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John Della Volpe, who has been doing intensive research on young voters, said older voters have embraced Biden's policies, such as lowering the cost of prescription drugs, whereas younger voters don't feel similar benefits from them. Rep. Ann McLane Kuster, D-N.H., said older voters in her state and elsewhere are attracted to Biden's "steady hand." At the same time, Biden had a narrow lead among voters 65 and older, according to the poll. While Trump won voters 65 and older in the 2016 election by 7 percentage points, Biden narrowed that gap to 5 points in 2020. The Biden campaign hopes to maintain his apparent momentum among older voters in part by contrasting Biden's proposals for seniors with Trump's policies.
Persons: Biden, Joe Biden, Al Gore, Harris, Douglas Emhoff, Jill Biden, Ronald Reagan's, John Della Volpe, Della Volpe, Lisa Clark, Clark's, Ann McLane Kuster, Kuster, Roe, Wade, Donald Trump, — Biden, Trump, it's Biden, Kamala Harris, Mia Ehrenberg, Richard Fiesta Organizations: Biden, Democrat, Democratic, NBC, Republican, an Air Force, Trump, Social Security, Alliance, Retired, Medicare, Fiesta Locations: New Hampshire, France, Vietnam, Wisconsin
In 2013, the share of self-identified liberals among young women exceeded the share among young men by 5 percentage points; by 2023, that gap was nearly four times as large. (In that survey, young men were substantially more likely than young women to say they rely on YouTube as a major source of news.) (In the Harvard poll, one-fourth of young women identified in some way as LGBTQ, more than double the share of young men.) “He’s got to make up for the defection of young men by winning young women by more, and he’s got to get every young woman he can out to vote,” said Lake, the Democratic pollster. Biden’s best hope of avoiding a catastrophic decline in his youth support is that the number of young women Trump repels exceeds the number of young men he attracts.
Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Biden, John Burn, Murdoch, , Harvard University’s John F, Daniel Cox, William Frey, Melissa Deckman, Gen, , Trump, John Della Volpe, Joe Biden doesn’t, Della Volpe, White, Deckman, aren’t, Cox, Dobbs, Anna Dean, Dean, ” Della Volpe, he’s, don’t, ” Cox, “ Donald Trump, “ He’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, Biden, Pew Research Center, Financial, NBC, Democratic, Republican, GOP, Institute of Politics, Harvard University’s, Kennedy, Republican Party, Harvard, Democrats, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute, Biden didn’t, Brookings Metro thinktank, Religion Research Institute, Biden’s, YouTube, Pew, AEI, Blacks, Harvard Poll, Biden won’t Locations: Gaza, New York, Bentonville , Arkansas, America
But the College Democrats insist their worries are also rooted in what they see as the Biden campaign’s unwillingness to grasp the scope of how difficult it is becoming to engage young voters. A mixed picturePolling of young voters on the Israel-Hamas War, specifically about its effect on Biden’s campaign, presents a mixed picture. Only 18% of young voters approved of Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war, according to the Harvard/IOP poll. Seth Schuster, a spokesman for the Biden campaign, touted its investment in engaging young voters. It is even hard for young people to talk to other young people about how to do this,” the Democratic strategist said.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, , Hasan Pyarali, ’ ”, Biden, , Benjamin ) Netanyahu, Nicho Fernandez, hasn’t, haven’t, ” Fernandez, ” John Della Volpe, men’s, ” Biden, Santiago Mayer, ” Mayer, Joe Biden, Carolyn Salvador Avila, Biden’s, it’s, ” Salvador Avila, Allyson Bell, Bell, ” Bell, Seth Schuster, ” Schuster, “ It’s, Aidan DiMarco, It’s, DiMarco, they’re, we’re, Evelyn Schmidt, ” Schmidt, ’ ” Schmidt Organizations: CNN, Democratic, College Democrats, Wake Forest University, Muslim, Facebook, Biden, Democratic National Committee, Democrats, Harvard, Institute of Politics, Georgetown University, Harvard Institute of Politics, Trump, , University of Nevada, Meredith College, national College Democrats ’ Jewish, College Democrats ’, Democratic National, College Democrats of America, White, University of Wisconsin, Whitewater College Democrats, House Locations: Gaza, North Carolina, Israel, Washington , DC, , Las Vegas, Biden’s Israel, Wisconsin
Two White House officials noted that the number of speeches for Biden and Harris is similar to the two previous years. Another White House official declined to preview how Biden might address the campus unrest. Biden campaign officials say that despite the media focus on campus protests, public polling and their own research show that young voters are more concerned with other issues. "We know from the conversations we have that young voters are planning to vote, and voters are planning to vote for us," she said. Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., visited multiple Wisconsin college campuses this week as a member of the Biden campaign's national advisory board.
Persons: Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Biden, Harris, Jill Biden, Barack Obama, Karine Jean, Pierre, John Della Volpe, Della Volpe, Eve Levenson, aren't, Levenson, Ro Khanna, It's Organizations: U.S, Capitol, Montgomery County Community College, Morehouse College, U.S . Military Academy, West, Air Force Academy, White House, Barnard College, Joplin High School, White, Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, Biden campaign's, Freedoms, Democratic, Biden, Harvard Locations: Blue Bell, Valley Forge , Pennsylvania, U.S, West, Virginia, Florida, Gaza, Wisconsin
Jim Watson | AFP | Getty ImagesAlmost half of all voters, or 48%, say canceling student loan debt is an important issue to them in the 2024 presidential and congressional elections, a new survey finds. Debt forgiveness has historically been a highly partisan issue, with supporters and detractors split down party lines. Almost a quarter, 23%, of Gen X voters surveyed said they or someone in their household had student loan debt. The Supreme Court last June struck down the president's $400 billion plan to deliver student loan forgiveness to as many as 40 million Americans. Meanwhile, the popularity of loan forgiveness among voters may prove a challenge for Donald Trump, the GOP presidential nominee for president.
Persons: Jim Watson, Gen, John Della Volpe, Biden, millennials, Z, X, boomer, Joe Biden's, Donald Trump, Mike Pierce, Biden's Organizations: Royal Missionary Baptist, AFP, Getty, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, Finance, Republican, GOP, Supreme Locations: North Charleston , South Carolina, California, U.S
Young voters could be pivotal in an election year where the race is expected to be very close between presumptive nominees Biden and Republican front-runner Donald Trump. While young voters tend to favor Democrats, even a small drop in turnout among those voters – or a shift toward Republicans – could make a dispositive difference in battleground states. Biden has a dramatic disadvantage, compared with Trump, on the economy, even as young voters report overwhelmingly that their own financial situations are solid. That's on track with Biden's performance among young voters in 2020, when exit polls showed Biden took 60% of the youth vote, compared to 36% of young voters who voted for Trump. The data on young voters reflects a trend other polling has shown throughout the campaign season: Americans are unhappy with the ways things are going and don't want a Biden-Trump rematch.
Persons: , John Della Volpe, , , Joe Biden's, Biden, Donald Trump, Republicans –, Trump, That's, aren't, Anil Cacodcar, Della Volpe, pollster Della Volpe, Andy Beshear Organizations: Harvard University's Institute, Politics, Young, Republican, Republicans, Biden, Trump, Democratic, GOP, America, Jackson, Health Organization, Kentucky Gov, Democrat Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Dobbs v, Virginia, New York, Maryland, – Arizona , Arkansas , Colorado , Florida , Iowa , Missouri, Montana , Nebraska , Nevada , Pennsylvania, South Dakota
You may have heard recently about The New York Times, Siena poll that has worried Democrats, the one about the battleground states. I’m a pollster focused on understanding young Americans, and there’s a critical part of the electorate that we need to be paying attention to, and that’s Gen Z. But I mean, honestly, to this point, I mean, they haven’t done anything for our parents, our parents’ parents. Young people need to be reminded of those issues. They need to be reminded that because of them, America is a different and, I would argue, a better place.
Persons: John Della Volpe, I’ve, Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Cornel West, Robert F, Kennedy, Jr, Biden, Harris, There’s Organizations: Institute of Politics, Harvard Kennedy School, New York Times, Democratic Party, Quinnipiac, Cornel, Democrat, White, Biden Locations: Harvard, , Siena, I’m, America
Opinion | Joe Biden Is in Trouble
  + stars: | 2023-11-06 | by ( John Della Volpe | )   time to read: +2 min
President Biden is offering fulsome support to Israel, though with more words of caution recently. If that continues, the winning Biden 2020 coalition is at greater risk of fracturing — and in the process, making Donald Trump’s return to the White House more likely. Many young voters have been reluctant to back Mr. Biden for some time now, despite record-setting levels of support from Gen Zers and millennials in 2020. The latest battleground state polls by The New York Times and Siena College show Mr. Biden holding a one-point lead over Mr. Trump among registered voters under 30 and a six-point lead among likely voters in the same age category. In 2020, exit polls showed Mr. Biden winning the youth vote cohort, 60 to 36 percent.
Persons: Biden, , Israel bombards Gazans, Donald Trump’s, Mr, Gen Zers, Trump Organizations: Democratic, Biden, The New York Times, Siena College, Mr Locations: Israel, Gaza, overperformance, United States
And Biden isn’t the only candidate trying to line up support among young voters. Former President Donald Trump, the frontrunner for the Republican nomination in his comeback bid for the White House, visited Iowa State University last weekend. “And that’s not happening so far.”Biden won 61% of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 in 2020, according to AP VoteCast, making young voters a critical part of his coalition. The White House has worked with online influencers to reach people who don't rely on traditional media. On Thursday, Harris repeatedly tried to demonstrate that she understood young voters’ concerns.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Jaden Clemons, Layth Carpenter, Harris, , Joe Biden, Clemons, Biden, they're, Donald Trump, , Trump, John Brabender, Isaac Gavin, ” Sen, Mitt Romney, ” Biden, ” Harris, Kevin Munoz, isn’t, John Della Volpe, “ It’s, Della Volpe, Destiny Humphreys, they’re, Carpenter, ___ Price, Ayanna Alexander, Farnoush Amiri Organizations: , Hampton University, Howard University, White, Republican, Iowa State University, Alpha Gamma Rho, University of Iowa, YouTube, Drake University, Utah Republican, U.S . Capitol, AP, North Carolina, Democratic National Committee, Biden, Democrats, Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, South Carolina State University, U.S, Supreme Locations: HAMPTON, Va, Hampton, Las Vegas, Des Moines, Utah, United States, Greensboro, N.C, , New York, Beaumont, Des Moines , Iowa, Orangeburg, S.C, Washington
Student-loan forgiveness was a major policy that had support from the majority of young voters. While it's difficult to pinpoint what exactly may have caused this shift, opinions of young voters should be taken into consideration. Major issues like reproductive rights, climate change, and student-loan forgiveness likely helped with that turnout. Student-loan forgiveness is currently paused due to a ruling from the 8th Circuit Court of Appeals, in response to a lawsuit filed by six Republican-led states seeking to halt the debt relief. "The youth agenda is taking center stage in the Democratic party"Support for student-loan forgiveness is higher among young voters than the general public.
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