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☆ Markets at a crossroads while jobs data and election loom, says JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets at a crossroads while jobs data and election loom, says JPMorgan's Dubravko LakosDubravko Lakos, Head of Global Markets Strategy at JPMorgan, joins CNBC's Halftime Report to discuss his outlook for equities.

Persons: JPMorgan's Organizations: Global, JPMorgan

☆ Stifel’s Barry Bannister sticks to his bearish market stance
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Over the past month, the S & P 500 has climbed 3.2% to break above 5,800 for the first time. "Despite all the soft-landing and Fed rate cut optimism, the S & P 500 up almost 40% y/y has simply over-shot," he wrote in a note to clients. "S & P 500 over-valuation has been supported by (and fully reflects) the Fed likely cutting the real funds rate," he added. This summer, he said he expected the S & P 500 to fall to 5,000 by the fourth quarter. While not included in CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey , that forecast would mark Stifel as the second lowest among those surveyed.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Stifel, manias, Bannister Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC Pro's, Survey, Citi, Cisco Systems

☆ Top Wall Street analysts are boosting stock market forecasts as the bull market charges on
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-16 | by ( Kelly Cloonan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A number of bank research desks have raised their S&P 500 price targets in recent weeks. AdvertisementThe bull market hasn't weakened in the fourth quarter, and top bank research desks have been rushing to raise their S&P 500 price targets into year-end. AdvertisementBelski said his upgrade was based on strong market gains so far this year, which he says typically leads to stronger-than-normal gains in the fourth quarter. Lakos-Bujas kept his 4,200 price target for the S&P 500 unchanged, though. AdvertisementThe more upbeat 2024 forecasts come as the bull market charges on, with the S&P 500 up 3.2% in the last month and 22.6% this year.

Persons: —, hasn't, Goldman Sachs, Jonathan Golub, Patrick Palfrey, David Kostin, Kostin, Brian Belski, Belski, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas Organizations: Service, UBS, BMO, Deutsche Bank, Bloomberg, Reserve

☆ JPMorgan recommends stocks to buy if economic recovery continues into the holidays
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Last month, the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates by a half point – the first time the central bank cut rates since 2020. Since the Sept. 18 meeting, the market has moved even higher, with all three major averages gaining between 1% and 3%. The bank noted that several of the companies in the screen have lagged the cyclical recovery, making the stocks likely to benefit from the market's ongoing rotation. JPMorgan rates Alaska Air overweight. Wall Street is rather bullish on the name, as 10 of the 14 analysts covering the stock have a buy or strong buy rating.

Persons: Dubravko, Bujas, E.l.f, Tarang Amin, CNBC's, Brian Niccol, Elliott Hill Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Federal, Fed, Alaska Air, Hawaiian Airlines, U.S . Department, Starbucks, Nike

☆ One of Wall Street's biggest bears is turning upbeat on the stock market for the first time in 2 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan's top strategist had something positive to say about stocks for the first time in a while. "While it is too soon to assume that this is a turning point, it does suggest that a recession is unlikely in the near term." Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But that seems to be changing, based on a Tuesday note from JPMorgan chief global equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas. "We are neutralizing our long Defensive and short Cyclicals view," Lakos-Bujas said.

Persons: Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, — Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, Reserve, Federal Reserve, & $ Locations: China, buybacks

☆ CNBC Daily Open: Tesla powers S&P 500, Nasdaq to record highs
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-04 | by ( Abid Ali | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Record highsThe S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite closed at record highs in a shortened session ahead of the July 4 Independence Day holiday. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell as the latest economic data indicated the jobs market was cooling. Despite some officials advocating for potential rate hikes, the Federal Open Market Committee ultimately decided to hold rates steady. [PRO] Tesla bull caseWedbush analyst Dan Ives raised his Tesla price target to $300 from $275, with a bull case of $400 by 2025.

Persons: Nela Richardson, Elliott Management's, Elliott, Bob Jordan, Gary Kelly, JPMorgan's Kolanovic, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Dubravko, Dan Ives Organizations: CNBC, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, ADP, Southwest Airlines Locations: U.S

☆ One of the biggest bears in this bull market is leaving JPMorgan
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A top strategist at JPMorgan who was caught offside by the stock market rally is quitting the investment firm. Marko Kolanovic, who served as chief global markets strategist and co-head of global research, is leaving the bank to explore other opportunities, according to a source familiar with the internal announcement. In his place, Hussein Malik will become the sole head of global research, and Dubravko Lakos-Bujas will serve as chief markets strategist. Kolanovic rose to prominence among market watchers for correctly predicting a stock market rebound in the middle of the Covid-19 pandemic. JPMorgan's current year-end prediction for the S&P 500 is 4,200, while no other major firm in the CNBC Market Strategist Survey is below 5,200.

Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Hussein Malik, Dubravko, Kolanovic Organizations: JPMorgan, CNBC Market, ., Bloomberg News

☆ S&P 500 to tumble 30% as recession hits later this year, says BCA Research
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-27 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

U.S. stocks are set to drop more than 30% as a recession hits the U.S. economy in the coming months, BCA Research predicts. We conservatively expect the S & P 500 to drop to 3750 during the coming recession," Chief Global Strategist Peter Berezin wrote in a note Tuesday. The calculation is conservative because it assumes that S & P 500 revenue rises in line with nominal gross adjusted product, he explained. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500's one-year performance BCA Research said it sees several feedback loops that will weaken the economy. Absent "overwhelming evidence" of an imminent recession risk, the central bank will be reluctant to cut rates aggressively, he said.

Persons: Peter Berezin, Berezin, JPMorgan's Dubravko Organizations: Research, Tech, Wall, CNBC

☆ Wall Street strategists see limited gains for the rest of year after big first half
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

There may not be much upside left this year in the S & P 500, at least according to the paid seers on Wall Street. The S & P 500 is up 15% so far in 2024, while the Nasdaq has added 18%. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 In fact, the S & P 500 is anticipated to stall even with a flurry of strategists recently upping their targets. Similarly, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel anticipates the S & P 500 could end the year at 6,000 , the highest forecast in CNBC's survey. By year end, Lakos-Bujas anticipates the S & P 500 will fall to 4,200, or a more than 20% plunge.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, David J, Kostin, Evercore ISI's Julian Emanuel, buybacks, Russell, Piper Sandler, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas Organizations: Nasdaq, CNBC PRO, Deutsche Bank, Tech, Microsoft, Dow Jones, Nvidia

☆ JPMorgan strategist stays stubbornly negative on stocks even as other Wall Street bears capitulate
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

A top strategist for JPMorgan is sticking with a pessimistic outlook for stocks despite a strong start to 2024 that's winning over other Wall Street skeptics. The JPMorgan note comes shortly after strategists from Deutsche Bank and Morgan Stanley raised their forecasts for the S & P 500. The stock market has outrun most Wall Street projections so far this year, with the S & P 500 up more than 11%. .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has already surpassed the original year-end 2024 targets from major Wall Street strategists. Kolanovic's JPMorgan colleague Dubravko Lakos-Bujas has the lowest S & P 500 target — 4,200 — among major strategists, according to the CNBC Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: that's, Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, Morgan Stanley, Dubravko Lakos, Bujas, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, CNBC Market, Survey

☆ A top Wall Street bear has turned bullish on stocks, boosting his S&P 500 price target by 20%
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

In a note on Sunday, Mike Wilson increased his S&P 500 price target by 20% to 5,400. Morgan Stanley's CIO Mike Wilson ditched his bearish call in a note on Sunday, increasing his 12-month S&P 500 price target by 20% to 5,400. AdvertisementWilson's base-case S&P 500 price target of 5,400 is derived from a 19x price-to-earnings multiple on 12-month forward earnings per share estimate of $283 by June 2026. Wilson first turned bearish on US stocks in 2021, correctly warning of a potential 20% decline in the S&P 500. JPMorgan maintains a year-end price target of 4,200 for the S&P 500, representing potential downside of 21% from current levels.

Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, —, Morgan Stanley's, Dubravko, Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Service, Wilson, JPMorgan

☆ Morgan Stanley stock strategist Mike Wilson raises S&P 500 forecast to 5,400 after bearish call on 2024 fails to pan out
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The U.S. equity strategist now expects the S & P 500 will rise to 5,400 by the second quarter of 2025. Just last week, the S & P 500 closed above 5,300 for the first time. His bull case of 6,350 represents roughly 20% upside over the next 12 months for the S & P 500. Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha hiked his S & P 500 target to 5,100, noting the benchmark could pop to 5,500. But market strategists on average are anticipating the S & P 500 will fall to 5,220 by the end of 2024, according to CNBC's Market Strategist Survey .

Persons: Morgan, Mike Wilson, Wilson, Morgan Stanley's, Brian Belski, Chadha, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: CNBC Market, Deutsche

☆ With S&P back at new highs, now come the price target and earnings revisions
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Now that the S & P 500 and most major stock market indexes are at or near historic highs, expect a raft of earnings and year-end price target revisions for the S & P 500 to be coming. First up with an upward revision was Brian Belski at BMO Capital, who Wednesday raised his year-end S & P target to 5,600 from 5,100. The median price target (half above, half below) is 5,200. Earnings for the rest of the year have been remarkably stable, but the key point is that each quarter is higher and a record for S & P 500 profits: 2024 S & P 500 quarterly earnings estimates Q2: $59.46 (record) Q3: $63.49 (record) Q4: $65.08 (record) Source: LSEG Valuations (roughly 20 times forward S & P 500 earnings) are pricey but not unreasonable given the continuing strength of the economy and the prospects of AI-boosted returns. May: market advance broadens (advance/decline line) S & P 500: near new high S & P Mid Cap: new high S & P Small Cap: highest since Dec.

Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Brian Belski, Belski, Subramanian, Venu Krishna, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Oppenheimer, John Stoltzfus, Lori Calvasina, Manish, Nicolaus, Barry Banniester, Jonathan Golub, Chris Harvey, Dubravko, Bujas, Cantor Fitzgerald, Eric Johnson, Scott Chronert, Julian Emanuel, Fundstrat, Tom Lee, Morgan Stanley, Mike Wilson, Hugo Ste, Stovall Organizations: BMO Capital, Wall, of America, Barclays, BMO, RBC, Societe Generale, UBS, Bloomberg, Citigroup, Deutsche Bank, ISI, JPMorgan, Scotiabank, @VX Locations: Wells Fargo, Marie

☆ There's a new biggest bull on Wall Street, and he sees the S&P 500 rising to 5,500
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-25 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus has reclaimed his place as the most optimistic when it comes to year-end S & P 500 targets. Stoltzfus, the firm's chief investment strategist, hiked his forecast for the S & P 500 to 5,500 from 5,200. He had the highest target price heading into the year at 5,200, but was outdone as some beat him to increasing their forecasts. Stoltzfus also increased his earnings projection for the S & P 500 in 2024 by $10 to $250, making him tied for another Street high. The benchmark S & P 500 has climbed nearly 10% so far in the new year.

Persons: Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, JPMorgan's Dubravko Organizations: CNBC Pro, Social Security, CNBC

☆ Why Friday’s key Nvidia reversal could mark the start of a broader stock market unwind
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-11 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

But some investors are concerned markets could be due for a broader unwind without the help from AI names. As it is, five of the Magnificent Seven names dropped last week, with the exception of Nvidia and Meta Platforms. That advance has helped the S & P 500 climb for 16 out of 19 weeks, notching record after record in its ascent. "A consolidation in the AI trade has been overdue for a while now, so Friday's key reversal day could signal the start of that unwind." NVDA 5D mountain Nvidia Crowding in AI Indeed, other market observers warned investors the overreliance on AI beneficiaries this year could mean danger for the overall market.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Peter Boockvar, semi's, Dubravko, BTIG's Krinsky, there's, Russell, Chris Verrone, Goldman Sachs, Krinsky, Samantha Subin Organizations: Nvidia, Meta, Apple, AMD, Bleakley Financial, Google, JPMorgan, Sunday

☆ Are companies beyond Nvidia actually profiting from AI yet? Microsoft earnings to be litmus test
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-23 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Microsoft earnings due out later this month could serve as the next major test for artificial intelligence as investors hunt for signs that the buzzy technological innovation is actually boosting companies' bottom lines. Nvidia has been an exception, blowing past Wall Street's guidance for the past few quarters due to AI tailwinds . The remarks led some Wall Street analysts to fret over a delayed ramp-up in AI availability. "There are going to be some outliers, but for the most part there is more risk-reward related to AI going into this earnings period." More loosely, Wall Street analysts have expressed concerns about AI monetization and expectations across the sector heading into the fourth-quarter reporting period.

Persons: Paul Meeks, Merrill Lynch, Piper Sandler, OpenAI, Amy Hood, Copilot, Micrsoft, Meeks, Amy Kong, Nancy Tengler, Gene Munster, Corient's Kong, Wolfe, Alex Zukin, Dubravko, Michael Bloom Organizations: Microsoft, Merrill, Merrill Lynch Investment, Nvidia, Wall, Baker School of Business, The, Investments, Asset Management, Munster, Wall Street, Tech Locations: OpenAI, hasn't

☆ JPMorgan is still doubting the bull with lowest S&P 500 target
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-19 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Even as the S & P 500 nears a new high, JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas remains relatively pessimistic on how 2024 will pan out. In a Friday client report, he called the early results and forward guidance from S & P 500 companies "lackluster." Just about one out of every 10 S & P 500 companies has reported results, according to FactSet. His concerns come as the S & P 500 is poised to hit an all-time high closing level on Friday. The average analyst has a 4,914 target for the S & P 500 at the end of 2024, according to CNBC Pro's Market Strategist Survey.

Persons: JPMorgan hasn't, Dubravko, Bujas Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Traders, Fed, CNBC Pro's, Survey

(PRO subscribers can view the official 2024 strategist survey here . ) "Lifting our 12-month S & P 500 target to 5100 as inflation falls, the Fed turns dovish, and real yields plunge," Kostin wrote. Other Wall Street firms with similarly bullish forecasts include Citigroup and BMO Capital Markets, which each have S & P 500 price targets of 5,100. Barclays' Venu Krishna was even more bearish, anticipating the S & P 500 would fall to 3,725. Entering the penultimate trading week of the year, the S & P 500 is almost 23% higher in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite has advanced almost 42%.

Persons: —, Stocks, Sam Stovall, Monday, Stovall, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, America's Savita Subramanian, JPMorgan's, Bujas, Morgan Stanley, BofA's Subramanian —, Venu Krishna, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Dow Industrials Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Goldman, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Citigroup, BMO Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Barclays, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's

☆ Wall Street closes amazing November in a bullish mood, and for good reason
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

We are closing out an extraordinary month: The S & P 500 is up nearly 9%, its fourth-best month in 12 years. The equal weight S & P 500 is up almost as much as the market-cap weighted S & P 500. Of the 10 major financial firms, only two (Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan) see the S & P 500 lower next year. Wall Street strategists' year-end S & P 500 estimates . That puts the S & P 500 at a very rich multiple of almost 19 times forward earnings (17x is the historic norm).

Persons: Russell, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Morgan, bullish, Brian Belski, Scott Wren, Wren, That's, JP Morgan's, Dubravko Organizations: Wall, Deutsche Bank, BMO Capital Markets, Capital Markets, Bank of America, Barclays, Goldman, UBS Global Wealth, Wells, Wells Fargo Securities, Treasury, Core PCE, Wells Fargo Institute, CNBC Locations: Wells Fargo, Atlanta

☆ JPMorgan strategists see 'challenging' backdrop for US stocks in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., November 16, 2023. The bank projected a 2024 price target for the benchmark S&P 500 (.SPX) of 4,200, or about 8% below current levels. Absent rapid easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, "we expect a more challenging macro backdrop for stocks next year," J.P. Morgan's Dubravko Lakos-Bujas and his team said in an outlook report on Wednesday. "In contrast to this robust outlook, we expect lower sequential revenue growth, no margin expansion, and lower buyback executions," the strategists wrote. Those risks include two major wars and 40 countries holding national elections including the U.S., which the strategists expect will drive equity volatility to be generally higher in 2024 than in 2023.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Morgan, Dubravko, J.P, Lewis Krauskopf, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ JPMorgan sees the S&P 500 dropping nearly 8% in 2024 as macro risks build up
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-29 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The bank sees the S & P 500 ending 2024 at 4,200. "Equities are now richly valued with volatility near the historical low, while geopolitical and political risks remain elevated." Stocks have had a banner year in 2023, with the S & P 500 surging more than 18%. Those gains have been largely driven by sharp rallies from names tied to artificial intelligence, including Nvidia and Meta Platforms . Specifically, he sees S & P 500 profits growing 2% to 3% next year.

Persons: Bujas, Michael Bloom Organizations: JPMorgan, Nvidia, Meta, Federal Locations: U.S

☆ Companies laying off employees is a risk facing 2024, says JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-31 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCompanies laying off employees is a risk facing 2024, says JPMorgan's Dubravko LakosDubravko Lakos, chief global equity strategist at JPMorgan, joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss higher for longer interest rates, the outlook for the market, and more.

Persons: JPMorgan's, Lakos Organizations: Companies, JPMorgan

☆ The surprise might be that central banks 'sit on their hands' again: Macquarie Private Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-30 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe surprise might be that central banks 'sit on their hands' again: Macquarie Private BankMartin Lakos of Macquarie Private Bank says inflation data has been mixed but "heading in the right direction overall."

Persons: Macquarie Private Bank Martin Lakos Organizations: Macquarie Private Bank

☆ 'Manias die in vicious ways': A pair of fund managers who have beaten 99% of their peers over the last 5 years warn the S&P 500 will shed at least 30% of its value when the current bubble pops
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-26 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

They likened the current environment to the dot-com bubble around 2000. Cole told Insider he thinks the S&P 500 will lose at least 30% of its value in the years ahead. "This financial euphoria episode has gone to a sustained high that makes the dot-com bubble look like small change," he wrote in the August 22 letter. Smead is the founder of Smead Capital Management and comanages the Smead Value Fund (SMVLX) with his son, Cole. Don't take that to mean the S&P 500 will deliver low returns every year until 2033.

Persons: Cole Smead, Cole, Bill Smead, Smead, Russell, Akin Oyedele, It's, Manias, Bill, Dubravko Lakos, Lakos Organizations: Smead Capital Management, Yahoo Finance, it's, Netflix, Visa, Mastercard, Paypal, Smead, Federal, JPMorgan, CNBC, Conference

☆ Wall Street's top strategists say this year's stock market rally is probably over
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-25 | by ( Phil Rosen | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos and Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson both see the end of the market rally. Higher-for-longer Fed interest rates and a potential hard landing for the economy risk dragging equities. And Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson said the latest evidence of a softening market was Nvidia's blowout earnings beat this week and the failed market rally that followed. "I can't think of any better news then what we got from [Nvidia] on Wednesday...and we had a failed rally. "They look for the market to tell them whether it's going to be a hard landing or not.

Persons: JPMorgan's Dubravko Lakos, Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson, Dubravko, Jerome Powell, Wilson, he's Organizations: Service, CNBC, Fed, Bloomberg, Nvidia Locations: Wall, Silicon, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

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