"The model is forecasting lower economic growth in 2024 and I believe that will be realized," Harvey said, predicting a slowdown this quarter that will continue into the summer.
AdvertisementHarvey also called on the Fed to end its inflation fight, arguing price growth has already normalized based on real-time housing data.
"What the Fed has done in this cycle has made things worse, so we will be very fortunate to get out of this with slow growth."
That could slow economic growth in the short term but prevent a full-blown recession later, he said.
On the other hand, he argued the US should aim to accelerate economic growth to 5% by capitalizing on innovations like artificial intelligence and decentralized finance.
Persons:
Campbell Harvey, Julia Roche, Harvey, hasn't, it's
Organizations:
Service, Federal, Business, Duke University, Fed