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The Aussie dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. As a result the dollar is catching a solid safe haven bid," said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington. The euro was down 0.69% after hitting a near 3-month low against the dollar at $1.07225. A deteriorating global growth picture sent the pound to a 12-week low against the dollar after a survey showed business activity in Britain contracted last month.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Waller, Convera's Manimbo, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Alun John, Shinjini Ganguli, Mike Harrison, William Maclean Organizations: REUTERS, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Federal, U.S, Financial, Aussie, Thomson Locations: China, Reserve Bank of Australia, Europe, Washington, U.S, Britain, London
[1/2] The London Stock Exchange Group offices are seen in the City of London, Britain, December 29, 2017. Also, U.S. benchmark Treasury yields jumped, while the Aussia dollar fell after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. The U.S. dollar index was up 0.5% at 104.69. Wall Street stocks dipped with growth stocks as Treasury yields rose.
Persons: Toby Melville, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Samuel Indyk, Ankur Banerjee, Stephen Coates, Kim Coghill, Christina Fincher, Shounak Dasgupta, Mike Harrison Organizations: London Stock Exchange Group, City of, REUTERS, U.S, Treasury, Reserve Bank of, The U.S, Wall, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, China, Europe, U.S, Reserve Bank of Australia, Washington, The, New York, London
REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Sept 5 (Reuters) - The dollar rose on Tuesday as jitters over global growth, particularly in China, caused investors to flock to the safe-haven U.S. currency, while the Aussie dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. The euro, was down 0.72% after hitting a near 3-month low against the dollar at $1.0719. The U.S. dollar also climbed against China's currency, and was last up 0.42% at 7.3081 against the yuan traded offshore. A deteriorating global growth picture sent the pound to a 12-week low against the dollar after a survey showed business activity in Britain contracted last month.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Waller, Convera's Manimbo, bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Alun John, Shri Navaratnam, Alexander Smith, Shinjini Ganguli, Mike Harrison Organizations: REUTERS, Aussie, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Federal, U.S, Financial, Thomson Locations: China, Reserve Bank of Australia, Europe, Washington, U.S, Britain, London
U.S. dollar rises on global growth worries; Aussie down
  + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar rose to a near six-month high against a basket of currencies on Tuesday as jitters over global growth, particularly in China, caused investors to flock to the safe-haven U.S. currency. The Aussie dollar slumped after the Reserve Bank of Australia kept rates steady. "Worries are on the rise about a China and Europe-led slowdown in global growth. The euro was down 0.69% after hitting a near 3-month low against the dollar at $1.07225. A deteriorating global growth picture sent the pound to a 12-week low against the dollar after a survey showed business activity in Britain contracted last month.
Persons: Shane Oliver, Joe Manimbo, Christopher Waller, Waller, Convera's Manimbo, bitcoin Organizations: AMP, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Federal, U.S, Financial, Aussie Locations: Sydney, Australia, China, Reserve Bank of Australia, Europe, Washington, U.S, Britain
U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. U.S. consumer spending increased by the most in six months in July, with an 0.8% increase, but slowing inflation strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve would keep interest rates unchanged next month. “The dollar is faring better as today’s data suggests America’s economic glass remains half full,” said Joe Manimbo, senior market analyst at Convera in Washington. Money markets are now pricing in a 69% probability that the ECB will leave rates unchanged at its September meeting. The dollar was last 7.2595 against the onshore yuan , after reaching 7.2485, the lowest level since Aug. 14.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, , Joe Manimbo, Raphael Bostic, , Isabel Schnabel, “ We've, Michael Brown, Karen Brettell, Samuel Indyk, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: REUTERS, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Atlanta Fed, Reuters, ECB, Trader, People's Bank of, Thomson Locations: Washington, U.S, People's Bank of China, London
U.S. Dollar and Chinese Yuan banknotes are seen in this illustration picture taken June 14, 2022. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) set a much stronger-than-expected daily fixing, lifting the yuan from a 9-month low hit on Thursday. The yuan weakened against the dollar to 7.3060 in offshore trading after the PBOC set the official mid-point at 7.2006, more than 1,000 pips stronger than Reuters' estimate. China's economic troubles have deepened, with property developer China Evergrande (3333.HK) seeking Chapter 15 protection in a U.S. bankruptcy court. The Japanese yen strengthened 0.38% versus the greenback at 145.29 per dollar after reaching a nine-month low of 146.56 on Thursday.
Persons: Florence Lo, Joe Manimbo, it's, we've, Joseph Trevisani, that's, Hannah Lang, Joice Alves, Kevin Buckland, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, People's Bank of China, Reuters, China, HK, U.S, Federal, Thomson Locations: U.S, Convera, China, Washington, London, Tokyo
Dollar gains after Fed loan survey, yen slips
  + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Herbert Lash | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
The dollar index , a measure of the greenback against six major currencies, rose 0.28% after trading little changed earlier in the session. The euro retreated from early gains after data showed economic growth in Europe nudged higher and inflation ticked lower. The dollar advanced 0.78% against the yen at 142.250 after a fresh intervention by the BoJ on Monday. The dollar posted its first monthly loss against the yen since March, and its second successive monthly loss against the euro and pound. The euro earlier rose after data showed euro zone inflation fell further in July, while the bloc returned to growth in the second quarter of 2023 with a greater-than-expected expansion.
Persons: Marc Chandler, Chandler, Jackson, Joe Manimbo, Sterling, BoE, Herbert Lash, Alun John, Rae Wee, Himani Sarkar, Kim Coghill, Christina Fincher, Mark Heinrich, Deepa Babington Organizations: YORK, Federal Reserve, Survey, Bannockburn Global, Index, Bank of Japan, China's State, Federal, Market, Central Bank, Rabobank, ECB, Bank of England's, Thomson Locations: Bannockburn, New York, U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Washington, Europe, Asia, China, London, Singapore
[1/2] U.S. Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. July's reading showed the sixth straight month of growth but was restrained by softening conditions in the service sector. The euro slid after PMI data showed euro zone business activity shrank much more than expected in July. The pound also dropped after British business activity data, but its move was less dramatic. There is plenty more for investors to watch this week - the Federal Reserve concludes a meeting on Wednesday, followed by the European Central Bank (ECB) a day later and the Bank of Japan on Friday, as well as earnings from many heavyweight companies.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Joe Manimbo, bitcoin, Laura Matthews, Tom Westbrook, David Holmes, Jacqueline Wong, Susan Fenton Organizations: REUTERS, P Global, Washington D.C, ECB, PMI, Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, Investors, Fed, Reuters, Thomson Locations: York, LONDON, U.S, Europe, Washington, United States, New York
Dollar gains as pound tumbles on cooling UK inflation
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar bounced on Wednesday after inflation in the United Kingdom cooled more than economists expected in June, sending the pound sharply lower against other major currencies. Before Wednesday's data, investors had assigned a roughly 60% chance that the BoE would hike rates on Aug. 3 by a half-percentage point. "The dollar is catching a reprieve because it's the inflation data that's really dictating sentiment, the dollar was whacked by cooler inflation last week and now it's the pound's turn today," Manimbo added. Fed funds futures traders are pricing in 33 basis points of additional tightening with the benchmark rate expected to peak at 5.40% in November. The New Zealand dollar was volatile, briefly spiking after consumer inflation came in slightly above expectations in the second quarter, before falling to last trade down 0.4% at $0.6250.
Persons: Joe Manimbo, BoE, Manimbo, Sterling, Kenneth Broux, Kazuo Ueda Organizations: U.S, Bank of England, Reuters, Bank of, Societe Generale, Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, New Zealand Locations: Zealand, United Kingdom, May's, Convera, Washington ,, Bank of England
A jump in the number of people working part-time for economic reasons also suggested a weaker labor market, but the pace of job growth remains strong and with inflation still double the Fed's target rate, a rate hike this month is likely. "The Fed is being hawkish and that prevents the dollar from depreciating too much. After the jobs data, futures pointed to an 88.8% probability that the Fed hikes in three weeks. Adding a tailwind to the rally in the yen was some position-squaring among speculators, who have built up sizeable bearish positions, Hardman said. The Australian dollar rose 0.8% to $0.6681, but it is still battered by weak Chinese economic data and broad risk aversion.
Persons: Joe Manimbo, We're, Thierry Wizman, They've, Lee Hardman, Hardman, YEN, Herbert Lash, Amanda Cooper, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes, Mark Potter, Barbara Lewis, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal Reserves, Labor Department, Treasury, ECB, Strong U.S, Bank of Japan, Thomson Locations: U.S, Japan, New York, London, Singapore
Fed funds futures showed expectations of a 25 basis point hike at the end of a two-day policy meeting on July 26 rose to 88.7%, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of six others, including the euro and Japan's yen, rose 0.262% . The Fed will likely increase rates in July after the hawkish pause last month baring any surprises, said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial. The dollar rose to around 144.48 yen, but was still below the 145 threshold that prompted intervention by Japanese authorities last autumn. The dollar-yen rate has broadly moved in sync with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield , which rose to 3.9375% after the Fed minutes were released.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, baring, Jeffrey Roach, Roach, Joe Manimbo, Shusuke Yamada, Herbert Lash, Amanda Cooper, Kevin Buckland, Marguerita Choy, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal, LPL Financial, Labor Department, Treasury, Bank of America, Ministry, Finance, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: U.S, Washington, Tokyo, Beijing, London
[1/2] FILE PHOTO-U.S. Dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. The Federal Open Market Committee is due to release the minutes from its most recent policy meeting at 1400 EDT (1800 GMT). "Of course, another barometer for what the Fed does will be the jobs report on Friday," he said. The dollar hovered around 144.165 yen, below the 145 threshold that prompted intervention by Japanese authorities last autumn. The Australian dollar fell 0.1% to $0.6683, on course to snap a four-day streak of gains.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Joe Manimbo, Manimbo, Shusuke Yamada, Herbert Lash, Amanda Cooper, Kevin Buckland, Shri Navaratnam, Helen Popper, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal, Fed, Treasury, Independence, Bank of America, Ministry, Finance, People's Bank of China, Thomson Locations: Washington, U.S, Tokyo, Beijing, London
Investors also were digesting China's move to cut its benchmark loan prime rates (LPR) for the first time in 10 months on Tuesday. Among Beijing's moves to stimulate the country's slowing recovery, the People's Bank of China lowered the medium-term lending facility rate on Thursday. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., May 11, 2023. Against a basket of six major currencies, the dollar was up 0.22% on the day, with the euro down 0.14% to $ 1.0907 . The Australian dollar fell after its latest central bank meeting minutes showed that keeping interest rates unchanged had been under consideration.
Persons: Dow, Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joe Manimbo, Brent, Caroline Valetkevitch, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Joice Alves, Selena Li, Anisha, Susan Fenton, Jason Neely, Richard Chang Organizations: Treasury, People's Bank of, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, . House, Representatives, Financial Affairs, Thomson Locations: U.S, People's Bank of China, New York City, China . U.S, New York, London, Hong Kong, Bengaluru
Data lifts dollar, euro soft as Germany enters recession
  + stars: | 2023-05-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The dollar rose for a fourth straight session on Thursday against a basket of major peers to hit a fresh two-month high, as U.S. economic data signaled resilience even after the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hike cycle. In contrast the German economy, Europe's largest, was in recession in the first quarter as GDP fell 0.3%, sending the euro lower. The dollar index rose 0.27% at 104.100 after hitting 104.27, its highest since March 17. Boston Federal Reserve President Susan Collins said on Thursday the time may be at hand for the U.S. central bank to pause its rate hike cycle. Worries about a potential U.S. default supported the dollar as talks continue in Washington to raise the $31.4 trillion debt ceiling.
Persons: Joe Manimbo, CME's, Susan Collins, Fitch, DBRS Morningstar, Kevin McCarthy, Sterling Organizations: Washington DC, Fed, Boston Federal, U.S, Treasury, AAA, White House, Republican Locations: Brest, France, U.S, Washington, United States
Dollar gains on resilient U.S. economy, flight to safety
  + stars: | 2023-05-24 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
"If you consider global data of late, it's painting a more resilient picture of the U.S. economy than what's going on in Europe," he said. The dollar index , which tracks the U.S. currency against six major peers, hit 103.91, its highest since March 20. "The U.S. dollar has been rallying more or less for three weeks helped by stronger-than-expected data and rising U.S. interest rates," he said. The Swedish currency hit 11.541 crowns per euro, its weakest against the common currency since March 2009. The dollar strengthened 0.82% against the crown , while the New Zealand dollar slid 2.29% against the U.S. currency to 0.61050.
Persons: Joe Manimbo, Manimbo, Marc Chandler, Chandler, We're, Simon Harvey Organizations: Reserve, Bannockburn Global, U.S, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank, European Central Bank, New, New Zealand, Bank, England, Bank of England Locations: Washington, U.S, Europe, Bannockburn, New York
The euro, meanwhile, dropped to a six-week low versus the dollar at $1.0811 . Wednesday's data showed that U.S. single-family homebuilding increased in April, but data for the prior month was revised sharply lower. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, rose 1.6% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 846,000 units last month. In late morning trading, the dollar rose 0.7% versus the yen to 137.37 yen, after earlier climbing to a two-week peak of 137.445 . In the offshore market, the dollar rose 0.2% to 7.00911 .
Dollar notches biggest weekly rise since February
  + stars: | 2023-05-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The U.S. dollar rose against the euro and sterling on Friday, and notched its biggest weekly gain since February, as investors shifted to safe havens after consumer sentiment data fueled concern about the U.S. debt ceiling and monetary policy. A University of Michigan survey on Friday showed May U.S. consumer sentiment slumped to a six-month low on worries that political dispute over raising the federal government's borrowing cap could trigger a recession. "Rate differentials are continuing to tilt in the dollar's favor," said Karl Schamotta, chief market strategist of Corpay in Toronto. Recent data showing a slowing economy has boosted the case that the Fed will pause hiking rates at its June meeting. That left the dollar index up 0.63% at 102.70, notching a weekly gain of 1.4% — its biggest weekly rise since February.
Dollar stronger as market rethinks monetary policy outlook
  + stars: | 2023-05-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The U.S. dollar rose against the euro and sterling on Thursday and set a more than one-week high against a basket of its major peers as traders sought safety after a series of economic data prompted a reassessment of their outlook for global monetary policy. U.S. producer prices, on the other hand, showed a moderate rise last month, posting the smallest annual increase in producer inflation in more than two years, further evidence that inflation pressures were easing. "I think the market is starting to rethink the outlook for the Fed cutting rates after inflation, while lower, remained on the high side. The dollar index , which tracks the U.S. currency against six major peers, rose 0.58% to 102.07, its highest showing in more than a week. "So, it just felt like a reaction to take off risk more broadly...Let's buy the dollar.
U.S. dollar struggles, pound hits one-year high
  + stars: | 2023-05-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The dollar index, which measures the currency against six rivals, was slightly higher at 101.41, a better showing than the one-year low of 100.78 reached last month. Fed funds futures traders are now pricing for the fed funds rate to reach 4.993 in July, and remain below that all year. Sterling hit a more than one-year peak against the dollar on Monday, with the pound trading as high as $1.2668, its highest since April 2022, but slipped slightly below that, and was last seen at $1.2614. The pound remains in focus this week ahead of an expected Bank of England rate increase on Thursday, and has also been firming versus the euro. Meanwhile, U.S. inflation data due on Wednesday, could indicate whether the Fed must do more to rein in inflation.
The dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major currencies, rose 0.1% to 101.54 . Friday's data showed the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index edged 0.1% higher in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. Following the inflation data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.
The dollar index, a measure of the greenback's value against six major currencies, rose 0.7% to 102.10 . In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. Excluding the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index inched up 0.3% after increasing at the same rate in February. The so-called core PCE price index gained 4.6% on a year-on-year basis in March after rising 4.7% in February. Following the data, the rate futures market has priced in a 90% chance of a 25 basis-point hike next week.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index gained 0.1% in March after rising 0.3% in February. In the 12 months through March, the PCE price index increased 4.2% after climbing 5.1% in February. "Will the Fed raise rates at the May meeting. I don't think it'll influence them one way or another but we expect them to raise rates again. I don’t think it’s going to impact the Fed much if at all.
The dollar fell to a more than one-week low against major currencies on Monday in generally thin trading, as investors continued to price in interest rate cuts this year by the Federal Reserve after a widely expected rate increase at next week's policy meeting. Fed policymakers are widely expected to raise rates by another 25 bps at next week's meeting, but they are seen pausing in June. The rate futures market has also factored in roughly 50 bps of rate cuts by the end of the year. There were likewise hawkish remarks from Belgian central bank chief and ECB policy maker Pierre Wunsch. Beyond the excitement of the euro/yen cross, currency markets were quiet, as traders waited for key central bank meetings, the first of which is the BOJ on Friday, the first Ueda will chair.
TOKYO, April 19 (Reuters) - The dollar strengthened on Wednesday, lifted by rising Treasury yields, though the pound gained against the greenback after British inflation stayed above 10% in March and put more pressure on the Bank of England to keep raising rates. "We still think that over the medium- to long-term that the dollar is going to continue to come under considerable amounts of pressure. Wednesday data showed British consumer price inflation eased less than expected in March to 10.1% from February's 10.4%, meaning Britain has western Europe's highest rate of consumer inflation. Deutsche Bank on Wednesday revised up expectations for British rates to include two more 25 basis point rate hikes from the Bank of England. Currency bid prices at 2:42PM (1842 GMT)Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Jacqueline WongOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Dollar drops as inflation cools more than expected
  + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( Karen Brettell | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
In the 12 months through March, the CPI increased 5.0%, the smallest year-on-year gain since May 2021. Economists at Goldman Sachs said after the data that they no longer expect the Fed to raise rates in June. The dollar index fell 0.60% on the day to 101.49 and is down from around 102.11 before the data. The dollar dipped to 133.13 Japanese yen , down 0.47% on the day, from around 133.85 before the data. Retail sales data on Friday will be analyzed next for how consumer spending is being affected by higher prices.
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