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Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. "The comments yesterday were such that the theme of 'higher for longer' is more likely to manifest. So all eyes are focused on any other economic data or Fed comments that could give better feedback regarding the direction of both the economy and the markets going forward." Information technology (.SPLRCT), up 0.9% led sectoral gains, with nine out off 11 major S&P 500 sectors on the upside. The S&P 500 health sub-index (.SPXHC) fell 0.6%.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Illumina, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Greg Bassuk, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, AXS Investments, Nvidia, Apple, Fed, Dow Jones, Unity Software, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Futures mixed after Powell's hawkish tone; more data awaited
  + stars: | 2023-11-10 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. The S&P 500 (.SPX) and the Nasdaq (.IXIC) snapped their longest winning streak in two years in the previous session. ET, Dow e-minis were up 53 points, or 0.16%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 0.25 points, or 0.01%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 29.5 points, or 0.19%. The University of Michigan is set to issue a preliminary reading on its consumer sentiment index for November at 10 a.m. Illumina (ILMN.O) shares dropped 11.2% as the gene-testing company trimmed its full-year profit forecast for the second straight quarter.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Joshua Mahony, Mahony, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Wall, Treasury, Dow e, Fed, University of Michigan, Nvidia, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Gold holds ground as markets gauge U.S. rate outlook
  + stars: | 2023-08-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold bars and gold coins of different sizes lie in a safe on a table at the precious metal dealer Pro Aurum. Gold prices firmed on Monday despite U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish stance on interest rates as markets sought direction from economic data this week for confirmation on the rate trajectory. Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,916.19 per ounce by 0354 GMT, U.S. gold futures gained 0.2% to $1,943.90. "However, much still awaits on a sustained recovery in gold prices for now, given that concerns of re-accelerating inflation on U.S. economic resilience are translating into mounting bets of a November rate hike." A series of economic data this week, with the U.S. non-farm payroll report on Friday will likely to provide a sharper focus on the economy's strength.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, Powell, Jun Rong, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank Loretta Mester Organizations: Aurum, U.S, Federal, IG, Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank, U.S . Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Powell hints at future rate increases Strong demand outweighs potential AI crackdown Look out for the Fed's stress tests 1. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Powell, Jerome Powell's hawkish, Wells, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Wall Street Journal, Nvidia, Devices, Club, AMD Locations: Portugal, China
Everyday now we've been talking about Silicon Valley Bank — SVB — and I've had to catch myself several times from saying SBF — Sam Bankman-Fried — the guy behind the other big financial collapse in recent months. A) No rate hike at allB) 25 basis pointsC) 50 basis pointsTweet me (@philrosenn) or email me (prosen@insider.com) to let me know. Bank stocks are rising again as nerves calm — though SVB-driven fears are still niggling. Bank of America picked out a batch of financial stocks that offer upside right now amid the chaos. The token soared 15% as the February CPI print fueled more speculation for a smaller rate hike.
Wall Street's main indexes recorded steep losses in the previous session after startups-focused lender SVB Financial Group's (SIVB.O) share sale to shore up its balance sheet wiped out more than $80 billion in value from bank shares. The bank is in talks to sell itself, the report added. All three major U.S. indexes were headed towards weekly losses as Fed Chair Jerome Powell earlier this week left open the possibility of a large rate hike at the Fed's March meeting, after the central bank dialed down the size of its rate hike last month. Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 3.33-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and by a 3.88-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shristi Achar in Bengaluru Editing by Vinay DwivediOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
A Montana builder finds it so hard to hire locally that it's flying in workers on a private jet instead. The tight labor market is a target of the Fed as it tries to bring down inflation by hiking interest rates. It's yet another sign of a tight labor market, where openings outstrip the number of workers available to fill them. The Fed has raised interest rates at a historically fast pace over the past year to try to cool high rates of inflation. A hot labor market tends to fuel inflation, as it puts upward pressure on wage growth.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS) eased 0.2% on Thursday, extending a drop of 1.4% the previous session. S&P 500 futures eased 0.1% and Nasdaq futures were off 0.3%Inflation data out of China showed on Thursday that domestic demand still remained tepid. The U.S. dollar index, measuring the greenback's value against a basket of major peers, hovered close to a three-month top at 105.6. The central bank on Wednesday left its key overnight interest rate on hold, becoming the first major central bank to suspend its monetary tightening campaign. On Thursday, the two-year Treasury yields held close to its 15 year highs at 5.0553%, while the benchmark 10-year yields were steady at 3.9775%.
MUMBAI, March 9 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee rose against the U.S. currency on Thursday, supported by dollar inflows and the underlying positive momentum, traders said. The rupee was at 81.8575 to the U.S. dollar by 10:22 a.m. IST compared with 82.0550 in the previous session. The rupee has not been impacted by the change in the repricing of what the Federal Reserve is likely to do at this month's meeting. The local currency is marginally higher than what it was before Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments. Dollar inflows are helping negotiate the renewed Fed concerns, they added.
Morning Bid: Is China exporting deflation?
  + stars: | 2023-03-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Relief wasn't immediate, as the figures were tinged by doubt on the robustness of China's consumption rebound, with inflation in the country also at its slowest in a year. That's likely welcomed since analysts are making their latest upward revisions to U.S. and European interest rate expectations and do not need another inflationary shock from China's reopening. European futures steadied in Asia as markets assumed a holding pattern with the focus on U.S. data as the driver of interest rate movement. The Bank of Japan concludes a two-day meeting on Friday, though it is increasingly dancing to its own beat. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.3%; Japanese stocks rose 0.6% on Thursday.
Bearish bets intensified on nearly all Asian currencies, with short bets on the South Korean won and the Chinese yuan reaching their highest since November, according to a fortnightly poll of 12 analysts. Short bets on the won were the highest among Asian currencies for the second week in a row. However, the Indian rupee , already the best performing currency in Asia so far this year, bucked the bearish trend as investors dialled back their short bets. Short bets on the ringgit rose slightly. The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3.
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWednesday, Mar. 8, 2023: Cramer says this Club stock could be the best in the DowJim Cramer makes his return to the Investing Club with Jeff Marks to discuss why they are happy with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish testimony before Congress. Jim says despite the tough talk he is not ready to sell stocks and will look for opportunities to buy. Jim also shares his thesis on why he thinks one Club holding could end up being the Dow's best-performing stock in the near-term.
The Fed Chair warned steeper rate hikes may be needed due to strong economic data. Higher interest rates could also raise the risk of recession, which is weighing on investors. "The labour market remains extremely tight despite 450 basis points of rate hikes in the last year," Lazard chief market strategist Ronald Temple said in a statement. Higher interest rates are also raising investors' fear of an incoming recession. This combination of a weakening economy and more rate hikes would surely push the economy into a recession," Main Street Research chief investment officer James Demmert said.
US housing-market sentiment is edging back to an all-time-low, according to Fannie Mae. That's because Americans are worried over rising mortgage rates and the unemployment outlook. Markets are expecting more interest rate hikes from the Fed, which could help keep mortgage rates elevated. That's partly because of the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate hikes to control inflation, which have influenced mortgage rates to hover around twenty-year high. Markets are now expecting even steeper rate hikes from the Fed after Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish testimony to lawmakers this week, with expectations for a 50 basis-point increase in March rising after his remarks.
Bullish sentiment has returned in a big way among retail investors as they've started the year piling record amounts into stocks. Speculative bets are backSome of what retail investors are buying has troubled observers. Different from 2021, however, is that institutional and retail investors look like they're on the same team, at least to a noticeable degree. To JPMorgan's Kolanovic, retail investors' optimism foreshadows future weakness in the stock market, as weak hands get wiped out by volatility, similar to how 2022 played out. With the Fed still set to tighten monetary policy, retail investors' enthusiasm for risky assets could backfire like it did last year.
And yet, despite the dip this week, markets right now are brimming with bullishness — and Reddit-loving retail investors are partying like it's 2021. Retail investors are rebuffing Jerome Powell in piling into speculative assets. Remember, at the start of the pandemic, government stimulus and near-zero interest rates gave retail investors the perfect opportunity to lay down speculative bets. "With all of these headwinds, retail investors are jumping in on maybe some ill-conceived optimism," Goldman said. But economic data be damned, retail investors are still piling into the riskiest corners of the market.
Christopher Waller, governor of the US Federal Reserve, during a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C., US, on Friday, Sept. 23, 2022. After weeks of defying the Federal Reserve, U.S. markets realized that interest rate hikes are probably here to stay. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
After weeks of defying the Federal Reserve, U.S. markets realized that interest rate hikes are probably here to stay. This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. In a wave of downbeat news, investors may indeed need a telescope to find some good news in the near term. Subscribe here to get this report sent directly to your inbox each morning before markets open.
CNBC's Jim Cramer on Wednesday said that investors exiting the market after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish speech on Wednesday are acting too rashly. Stocks fell Wednesday after the Fed raised interest rates by 50 basis points and forecasted hiking rates through next year. We'll get lower numbers — not necessarily a real slowdown, but lower numbers," Cramer said. But that doesn't mean the Fed is losing its fight, he reminded investors. "If Powell felt that things weren't going his way … what he would've done is hit us with another 75 basis point rate hike, not a 50.
So thought we'd look at what the Santa Claus rally phenomenon is all about and which Club stocks have had the best and worth December track records in recent years. It's a seven-day stretch over which the S & P 500 has historically tended to climb. The entire month of December has actually proven to be a historically strong period for the stock market. Investors would surely welcome a strong December after a terrible 11 months for the stock market. The S & P 500 tanked more than 9% that December, which at the time was its worth monthly performance in nearly a decade.
The Federal Reserve faces a high bar before it can start cutting rates, according to Comerica Bank. In addition to slower inflation, other conditions must be met as well, chief economist Bill Adams said. That increased inflationary momentum sets a high bar for the Fed to conclude its tightening campaign and an even higher bar to cut rates, Adams added. In particular, he noted that the eventual peak in the fed fund rates may be higher than previously anticipated as inflation has remained persistent. And a key component in today's current high inflation rate is energy, which Adams said would figure into the Fed's considerations.
Gold ticks higher on dollar pullback; hawkish Powell caps upside
  + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +1 min
Gold prices edged higher on Thursday, helped by a slight dip in the dollar, although U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks limited further gains in zero-yielding bullion. Spot gold rose 0.2% to $1,638.32 per ounce, as of 0118 GMT, after falling 0.8% on Wednesday. Although gold is considered a hedge against inflation, higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset. The European Central Bank "will need additional interest rate increases" to fight off inflation, policymaker Pablo Hernandez de Cos said on Wednesday. Spot silver rose 0.3% to $19.33, platinum rose 0.6% to $935.98 and palladium edged 0.3% higher to $1,860.08.
Four of our Club holdings — Costco Wholesale (COST), Amazon (AMZN), Humana (HUM) and Bausch Health (BHC) — were in the news Thursday. Bausch Health The news: Bausch Health reported third-quarter results before the opening bell Thursday. Given the latter's roughly $4.73 billion market capitalization, Bausch Health's stake is worth approximately $4.2 billion. The reason behind Bausch Health trading consistently below the valuation of its BLCO stake is debt. Secured debt means that Bausch Health has put up assets as collateral, meaning in the event of default the lenders take ownership of the collateralized assets.
OPEC+ agreed to cut production. But the group — which includes Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Russia — agreed Wednesday to slash daily oil production by 2 million barrels, in a bid to send crude prices higher. But OPEC+ defended their decision, saying it was in response to "uncertainty that surrounds the global economic and oil market outlooks." At a news conference after the meeting, the Saudi energy minister added: "We would rather be pre-emptive than be sorry," the New York Times reports. The country's deputy prime minister, Alexander Novak, said the EU's plan could lead to Russia temporarily cutting oil production further — a move that would see crude prices rise, and gasoline follow.
Stocks took a beating this week as the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by another 75 basis points, the third consecutive hike of that magnitude. It wasn't the rate move — which was anticipated by the market — but Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on Wednesday that hurt stocks. It was the fifth losing week out of the last six for all the major stock averages, capped by another painful drop on Friday. Also Wednesday, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by another 75 basis points while maintaining its hawkish tone. ET: Personal Spending and Income (See here for a full list of the stocks in Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust is long.)
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