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☆ The stock market is loving Trump’s return. The bond market has some concerns though
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Donald Trump is returning to the White House, and the stock market is loving it. ‘The regime change’For now, stock market investors don’t seem bothered by the jump in bond yields or these inflationary or debt concerns. “The stock market jumped for joy that the election results were definitive, thus averting a contested election. Of course, market veterans say they wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock market eventually display concern about tariffs and inflation under Trump. That could pose a number of problems for the economy and the stock market.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, shockwaves, ”, David Kotok, Stephanie Roth, Roth, ” Roth, Sau Loeb, Kamala Harris, Harris, Jeff Buchbinder, “, Kotok, it’s, ” Kotok, They’re, Freddie Mac, ‘, Ed Yardeni, Yardeni, It’s, ’, BTIG’s Isaac Boltansky Organizations: CNN, White, Dow Jones, stoke, Trump, Advisors, Wolfe Research, Treasury, US Treasury Department, Getty, Wall Street, LPL, Fed, Stock Locations: Big, Washington , DC, Washington

☆ Global ETFs slide as investors see Trump tariff policies hurting trade
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Several U.S.-listed funds tracking global stocks pulled back in Wednesday's session as investors considered Donald Trump's victory harmful to international equities. "While the investing landscape remains favorable in the U.S., international markets are very exposed to tariff policy, " said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. These moves reflect the divergence between U.S. and international markets as investors around the globe take in America's election results. Still, the U.S.-listed iShares MSCI China ETF (MCHI) shed more than 2% on Wednesday. Indeed, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) slid more than 1% on Wednesday.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump's, Yung, Yu Ma, Javier Milei, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, —, Sarah Min, Jesse Pound, Hakyung Kim Organizations: U.S, NBC, BMO Wealth Management, Dow Jones, Trump, Japan's Nikkei, American, ICE, greenback, LPL Financial Locations: Paris, France, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Chile, U.S, China, Europe, Asia, Pacific, Argentina

☆ US stocks rally as investors brace for presidential election outcome
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —US stocks rallied Tuesday as Wall Street awaited the results of a closely contested presidential race. “While it’s still anyone’s call on where the chips will fall on the election, putting it behind in either direction is a relief.”Historically, stocks have often risen on Election Day. This marks the sixth-straight Election Day gain for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. “With Election Day finally here, expect more market volatility, particularly if the wait for a result is long or contested. Just two days after Election Day, the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision, the first since cutting rates by half a point.

Persons: Dow, ”, Louis Navellier, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, George W, Bush, Al Gore, Adam Turnquist, Gore, ” Turnquist Organizations: New, New York CNN, Nasdaq, Navellier, Associates, LPL, Federal Reserve Locations: New York

There's a common belief that lower borrowing costs benefit so-called growth stocks, as they're often capital-intensive. "History also suggests value should outperform growth, at least over the six months following the first rate cut," he said. If the economic situation becomes a "hard-landing," however, he said that growth stocks could outperform. If it normalizes (i.e., becomes more upward sloping), value should outperform growth," he said, referring to a situation where short-term rates are lower than long-term rates. "Lower multiple value stocks have greater upside and less risk than the pricier 'glamor growth' group for the foreseeable future," Ball said.

Persons: Adam Turnquist, Savita Subramanian, CNBC's, we've, Janjigian, Vanguard Russell, Venu Krishna, George Ball, Sanders Morris, Ball Organizations: U.S, Tech, CNBC Pro, LPL, BofA Securities, Greenwich Wealth Management, Vanguard, Index, Barclays, Krishna, Presidential Locations: U.S . Federal

☆ 3 signs that investors should expect the bull market to continue for a third year in 2025
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500 has enjoyed a bull market since October 2022, rising nearly 70%. AdvertisementThe stock market has been experiencing a bull market for the last two years. The Magnificent Seven drove much of the returns for the S&P 500 this year, contributing 34% of the index's total return. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies to report 4.2% profit growth for Q3. Ever since World War II, bull markets that have lasted two years continue onwards for a third.

Persons: LPL Financial's Quincy Crosby, —, Quincy Crosby, LPL, Crosby, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Jack Ablin, Jerome Powell, Buchbinder Organizations: Service, LPL, Federal, Bull, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Morningstar, Cresset Capital Management, Federal Reserve Locations: America

☆ Wall Street’s been on a two-year tear. Can the party last?
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

New York CNN —Wall Street traders are popping champagne and toasting the two-year anniversary of a period of outsized gains known as a bull market. What makes this bull market unusual is how much uncertainty and economic worry investors have had to contend with during its run. Historically, bull markets recover around 194% of the previous downturn, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. While the first two years of a bull market often see significant gains, history shows that the third year can bring challenges, said Stovall. On average, bull markets entering their third year post a modest return of just 2%.

Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Adam Turnquist, Quincy Krosby, “, Stovall Organizations: New, New York CNN, Wall, LPL, LPL Financial, Federal Locations: New York, Europe, East

☆ Nvidia showing great momentum coming into Q4, says technical strategist Adam Turnquist
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNvidia showing great momentum coming into Q4, says technical strategist Adam TurnquistAdam Turnquist. LPL FInancial chief technical strategist, joins 'Fast Money' to talk what's ahead for the financial sector and the technical analysis on Nvidia.

Persons: Adam Turnquist Adam Turnquist Organizations: Nvidia

☆ Here are Wednesday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Apple, Netflix, FedEx, Reddit, Broadcom, Chewy & more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Michael Bloom | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Here are Wednesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Citi initiates FedEx and UPS as buy Citi said in its initiation note that FedEx and UPS are well positioned. "Netflix remains a compelling growth story with significant room for revenue, earnings, and FCF growth over the next several years." Wells Fargo upgrades Valero to overweight from equal weight Wells said the company is one of the "best independent refiners." Mizuho reiterates Nvidia and Broadcom as outperform Mizuho said it's sticking with its outperform ratings on Nvidia and Broadcom. Wells Fargo reiterates Roblox as overweight Wells Fargo raised its price target on Roblox ahead of earnings in late October to $54 per share from $46.

Persons: underperform Jefferies, Guggenheim, TD Cowen, Cowen, Morgan Stanley, it's bullish, Piper Sandler downgrades Blackstone, Piper, Piper Sandler, Wells, Jefferies, Wolfe, VALE, Chewy, it's, Mizuho, Wells Fargo, Evercore Organizations: Citi, FedEx, UPS, Jefferies, Southwest, Deutsche Bank, Netflix, Deutsche, Inc, MetLife, Barclays, Apple, Apple Intelligence, New York Times, Industry, Nvidia, Broadcom, Mizuho, Lowe's Locations: Valero, underperform, Underperform

☆ 4 market experts share 10 places to invest your money after September's jobs data blew expectations out of the water
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

Below, four market experts share how investors should allocate their money going forward. The US job market blew past economists' predictions, with total nonfarm payrolls increasing by 254,000 last month — over 100,000 more jobs than expected. Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer, Independent Advisor AllianceThe job market is showing signs of strengthening with the September data. With that being said, the current environment presents many opportunities to invest in equities, according to Zaccarelli. "Recession fears are elevated, and we think those are underpriced, underappreciated parts of the market," Zaccarelli said.

Persons: —, we've, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Sonders, there'll, it's, Jeffrey Roach, Roach, Lisa Shalett, Morgan, Shalett, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Investors, Fed, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, Independent

☆ Stock market today: Dow notches record high after strong jobs report eases slowdown worries
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

US stocks rose 1% and the Dow hit a record as the jobs report alleviated slowdown worries. AdvertisementUS stocks surged about 1% on Friday after the September jobs report soothed fears of an economic slowdown. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, odds of a 50-basis point cut dropped to 0% from 53% last week. Consensus now expects two 25-basis point rate cuts from the Fed at their next two FOMC meetings before year-end. ING's chief economist, James Knightley, said the jobs report was "unambiguously strong."

Persons: —, Dow, Sonu Varghese, Jeffrey Roach, James Knightley, Knightley Organizations: Dow, Service, Federal, Fed, Financial Locations: Here's

☆ Here's where the jobs are for September 2024 — in one chart
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The September jobs report was surprisingly strong , and the details show that growth came from many different areas of the economy. Within hospitality, food services and drinking places saw jobs jump by 69,000. Professional and business services grew by 17,000 jobs, which is a notable change for a category that had shed jobs in recent months. The only caution flag could be the rise in those with multiple jobs," Roach said. Two key areas that lost jobs last month were manufacturing and transportation and warehousing, though each category shrank by fewer than 10,000 jobs.

Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Roach Organizations: of Labor Statistics . Government, LPL Financial

☆ Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Humana, Nike, JD.com and more
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Sean Conlon | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Humana – Shares plunged more than 22% after the healthcare company announced dire preliminary Medicare Advantage data for 2025. China stocks – Shares of Chinese companies continued to gain amid the broader stimulus rally . Diamondback Energy – The oil stock rose 3% following an upgrade to overweight from equal weight at Barclays. Energy stocks – Shares of energy companies rose following Iran's missile attack on Israel . APA Corp and Marathon Oil both rose more than 2%, and Occidental Petroleum rose more than 1%.

Persons: PDD, Alibaba, Lamb Weston –, Lamb, Betty Jiang, Diamondback, Dan Arnold, Rich Steinmeier, Davidson, —, Lisa Kailai Han, Jesse Pound, Sarah Min, Michelle Fox Theobald Organizations: Nike –, Nike, Li Auto, Baidu, Diamondback Energy, Barclays, Endeavor Energy Resources, LPL, LPL Financial, Baird, Energy, APA Corp, Marathon Oil, Occidental Petroleum Locations: China, Israel

☆ Stock futures fall slightly following rocky start to October: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock exchange during morning trading on May 17, 2024. Stock futures slipped in overnight trading following a sour start to the new trading month and final quarter of 2024. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged down 80 points, while S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq-100 futures lost about 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively. In after-hours action, Nike slid about 7% after the sneaker giant pulled its full-year guidance ahead of its CEO change. Ahead of Friday's keynote September jobs report, Wall Street on Wednesday will gain insight into the state of private payrolls with ADP's Employment Survey.

Persons: Elliott Hill, Ryan Detrick, nonfarm Organizations: New York Stock, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nike, LPL, Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Tesla, U.S, Treasury, ADP's, Federal Locations: Iran, Israel, Lebanon

☆ Stocks tumble, oil spikes as Mideast tensions flare
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Gold and crude oil rallied, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped. On the economic data front, job openings rose unexpectedly in August. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Traders elected to crowd into safe-haven assets like gold as Iran launched a barrage of missiles toward Israel on Tuesday. AdvertisementAs oil rallied, so did gold and the bond market, with investors piling into risk-off assets.

Persons: —, Helima Croft, Quincy Krosby, Bill Adams Organizations: Treasury, Service, Traders, RBC Capital Markets, CNBC, Global, LPL, Labor, Comerica Bank Locations: Israel, Iran, Lebanon

☆ These 2 market indicators with perfect track records since 1984 are flashing a Harris presidency — but they could be wrong this time
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-29 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

The S&P 500's positive performance this year means that a Harris victory is likely, history says. The S&P 500 has gained 10% since August 5, and if it keeps going up, a Harris victory seems imminent. Likewise, the so-called Misery Index is flashing a Harris victory. If the stock market declines, the outlook for a Harris victory could quickly sour. While these indicators might be flashing a Harris victory for now, nothing's set in stone leading up to this election.

Persons: Harris, —, LPL, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist, it's, Jerome Powell, Lynch, nothing's Organizations: Service, Comerica Wealth Management, Federal

☆ Wall Street braces for a turbulent October with jobs report on deck next week
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-27 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S & P 500 have broken out to new highs this month. BTIG chief market technician Jonathan Krinsky asked this week, referring to the S & P 500. The S & P 500 had risen more than 5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was higher by more than 1%. For the S & P 500, those levels represent declines of about 6% to 9%, as of Thursday's close. Initial Claims (09/28) 9:45 a.m. PMI Composite final (September) 9:45 a.m. S & P PMI Services SA final (September) 10 a.m.

Persons: Jonathan Krinsky, Dow, Adam Turnquist, LPL Financial's Turnquist, Jeff Hirsch, he's bullish, Hirsch wouldn't, Lamb Weston, Nonfarm Payrolls, —, Nick Wells Organizations: Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CNBC, Nasdaq, LPL, Chicago PMI, Dallas Fed, PMI, Manufacturing, Nike, McCormick, ADP, PMI Services SA, Services PMI, Constellation Locations: Europe, U.S, Chicago

☆ Stock futures are little changed as traders brace for Fed’s preferred inflation reading: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Pia Singh | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stock futures traded near the flatline Thursday night as Wall Street awaits a key inflation reading. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed, as were S&P 500 futures . In the fiscal fourth quarter, the warehouse retailer reported earnings of $5.29 per share on $79.70 billion in fourth-quarter revenue. The so-called PCE is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric, and policymakers and Wall Street alike are hoping for figures that show a cooling trend. The three major indexes are higher for the week, with the S&P 500 up nearly 0.8% and the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average on pace to rise 0.3%.

Persons: LSEG, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: NYSE, Stock, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Costco Wholesale, Financial, Traders Locations: U.S

☆ Stock futures are flat after Dow closes at a fresh record: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on Sept. 23, 2024. U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday after the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average posted new record closes. Futures tied to the 30-stock Dow slipped 38 points, or 0.09%. S&P 500 futures inched down 0.11%. Earlier in the day, the S&P 500 rose 0.28% and the Dow added 0.15%, resulting in closing records for both indexes.

Persons: Dow, Paul Hickey, There's, You've, Hickey, Quincy Krosby Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Federal Reserve, Investment, LPL, Traders, Conference, Richmond Fed Locations: Quincy, mull

☆ What lower rates mean for markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The Fed on Wednesday lowered interest rates, marking the first rate cut since March 2020. A decline in interest rates should, theoretically, mean good news for the stock market. The Fed likely won’t take rates lower as aggressively as they were raised, unless the economy takes a downturn and necessitates loose economic conditions. While mortgage rates and bond yields have begun drifting lower, companies and consumers still might not feel the effects of lower rates right away. But investors with outsized positions in Big Tech stocks should eye beaten-down areas of the market that benefit from lower interest rates, says Diton.

Persons: Dow, Jerome Powell, ”, Jeff Buchbinder, Powell, Eric Diton Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal, Fed, Nasdaq, LPL, Wealth Alliance, Tech, Meta, Apple, Big Locations: New York, Big Tech

☆ Stock market today: Stocks close mixed as investors gear up for major Fed rate decision
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Tuesday's retail sales data boosted soft landing outlooks. AdvertisementIndexes were mixed on Tuesday with investors still split on the potential size of an interest rate cut, with less than 24-hours to go before the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. Unanticipated strength in Tuesday's retail sales data convinced investors that the economy remains robust, and the S&P 500 briefly hit a record high before paring gains. Bond yields edged up ahead of the Fed decision, nodding to the possibility that the odds of a jumbo rate cut fell after retail sales surprised to the upside. AdvertisementStrong retail sales suggest that the Fed does not necessarily have to hurry with larger cuts, as the consumer economy appears intact for now.

Persons: —, LPL, Jeffrey Roach Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, bitcoin, Treasury

☆ This tech stock ETF just posted one of its best weeks of the past few years
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-13 | by ( Pia Singh | In | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Leading technology stocks led an eye-popping rebound rally the past five days, driving a key ETF texchange traded fund to one of its best weeks in years. The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) surged 8.2% this week, the most since Nov. 11, 2022, when the fund gained 10.04%. XLK YTD mountain Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) performance this year. Investors can thank a bounce back in megacap technology and semiconductor stocks this week that lifted all three major U.S. stock indexes. That alone suggests semiconductor stocks have lost their leadership status, at least for now, Turnquist said.

Persons: ChatGPT, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Goldman Sachs, Adam Turnquist, Turnquist Organizations: texchange, Microsoft, Nvidia, Technology, Apple, Apple Watch, Semiconductor, Broadcom, LPL Financial, PHLX Semiconductor Locations: XLK

☆ Forget funds like SPY and VOO — buy this alternative S&P 500 index that's trading near its cheapest levels since the dot-com bubble
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-12 | by ( Christine Ji | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But there's another lesser-known S&P 500 index that you might not have heard of: the SPW. In contrast, the conventional S&P 500 allocates more weight to the biggest companies based on market capitalization. Big Tech names carry very little debt on their balance sheets, meaning that they are less affected by elevated interest rates. Bank of AmericaIn contrast, the cap-weight S&P 500 is approaching overvalued territory. Examples of SPW index funds include the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and Goldman Sachs Equal Weight U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSEW).

Persons: —, that's, Jack Ablin, LPL, Jeff Buchbinder, Savita Subramanian, Buchbinder, Ablin, haven't, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Big Tech, Business, Bank of America, Cresset, Healthcare, financials, Bank of America's, Equity, RSP

☆ Bond market 'yield curve' returns to normal from inverted state that had raised recession fears
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-04 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An inverted yield curve, in which the nearer-duration yield is higher, has signaled most recessions since World War II. However, a normalization of the curve does not necessary signal good times ahead. In fact, the curve usually does revert before a recession hits, meaning the U.S. could still be in for some rough economic waters ahead. Job openings had exceeded labor supply by more than 2 to 1 at one point, aggravating inflation that had been at its highest level in more than 40 years. That part of the curve is still steeply inverted, with the difference now at more than 1.3 percentage points.

Persons: Raphael Bostic, Quincy Krosby Organizations: CME Group, Atlanta Fed, LPL, Labor Department, Atlanta Federal Reserve Locations: Chicago, U.S

☆ Nonfarm payroll growth revised down by 818,000, Labor Department says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-21 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The U.S. economy created 818,000 fewer jobs than originally reported in the 12-month period through March 2024, the Labor Department reported Wednesday. Wall Street had been waiting for the revisions numbers, with many economists expecting a sizeable reduction in the originally reported figures. "The labor market appears weaker than originally reported," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. "A deteriorating labor market will allow the Fed to highlight both sides of the dual mandate and investors should expect the Fed to prepare markets for a cut at the September meeting." Nonfarm payroll jobs totaled 158.7 million through July, an increase of 1.6% from the same month in 2023.

Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Jared Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal Reserve, LPL, Goldman Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Here's how a week's worth of huge economic news will affect the Fed's decision-making
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

We have to remember, the Fed made one mistake, the transitory" call on inflation, said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial. Specifically, the Fed is faced with how quickly and aggressively it should respond now that the inflation rate is waning . "Jay Powell says they don't want to be data point dependent, and I think that makes sense. I don't think you have signs of weakness in the economy. You don't have signs of inflation being controlled, and you don't have any signal for the Fed to switch focus."

Persons: Jerome Powell's, Jackson, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Richard Clarida, nonfarm payrolls, Powell, Jay Powell, Clarida, we'll, Komal, Kumar, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, LPL, CNBC, Sri, Kumar Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

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