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☆ Stockton: Market returns following a first Fed rate cut historically tends to be bearish
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStockton: Market returns following a first Fed rate cut historically tends to be bearishFairlead's Katie Stockton looks at the key technical levels for the major averages following the Fed's first rate cut in four years.

Persons: Katie Stockton Locations: Stockton

☆ The big post-Fed rally could get tested in week ahead: 'A lot holds in the balance' of the next few days
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-20 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average topped 42,000 this week for the first time ever, while the S & P 500 breached the 5,700 milestone, after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a half-percentage point. "A lot holds in the balance of the next couple or few days," said Katie Stockton, founder at Fairlead Strategies. .SPX 5D mountain S & P 500 On Friday, the 30-stock Dow, the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite each closed higher by more than 1% for the week. The breakout is "'pending confirmation,'" Stockton said. Overall, Stockton expects that the longer-term setup for the S & P 500 is "a bit overdone."

Persons: Katie Stockton, Stockton, That's, Sam Stovall, Gee, Christopher Waller, Jerome Powell, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones, Federal Reserve, Dow, Nasdaq, Stockton, CFRA, Fed, Chicago, PMI, Richmond Fed, New, Micron Technology, Transportation, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Costco Wholesale, PCE Deflator, PCE Locations: . Kansas, Michigan

☆ Apple shares are breaking down and could be under pressure for months, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-16 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.

Persons: AAPL, Headwind, — Katie Stockton Organizations: Apple, AAPL, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AAPL

☆ Market Navigator: Natural gas indicated to the upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket Navigator: Natural gas indicated to the upsideKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder, joins 'Power Lunch' to discuss options for trading natural gas to the upside.

Persons: Katie Stockton

☆ The energy sector decline is overdone and this stock could lead the bounce, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-12 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: DVN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Devon Energy, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: Devon

☆ As markets crater, key levels to watch on the S&P 500 as it nears correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Fred Imbert | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Data released Friday showed 114,000 jobs were created last month, far below a Dow Jones estimate of 185,000. The S & P 500, accounting for Monday's expected losses, will be down around 9% from its recent high. She sees support emerging for the S & P 500 around the 5,000 level, or another 6.5% from here. If market conditions get very dire in the meantime, there is a chance the Federal Reserve could step in, investors hope. "The fed funds rate right now should be somewhere between 3.5% and 4%," he said .

Persons: Dow Jones, Katie Stockton, There's, Stockton, CNBC's, Jeremy Siegel, They've Organizations: Nikkei, Federal, Wharton Locations: Japan, U.S

☆ Prepare for a new high-volatility market regime
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

A spike in the VIX of this magnitude has not occurred since 2020, when the COVID-19 related decline in the S & P 500 was maturing. We believe another high-volatility regime is upon us, with the prolonged low-volatility regime that preceded it coming to an abrupt halt. If our long-term trend following measures were to deteriorate behind the S & P 500, we would be more inclined to reduce exposure. A rebound in the S & P 500 (i.e., a VIX pullback) can be used to hedge partial exposure from a top-down perspective. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: It's, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ A seasonal correction and momentum to the downside has begun: Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA seasonal correction and momentum to the downside has begun: Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to make of the market sell-off, and more.

Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton

☆ This under-the-radar drug stock is undergoing a long-term turnaround, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: drugmaker, VTRS, Katie Stockton Organizations: CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ This health-care stock just broke out higher and shows little signs of slowing down, according to charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

During earnings season, we can gain value from the charts by judging how stocks react to their reports. We are especially mindful of support and resistance levels, watching for breakouts and breakdowns as technical catalysts. This supports upside follow-through for IQV in the weeks ahead towards resistance from a Fibonacci retracement level near $258. We ultimately expect the stock to retest final resistance, near $285, with a long-term time horizon. Long-term support on the chart is defined by the weekly cloud model, which rises to roughly $215 next month.

Persons: Katie Stockton, Will Tamplin Organizations: IQVIA Holdings, IQV, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: IQV

☆ A transportation stock is setting up for an oversold bounce, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-15 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: DAL, Katie Stockton Organizations: Delta Air Lines, DAL, DeMARK, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ French stocks ETF looks poised to resume uptrend following election, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Despite the pullback, a primary uptrend remains in place for the CAC 40, in addition to the related iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ) . Both proxies for French stocks appear to be finding their footing, which suggests that the market is welcoming the latest news regarding the election. Once the final outcome is determined, it would be natural for investors to respond favorably to the removal of uncertainty, particularly given the oversold status of French stocks. This suggests a counter-trend phase of outperformance is possible for French stocks versus U.S. stocks. Recent stabilization in many French stocks shows a positive reaction to widespread intermediate-term oversold conditions, which we gauge using the weekly stochastic oscillator.

Persons: LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton, Katie Stockton Organizations: CAC, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: France, EWQ

☆ Stock market today: US stocks rise to records ahead of key June inflation report
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

US stocks jumped to record highs ahead of key economic data releases this week. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped to record highs on Monday ahead of key economic data scheduled for this week. Investors will be keenly focused on the June consumer price index report on Thursday, with Core CPI expected to rise 3.1% year-over-year, compared to May's CPI report of 3.3%. More inflation data will be released on Friday with the release of the June PPI report, which is expected to rise 0.1% on a month-over-month basis. The new inflation data will help inform investors and the Federal Reserve about the path of interest rates for the rest of this year.

Persons: Powell, —, Jerome Powell, Wells, Katie Stockton, Stockton Organizations: PPI, Service, Federal Reserve, Fed, Fed Governors, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Here's Locations: Wells Fargo

☆ Still some downside to bitcoin within a long-term uptrend, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStill some downside to bitcoin within a long-term uptrend, says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss bitcoin's recently volatility, latest market trends, and more.

Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton

☆ Cathie Wood's ARK Innovation ETF poised to break out of its sideways trading, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-01 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: Cathie, ARKK, Katie Stockton Organizations: Innovation, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: ARKK

☆ Bitcoin is close to breaching a key support level that could trigger another 15% slide
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-24 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

Bitcoin's 16% sell-off this month is testing a key support level at around $60,000. This support level is bolstered by Bitcoin's 200-day moving average of just under $58,000. A break below $60,000 could lead to a 15% decline to the next support level at $51,500. AdvertisementThe steady decline in bitcoin this month has the cryptocurrency testing a key support level that could ultimately give way to a more painful sell-off. But if it doesn't, and bitcoin decisively breaks below $60,000, that suggests the token could continue its descent to its next support level at around $51,500.

Persons: —, Bitcoin, Katie Stockton, bitcoin, Stockton Organizations: Service Locations: bitcoin

☆ Bitcoin is sending a warning that the stock market is about to sell off, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Bitcoin's 10% sell-off since June 7 signals a warning for the broader stock market. AdvertisementBitcoin's 10% sell-off since June 7 is sending a warning sign to the broader stock market, according to Stifel strategist Barry Bannister. Bitcoin's inability to hit new record highs suggests the stock market is likely to play catch-up as it's set to decline in line with the cryptocurrency, according to the note. Bannister isn't the only analyst on Wall Street taking stock market cues from bitcoin. AdvertisementAdding to Bannister's conviction of an imminent stock market sell-off is the Federal Reserve, which could keep interest rates higher for longer to combat still-elevated inflation.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, —, bitcoin, Bannister isn't, Katie Stockton, Stockton, " Bannister Organizations: Nasdaq, Service, Nvidia, Apple, Wall, Fairlead, CNBC, Federal Reserve, Big Tech

☆ Still believe in this bull market cycle for both equities and bitcoin: Fairlead’s Katie Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStill believe in this bull market cycle for both equities and bitcoin: Fairlead’s Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, Fairlead Strategies founder and managing partner, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of bitcoin, Treasury yields, and more.

Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton Locations: bitcoin

☆ It's the hottest stock in the S&P 500 this month. When the charts say it's time to sell
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-17 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Persons: AVGO, Katie Stockton Organizations: Broadcom Inc, Nvidia, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: AVGO

☆ Stockton: The steady uptrend we've seen in tech since October may not keep repeating itself
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStockton: The steady uptrend we've seen in tech since October may not keep repeating itselfFairlead Strategies founder & managing partner Katie Stockton says there are some market signals and trends indicating trading, particularly in the tech sector, could be dotted with some corrective periods in coming weeks and months.

Persons: Katie Stockton Locations: Stockton

☆ Katie Stockton on whether it's time to start worrying about the weak market breadth
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The major averages have been able to push higher recently, but there are signs that market breadth is deteriorating in a negative divergence. —Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein.

Persons: Russell, Katie Stockton Organizations: NYSE, Tactical Sector, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: U.S

☆ European equities beginning to outpace U.S., says Fairlead Strategies' Katie Stockton
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEuropean equities beginning to outpace U.S., says Fairlead Strategies' Katie StocktonKatie Stockton, founder and managing partner of Fairlead Strategies, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss European markets, yield moves, and more.

Persons: Katie Stockton Katie Stockton Locations: U.S

☆ The bounce in long-suffering solar stocks could be for real, according to the charts
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-03 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Persons: TAN, Katie Stockton Organizations: Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: TAN

☆ The charts indicate a long-term turnaround underway in natural gas. Here's a stock to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Katie Stockton | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Natural gas futures have cleared their 200-day moving average and appear to have entered a long-term basing process. Given the potential for a long-term turnaround phase in natural gas prices, we were drawn to the energy sector as a source of potential long-term stock opportunities. Secondary resistance for natural gas comes from a Fibonacci retracement level near $3.50/MMBtu. How to play it One of the natural gas-related stocks that sets up well from a technical perspective is Cheniere Energy (LNG) , which is a provider of liquified natural gas. Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only.

Persons: Katie Stockton Organizations: Energy, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities

☆ Nvidia’s earnings will be in focus next week as stocks try to sustain record levels
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-17 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

The S & P 500 broke above 5,300, also for the first time. The S & P 500 has notched record close after record close in 2024. This quarter, the top-performing S & P 500 sector is utilities, higher by 9%, followed by communication services, up by 4%. The S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each closed out a fourth straight week of gains. Sustaining all-time highs Nvidia's earnings will also be a key catalyst at a time when technicians are watching to see whether stocks can sustain the record levels they reached this week.

Persons: what's, they're, Jay Woods, hadn't, Piper Sandler's Harsh Kumar, Kumar, Jensen Huang, Blackwell, Zachary Hill, Chris Zaccarelli, Zaccarelli, Woods, Katie Stockton, Stockton, TJX Cos, Raymond James Thursday, Ralph Lauren Friday, Nick Wells Organizations: Nvidia, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Freedom Capital, Dow, Nasdaq, Independent, Alto Networks, Devices, Target, Chicago, PMI, New, . Kansas City Fed, Intuit Locations: Stockton, . Kansas

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