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☆ UK business confidence slips in September: Lloyds Bank
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

Companies Lloyds Banking Group PLC FollowLONDON, Sept 29 (Reuters) - British business confidence declined in September as optimism about the economic outlook faded, a survey showed on Friday, adding to signs of a slowdown in the economy. The Lloyds Bank Business Barometer, which surveys around 1,200 companies across the economy, fell to 36% from August's 18-month high of 41%. Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said the BoE's decision - taken after the survey was conducted - could underpin business confidence in the coming months. While Lloyds said its gauge of pricing expectations inched higher in September, hiring intentions cooled. The proportion of companies planning to raise salaries also fell, although remained around the average for the year.

Persons: Hann, Ju Ho, Andy Bruce Organizations: Lloyds Banking Group, Lloyds Bank, P Global PMI, Lloyds, Bank of England, Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, National Statistics, Thomson

☆ UK business optimism at 18-month high on hopes for rate hike pause
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Workers walk through the Canary Wharf financial district, ahead of a Bank of England decision on interest rate changes, in London, Britain, August 3, 2023. Contrasting with signs of an economic slowdown in other recent surveys, the Lloyds Bank Business Barometer measure of confidence jumped by 10 points in August to 41%, its highest since February 2022. "The bounce in economic optimism this month is the stand-out point," Hann-Ju Ho, senior economist at Lloyds Bank, said. The BoE raised rates for the 14th time in a row this month to counter an inflation rate running at almost 7%. Investors mostly expect the Bank Rate to peak this year at 5.75%, up from its current level of 5.25%.

Persons: Toby Melville, " Hann, Ju Ho, BoE, William Schomberg, Bernadette Baum Organizations: Bank of, REUTERS, Bank of England, Lloyds Bank, Lloyds, Thomson Locations: Bank of England, London, Britain, Ukraine

"Sterling markets will continue to digest yesterday’s Budget delivered by Chancellor Jeremy Hunt as well as the broader global environment. Markets remain ambivalent whether the Bank of England will raise interest rates next week," said Hann-Ju Ho, senior Economist, Commercial Banking at Lloyds Bank. The European Central Bank (ECB), meanwhile, is a little behind the BoE in its quest to fight inflation. Traders attach a 60% chance of the ECB raising rates by 50 bps on Thursday, with a 40% chance of 25 bps. Money markets show investors expect ECB rates to peak around 3% later this year, compared with a peak of 4% just over a week ago.

☆ Sterling choppy as BoE sends mixed messages
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-12 | by ( Samuel Indyk | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

By 0746 GMT, the British pound was up 0.1% against the dollar to $1.0969, snapping five days of losses. Until the market gets that I think any Sterling rallies are ripe to be sold into," Brown added. "Further rises in Bank Rate are warranted," Lloyds Bank senior economist Hann-Ju Ho said in a note, even as he expects the economy to contract in the third quarter. Looking ahead, the BoE's Financial Policy Committee is scheduled to publish its latest financial policy summary and record at 0930 GMT. Meanwhile, BoE policy makers Jonathan Haskel (0800 GMT), Huw Pill (1135 GMT) and Catherine Mann (1700 GMT) are all scheduled to speak later in the day.

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