when they register, and last year newly registered Democrats made up only about 53 percent of those who chose a major party — beating Republican sign-ups by a narrow margin of 26 percent to 23 percent of total registrations — according to data from L2, a nonpartisan voter data vendor.

Persons: That’s, Biden Organizations: Republican

If those population-growth patterns continue for the rest of the decade, it could seriously imperil the Democrats’ long-term chances of winning the White House. The Week in Cartoons Jan. 15-19 View All 5 ImagesFor Democrats, the picture is grim. An analysis by the Brookings Institution found that the main factor driving population growth in 2022-23 was immigration. The two states Democrats are eyeing most urgently to become the new Arizona and Georgia are North Carolina and Texas. In particular, predictions of “Blexas” – a blue Texas – have taken longer to materialize than most Democrats had hoped.

Persons: Donald Trump, University’s, Joe Biden, ”, Alan Abramowitz, Christopher Cooper, Brennan, Biden, Mark P, Jones, it’s, Michael McDonald, Trump, Michael Bitzer, ” Bitzer, “ Biden's, Thomas Schaller, ” Schaller, –, Barack Obama, Cooper Organizations: White, Center for Justice, Biden, Emory University, Democrats, Western Carolina University, “, ”, Republicans, Rice University, University of Florida, Brookings Institution, Brookings, North Carolina’s Catawba, Northern Blacks, Brennan, University of Maryland, American Democracy, Senate, Democratic, Texas, Democratic Party, Electoral College Locations: South Carolina , Florida , Texas , Idaho, North Carolina, Tennessee, Utah, New, Texas, Florida, Idaho, South Carolina , Tennessee, California, New York, Illinois, Minnesota , Oregon, Rhode, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, U.S, That’s, North, Northern, Baltimore, Arizona , Colorado , New Mexico, Nevada, “ Texas, United States

☆ Biden December fundraising blitz to star James Taylor, Spielberg
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Jarrett Renshaw | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/3] U.S. President Joe Biden speaks during a reception at the White House ahead of the 46th Kennedy Center Honors gala, in Washington, U.S. December 3, 2023. "We're putting in the work across our fundraising program and look forward to again outperforming the MAGA field," Biden campaign spokesperson Kevin Munoz said. Next week, Biden will raise money in Pennsylvania and Maryland with the states' Democratic governors Josh Shapiro and Wes Moore. Recent polling has shown the GOP frontrunner leading Biden in hypothetical matchups in key swing states and on the national level. Hollywood and the entertainment industry overall lean Democratic, at least when it comes to fundraising, according to OpenSecrets, which tracks campaign contributions.

Persons: Joe Biden, Nathan Howard, Biden, James Taylor, Stephen Spielberg, Rob Reiner, Michael Smith, James Costos, Barack Obama's, Lenny Kravitz, Wendy Schmidt, Eric Schmidt, Rick Caruso, Robert Tuttle, outperforming, MAGA, Kevin Munoz, Josh Shapiro, Wes Moore, Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, Alex Padilla, Julie Chavez Rodriguez, Donald Trump, Charles Koch's, Nikki Haley, Miriam Adelson, ouptaced Trump, Jarrett Renshaw, Heather Timmons, Bill Berkrot Organizations: White, 46th Kennedy Center, REUTERS, Democratic, Reuters, HBO, Los, Biden, Super, Trump, Democratic Party, Republican, Democratic National Committee, Hollywood, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Boston, California, Los Angeles, Spain, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Michigan, Alex Padilla of California

Some 1,200 Israelis have been killed, mostly during Hamas’ Oct. 7 attack on Israel that triggered the war. Biden’s unwillingness to call for a ceasefire has damaged his relationship with the American Muslim community beyond repair, according to Minneapolis-based Jaylani Hussein, who helped organize the conference. One of the things that made us even more angry is the fact that most of us actually voted for President Biden. But leaders said Saturday that the community's support for Biden has vanished as more Palestinian men, women and children are killed in Gaza. The Muslim community leaders' condemnation of Biden does not indicate support for former President Donald Trump, the clear front-runner in the Republican primary, Hussein clarified.

Persons: Joe Biden, Jaylani Hussein, Hussein, ” Hussein, Biden, Donald Trump, ___ Savage Organizations: CHICAGO, U.S, Biden, Health Ministry, Hamas, Associated Press, Democratic, White House, Pew Research, Republican, America Statehouse News Initiative, America Locations: Detroit, Gaza, Michigan, Israel, Michigan , Minnesota, Arizona , Wisconsin, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, ”, Dearborn , Michigan, United States, Minneapolis, Michigan , Wisconsin

Steve Beshear – faces Republican Attorney General Daniel Cameron, a protege of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell. In Mississippi, Republican Lynn Fitch is seeking a second term against Greta Kemp Martin, the litigation director of Disability Rights Mississippi. Democratic attorney Lindsey Cheek won the other runoff slot by taking 23% of the all-party primary vote. In Mississippi, Republican incumbent Michael Watson is seeking a second term and should easily defeat Democrat Ty Pinkins. She will face Democratic attorney, accountant, and small business owner Gwen Collins-Greenup, who finished second in the primary.

Persons: — it’s, Kentuckians, Andy Beshear, Jeff Landry, Beshear, Steve Beshear –, Daniel Cameron, Mitch McConnell, Kentucky’s, He’s, Cameron, Tate Reeves, Brandon Presley, Elvis Presley, Presley, Reeves, Democrat hasn’t, Jim Hood, Glenn Youngkin’s, Winsome Sears, Youngkin, Phil Murphy, Democratic Sen, Robert Menendez, Joe Biden, Max Baer, Carolyn Carluccio, Daniel McCaffery, Donald Trump, wouldn’t, Roe, Wade, Ohio’s, Sen, Bernie Sanders of, Janet Mills, Russell Coleman, McConnell, Pamela Stevenson, Republican Lynn Fitch, Greta Kemp Martin, Fitch, Liz Murrill, Landry, Lindsey Cheek, Michael Adams, Buddy Wheatley, Adams, Michael Watson, Ty Pinkins, Shuwaski Young, Young, Kyle Ardoin, Nancy Landry, Gwen Collins, Greenup Organizations: Democratic Gov, Democratic, Republican, Gubernatorial, Gov, Lean Democratic, Republican Gov, Public Service Commission, Democrat, Mississippi, Public, Impact Research, Lean Republican, State Legislative, Virginia, GOP, Senate, Republicans, House, George Mason University, Assembly, , New Jersey Republicans, Pleas, Superior Court, Ohio, Sierra Club, AFL, of Commerce, Avangrid Inc, Trump, Air Force, Disability Rights Mississippi, State, Iraq Locations: Mississippi, Virginia, Republican . New Jersey, Garden, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Maine, In Kentucky, Republican Mississippi, U.S, Northern Virginia, Richmond, Hampton Roads, Washington, New Jersey, , New Jersey, Montgomery County, In Ohio, Bernie Sanders of Vermont, Massachusetts, Texas, Kentucky, Louisiana, State Kentucky, In Mississippi

All three states lean heavily Republican in federal elections, yet Democrats currently control the governorship in two out of the three. As usual, we are rating these races on the following scale: Safe Republican, Likely Republican, Lean Republican, Toss-Up, Lean Democratic, Likely Democratic and Safe Democratic. The race moving in the Republican direction is Louisiana, which we’re shifting from Likely Republican to Safe Republican. But for now, we’ll keep it at Likely Republican. That may be in tune with Kentucky voters, who, despite the state’s Republican lean, rejected a 2022 ballot measure that would have enhanced the state’s ability to outlaw abortion.

Persons: There’s, Andy Beshear, Democrat John Bel Edwards, Republican Tate Reeves, Edwards, Jeff Landry, Shawn Wilson, Edwards –, Landry, Donald Trump, Stephen Waguespack, John Schroder, Sen, Sharon Hewitt, Hunter Lundy, Lundy, he’s, polluters, Wilson, Mason, Dixon, that’s, Republican Reeves isn’t, Brandon Presley, Phil Bryant, Brett Favre, Favre, Reeves hasn’t, drumbeat, Reeves, Democrat hasn’t, Jim Hood, Presley, Elvis Presley, Beshear, Steve Beshear, Daniel Cameron, Mitch McConnell, Joe Biden, Kentuckians, Cameron, He’s, Trump Organizations: Republicans, Democrat, Republican, Lean Republican, Lean Democratic, Democratic, Safe Democratic, Safe Republican, Louisiana Safe Republican, Republican Party, Republican Governors Association, Mississippi, NFL, University of Southern, Public Service Commission, Kentucky Lean Democratic, Gov, Beshear, Kentucky, Democratic Governors Association Locations: Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, In Mississippi, Landry, Lundy, Brandon, Federal, University of Southern Mississippi, Cincinnati

☆ The group that won Trump the election in 2016 may win it for him again in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-09 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Right now, the likely Republican alternative to Biden in a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup appears to be Donald Trump. Voters who like Trump favor him by more than 90 points over Biden, while those who like Biden favor him by more than 90 points over Trump. This means the election will come down to the 29% of voters (according to our poll) who hold a favorable view of neither Biden nor Trump. Trump won that group by 17 points – and with it, the election. But in our latest poll, Trump leads Biden by 7 points among the 29% of voters who view neither of them favorably.

Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, There’s, Donald Trump, That’s, Trump, Hillary Clinton, don’t, isn’t Organizations: CNN, Republicans, Biden, Trump, Voters, GOP, Quinnipiac University, The New York Times, Siena College

☆ Supreme Court's Alabama map ruling defied predictions as Roberts and Kavanaugh teamed up to protect Voting Rights Act
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-08 | by ( Joan Biskupic | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +18 min

Ambivalent during early internal debate, Kavanaugh eventually gave Roberts enough confidence that he could write an opinion for a majority. The state’s approach would have wholly undercut the history and purpose of the landmark Voting Rights Act, passed at the height of the Civil Rights movement to try to end race discrimination. Senior conservative Thomas, who has been unyielding in his rejection of race-based practices, was ready to write a far-reaching opinion against the court’s Voting Rights Act precedent for redistricting. Meanwhile, Kavanaugh and Roberts came together, ensuring the chief a five-justice majority for the robust endorsement of Voting Rights Act remedies when states discriminate in redistricting. The Alabama redistricting case shook out differently as Kavanaugh signed a significant portion of Roberts’ opinion.

Persons: John Roberts, Brett Kavanaugh, Roberts, Kavanaugh, –, Steve Marshall, Edmund LaCour, ”, Donald Trump, Ramos, Atticus Finch, “, Bill Clinton, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Amy Coney Barrett, General LaCour, Holder, Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, Ketanji Brown Jackson, Thomas, Alito, Gorsuch, Thomas ’, Barrett, George H.W, Roe, Wade, Dobbs, ” Roberts, General Marshall, LaCour, — Organizations: CNN, Alabama, Republican, Supreme, Blacks, Democratic, Notre Dame, Black, Trump, Black Democrats, ”, Civil, Senior, Jackson, Health Organization, Harvard, University of North Locations: Alabama, Black, Minnesota, . Louisiana, . Mississippi, ” Alabama, Shelby County, Bush, Mississippi, University of North Carolina, ”

☆ One year out, here’s what we know about how the presidential race will look on Labor Day 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-04 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +15 min

CNN —Much remains unknown of course about the presidential general election whose traditional kick-off will come one year from today on Labor Day, 2024. Twenty states have likewise voted for the GOP presidential nominee in all four of those contests. That means 40 of the 50 states, or 80%, have voted the same way in four consecutive presidential elections. In the presidential elections of 2012, 2016 and 2020, though, the states where the margin of victory landed within four points of the national vote total dwindled. Eventually a Democratic choice to write off Florida and Ohio could provide a tactical benefit for the GOP presidential nominee.

Persons: ”, Doug Sosnik, Bill Clinton, Barack Obama’s, Joe Biden’s, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Trump, hasn’t, Obama, Kyle Kondik, Ball, Kondik, Amy Walter, Biden, Crystal Ball, Cook, Trump’s, headwinds, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Roy Cooper, Erika Franklin Fowler, “, George W, Bush’s, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Michael Bloomberg, I’ve, Steve Schale, Schale, don’t, it’s, “ Biden, Ben Tulchin, Fowler Organizations: CNN, Labor, White, Democratic, GOP, University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, Electoral College, Trump, Democrats, Crystal Ball, New Hampshire, Republican, White House, Biden, Pennsylvania Senate, Democratic Gov, Wesleyan Media Project, Wesleyan University, Electoral, Republicans, ”, Wisconsin, District, New, New York City, Sunshine Locations: Indiana , Iowa , Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Arizona , Georgia, New, dislodging Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio, New York, Minnesota, New Hampshire , Virginia, Oregon, Texas

☆ Opinion: Why Vivek Ramaswamy’s swipe at Nikki Haley was so off base
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-02 | by ( Opinion Jeff Vasishta | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —In a move surprising even for a mercurial figure like Vivek Ramaswamy, the millionaire businessman this past week took a backhanded swipe at fellow Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley. For many Indian Americans and many Anglo Indians like me, Ramaswamy’s line of attack might not seem particularly surprising. With his jab at Haley, Ramaswamy almost certainly was not looking to ingratiate himself with Indian Americans. And on the whole, surveys show that nearly seven in 10 Indian voters in the United States identify as Democrats or lean Democratic. This did Ramaswamy no favors with Indian voters, especially Indian women.

Persons: Jeff Vasishta, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Alex Garcia, Nimarata Nikki Randhawa, Narendra Modi, “, Ramaswamy –, Haley, Ramaswamy, Barack Obama, Haley —, Ramaswamy —, — weaponized, ingratiate, Biden, Kamala Harris, —, Donald Trump, Obama, won’t, We’re Organizations: Rolling Stone, Billboard, Variety, CNN, Democratic National Convention, Indian, UN, Republican, Trump, Twitter, Facebook Locations: Rolling, South Carolina, British, India, United States, Silicon Valley, Milwaukee, New York, America

☆ Republicans celebrate after Supreme Court scraps Biden student loan relief program
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-30 | by ( Kevin Breuninger | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Republican leaders and presidential candidates filed in to applaud Friday's Supreme Court decision striking down President Joe Biden's student loan relief program. Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., another presidential contender, called the loan forgiveness plan an "illegal and immoral" bid to "transfer student debt to taxpayers." Meyer noted, however, that she doesn't expect the ruling will mark an end to the efforts to forgive student loan debt. Other Republicans have put forward alternative plans for addressing the country's burgeoning student loan debt. Canceling student debt is a popular idea: Polls have shown that most registered voters support at least some form of loan forgiveness.

Persons: Mike Pence, Friday's, Joe Biden's, today's, Donald Trump, Sen, Tim Scott, Scott, Katharine Meyer, Meyer, Biden, Pence, Ron DeSantis, Trump, DeSantis Organizations: United, Republican, White, Trump, Biden, Brookings Institution, Republican National Committee, The Washington Post, Florida Gov, GOP, Senate Republicans Locations: United States, Ankeny , Iowa

☆ Opinion | This Is Not the Time for a Third Presidential Candidate
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-08 | by ( David Brooks | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

I’ve long been a fan of No Labels, the organization that works to reduce political polarization and Washington gridlock. That project is a $70 million effort to secure ballot access for a potential third presidential candidate in 2024. Today, they argue, the electorate is roughly evenly split among those who lean Democratic, those who lean Republican and the unaffiliated. Fifty-nine percent of voters surveyed in that No Labels analysis said if that happened, they would consider voting for a third moderate candidate. If the No Labels candidate won just 61 percent of this disaffected group and the remainder was split evenly between two other candidates, he or she would capture a plurality of the electorate and could win the presidency.

Persons: Washington gridlock, I’ve, Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: Washington, Democrats, White Locations: America

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