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Experts say Trudeau's carbon pricing scheme, known as the carbon tax, works well and cannot be easily replaced. Even the left-leaning New Democrats, who support Trudeau's government in parliament and have previously defended the carbon tax, are calling for the exemption. Analysts said the carbon tax carve-out is another example of inconsistent policy. CARBON TAX REBATEThe carbon tax is intended to discourage use of fossil fuels and accelerate a switch to clean energy, but the recent carve-out underlines how fragile climate policy is in the face of pressing political calculations. In September, Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem said the carbon tax contributes about 0.15 percentage points to the inflation rate, which was 3.8% that month.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Jessica Lee, Richard Brooks, Brooke, Brooks, Chris Severson, Baker, Pierre Poilievre, clobber Trudeau, Shachi Kurl, Angus Reid, Kurl, Jonathan Wilkinson, Wilkinson, Macklem, Trudeau, Robert Asselin, Asselin, Nia Williams, Steve Scherer, Josie Kao Organizations: Canada's, Ontario Chamber, Economic Summit, REUTERS, Rights Ottawa, Canadian, Provincial, New Democrats, Pembina Institute, Liberal, Conservative, Angus Reid Institute, Atlantic, Natural Resources, Reuters, Bank of Canada, Business Council of Canada, The Business Council, Thomson Locations: Toronto , Ontario, Canada, Ottawa

☆ Analysis: Canada's Trudeau, far behind in polls, remains the Liberals' best chance
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-11 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

[1/3] Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks at the close of the Seventh Assembly of the Global Environment Facility (GEF) in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada August 25, 2023. Right now, most opinion polls show Trudeau significantly trailing his newest rival, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. But none are perceived to be as scrappy and determined at retail politics as Trudeau is, Liberal insiders and pollsters say. No Canadian prime minister since Wilfrid Laurier in 1908 has won four consecutive elections. In 2015, Ekos had the Liberals down 22 percentage points in the spring and Trudeau won a majority in the fall.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Chris Helgren, Liberal Party's, Trudeau, Pierre Poilievre, Chrystia Freeland, Mark Carney, Wilfrid Laurier, Frank Graves, I'm, HOUDINI, Poilievre, Angus Reid, Shachi Kurl, Darrell Bricker, It's, Ekos, We've, we've, Kurl, Houdini, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Denny Thomas, David Gregorio Our Organizations: Seventh Assembly of, Global Environment, REUTERS, Rights OTTAWA, Canadian, Liberal, Conservative, Conservatives, Liberal Party, Ekos Research, Angus Reid Institute, Liberals, Ipsos Public Affairs, Thomson Locations: Vancouver , British Columbia, Canada, Trudeau's, British Columbia, New Delhi

☆ Trudeau's main rival offers affordable government in first convention speech
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-09 | by ( Fergal Smith | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Canada's Conservative Party of Canada leader Pierre Poilievre speaks during Question Period in the House of Commons on Parliament Hill in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada April 19, 2023. "A common-sense Conservative government that frees hardworking people to earn powerful paycheques that buy affordable food, gas and homes in safe neighborhoods," Poilievre said at the convention in Quebec City. In Friday's address, Poilievre promised to balance the federal budget if the Conservatives won the next election. An Angus Reid poll on Thursday showed the Conservatives at 39% public support, with the Liberals on 27%. Additonal reporting by David Ljunggren and Steve Scherer in Ottawa; Editing by Diane CraftOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Pierre Poilievre, Blair Gable, Justin Trudeau's, Poilievre, Trudeau, Angus Reid, Shachi Kurl, Kurl, it's, Stephen Guilbeault, David Ljunggren, Steve Scherer, Diane Craft Organizations: Canada's Conservative Party of Canada, REUTERS, Conservative Party, Conservative, New Democratic Party, Conservatives, Liberals, Liberal, Federal, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada, Quebec City, Ottawa

☆ Canada's Trudeau sets sights on fourth election fight with Cabinet refresh
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

With a string of recent polls showing the left-leaning Liberals trailing their right-of-center Conservative rivals after almost eight years in power, Trudeau changed or shifted three-quarters of his cabinet. But with the influential Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, who is also deputy prime minister, keeping her job, some analysts are questioning the real impact of the changes. But the deal is not binding and Trudeau needs his campaign team ready to go at any time. No Canadian prime minister since Wilfrid Laurier in 1908 has won four consecutive elections. "Any advantage the Conservatives have on this may well evaporate if we see inflation and interest rates 'normalize' by the next election."

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Liberal leader's, Trudeau, Pierre Poilievre, Justin, flation, Frank Graves, it's, Chrystia Freeland, Robert Asselin, Wilfrid Laurier, Shachi Kurl, Angus Reid, Steve Scherer, David Ljunggren, Marguerita Choy Organizations: OTTAWA, Canadian, Liberal, Liberals, Conservative, Abacus, Conservatives, EKOS Research, Business Council of Canada, New Democrats, Angus Reid Institute, Thomson

[1/5] Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau poses for a family photo with cabinet ministers, following a cabinet shuffle, at Rideau Hall, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, July 26, 2023. Dominic LeBlanc becomes public safety minister, taking over for Marco Mendicino, and Arif Virani moves from the back benches to become justice minister. "The shuffle does send a clear message that the government is aware that their current standing with the electorate is not healthy." An Abacus Data poll out on Wednesday shows his party opening up a big lead on the Liberals with 38% to 28% in public support. Poilievre pounced on the shuffle, calling it evidence of the prime minister's failures.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Blair Gable OTTAWA, Trudeau, Chrystia Freeland, Francois, Philippe Champagne, Melanie Joly, Sean Fraser, Dominic LeBlanc, Marco Mendicino, Arif Virani, Bill Blair, Anita Anand, Frank Graves, Pierre Poilievre, Poilievre pounced, Shachi Kurl, Angus Reid, David Ljunggren, Steve Scherer, Paul Simao, Mark Heinrich, Deepa Babington Organizations: Canada's, Rideau Hall, REUTERS, Canadian, Finance, Innovation, Infrastructure, Defense, Conservative, Abacus, Twitter, New Democrats, Angus, Angus Reid Institute, Conservatives, Liberals, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada

The official opposition Conservatives, who blame Trudeau for housing shortage and spiking inflation, have consistently been ahead in the polls for over year. "Bringing in fresh energy with new members and new challenges was important for our economic team in particular," Trudeau told reporters after the shuffle. [1/5]Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau poses for a family photo with cabinet ministers, following a cabinet shuffle, at Rideau Hall, in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, July 26, 2023. REUTERS/Blair GableConservative leader Pierre Poilievre pounced on the shuffle, calling it evidence of the prime minister's failures. "Justin Trudeau may have fired many of his cabinet ministers today, but he's just as out of touch as ever, doubling down on his inflationary, high-spending and high-taxing ways," he said in a statement.

Persons: Justin Trudeau, Trudeau, Chrystia Freeland, Francois, Philippe Champagne, Melanie Joly, Sean Fraser, Frank Graves, Blair Gable, Pierre Poilievre pounced, Jagmeet Singh, Kurl, Angus Reid, David Ljunggren, Steve Scherer, Ismail Shakil, Paul Simao, Mark Heinrich, Deepa Babington, Mark Porter Organizations: OTTAWA, Canadian, Liberal, Finance, Innovation, Infrastructure, Conservatives, Abacus, Canada's, Rideau Hall, REUTERS, Blair Gable Conservative, New Democrats, New, Angus, Angus Reid Institute, Liberals, Thomson Locations: Ottawa , Ontario, Canada

[1/2] Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party (UCP) gestures during her party's provincial election night party after a projected win in Calgary, Alberta, Canada May 29, 2023. Smith, leader of the United Conservative Party (UCP), defeated left-leaning New Democratic Party leader Rachel Notley on Monday, and immediately targeted Trudeau, threatening the country's ambitious climate goals. Some analysts have said deep emissions cuts are not possible without reducing oil production, which Smith fiercely opposes. "As premier I cannot under any circumstances allow these contemplated federal policies to be inflicted upon Albertans." "One of the challenges is there is a political class in Alberta that has decided that anything to do with climate change is going to be bad for them or for Alberta," Trudeau told Reuters in a January interview.

☆ Canada's Justin Trudeau may be struggling but he still commands his party
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-04 | by ( Steve Scherer | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

OTTAWA, May 4 (Reuters) - Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will kick off what is likely to be the last Liberal Party convention before the next election on Thursday, and though fatigue with his government has deepened there is little question that he is fully in command of his party. Though some cabinet members and former central banker Mark Carney appear to have ambitions to lead the party after Trudeau, no one has come out publicly against him. "Trudeau is the party brand, for better or worse," said Shachi Kurl, president of Angus Reid research group. Conservatives would win 35% of the vote compared to 29% for the Liberals, according to the Angus Reid poll. But in Montreal, the Liberals lead 38% to 15%, and in the suburbs of Toronto the Liberals are ahead 40% to 34%, Angus Reid said.

OTTAWA, Nov 16 (Reuters) - Canada's Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is coming under pressure from populist conservative rivals as the country veers toward a possible recession, with provinces vowing to oppose some of his Liberal government's key policies. New federal Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is leading the charge, blaming Trudeau for skyrocketing inflation and laying responsibility for a housing shortage on "gatekeepers" in Ottawa. Both Alberta and Saskatchewan have lost court bids to overturn federal carbon pricing already. Alberta, Saskatchewan and other conservative-led provinces also oppose an assault-rifle buyback the Trudeau government is promising for next year. ECONOMIC HEADWINDSQuebec is a prime example of historical tension between Ottawa and the provinces.

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