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☆ Trump may face bond vigilantes amid concerns over inflation and the deficit
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Bond vigilantes may pressure Washington to address deficits, affecting fiscal policy decisions. Wall Street doesn't constantly look to Washington for investment advice or direction, but the bond market is one place where they definitely intercept. The tipping point would create headwinds for the bond market as bond prices drop. The deficit is another sore spot, as promised tax cuts could further shrink government revenue. And this must be done by showing how they will offset tax cuts and remain fiscally responsible.

Persons: Jimmy Chang, Chang, they're Organizations: Trump, Republican, Rockefeller, Family Office Locations: Washington

☆ The hidden risk factor investors may be missing in stocks, bonds, and options
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors may soon be forced to take on more risk and rethink their diversification strategies due to macroeconomic uncertainties. And that presents challenges for those who follow the traditional balance of 60% stocks to 40% bonds as a diversifier, he added. "Momentum has really been driving equities higher across the board, especially with respect to large-cap growth names," Adams said. The study found that stocks, bonds, and options strategies could have more correlated risk than is evident on the surface. "So value stocks are about the here-and-now, growth stocks are about the hereafter."

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Jon Adams, Adams, Jimmy Chang, Donald Trump, Chang, Nikolai Roussanov, David Kelly, you've, Kelly Organizations: Calamos Wealth, Treasury, Rockefeller, Family, Wharton School, Morgan Asset Management

☆ A real-estate investor explains how he got a 2.75% mortgage amid 7% rates
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Michael Hyun used creative financing to buy a home amid high mortgage rates in 2023. A provision in the mortgage contract called the due-on-sale clause makes this approach risky. But they had one advantage: Eileen was a real-estate agent, which qualified her as a real-estate professional under tax law. There, he found wholesalers, middlemen that buy property under contract to sell the contracts and transfer the property to the buyer. So, instead of going into foreclosure, they sold it to Hyun and transferred the mortgage, which had a balance owed of $368,486 at a 2.75% mortgage rate.

Persons: Michael Hyun, —, Eileen, Hyun, homeownership, Pace Organizations: Service, Business Locations: Texas

☆ Wall Street's most famous floor trader recounts election euphoria at the NYSE and explains how to trade an incredibly bullish fourth quarter
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Upcoming Fed rate cut and holiday season may sustain market momentum, Tuchman predicts. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . You can opt-out at any time by visiting our Preferences page or by clicking "unsubscribe" at the bottom of the email. Markets reacted strongly to former President Donald Trump's victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in Tuesday's election. He then realized that the strong trend could be held up by more than just election results.

Persons: Tuchman, —, Peter Tuchman, who's, Donald Trump's, Kamala Harris, Dow Jones, you've, Tuchman didn't, that's, there's Organizations: Dow, Service, New York Stock Exchange, Markets, AMD, Nvidia Locations: Tuesday's, Santa Claus

☆ A veteran bond operator shares an alpha-generating strategy for dropping yields and muted stock-market returns
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Credit markets face challenges, but opportunities exist in corporate bonds and cheap optionality. But when times are tight, companies deleverage until their debt is less than their cash flow. The yields in corporate bonds aren't much higher than in government bonds, meaning less compensation for more risk. Advertisement"This trade works if natural gas prices remain stable or rise, leading the energy bond to outperform the overall corporate bond market," Rieder said. "It's an excellent opportunity to capitalize on the current tight credit spread conditions and complacency in the overall credit market."

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Mark Rieder, Rieder, I've Organizations: Service, Fed, Treasury, Bloomberg, Business

☆ Israeli attacks in West Bank killed at least eight people, officials and residents say
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Kareem Khadder | Sana Noor Haq | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +3 min

CNN —A series of Israeli raids and airstrikes in towns and villages in the occupied West Bank that stretched overnight from Monday into late Tuesday have killed at least eight people, according to Palestinian authorities and local residents. Two Palestinians were killed in the town of Tamoun, said the governor of nearby Tubas, Ahmad Assad, alleging that one of the bodies was removed from the scene by the Israeli military with a bulldozer. Two were killed by Israeli gunfire, and two others killed when an Israeli military vehicle rammed a car and opened fire, according to residents and video seen by CNN. Israel has previously described its stepped-up military offensives in the West Bank as targeting militants and “terrorist infrastructure.”The bloodshed comes as violence surges in the West Bank, where the Israeli military has intensified incursions following the Hamas-led October 7 attacks. Since October 7, 2023, Israeli troops and settlers have killed at least 775 Palestinians, including 167 children, in the occupied West Bank and Jerusalem, the Palestinian health ministry reported on Tuesday.

Persons: Ahmad Assad, Araby, Qabatya, Rabe’e Al, Munir, Laila Ghannam, “, ”, Ihab Al, CNN’s Mick Krever Organizations: CNN, West Bank, Palestinian Ministry of Health, Qatari, Israel Defense Forces, West Bank and, The West Bank, United Nations Office, Humanitarian Affairs Locations: Tamoun, Tubas, Al, Jenin, Qabatya, Israeli, Israel, West Bank and Jerusalem, Ramallah, Jordan

☆ How a free meal cost an investor his retirement savings
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-02 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

George Wilson learned the hard way that there's no such thing as a free lunch — or, in his case, a free dinner that cost him a chunk of his retirement savings. He also met David Escarcega, one of the hosts and a broker who would eventually advise him to invest in so-called non-correlated, fixed-income alternative products from the now-bankrupt firm GWG. AdvertisementBut those meals aren't really free, Murray said. They're referred to as "free lunch seminars," said Adam Gana, a securities attorney who worked on Wilson's case. In 2017, he decided to renew his investment, according to documents viewed by Insider.

Persons: George Wilson, Wilson, Chris Steak, David Escarcega, Michael Murray, Murray, Adam Gana, Gana, I've, Jean, Escarcega, we're, Wilson wasn't, FINRA, Craig McCann, McCann, he's, Outsized Organizations: GWG, GWG Holdings, Financial, SEC, ADV, CPA, Treasury Locations: GWG

☆ Cash is no longer king. Here are 3 alternatives investors are trading it for, according to chief money managers.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-29 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Investors face diminishing returns from cash alternatives as interest rates decline. Today, cash alternatives are yielding slightly less. Specifically, those who didn't have liquidity needs but chose to sit in cash anyway missed out on a strong year for the S&P 500. If liquidity needs arise, investors may be able to sell for a profit if the Fed's cutting cycle is steeper than expected, he added. Simply put, the M2 money supply, which includes cash and cash alternatives, has skyrocketed since 2020 by over 36%, debasing the dollar.

Persons: —, Mark Malek, Siebert, Malek, David Miller, Miller, Millers Organizations: Service, Treasury, AAA, Catalyst Funds, Federal, World Gold Council, Investors Locations: Treasuries, Russia, Central

Though time is winding down before the music-filled weekend arrives, there are still a few avenues for how to buy Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival 2024 tickets. Organized by Tyler, the Creator, this year marks the 10th Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival, which began in 2012 under the name OFWGKTA/Odd Future Carnival. We’ve got you covered if you’re looking for how to get tickets to the 2024 Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival. Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival 2024 festival scheduleThe 2024 Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival festival is a two-day affair, with the lineup being split between Saturday, November 16, and Sunday, November 17, at Dodger Stadium. Date StubHub Vivid Seats November 17 & 18, 2024 (GA) $516 $600 November 17 & 18, 2024 (VIP) $790 $809 November 17 & 18, 2024 (Super VIP) $1,714 $1,796How to buy tickets for Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival 2024Currently, all original tickets are sold out for Camp Flog Gnaw Carnival 2024.

Persons: Flog, Tyler, Flog Gnaw, Earl Sweatshirt, Schoolboy Q, Andre, Sexyy Redd, Playboi, We’ve, what’s, Bronson, Amelia Moore, Blood, Daniel Caesar, Denzel Curry, Doechii, Genesis, Erykah Badu, Faye Webster, Hana Vu, Jean Dawson, Jordan Ward, Kaytranada, Kenny Mason, Laila, Matt Champion, Mike G, Kel Smith, Omar Apollo, Orion Sun, Playboi Carti, Rio, Rampha, Red, Syd, Tommy Richman, Vince Staples, Wisp, Yves Tumor Organizations: Business, Dodger, Odd, Super, Concrete, Mafia Locations: Angeles, Los Angeles, Raye

☆ The world's most accurate economist predicts the election outcome and its potential shock impact on the 10-year Treasury
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Right now, he has his sights set on the US election, with its high stakes and wide range of economic possibilities. AdvertisementThe third scenario is a Trump win with a Republican sweep, which Barraud believes is the most likely outcome. In the short term, it would have a positive impact on US economic growth, creating a GDP boost in 2025 between 2.1% and 2.3%, he said. If Harris wins with a dividend Congress, yields could drop further from where they are, he said. This time, election forecasting includes monitoring multiple poll-betting markets with the highest volume of users to gauge election outcomes.

Persons: Christophe Barraud, —, Barraud, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Trump, there's, Harris Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Market Securities Monaco, Trump, Republican Locations: Washington

☆ USF men’s basketball coach Amir Abdur-Rahim dies at 43 from complications during surgery
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Matt Baker | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +3 min

South Florida men’s basketball coach Amir Abdur-Rahim died Thursday while undergoing a medical procedure, the school confirmed. “All of us with South Florida Athletics are grieving with the loved ones of Coach Abdur-Rahim,” athletic director Michael Kelly said in a statement. Coach Abdur-Rahim leaves a lasting impact on our student-athletes, the University, and the community.”AdvertisementAbdur-Rahim was seen as a rising star in the profession and a potential major program coach. “In a very short time, Coach Abdur-Rahim made an indelible impact on the University of South Florida,” school president Rhea Law said. “Throughout my time working with Coach Abdur-Rahim, I was continually inspired by his leadership, and truly admired his sincere approach to connecting with our entire student body.

Persons: Amir Abdur, Rahim, Abdur, Michael Kelly, Rhea Law, ” Corey Staniscia, ’, Staniscia, “ I’m, ” Staniscia, “, ” Abdur, Arianne Buchanan, Laila, Lana, Aydin, Shareef, Edward Waters, Chris Jones Organizations: Florida men’s, South Florida Athletics, Bulls Nation, University, Bulls, American Athletic Conference, South, Kennesaw State, Southeastern, University of South, Starbucks, NBA Locations: Tampa, South Florida, Georgia, Southeastern Louisiana, Texas, University of South Florida

☆ How investors should navigate the S&P 500 likely trailing bonds and inflation for the next decade, according to Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Goldman Sachs forecasts muted S&P 500 gains, with a 3% annual return over 10 years. Diversification and equal-weighted S&P 500 exposure may offer better long-term returns. The bank's most bearish scenario would see the S&P 500 decline by an annual 1%, while its more positive calls for a gain of 7%. Goldman SachsAdding an exchange-traded fund that tracks the equal-weighted S&P 500 could be one way to go about it. AdvertisementFurthermore, investors should consider a more mixed asset portfolio of stocks and bonds without tilting toward one more than the other.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, David Kostin, Goldman, There's, Christian Mueller Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Treasury

☆ Investors are piling into real estate as values skyrocket by up to 38%. 13 metros with the highest gains, and 25 that are plunging.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-19 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Mortgage rates stayed high despite rate cuts, attracting cash-heavy investors to the housing market. AdvertisementDespite the central bank cutting interest rates, mortgage rates haven't followed suit. RedfinBut whether they're buying or selling, investors have been doing quite well regarding capital gains, says Elijah de la Campa, a senior economist at Redfin. Below is a list of the 39 major metro areas in descending order of median capital gains over the past year into June. What stands out most to de la Campa is that many areas with the highest capital gains are affordable, particularly Philadelphia and Warren, MI.

Persons: —, Lily Katz, Katz, Elijah de la, Campa Organizations: Providence, Service, Investors Locations: Cities, San Jose, Denver, Oakland, San Jose , CA, Portland, Oakland , CA, Providence , RI, Philadelphia, Warren , MI

☆ 18 stocks to buy now, including the top tactical options trades to make ahead of earnings, according to Goldman Sachs
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-13 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Market sentiment can be gauged by following options traders' actions and fair-value gaps. Goldman Sachs predicts a relief rally for 18 stocks with positive options market sentiment. But if you get it right, you're rewarded with outsize returns. Not only that, but analysts at Goldman Sachs have found that the options market implies average earnings-day moves of 6% in either direction for S&P 500 stocks. Below is the list of 18 stocks which includes their options-implied stock move and the strike price for each contract.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, —, outsize, Goldman, John Marshall Organizations: Service, Federal

☆ 8 of the savviest loopholes wealthy investors use to reduce or avoid capital gains tax
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-12 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

It could be a bad idea to keep a stock solely to skip out on realizing capital gains. The right advice can buy time, reduce tax burdens, or even avoid them altogether without breaking any laws. "So, a tax-loss-harvesting type of trading will take place and then you are reducing your capital gains taxes." This grants them a tax deduction while skipping out on capital gains tax. Even some of our hedge fund managers who get compensation through carried interests of capital gains can defer those capital gains and even avoid them."

Persons: —, Lapsiwala, John Pantekidis, Pantekidis, It's Organizations: Service, DAF

☆ 15 stocks top funds and legendary investors are piling into, including those held most by billionaires like Warren Buffett and Ken Fisher
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The S&P 500 and Vanguard's Total Stock Market Index Fund have surged over 30% in 2024. GuruFocus tracks top investors' stock picks, highlighting 15 popular stocks among gurus. The stock market has boom-and-bust cycles and periods of sector rotations. Some have taken to copying the so-called investing gurus of our world. The bucket of allocators adds up to more than 140 investors and funds, including Buffett and Fisher.

Persons: Ken Fisher, Warren Buffett, contrarian, —, it's, He's, Buffett, Fisher Organizations: Market, Service, Market Index

☆ Less than half of Americans believe they're on track for retirement. Here's how to know and what to do if you're not.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-09 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

A divide exists about reaching financial goals between confident and uncertain savers. Inflation and market volatility are major obstacles to achieving retirement savings goals. AdvertisementThere's a divide in America between the savers and investors who feel confident they're on track to achieve their financial goals and those who think they're not. Respondents cited inflation as the biggest obstacle to reaching retirement goals, followed by stock-market volatility, expenses, credit card debt, and child education. For example, if you're 35 with an income of $100,000, you should have between $100,000 to $200,000 set aside for retirement.

Persons: —, Rob Williams, Charles Schwab, boomer, Gen, Williams, you've, there's Organizations: Service, Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: America

☆ This one career mistake may be costing you $300,000 in retirement savings. Here's how to avoid it.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-08 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

But there's one hiccup: your retirement savings rate could fall behind and the opportunity costs could pile up. The reason is that the most common default savings rate was quite low, at only 3%. Those who saw a raise below 10% saw a drop in their savings rate and the dollar amount they saved. Those lucky enough to snag an increase above 10%, still ended up with a higher dollar amount saved even with a lower savings rate. For passive savers who are stuck in their ways, it may be up to employers to make the adjustments by increasing the default savings rate.

Persons: switchers, —, It's Organizations: Service, Vanguard

☆ The top 65 stocks and ETFs changing the world with AI out of 3,400 companies, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

AI investment potential remains high, akin to 1996 in the internet's rise, says Bank of America. Considering how much the web has grown since then, this analogy means the potential gains from AI stocks aren't yet fully priced in. As for the widespread use of AI, the bank forecasts early-stage adoption will begin in 2025 for 44% of S&P 500 companies that discussed AI during their second-quarter earnings. AdvertisementInvestors can also choose to take the stock-picking route or buy ETFs packaged with AI stocks. As for single stocks, Bank of America compiled feedback from 130 fundamental equity analysts to get a list of their top "buy-rated" American companies with AI exposure.

Persons: — Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Global, Robotics, Intelligence, Technology, US Tech, Sector

☆ As forex markets await political shocks, one tipping point could lead to a 'catastrophic trade' that unwinds markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-05 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The yen carry trade unwind in August led to a temporary market pullback and recovery. AdvertisementThe foreign exchange market has been eerily quiet since the yen carry trade unwind. Much of the moves from the yen carry unwinding witnessed in August happened at this layer, Barrett said. But what we've seen in the yen carry trade is only the beginning, Barrett said. "Now, you may not think that's a yen carry trade, but it's absolutely the purest yen carry trade because all of that pension fund money started off as yen," Barrett said.

Persons: —, David Barrett, allocators, unwinding, Barrett, It's, it's, Harris, David, Trump Organizations: Service, EBC Financial, Bank of, Bloomberg, Big Tech, Nvidia Locations: Bank of Japan, Japan

☆ The smart money is bracing for a stock-market pullback with 2 options strategies. Why one works better in the current environment.
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-04 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

Investors are seeking S&P 500 downside protection as rate cuts shift focus to growth concerns. S&P 500 long-dated put options are a preferred approach int he current market environment. Demand for downside protection on the S&P 500 is starting to build. But one approach that's beginning to pick up, with advantages in the current market environment, is hedging S&P 500 downside through options contracts. Annually, the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) — a measurement of implied volatility — gradually rises starting in the middle of summer and into October.

Persons: —, Tanvir Sandhu, Sandhu, Brent Organizations: Service, Bloomberg Intelligence

☆ The godfather of black-swan hedging explains why mounting US debt and the weaponization of the dollar are leading risks today
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-02 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

He criticizes the US for high debt and low growth, leading a fragile financial system. He highlighted the four categories of debt-based countries: those with low growth and high or low debt, and those with high growth and high or low debt. The US is in the category of low growth and high debt. However, if a country accumulates high debt, then continued growth is required to absorb it, he noted. At present, Taleb doesn't believe that the ballooning debt could be solved politically or by increased demand for US bonds.

Persons: Nassim Taleb, —, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Scott Patterson, Patterson, Taleb, It's, Brandon Yarckin, isn't, Mark Spitznagel Organizations: Service, Universa Investments, Bank Locations: Russia, US

☆ A world-champion quant trader with a 491% annual return shares an easy pattern that's profitable in 72% of test samples and can be manually executed
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-28 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

He's a quant fund manager who uses hundreds of models to execute trades across multiple assets. And he's good at what he does: in the 2023 World Cup Championship of Futures Trading, Scherman finished first with a 491.4% return, according to competition records. I was trading in the Argentina market," Scherman said. This is because a trader can't predict the next market regime and must prove that their thesis can survive changes. "I need to have the capital to recover from that loss," Scherman said.

Persons: Ivan Scherman, —, Scherman, hadn't, David Aronson, shouldn't, it's Organizations: Futures, Service, New York Stock Exchange, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, University of Buenos, Argentine Financial Markets Institute Locations: Buenos Aires, Argentina, University of Buenos Aires

☆ About 45% of Americans will run out of money in retirement, including those who invested and diversified. Here are the 4 biggest mistakes being made.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-25 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. According to a simulated model that factors in things like changes in health, nursing home costs, and demographics, about 45% of Americans who leave the workforce at 65 are likely to run out of money during retirement. When you have more leisure time on your hands, more money goes toward entertainment and travel, especially in the first few years of retirement. The outcome is a higher withdrawal rate, which can push you into a higher tax bracket, he noted. "People don't take into account how expensive things get over time, not realizing that they can live another 40 years in retirement.

Persons: —, Spencer Look, they're, JoePat Roop, Roop, Bob, would've, it'll, Gil Baumgarten, Baumgarten, it's Organizations: Service, Morningstar's Center for Retirement, Business, Belmont Capital Advisors, IRA, IRS, Wealth Management Locations: breakeven

☆ As interest rates drop, ultra-rich investors are giving up their cash for risk assets. Here's what they're buying.
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-24 | by ( Laila Maidan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Citi Private Bank's latest Global Family Office survey showed that family offices had already been moving into risk assets well before the central bank began cutting. Citi Private Bank's latest Global Family Office survey. Related storiesSo far, the move toward equities has translated into a rush for big tech's AI, which remains a favorite among family offices. AdvertisementWhen it comes to real estate, family offices often prefer private investments. AdvertisementFixed incomeThe number one goal for any family office is the preservation of capital.

Persons: —, Richard Weintraub, Bank's, haven't, Weintraub, REITs Organizations: Service, Citi, Bank's, Business, Treasury Locations: American

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