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Under Trump, the U.S. Department of Education is likely to abandon its efforts to deliver wide-scale student loan relief , experts say. It has done so mostly by improving existing student loan relief programs that had long been plagued by problems, including the Public Service Loan Forgiveness initiative and income-driven repayment plans. In June, U.S. District Judge Daniel Crabtree in Wichita, Kansas, described student loan forgiveness as having an "irreversible impact," in his decision to block one of the Biden administration's relief measures. For example, in February, some borrowers saw their debts reinstated under the Public Service Loan Forgiveness program. In a new report, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau cites, among the errors reported by student loan borrowers, "balance reinstatements," in which a loan servicer tacks a loan balance back on to one's account.
Persons: I've, Trump, Mark Kantrowitz, who've, Joe Biden, Betsy Mayotte, Daniel Crabtree, Biden, aren't, Kantrowitz, they've, tacks Organizations: Trump, U.S . Department of Education, Education Department, Public, The, Student Loan Advisors, District, Finance, Black, College Investor, Consumer Financial, Bureau Locations: U.S, Wichita , Kansas
This week, the new Free Application for Federal Student Aid expanded its "phased rollout" so all students can now apply for aid for the upcoming academic year. Up until Monday, the 2025-26 FAFSA was only available to limited groups of students in a series of beta tests that began on Oct. 1. Now, the form is open to all and the Department of Education has said it will be out of testing entirely by Nov. 22 — which puts the official launch ahead of schedule. This year, the plan was to be available to all students and contributors on or before Dec. 1. Students who submit a form during this final "expanded beta" phase before Nov. 22 will not need to submit a subsequent 2025–26 FAFSA form, the Education Department said.
Persons: FAFSA, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Federal Student Aid, Department of Education, Education Department, Finance
10'000 Hours | Digitalvision | Getty ImagesCurrent borrowers should remain entitled to reliefWhile the program remains in effect, borrowers are entitled to the relief, said Betsy Mayotte, president of The Institute of Student Loan Advisors, a nonprofit. "PSLF is written into federal law, by a Republican president, and it would take an act of Congress to eliminate it." That means current borrowers would still be able to work toward loan forgiveness under the program. "So, worst-case scenario, it would be for loans made on or after the date of such a law enactment," Mayotte said. "Most likely the change would apply only to new borrowers," Kantrowitz said.
Persons: Betsy Mayotte, Mark Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Trump Organizations: Getty, The, Student Loan Advisors, Republican, Republicans, Senate, GOP, Finance, CNBC Locations: Mayotte
What Trump's win could mean for student loan forgiveness
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Annie Nova | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
St. Louis-based U.S. District Judge Matthew Schelp, a Trump appointee, issued the latest preliminary injunction against Biden's revised student loan forgiveness plan. Student loan forgiveness likely to dry up under TrumpU.S. President Joe Biden speaks as he announces a new plan for federal student loan relief during a visit to Madison Area Technical College Truax Campus, in Madison, Wisconsin, U.S, April 8, 2024. Kevin Lamarque | ReutersBiden has forgiven more federal student debt than any other president. It has done so mostly by improving existing student loan relief programs that had long been plagued by problems. "The Biden administration has been making periodic announcements about loan forgiveness," Kantrowitz said.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump's, Trump, Mark Kantrowitz, Joe Biden's, Biden, Matthew Schelp, Biden's, Kantrowitz, Joe Biden, Kevin Lamarque, Reuters Biden, George W, Bush, Mike Pierce, Mario Tama Organizations: U.S . Department, Trump, Biden, District, Center for American, Congressional Research Service, Trump U.S, Madison Area Technical, Truax, Reuters, Education Department, Public, Senate, Protection Center, University of Southern, USC, Getty Locations: Racine , Wisconsin, Louis, U.S, Madison , Wisconsin, University of Southern California, Los Angeles , California
Mortgage ratesHousing affordability has been a major issue due in part to a sharp rise in mortgage rates since the pandemic. Trump has said he'll bring down mortgage rates — even though 15- and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed, and tied to Treasury yields and the economy. Mortgage rates are unlikely to fall significantly, given the current climate, explained Jacob Channel, senior economist at LendingTree. Federal student loan rates are fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected. But refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options.
Persons: Joshua Roberts, Matt Schulz, Trump, Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds, Trump's, Caldwell, Michele Raneri, Jacob Channel, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Federal, Reuters, Auto, Fed, Treasury, TransUnion, Mortgage, Association . Locations: Washington ,, Edmunds, U.S
Due to this, Piper Sandler has unveiled a list of stocks that it views as most sensitive to government spending. "If Trump wins, these stocks are likely to be hurt by cuts in government spending," Piper Sandler's chief investment strategist Michael Kantrowitz said in a recent note to clients. The company was the top recipient of defense contracts from the Department of Defense in fiscal 2023, being awarded $61.4 billion in defense spending. During September's presidential debate, Trump clashed with Harris over funding efforts, with Harris accusing Trump of being prepared to abandon consistent U.S. support for Ukraine . In that area, Humana , which offers Medicare Advantage plans, and UnitedHealth are two names Piper Sandler thinks could be affected.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump's, Elon Musk, Musk, Piper Sandler, Piper, Michael Kantrowitz, Kamala, Harris, machinists, Lockheed Martin Organizations: U.S, SpaceX, Republican, Trump, Boeing, Lockheed, Department of Defense, Ukraine, Humana Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is making a mistake by cutting rates next week: Jim BiancoJim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, and Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the market's response to the October jobs report, how rising yields could impact markets, and more.
Persons: Jim Bianco Jim Bianco, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, CNBC's Organizations: Bianco Research
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Bianco Research's Jim Bianco and Piper Sandler's Michael KantrowitzJim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, and Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss the market's response to the October jobs report, how rising yields could impact markets, and more.
Persons: Bianco, Jim Bianco, Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz Jim Bianco, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, CNBC's Organizations: Bianco Research
The "phased rollout" of the new Free Application for Federal Student Aid is on track for the upcoming academic year, the U.S. Department of Education says. So far, the 2025-26 FAFSA has been available to limited groups of students in a series of beta tests that began on Oct. 1. It will become available to all students and contributors on or before Dec. 1, the Education Department said. As of Oct. 29, the government's FAFSA Issues page lists 22 unresolved issues, down from 25 a few weeks ago, he said. "We've made a lot of progress resolving those issues and we are now seeing more students able to complete their form."
Persons: James Kvaal, Mark Kantrowitz, We've, Kvaal Organizations: Federal Student, U.S . Department of Education, Education Department, Education, CNBC, Finance, Ivy League
Earnings momentum can mean the difference between whether to buy stocks that have expensive valuations or not, according to Piper Sandler. That group was named to the "hold" list, while the others were deemed part of the "fold" cohort. CNBC Pro compiled a handful of names from each list exclusively for subscribers: The 'hold' list Nvidia was one of several buzzy names on the list of hold stocks. While it has a price-to-earnings multiple for the next 12 months at 36.615, it has an earnings revision ratio of 0.597. The home improvement retailer has a negative earnings revision ratio of 0.589 on top of a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 26.691.
Persons: Piper Sandler, Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, LSEG, Berkshire Hathaway, McDonald's Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Berkshire, Depot, LSEG Locations: Chicago
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's going to be difficult for Netflix to keep hiking prices, says Big Tech's Alex KantrowitzAlex Kantrowitz, Big Technology, joins 'Closing Bell' to discuss his expectation for Netflix earnings.
Persons: Big, Alex Kantrowitz Alex Kantrowitz Organizations: Netflix, Big Technology
The firm sees no immediate catalysts like surging interest rates or inflation to trigger a downturn. AdvertisementInvestors worried that the stock market is overvalued shouldn't sell stocks, according to a Monday note from Piper Sandler. AdvertisementWithout an imminent spike in interest rates, the unemployment rate, or inflation, the stock market should continue its upward trend even if it's overvalued, according to Kantrowitz. AdvertisementKantrowitz recommends investors monitor credit spreads to determine whether there is fear in the stock market that could signal a period of negative equity returns going forward. Tight credit spreads, a solid labor market, and continued GDP growth are all signals that investors should stay bullish, according to Kantrowitz, even if the stock market is slightly overvalued.
Persons: Piper Sandler, , Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Stocks, it's Organizations: Service, Investors, CNBC
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket over-valuation is no reason to get bearish, says Piper Sandler's Michael KantrowitzMichael Kantrowitz, chief investment officer at Piper Sandler, joins CNBC to discuss outlooks on over-valued markets, how he's positioning, and more.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler Organizations: CNBC
AdvertisementJohn Hussman, the president of the Hussman Investment Trust who called the 2000 and 2008 market crashes, isn't shy about his characterization of the current market environment. The first piece of evidence Hussman cites is valuation, specifically the total market cap of non-financial stocks to total value added of those stocks. He predicted in 2000 that the S&P 500 would likely see negative total returns over the following decade, which it did. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 32% over the past year.
Persons: John Hussman, , It's, Mike Wilson, Michael Kantrowitz, Lance Armstrong, Hussman, Armstrong, David Walsh Organizations: Service, Hussman Investment Trust, Tour de France, Hussman, Intelligence, Labor Locations: Irish
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMore rate cuts will help consumers & small businesses, says Piper Sandler's Michael KantrowitzMichael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler chief investment strategist, joins CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss why smaller business and consumers need the benefits from more rate cuts, where he sees rates going from here, and more.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler
So she and Maggie had focused their hopes on getting a private scholarship. She considered paying $700 for an online class, heavily promoted on Facebook, that promised to show parents how to find college scholarships. Every year, hundreds of thousands of students like Maggie devote countless hours to the hunt for private scholarships to pay for college. AdvertisementWith the combination of institutional aid and private scholarship she received, Maggie managed to cut her original college bill from $15,000 to $8,000. The illness is treatable, but it's likely to cost the family $5,000 out of pocket — effectively wiping out the financial value of the private scholarship Maggie received.
Persons: Maggie Beam, Siobhan, Maggie, Siobhan —, , Mark Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, it's, Fastweb, Jeff Levy, you'd, Ed McMahon, Peter Thiel, Ron Lieber, Dawn Brady, Chris Reeves, Aisosa, Levy, Charlain Bailey, she'd, Maggie's Organizations: Winthrop University, Rotary, Facebook, Thiel Foundation, Silicon, Niche, Community Foundation, Lehigh University ., Education's, Winthrop, Schug Foundation, Equitable Foundation, Equitable Locations: Charlotte , North Carolina, Winthrop, Carolina, California, San Diego, Aisosa Ede, Osifo, Dallas, North Carolina
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'Hard to see a deal working out' for Intel and Qualcomm, says Bernstein's Stacy RasgonStacy Rasgon, Bernstein senior analyst; Daniel Newman, CEO of the Futurum Group; and Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler chief investment strategist, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss expectations for Intel.
Persons: Bernstein's Stacy Rasgon Stacy Rasgon, Bernstein, Daniel Newman, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler Organizations: Intel, Qualcomm, Futurum
"Interest rates took the elevator going up, but they'll be taking the stairs coming down," he said. That makes paying down high-cost credit card debt a top priority since "interest rates won't fall fast enough to bail you out of a tight situation," McBride said. "Many Americans have been holding off on making vehicle purchases in the hopes that prices and interest rates would come down, or that incentives would make a return," Caldwell said. Student loansFederal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected by a rate cut. Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, he said.
Persons: Spencer Platt, APRs, McBride, they'll, Jacob Channel, Jessica Caldwell, Edmunds, Caldwell, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Getty, Treasury, Auto, Fed Locations: New York City, Edmunds
The federal funds rate, which the U.S. central bank sets, is the rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Home loan rates have already started to fall, largely due to the prospect of a Fed-induced economic slowdown. Student loansFederal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers won't be immediately affected by a rate cut. Eventually, borrowers with existing variable-rate private student loans may also be able to refinance into a less expensive fixed-rate loan, according to higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz. However, refinancing a federal loan into a private student loan will forgo the safety nets that come with federal loans, he said, "such as deferments, forbearances, income-driven repayment and loan forgiveness and discharge options."
Persons: that's, McBride, Jacob Channel, it's, Matt Schulz, Bankrate's McBride, Mark Kantrowitz Organizations: Treasury, Mortgage, Association, Auto, Consumers Locations: U.S
U.S. President Joe Biden speaks as he announces a new plan for federal student loan relief during a visit to Madison Area Technical College Truax Campus, in Madison, Wisconsin, U.S, April 8, 2024. But the Biden administration official told CNBC that the Department of Education had only instructed loan servicers to get ready for the debt cancellation. The program is the third Biden administration effort to forgive student debt to end up blocked by Republican-led legal challenges. In June 2023, the Supreme Court ruled that the administration's first attempt to cancel up to $400 billion in student debt without prior authorization from Congress was unconstitutional. Two months ago, a federal appeals court temporarily halted Biden's new affordable repayment plan for student loan borrowers, known as SAVE.
Persons: Joe Biden, Joe Biden's, Miguel Cardona, servicers, Randal Hall, Mark Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Biden, Hall, Luke Herrine Organizations: Madison Area Technical, Truax, Biden, U.S . Department of Education, AGs, of Education, CNBC, Department of Education, DOE, Missouri Attorney General's, Department, Republican, SAVE, University of Alabama Locations: Madison , Wisconsin, U.S, Georgia, Augusta , Georgia, Missouri, Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, North Dakota, Ohio
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEconomy isn't slowing down in a way that justifies the number of rate cuts: Apollo's Torsten SlokMichael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler chief investment strategist, and Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management chief economist, join 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the state of the economy, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Apollo's Torsten Slok Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Torsten Slok Organizations: Apollo Global Management
watch nowBy most accounts, the rollout of the new Free Application for Federal Student Aid, better known as FAFSA, was disastrous from the start. Even now, some college students don't know the status of their aid awards for the fall. "The Department's poor planning has led to a stunning failure: Some college students might not have financial aid dollars in their hands in time to start classes in the next few weeks," said Beth Maglione, interim president and CEO of the National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators. Families 'are falling back on borrowing for college'For many families, financial aid is crucial when it comes to covering college costs, which have now crept into the six figures. The share of parents taking out federal parent PLUS loans to help cover the costs of their children's college education has also grown, other studies show.
Persons: Beth Maglione, Education Miguel Cardona, Mark Kantrowitz, , Kantrowitz, Sallie Mae's, Jennifer Berg, Sallie Mae, " Berg Organizations: Federal Student Aid, National Association of Student Financial, U.S . Department of Education, Education Department, Department, Education, Finance, Harvard, College
In an August 1 note to clients, the bank's top global strategist urged investors to sell stocks when the Federal Reserve issues its first rate cut. Hartnett and his team studied the last 12 rate-cutting cycles going back to 1970 and identified three varieties of rate cuts. Hartnett said surging global central bank rate cuts are signs that the economy is in for a rough stretch. Investors expect the Fed to cut rates for the first time this cycle at its September meeting. "Emergency Fed rate cuts being priced in makes little sense given the economic backdrop in the U.S. and would only serve to destroy policy maker credibility."
Persons: , America's Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, Louis, Jean, Louis Nakamura, Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Kantrowitz, Hartnett's, Jim Smigiel Organizations: Service, America's, Federal Reserve, Business, Bank of America Bank of America, Bank of America, Louis Fed, Bank of America's, Global, SEI Locations: U.S
AdvertisementSt. Louis FedDespite the Sahm Rule's impressive history, it is sometimes criticized because it fails to account for rising labor participation, which can raise the unemployment rate. In addition to downcast labor market data, the ISM Manufacturing Index fell further into contraction territory this week, signaling that US manufacturing continues to slow. The market's direction also depends on how investors interpret interest rate cuts alongside future data. Fed funds rate futures markets are now pricing in a 50-basis-point cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementHartnett and his team analyzed Fed rate-cutting cycles and identified three different types of rate cuts — cuts into a soft landing, cuts into a hard landing, and panic cuts, which are due to a credit event or some sort of Wall Street crisis.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm —, Louis Fed, Piper Sandler, Tom Essaye, Jack McIntyre, Lara Castleton, Janus Henderson, Michael Kantrowitz, we've, Kantrowitz, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business, Labor, Brandywine Global, ISM, Nasdaq, Fed, Janus, Janus Henderson Investors, Bank of America, Fund
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets will remain under pressure if unemployment accelerates, says Piper Sandler's KantrowitzMichael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler chief investment strategist, joins 'Closing Bell: Overtime' to discuss the strategist's reaction to recent market performance, the correlation between interest rates and stocks, and much more.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler
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