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Thomas Coex | Afp | Getty ImagesThe oil-producing Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies could extend existing output cuts this week, delegates and analysts told CNBC, even as focus shifts from Middle East tensions to summer demand. OPEC+ producers are currently implementing a combined 5.86 million barrels per day of supply cuts. And then August is the peak month for tightness," Viktor Katona, lead crude analyst at Kpler, told CNBC. "However, I think that the market right now has priced in a full extension of the voluntary cuts. A high-inflation environment and tight monetary policy in turn reined in oil demand, but central banks have signaled readiness to lower interest rates in the second half of the year.
Persons: Thomas Coex, Viktor Katona, overproducers, Jorge Leon, Yemen's, Tamas Varga Organizations: Organization of, Petroleum, Afp, Getty, CNBC, Energy, Market Research, PVM Oil Associates, United Arab Emirates Locations: OPEC, Vienna, China, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Paris, Ukraine, Gaza, Red, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Guyana, Brazil, Canada
Iran on April 14 urged Israel not to retaliate militarily to an unprecedented attack overnight, which Tehran presented as a justified response to a deadly strike on its consulate building in Damascus. (Photo by ATTA KENARE / AFP) (Photo by ATTA KENARE/AFP via Getty Images)Crude oil futures fell for a second day Tuesday as the U.S. expects a limited response from Israel to an unprecedented air assault by Iran, reducing fears that the Middle East is on the verge of a broader regional war. Four U.S. officials told NBC News they expect an Israeli response to Iran's attack to be limited in scope and most likely to involve strikes on Iranian forces and their proxies outside Iran. Israel's War Cabinet met for several hours Monday to weigh how Israel should response. An Israeli official told NBC News after the meeting that a response may be "imminent."
Persons: ATTA KENARE, Brent, Jorge Leon Organizations: Getty, West Texas Intermediate, U.S, NBC News, Rystad Energy Locations: Persian, Israel, Tehran, Iran, Damascus, AFP
Oil prices fell at Asia's open on Monday, as market participants dialed back risk premiums following Iran's attack on Israel late on Saturday which the Israeli government said caused limited damage. The attack involving more than 300 missiles and drones was the first on Israel from another country in more than three decades. Oil benchmarks had risen on Friday in anticipation of a retaliatory attack by Iran, touching their highest levels since October. But prices still ended the week down about 1% after the International Energy Agency lowered its forecast for oil demand growth this year. A "less certain path to Fed rate cuts" because of persistent U.S. inflation also weighed on prices, Sycamore said.
Persons: Brent, Tony Sycamore, Jorge Leon, Analysts, Sycamore Organizations: West Texas, Israel's, Iran, International Energy Agency, Rystad Energy Locations: Tutong district, Brunei, Israel, Iran, Damascus, Gaza, U.S, Syria, Strait, Hormuz, East, Europe
An anti-missile system operates after Iran launched drones and missiles towards Israel, as seen from Ashkelon, Israel April 14, 2024. Iran launched more than 300 drones and missiles against military targets in Israel on Saturday in an attack that President Joe Biden described as "unprecedented." The air assault was the first time Iran has directly attacked Israeli territory, senior U.S. military officials told reporters in a call Sunday. The attack was launched from locations in Iran, Iraq, Syria and Yemen, the officials said. More than 100 ballistic missiles were fired at Israel as well as land attack cruise missiles and drones, a senior administration official said.
Persons: Israel, Brent, Joe Biden, Biden, Daniel Hagari, John Kilduff, Netanyahu, Jorge Leon, Leon Organizations: The West Texas Intermediate, May, Nevatim Air Force Base, Israel Defense Forces, Again, Rystad Energy, Sunday, U.S, Islamic Locations: Iran, Israel, Ashkelon, U.S, The, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Damascus
CNBC Daily Open: U.S. manufacturing struggles to recover
  + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Workers assemble printed circuit boards at the Intervala manufacturing facility in Mount Pleasant, Pennsylvania, US, on Tuesday, Jan. 30, 2024. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The CSI 300 was lower as investors focused on China's annual meetings and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index also fell. "Those names are being driven by earnings," Niles told CNBC last week.
Persons: Hong, Dow, Energy's, Jorge Leon, Jeremy Hunt, Dan Niles, Niles Organizations: US, Bureau, CNBC, Nikkei, CSI, Nasdaq, Budget, Conservative, Labour, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft Locations: Mount Pleasant , Pennsylvania, U.S, China, Beijing, Angola
OPEC is facing growing challenges in its efforts to boost oil prices amid record output outside the alliance, particularly in the U.S., raising questions about how long the alliance can maintain its deep production cuts. The outcome is a "bittersweet victory" for OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia, wrote Jorge Leon, senior vice president of Rystad Energy, in a note Thursday. With oil prices down more than 14% since September highs, traders were hoping that OPEC could provide a boost. In the end, Saudi Arabia may have only one option — launch a supply war by flooding the market with oil. The 2.2 million bpd in voluntary cuts from the coalition of the willing is somewhat deceiving.
Persons: Jorge Leon, bode, Leon, Brent, Natasha Kaneva, Paul Sankey, John Kilduff, Kilduff, it's, Sankey, Kaneva, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Daan Struyven, Struyven Organizations: Rystad Energy, Traders, Sankey Research, U.S . Oil, U.S, OPEC, United Arab, Goldman Locations: U.S, OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Riyadh, Saudi, China, Russia, Iraq, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, Oman
“Despite the challenges, we still expect OPEC+ to reach an agreement to reduce production," he said in an analyst note. Lower oil prices have allowed U.S. gas prices to fall or stay steady since Sept. 19, AAA said. White House national security spokesman John Kirby declined to address the possibility of OPEC+ reducing oil production. U.S. oil production has hit records as OPEC+ has cut back, with producers outside the group expected to keep leading global growth in oil supply next year, the International Energy Agency said in its November oil report. Now, the risk is growing that Saudi Arabia’s production cuts could reduce OPEC’s influence over oil supplies as other countries boost their output.
Persons: That's, Jorge Leon, Brent, Joe Biden, Biden, John Kirby, , ” Kirby, ” Leon, ” ___ Boak Organizations: OPEC, United Arab, Rystad Energy, International Monetary Fund, Brent, New York Mercantile Exchange, AAA, Gas, White House, International Energy Agency, U.S, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Saudi Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, OPEC, Israel, United Arab Emirates, Vienna, Ukraine, United States, U.S, Washington
London CNN —Oil prices tumbled more than 4% Wednesday after a group of the biggest oil producing nations said they would delay a meeting, originally scheduled for Sunday, that was expected to discuss making further cuts to global supply. Brent crude, the global benchmark, and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the US benchmark, both fell over 4% late morning ET. Likewise, earlier on Wednesday, Bloomberg reported that Saudi officials were unhappy with some OPEC members’ levels of output. Both Brent and WTI prices have fallen for four consecutive weeks, pressured by record crude oil production in the United States and worries about waning global demand, particularly in China, the world’s biggest oil importer. Rystad still expects OPEC+ to reach an agreement at the meeting on November 30, but the process will likely be “challenging,” he added.
Persons: Brent, ” Craig Erlam, WTI, Jorge León, León Organizations: London CNN, Brent, West Texas, AAA, of, Petroleum, Bloomberg, Saudi, OANDA, OPEC, Rystad Energy Locations: OPEC, United States, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia, Nigeria
SummaryCompanies Brent, WTI prices rise nearly 1%OPEC+ set to consider whether to make more supply cuts -sourcesUS adds oil, gas rigs, first time in three weeks -Baker HughesSINGAPORE, Nov 20 (Reuters) - Oil futures edged higher on Monday, extending gains on expectations of OPEC+ deepening supply cuts to shore up prices, which have fallen for four weeks on easing concern of Middle East supply disruption amid the Israel-Hamas conflict. Both contracts settled 4% higher on Friday after three OPEC+ sources told Reuters that the producer group, made up of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies including Russia, is set to consider whether to make additional oil supply cuts when it meets on Nov. 26. Oil prices have dropped by almost 20% since late September while prompt inter-month spreads for Brent and WTI slipped into contango last week. In a contango market, prompt prices are lower than those in future months, signalling sufficient supply. Investors are also eyeing disruption in Russian crude oil trade after Washington imposed sanctions on three ships that have sent Sokol crude to India.
Persons: Brent, Baker Hughes, WTI, OPEC's, Jorge Leon, Leon, Tony Sycamore, Biden, Sycamore, Sokol, Florence Tan, Emily Chow, Christopher Cushing Organizations: West Texas, Reuters, Organization of, Petroleum, Rystad Energy, Monetary, . Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Thomson Locations: Baker Hughes SINGAPORE, East, Israel, Russia, Brent, Saudi Arabia, Saudi, OPEC, Washington, India, Moscow, U.S, Gaza
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — Oil prices have risen, meaning drivers are paying more for gasoline and truckers and farmers more for diesel. Here are things to know about the recent increase — and where prices might be going:WHY HAVE OIL PRICES RISEN? “The last thing you want to do is fuel inflation again with much higher oil prices. Diesel prices have risen as well, along with higher oil costs and refineries facing shortages of the specific kinds of crude best for making diesel. HOW DO HIGHER OIL PRICES HELP RUSSIA?
Persons: Jorge Leon, That's, Leon, ” Leon, , , Thu, Nguyen, Commerzbank, Gary Peach, Benjamin Hilgenstock, Joe Biden, Biden, Josh Boak Organizations: , Saudi, Brent, Rystad Energy, Energy Intelligence, U.S, AAA, Diesel, Kremlin, Kyiv School of Economics, Policy Center, Union, Group, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Associated Locations: FRANKFURT, Germany, Russia, Saudi, OPEC, China, Europe, U.S, Ukraine, Moscow, Brussels, Washington
But there are signs that both supply and demand will bring prices back down in the coming months. AAA reported this week that the average price for a gallon of gas in the US was $3.88. AdvertisementAdvertisementAn atypical spike in pricesThe increase in gas prices is unusual, as we typically see some relief after the summer surge as demand wanes. If true, the worries about the impact of rising gas prices on consumer spending and inflation are overblown. AdvertisementAdvertisementIn recent years, with oil prices closer to $70 a barrel, gas prices have typically been close to $3 a gallon.
Persons: Mohamed el, Saudi Arabia's, Mohamed Oun, there's, Jorge León, Mike Wirth, we've, hasn't, Wirth, Grace Smith, David Kelly, We're, Kelly, Citi's, Ed Morse Organizations: Service, AAA, Allianz, Saudi, Reuters, Rystad Energy, US Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Biden, Strategic Petroleum Reserve Energy Department, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Chevron, Bloomberg, Denver, MediaNews, Getty, Morgan Asset Management, Citigroup, CNN Locations: Russia, Saudi Arabia, Wall, Silicon, California, Clearwater Beach, Tampa , Florida, Libya, Ukraine, Brazil, Canada, Venezuela, Guyana
London CNN —Russia’s decision to ban diesel exports to most countries could not have come at a worse time for Europe. But the EU still needs a steady flow of Russian diesel to global markets to keep prices stable. The Russian government announced the curbs — which also apply to gasoline — Thursday, saying they were aimed at stabilizing domestic fuel prices. Diesel is Europe’s economic workhorse, powering the majority of vans and trucks ferrying goods and raw materials round the continent. Before Europe imposed its import ban, Russia supplied 40% of the country’s diesel.
Persons: London CNN —, ” Jorge León, , Natalia Kolesnikova, Pamela Munger, Henning Gloystein, Gloystein, , Tim Lister, Anna Chernova Organizations: London CNN, European Union, Reuters, Kremlin, Diesel, Analysts, European, Rystad Energy, CNN, Gazprom, Getty, Eurasia Group, , Brent Locations: Europe, Russian, Moscow, Ukraine, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South America, East, North Africa, AFP, Turkey, United States
Investors had expected Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend voluntary cuts into October, but the three-month extension was unexpected. "These bullish moves significantly tighten the global oil market and can only result in one thing: higher oil prices worldwide," Jorge Leon, senior vice president at consultancy Rystad Energy, said in a note. The Saudi and Russian voluntary cuts are on top of the April cut agreed by several OPEC+ producers, which extends to the end of 2024. "The decision to prolong output cuts underscores their dedication to price stability in a challenging market environment," Sugandha Sachdeva, executive director and chief strategist at Acme Investment Advisors, said. Sachdeva, however, added that the annual refinery maintenance period in the U.S. from September to October could limit demand for crude and potentially act as a restraining factor on rising oil prices.
Persons: Jorge Leon, Leon, Alexander Novak, Novak, Sachdeva, Mohi Narayan, Arathy Somasekhar, Christopher Cushing, Stephen Coates Organizations: REUTERS, Brent, . West Texas, Rystad Energy, Saudi, Acme Investment Advisors, Thomson Locations: Volgograd, Russia, DELHI, Saudi Arabia, West, U.S, New Delhi, Houston
Saudi Arabia and Russia said they will extend oil supply cuts of 1.3 million barrels a day through December 2023. Analysts think inflation could stay at higher levels for longer due to the higher oil prices. US West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude oil futures also hit a 10-month high. Higher oil prices are bad news for the world's central banks, which have been trying to tame high inflation since last year. Energy is a key input for economic activities, so higher oil prices generally lead to inflation.
Persons: Brent, Jorge Leon, Leon, Naeem Aslam, Aslam Organizations: Service, West Texas, Organization of, Petroleum, Rystad Energy, Energy, Zaye, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: Saudi Arabia, Russia, Wall, Silicon, OPEC
Investors had expected Saudi Arabia and Russia to extend voluntary cuts into October, but the three-month extension was unexpected. "This is a clear indication that oil prices trump volume (for Saudi Arabia)," said Jorge Leon, senior vice president at Rystad Energy. "These bullish moves significantly tighten the global oil market and can only result in one thing: higher oil prices worldwide," Leon added. Both Saudi Arabia and Russia said they would review the supply cuts monthly, and could modify them depending on market conditions. Along with the Saudi supply cuts, which began in July, prospects of the U.S. economy avoiding a hard recession have helped lift oil demand and prices in recent months.
Persons: Nick Oxford, Brent, Goldman Sachs, Jorge Leon, Leon, Giovanni Staunovo, Shariq Khan, Natalie Grover, Katya Golubkova, Andrew Hayley, Andrea Ricci, Nick Macfie, Timothy Gardner Organizations: Midland , Texas U.S, REUTERS, Brent, . West Texas, Investors, Rystad Energy, UBS, Thomson Locations: Midland , Texas, Saudi Arabia, Russia, BENGALURU, 4Q23, U.S, Saudi
Oil prices spiked more than 1% on Sunday after the Wagner Group's attempted mutiny. Analysts say oil prices could continue to gain on the geopolitical risks in energy giant Russia. Following the aborted coup over the weekend, benchmark crude oil US West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude oil futures both jumped over 1% on Sunday. As of Monday, oil prices have come off — but analysts say oil futures could continue posting gains due to the geopolitical risk in energy giant Russia. Benchmark US WTI crude oil futures were up 0.2% at $69.29 a barrel at 1:29 a.m. EDT on Monday.
Persons: Wagner Group's, Rystad Energy's Jorge Leon, , Vladimir Putin's, Jorge Leon, Leon, Paul Sheldon Organizations: Service, West Texas Intermediate, Brent, Rystad Energy, P, Commodity Locations: Russia, Kuwait, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan
Oil up, stocks dip after short-lived Russian mutiny
  + stars: | 2023-06-25 | by ( Tom Westbrook | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
SINGAPORE, June 26 (Reuters) - Oil nudged higher in early trade on Monday as an abortive weekend mutiny by Russian mercenaries raised questions about crude supply, though other financial markets started steadily with investors unsure of any further immediate implications. Russian mercenaries made a short-lived rebellion on Saturday, seizing the southern city of Rostov and advancing on Moscow demanding the removal of Russian military commanders in charge of the war in Ukraine. The private Wagner army then withdrew after striking a deal guaranteeing their safety and the exile of their leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, to Belarus. The consequences for the Ukraine war were not clear, though the challenge to Russian President Vladimir Putin's authority was the starkest in decades of his leadership. "As such, we are likely to see a marginal uptick in oil prices in the coming days, if the situation does not deteriorate."
Persons: Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Vladimir Putin's, Jorge Leon, Antony Blinken, Ray Attrill, Masato Kanda, Stephen Coates Organizations: Brent, Rystad Energy, National Australia Bank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Rostov, Moscow, Ukraine, Belarus, Russia, Sydney, Asia, China, steadied
S&P 500 futures were 0.2% higher and currency markets were broadly steady. The private Wagner army then withdrew after striking a deal guaranteeing their safety and the exile of their leader, Yevgeny Prigozhin, to Belarus. The consequences for the Ukraine war were not clear, though the challenge to Russian President Vladimir Putin's authority was the starkest in decades of his leadership. "As such, we are likely to see a marginal uptick in oil prices in the coming days, if the situation does not deteriorate." Elsewhere markets were already on edge about a darkening growth outlook, as China's post-pandemic recovery stalls and global interest rates remain high, and traders were unwilling to take any new positions on the basis of Russian events.
Persons: Wagner, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Vladimir Putin's, Jorge Leon, Antony Blinken, Ray Attrill, Masato Kanda, Stephen Coates Organizations: Brent, Rystad Energy, National Australia Bank, Thomson Locations: SINGAPORE, Rostov, Moscow, Ukraine, Belarus, Russia, Sydney, Asia, China, steadied
Companies NK Rosneft' PAO FollowJune 19 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell on Monday as questions over China's economy outweighed OPEC+ output cuts and the seventh straight drop in the number of oil and gas rigs operating in the United States. "(China's) economy is navigating through powerful headwinds," said PVM oil analyst Tamas Varga. In recent weeks global road traffic has been declining, said Jorge Leon, Rystad Energy's senior vice president, which may also point to slowing growth and drag on oil prices. Iran's crude exports and oil output have hit record highs in 2023 despite U.S. sanctions, according to consultants, shipping data and a source close to the matter, adding to global supply when other producers are limiting output. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia this month agreed on a new oil output deal and the group's biggest producer, Saudi Arabia, also pledged to make a deep cut to its output in July.
Persons: Brent, Tamas Varga, Jorge Leon, Rystad Energy's, Leon, Nia Williams, Ahmad Ghaddar, Katya Golubkova, Emily Chow, David Goodman, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: NK Rosneft, West Texas, of, Petroleum, Thomson Locations: United States, U.S, China, Europe, Russia, Saudi Arabia, British Columbia, London, Tokyo, Singapore
With the new Saudi reduction, the group has agreed to take some 4.6 million bpd off the market in July, equivalent to 4.6% of global demand of 100 million bpd. OPEC+ also agreed on Sunday to extend the group's existing supply cuts of 3.66 million bpd into 2024. In response, oil prices rose nearly $2 a barrel early on Monday to $78 per barrel . "This market needs stabilisation," Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Sunday, calling his surprise decision to deepen Saudi production cuts "the icing on the cake" for the deal. So far this year, a weakening global economy, concern about the U.S. banking crisis, and a slow Chinese recovery from COVID-19 restrictions have capped oil prices.
Persons: Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, Prince Abdulaziz, Natasha Kaneva, Morgan, Tamas Varga, Jorge Leon, Sunday's, JPM, Kaneva, Alex Lawler, Ahmad Ghaddar, el, Dmitry Zhdannikov, Simon Webb, Barbara Lewis Organizations: Saudi Energy, OPEC, White, International Energy Agency, Rystad Energy, United, Thomson Locations: Saudi, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, U.S, Russia, Ukraine, Riyadh, United States, States, COVID, Angola, Nigeria, United Arab Emirates
Oil prices jumped over 6% on Monday, with U.S. crude futures topping $80 per barrel. The U.S. pumped nearly 12.5 million bpd in January, according to the latest government data. U.S. cash crude prices strengthened on Monday, with Mars Sour gaining 50 cents to trade at a $1.40 discount to U.S. crude futures . U.S. seaborne crude exports last month hit 4.74 million bpd, the highest monthly total since at least January 2020, Vortexa data showed. "This development should bode well for already strong U.S. crude exports with increased medium- and heavy-sour Canadian crude exports from the U.S. in order to supply a global market which is already short on sour crude," said Rohit Rathod, senior oil market analyst at Vortexa.
Russian diesel prices fall in Europe despite latest ban
  + stars: | 2023-02-06 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +4 min
“Those stocks should act as a buffer against the immediate loss of Russian diesel imports,” Williams said. However, he added that the United States could redirect some of its current diesel exports to South America to Europe, with Russian diesel then “find[ing] a home” in South America. OilX’s Crosby noted that there are “many more” potential buyers of Moscow’s diesel compared with its crude exports. “Most Russian diesel barrels will manage to make it to global markets,” he said. “The notion that Russian diesel will have a very hard time finding new homes is beginning to lose credibility.”— Julia Horowitz contributed reporting.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRystad: Oil prices will likely average $90 a barrel this year, but there could be a lot of downside momentum early onJorge Leon of Rystad Energy discusses the factors that could impact the direction of oil prices in 2023, including global recession, China demand and further supply issues caused by Russia.
A further nine tankers were waiting to cross southbound from the Sea of Marmara through the Dardanelles strait into the Mediterranean. The snag is linked to a Western price cap on Russian oil that came into effect on Monday. Countries including Russia, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan use the Turkish straits to get their oil to world oil markets. The traffic jam in the Turkish straits arose following the imposition this week of the price cap on Russian oil. Turkish officials say this position is “unacceptable” and on Thursday reiterated demands for letters from insurers.
China, Russia's top oil buyer, has not agreed to the price cap. The light sweet crude is favoured by Chinese refiners due to their proximity and the oil's high middle-distillates yield. At current Brent levels, the $6 discount implies a price of $68 a barrel including freight and insurance costs. "They (independent plants) don't really care about the price cap. With the price cap in place, China, India and Turkey could have more bargaining power, the analysts added.
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