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A pedestrian carrying an umbrella walks near the Bank of England in the City of London, Britain, July 30, 2023. Investors had already rushed on Wednesday to reel in their bets on further UK rate rises after data showed UK inflation cooled surprisingly quickly in August. Against the euro , the pound was down 0.5% at 86.74 pence, having traded around 86.70 pence before the decision. "The MPC still refers to its flexibility to react should things change, but the chances are this could be the peak in this UK interest rate cycle." "However, there is a risk that the ‘lag effect’ on interest rate hikes means that today’s decision may not be felt for another 9 to 12 months."
Persons: Hollie Adams, Sterling, THOMAS, Huw Pill's, HUGH GIMBER, PHILIP SHAW, DOUGLAS GRANT, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, FRANCES HAQUE, JOE TUCKEY, RICHARD GARLAND, GILES COGHLAN, BoE, stagflation, Amanda Cooper, Dhara Organizations: Bank of England, City of, REUTERS, London, Investors, Bank of, Bank, MPC, SANTANDER, LONDON, Core CPI, PMI, CPI, EMEA, Thomson Locations: City, City of London, Britain, London, MANX, EUROPEAN, FRANCE, GROUP, OXFORDSHIRE
VIEW Bank of England raises rates for a 14th time
  + stars: | 2023-08-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +7 min
The BoE raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.25% and said high inflation meant it was unlikely to stop raising rates any time soon. However, with Thursday's decision, traders began to price in a lower peak in UK rates. MONEY MARKETS: Interest-rate derivatives showed traders believe UK rates will peak around 5.67% by March, compared with an expected peak of 5.73% in the run-up to the decision. Rising interest rates means higher borrowing costs, which will lead to larger monthly mortgage payments for many homeowners." The Bank of England remains committed to bringing inflation down, unfortunately raising interest rates is one of the only tools the Bank can use to sap demand out of the economy."
Persons: BoE, Sterling, VIVEK PAUL, we’ll, STUART COLE, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, MARCUS BROOKES, ” SEEMA SHAH, Rishi Sunak, GILES COGHLAN, THOMAS PUGH, JOHN LEIPER, Amanda Cooper, Samuel Indyk Organizations: Bank of England, FTSE, BLACKROCK, LONDON, TOM HOPKINS, Bank of, RSM, Bank, EMEA, Thomson Locations: LONDON, EUROPEAN, U.S
British annual consumer price inflation fell to a lower than expected 7.9% in June, below a forecast for a decline to 8.2%. June's rate was a long way off last October's 41-year high of 11.1%, but far above the BoE's 2% target rate. "Some good news on UK inflation at last, coming in below expectations for June and most importantly the core inflation rate fell more than thought," Neil Birrell, who is chief investment officer at Premier Miton Investors, said. British finance minister Jeremy Hunt said there was still a long way to go to reduce inflation towards target. Meanwhile, interest-rate derivatives showed traders no longer believe UK rates will have to rise above 6% to temper inflation.
Persons: Barratt, Taylor Wimpey, Neil Birrell, Sterling, Jeremy Hunt, Hunt, Jeremy Batstone, Carr, Raymond James, Danilo Masoni, Alun John, Dhara Ranasinghe, Andrew Organizations: Reuters, Premier Miton Investors, Bank of England, Thomson Locations: United States, European, Milan
Reactions: UK inflation cools in June, pound drops
  + stars: | 2023-07-19 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +6 min
Sterling dropped broadly, falling against the dollar, the euro and the yen, as interest-rate futures showed investors no longer expect UK rates to peak above 6%. COMMENTS:KEVIN BRIGHT, GLOBAL LEADER, CONSUMER PRICING PRACTICE, MCKINSEY & COMPANY, LONDON:"Inflation dipped more than expected; but the gulf between the UK and the Eurozone inflation levels remains. Despite most categories seeing a decline, food & non-alcoholic beverage inflation at 17.3% remains only 1.8% below its peak in March 2023. "Continued rising prices, higher interest rates and below inflation wage growth – are a triple blow to household budgets. NEIL BIRRELL, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, PREMIER MITON INVESTORS, LONDON:"Some good news on UK inflation at last, coming in below expectations for June and most importantly the core inflation rate fell more than thought.
Persons: Sterling, BoE, KEVIN, JOE TUCKEY, JORDAN, NOMURA, CHRIS BEAUCHAMP, Andrew Bailey, JEREMY BATSTONE, CARR, RAYMOND JAMES, ” KENNETH BROUX, It's, JOSEPH CALNAN, NEIL BIRRELL, Amanda Cooper, Andrew Heavens, Catherine Evans Organizations: Bank of England's, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Reuters, MCKINSEY, COMPANY, LONDON, Bank of England, JORDAN ROCHESTER, CPI, IG GROUP, Bank of, SOCIETE GENERALE, U.S, EMEA, Thomson Locations: homebuilders, Bank of England, EUROPEAN
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen previously warned lawmakers that a default in early June is "highly likely." Prices rose 1.2% month on month, above a forecast of 0.8%. "April 2022 saw energy prices increase by 47.5%. Thanks to the government's energy price guarantee, this energy surge has now dropped out of the year-on-year equation, leading the comparative inflation rate to naturally fall." The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday joined the Bank of England in saying that it no longer expects a U.K. recession this year.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Kevin McCarthy, Joe Biden, Jeremy Batstone, Carr Organizations: U.S, Treasury, Raymond James Investment Services, of England, Capital Economics, Monetary Fund, Tuesday, Bank of England Locations: European
A Reuters poll of economists had forecast a 0.2% contraction amid a bleak overall picture for the British economy. watch nowThe boost in services seemingly offset some of the negative impact of mass strike action across the U.K., particularly in the rail and postal sectors. "What's more, the effects of the Bank's monetary tightening are still to feed through the economy fully. Together with the corporation tax increase to 25% and the expiration of the tax reduction on new investments, the economy only stands to contract further." The Bank of England has projected that the U.K. economy will experience at least a four-quarter recession, its longest on record.
The blue-chip FTSE 100 (.FTSE) climbed 0.4%, extending gains to a third straight session and outperforming most regional peers. British clothing retailer Next (NXT.L) surged 7.4% after raising its pretax profit forecast for the current year, pushing the broader retailers index (.FTNMX404010) to a more than four-month high. Oil majors BP (BP.L) and Shell (SHEL.L) rose more than 1% each as crude oil prices rebounded amid dollar weakness. Britain's services sector ended 2022 in a lacklustre fashion, with new orders falling and hiring frozen during December, a survey showed, highlighting the likelihood that Britain is already in recession. Reporting by Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; editing by Uttaresh.V and Shinjini GanguliOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
VIEW Bank of England lifts UK rates to 3% in historic hike
  + stars: | 2022-11-03 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
REUTERS/Toby MelvilleLONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - The Bank of England raised UK interest rates to 3% on Thursday in its largest rate hike since 1989 and warned of a "very challenging outlook" for the economy. Money markets showed traders now expect UK rates to peak at 4.6% by next September, compared to expectations of 4.8% just two days ago. UK bank stocks (.FTNMX301010) fell 0.8%BONDS: Yields on the two-year gilt were last up 1 basis points at 3.041%, compared with 3.064% before the BoE announced its decision. Rates markets are pricing another 50bps hike at each of the December and February meetings, although still reflect a lower terminal rate than just a week ago. ANDREW ALDRIDGE, PARTNER AT DEEPBRIDGE CAPITAL, LONDON"Quelling rampant inflation and kickstarting a slowing economy left the Bank facing a difficult balancing act, with today's interest rate hike to 3% hardly surprising in this context.
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