watch nowRespondents to the CNBC Fed Survey see fewer interest rate cuts than the market's aggressive outlook, with the central bank starting them later in the year than traders currently hope.
Fifty percent see a cut in May and only in June is there a majority of 70% predicting that rates go down.
And while futures markets have priced in between five and six rate cuts, survey respondents, on average, see just a bit more than three.
It's fairly typical for this group of Fed watchers to be more closely aligned with the Fed's outlook than the market.
By 2025, the market, the survey and the Fed forecasts all converge on a Funds rate between 3.3% and 3.6%.
Persons:
Joel Naroff, Jerome Powell, Jay, Powell, Peter Boockvar
Organizations:
CNBC, Federal Reserve, Naroff, Fed, Bleakley Financial