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☆ Why one veteran economist is doubling down on his 2025 recession call after Trump's victory
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
That's due to a recent contraction in the money supply, which preceded past downturns, he told NYSE TV Live. The US economy is still likely to slow into a recession next year — and Trump's election victory may have just made the economic outlook even more challenging, according to top economist Steve Hanke. AdvertisementM2, one class of the money supply, shrank from mid-2022 to March 2024, according to Federal Reserve data. The M2 money supply started to re-expand this year, rising 2.47% year-per-year at the end of September. Trump's protectionist economic policies also impose a "big negative" for the economy, Hanke said.
Persons: Steve Hanke, downturns, Johns Hopkins, who's, That's, Hanke, Trump Organizations: NYSE TV, NYSE, Federal Reserve, Real Locations: Atlanta
☆ A 'silver tsunami' of retirement-age baby boomers is creating a big opportunity for real-estate investors, research firm says
  + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +3 min
AdvertisementThe growing ranks of boomers aged 65-plus could spark a boom in the senior housing market. It says this will drive strong demand for senior housing facilities, including assisted living, independent living, skilled nursing, and memory care. "That makes senior housing a compelling option for investors looking to break away from traditional property investment." Census Bureau/Capital EconomicsMeanwhile, around 11% of those over the age of 65 are currently living in a form of senior housing, according to the American Senior Housing Association. Related storiesRents, meanwhile, are seeing a strong uptrend, thanks to the supply of senior housing growing tighter after the pandemic.
Persons: that's, Imogen Pattison, Pattison Organizations: Capital, Capital Economics, Census, American Senior Housing Association, MAP
☆ 4 signs of re-inflation investors should watch out for, Charles Schwab says
  + stars: | 2024-11-17 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +7 min
AdvertisementInflation's downtrend may not be as straightforward as some investors think, according to Charles Schwab. Immigration reform could mean higher labor costs," the note added. Labor costs risingLabor costs have accelerated in recent months, with unit labor costs among all workers in the business sector rising to 3.4% year-over-year in the third quarter, according to Federal Reserve data. Markets are beginning to dial back expectations for further rate cuts in response to inflation concerns," Schwab strategists said. Charles Schwab, Citi Economic Surprise Index"Stronger growth suggests that the Fed may not lower short-term rates as much as anticipated just a few months ago.
Persons: Charles Schwab, Donald Trump, Trump, Schwab, It's Organizations: Trump, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, Federal Reserve, Unit, Bloomberg, Treasury, Business, Citi
☆ 5 charts showing Trump's immense post-election market impact
  + stars: | 2024-11-15 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
Bank stocks in particular got a lift amid speculation of increased deal activity. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR2. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR3. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, EPFR4. Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg5.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Stocks, Michael Hartnett, Gold, Crypto Organizations: Investors, Bank, Bank of America, BofA Global Research, Bank of America Global Investment, Bank of America Global Investment Strategy, Bloomberg Locations: outflows
☆ Trump's policies could usher in stagflation and send stock prices plummeting, 'Dr. Doom' economist says
  + stars: | 2024-11-12 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Such a scenario would entail higher inflation, higher rates, and falling stock prices, Roubini predicted. "That's going to crowd economic growth, and bond yields above 5% would imply a correction of stock prices and negative impacts on the economy." AdvertisementOther experts have warned some of Trump's policies could lead to higher inflation and interest rates, with his tariff plan attracting significant criticism from economists. Some of Trump's policies — like his plans to loosen regulation — could prop up business activity and fuel growth, Roubini noted. "I think markets are still in a wait-and-see to figure out whether the policies are going to be hurting the economy," Roubini said.
Persons: Nouriel Roubini, Roubini, —, Donald Trump's, Doom, prognostications, Trump, Trump's, Taylor Rogers, hin, Stocks Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, stoke, Republican National Committee, Trump, Fed, Bank of America, Dow Jones Industrial Locations: China
☆ Americans' cost-of-living anxiety is creating a population of oversavers
  + stars: | 2024-11-10 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
That's largely due to anxiety about higher costs of living, especially in retirement, experts told BI. Many high-income Americans are hoarding cash and trying to cut costs anywhere they can. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Cost-of-living stressThe pace of inflation has cooled significantly, but many Americans—even wealthy ones—are still dismayed that many costs are still higher overall. AdvertisementExperts, though, say oversaving could hurt Americans trying to build wealth in the long run.
Persons: That's, —, spender, she's, I've, oversavers, Kitty Ritchie, Ted Rossman, Ritchie, he's Organizations: Service, of America, Drucker Wealth Management, Companies, Challenger, Michigan Locations: Michigan, America
☆ Why Russia's brain drain is the biggest problem facing its economy
  + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Russia's brain drain has become its economy's biggest problem, an economist told Business Insider. The long-lasting nature of brain drain makes the issue more serious than, say, inflation, which could be remedied by central bank maneuvering. Over the next decade, Russia's economy could devolve into one dependent mainly on its natural resources rather than on the most innovative industries, Portes speculated. That's similar to what other economic forecasters have predicted, with some warning Russia's economy could become de-industrialized as its resources are siphoned off by the war. Advertisement"It will be reduced to a resource economy, a natural resource economy," he said of Russia's future.
Persons: —, Richard Portes, they've, Portes Organizations: Service, London Business School, Russia, French Institute of International Relations, Business, Institute of Economics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Labor, Russian, UC Berkeley Locations: Russia, Ukraine
☆ The odds of Russia's economy collapsing are 'extremely small' and the war can go on for the long term, economist says
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Russia's war economy ins't in imminent danger of collapse, economist Vladislav Inozemstev said. AdvertisementRussia may stand a better chance at sustaining its war economy than previously thought. "The people realize that the 'war economy' has substituted the anemic economic condition of the 2010s." Inozemstev said he expected Russia's economy to continue to grow in 2025 and beyond, forecasting 2%-2.5% GDP growth next year. The International Monetary Fund has said it is expecting Russia's economy to expand by 3.6% in 2024.
Persons: Vladislav Inozemstev, —, Inozemstev Organizations: Service, Middle East Media Research Institute, Kremlin, Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Russian, Soviet Union
☆ Trump is about to make the Fed's job a lot harder
  + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Donald Trump's election victory is set to make the Federal Reserve's job more difficult. His tariff and immigration plans are expected to stoke inflation, complicating the Fed's policy decisions. Trump has also said he'd like a say in setting monetary policy, which would erode Fed independence. Donald Trump's election win brings his vision of hefty trade tariffs and a sweeping immigration crackdown closer to becoming reality. A study from the Peterson Institute of International Economics said interfering with the Fed's independence could cost the economy $300 billion and drive inflation higher.
Persons: Donald Trump's, Trump, —, it's, Glen Smith, Smith, Paul Krugman, Trump's, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: stoke, Service, Treasury, GDS Wealth Management, Fed, Fed Trump, Peterson Institute of International Economics, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Trump Locations: China
☆ Hollywood goes conservative as an economic shift fuels a turn toward faith and family-based shows
  + stars: | 2024-11-06 | by ( Lucia Moses | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +10 min
After playing to the coasts, Hollywood is leaning toward faith and family-based shows and films. The Prime Video series will be the first to come out of Amazon's deal with The Wonder Project, a Christian-focused production company, for faith-based films and TV shows. After playing to the coasts with shows that embraced progressive themes, Hollywood is leaning into broadly appealing fare. That shift has included a combination of undeniably faith-based, conservative-themed, and family-aimed entertainment, agents, producers, and industry experts say. "Conservative, faith-based, family, is not a bad place to look," Thompson said.
Persons: —, David, Vernon Sanders, Jennifer Salke, Nick Barnes, UTA's, Kevin Costner, Bob Iger, Tyler Perry, DeVon Franklin, Ruth, Boaz, Mary, Anthony Hopkins, Tim McGraw, Jim Caviezel, Jesus, Dallas Jenkins, Jon Erwin, UTA's Barnes, Jesus of Nazareth, Angel, Robert Thompson, Thompson, Hilary Swank, Jamie McCarthy, That's, Jason Blum, Taylor Sheridan, Barnes Organizations: Netflix, Service, Amazon MGM Studios, Paramount, Heartland, Disney, Angel, Angel Studios, Wonder, Networks, Cable, Syracuse University's Newhouse School of Public Communications, Center for Television, Popular, Conservative, York, Kingdom, Co, Lionsgate, UTA, Ampere Locations: Hollywood, UTA's Nashville, Los Angeles, American, California, America, Yellowstone, Georgia , Texas, Tennessee
☆ It's an 'exciting time' to be in a product testing business, says UL Solutions CEO Jennifer Scanlon
  + stars: | 2024-11-05 | by ( Jim Cramer | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
It's an 'exciting time' to be in a product testing business, says UL Solutions CEO Jennifer ScanlonUL Solutions President and CEO Jennifer Scanlon joins 'Mad Money' host Jim Cramer to talk quarterly results, battery manufacturing, the EV space and more.
Persons: Jennifer Scanlon, Jim Cramer Organizations: UL
☆ Chip fever has created an $11 billion debt market backed by Nvidia's AI-enabling GPUs
  + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
Top Wall Street lenders have created a big debt market back by red-hot Nvidia GPUs. A report from the FT says firms have made billions in loans to companies that use Nvidia chips as collateral. AdvertisementTop Wall Street firms have loaned billions to a handful of tech companies that have used Nvidia's artificial intelligence-enabling GPUs as collateral, The Finanacial Times reported. According to the FT, big financial institutions including BlackRock, Blackstone, Pimco, and Carlyle, have made over $11 billion in loans to "neocloud" companies, tech companies that provide cloud services to other tech firms building AI products. There are concerns, though, over the value of Nvidia's GPUs, with the price of existing AI chips potentially coming down as more advanced models are released and as companies potentially dial back AI spending.
Persons: —, Carlyle, Willy Wonka's Organizations: Nvidia, FT, Service, Finanacial Times, BlackRock, Blackstone, Lambda Labs, Leasing, Business Locations: Wall
☆ Commercial real estate is flashing signs that the worst of the distress is over, Blackstone president says
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
The worst is behind the commercial real estate sector, according to Blackstone's Jon Gray. AdvertisementThe worst of the commercial real estate turmoil looks to be over, Blackstone president Jon Gray says. Related stories"We said in January, publicly on earnings, that we thought commercial real estate was bottoming. So they're saying to themselves, 'Real estate, oh, I got all this troubled real estate. "If you were an investor in real estate after the financial crisis, you would have made a lot of money.
Persons: Blackstone's Jon Gray, there's, Blackstone, Gray, —, Jon Gray, Goldman Sachs, we've, didn't Organizations: Service, Blackstone Locations: CRE, Europe, Asia
☆ Retired Republican judge condemns Trump’s ‘reprehensible’ attack on Cheney
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: 1 min
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☆ Alyssa Farah Griffin calls Trump’s comments about Liz Cheney ‘unconscionable’
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: 1 min
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☆ Video: Trump uses violent rhetoric against Liz Cheney during interview with Tucker Carlson
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: 1 min
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☆ Russia faces a crisis regardless if Putin ends or continues the war in Ukraine, economist says
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
Russia faces a crisis whether it continues the war or not, economist Alexander Mertens says. War spending has been a major boost to Moscow's GDP growth and wealth, and ending the war will be tricky. If Russia continues the war, the economy looks on track for a "severe recession" and long-running stagnation, Mertens said. "The current state of the Russian economy is far from critical but it does present Putin with a dilemma. The Russian economy is not yet close to collapse, but it is increasingly dependent on wartime conditions and faces growing risks of overheating."
Persons: Alexander Mertens, —, Vladimir Putin, Mertens, Merten, Putin, That's Organizations: Service, Kyiv's International Institute of Business, Ukraine, Atlantic Council, Russian National Welfare Fund, Kremlin, International Monetary Fund Locations: Russia, Ukrainian, Ukraine
☆ The US economy is in for a double shock if Trump is elected president, Nobel economist Paul Krugman says
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Trump's policies could leave the US economy with two major challenges, Paul Krugman said. Krugman pointed to Trump's economic plan, which economists have described as inflationary. Trump's deportation plans could also hit the economy, given that immigration has boosted the job market. AdvertisementThe US could be in for twin shocks if Trump becomes president for a second time, Nobel economist Paul Krugman said. Trump's general economic plan is also widely thought to be more inflationary than Harris's.
Persons: Paul Krugman, Krugman, —, Trump, Harris Organizations: Service, Peterson Institute for International Economics, Financial Times, University of Chicago, American Immigration, New York Times Locations: York
☆ Nikki Haley voters prepare to pick sides: From the Politics Desk
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( The Politics Desk | ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +6 min
In today’s edition, national political reporter Ben Kamisar breaks down our latest NBC News Deciders Focus Group, which featured voters who supported Nikki Haley in the Republican presidential primary. Uncomfortable Haley voters weigh their options with Election Day loomingBy Ben KamisarKamala Harris’ deployment of prominent Republican critics of Donald Trump hasn’t convinced a new focus group of voters who backed Nikki Haley in the GOP presidential primary. Such was the reaction among the 11 focus group participants in a new NBC News Deciders Focus Group conducted Monday evening, produced in collaboration with Syracuse University and the research firms Engagious and Sago. “Most of the voters we heard from have known for months which camp they’re in,” she continued. Four of these 11 voters plan to vote for Trump or are leaning that way, with another choosing between Trump and a write-in or third party.
Persons: Ben Kamisar, Nikki Haley, Chuck Todd, Donald Trump, Haley, Ben Kamisar Kamala Harris, Donald Trump hasn’t, Harris, Trump, ”, Margaret Talev, Jennifer S, ” “ I’m, would’ve, Chase Oliver, Read, There’s, Donald Trump’s, George W, Chuck → That’s Organizations: NBC, White House, Capitol, Republican, Syracuse University, Trump, White, they’re Republicans, Syracuse University’s Institute for Democracy, Trump Cabinet, Madison, Republicans, Democratic Locations: Trump, New York City, Washington, ”, Pennsylvania
☆ Uncomfortable Nikki Haley backers weigh their options with Election Day looming
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms | Ben Kamisar | ) www.nbcnews.com   time to read: +10 min
Kamala Harris’ deployment of prominent Republican Trump critics hasn’t convinced a new focus group of voters who backed Nikki Haley in the GOP presidential primary. “It’s repulsive,” said Dale J., a 67-year-old from Minnesota who voted for Trump in 2020 and plans to do so again. "I really liked the idea that Nikki Haley was a woman, and I thought she would have more closer values to mine than Trump. (One of these voters is a registered Democrat who voted in her state’s open presidential primary for Haley.) Only one voter, 40-year-old Chris P. from Michigan, backed Trump in 2020 and is considering voting for Harris now.
Persons: Kamala Harris, hasn’t, Nikki Haley, Haley, Harris, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Margaret Talev, Jennifer S, ”, ” “ I’m, would’ve, Cristel, Joe Biden, Dale J, Treasa, Chase Oliver, John Kelly, Liz Cheney, Rich Thau, Engagious, Cheney, Jason L, Adolf Hitler, “, ” —, Zach R, She's, Ohio Republican Sen, JD Vance, that’s, Barbara Z, that's, John D, Harris hasn’t, John, can’t, Biden, I’m, S, Chris P, he’s Organizations: Republican Trump, NBC, Syracuse University, Trump, White, Republican, they’re Republicans, Syracuse University’s Institute for Democracy, Journalism, Citizenship, Trump Cabinet, Madison, GOP, Republican Party, White House, Wyoming GOP, U.S . Capitol, Fox News, Republicans, North Carolina Republican, Ohio Republican Locations: Trump, New York City, Washington, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Minnesota, North Carolina, Wyoming, Madison, Harris, Arizona, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan
☆ Meta earnings live updates: Wall Street bullish on the firm's long-term prospects; analysts watching for AI guidance
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
The company is expected to report revenue of $40.25 billion. Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Go to newsletter preferences Thanks for signing up! download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Meta will report its earnings for the third quarterafter the closing bell, and Wall Street is feeling upbeat heading into the results.
Persons: — Organizations: Service, Meta, Facebook Locations: Wall
☆ Bringing manufacturing back to the US is a $10 trillion opportunity for the economy, Morgan Stanley says
  + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Morgan Stanley estimated that bringing manufacturing back to the US could add $10 trillion to the economy. The bank pointed to a 20-year stagnation of the industrial economy as production was sent offshore. AdvertisementThe US economy could unlock trillions in value over the next decade if more manufacturing activity comes back to the US, according to Morgan Stanley. The Biden administration, meanwhile, has poured billions into its push to increase chip production in the US and boost the manufacturing and industrial sectors. The cumulative effects could be "pretty profound" across the US economy, Snyder said, with the boost to industry and manufacturing bound to raise GDP.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, —, Chris Snyder, Snyder, Morgan Stanley's, Trump, Biden Organizations: Service, Biden, of Supply Management, Commerce Department, Economic
☆ How national security panics in Russia could stifle innovation and hurt its economy
  + stars: | 2024-10-27 | by ( Jennifer Sor | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +6 min
Spy mania in Russia has created an environment that's stifling innovation, sources told BI. "You do have an inhibition on risk-taking, innovation," Portes told BI on the intensifying pursuit of foreign agents in Russia. Russia's economy is showing some signs that the kind of risk-taking associated with innovation and entrepreneurship is on the decline. Innovation in Russia has fallen behind the nation's level of development, according to a 2024 ranking from the World Intellectual Property Organization. We have plenty of examples in history where a war economy can keep on going, even though everything is crumbling around it.
Persons: —, Ivan Pavlov, Pavlov, Richard Portes, Portes, Sergei Guriev, Guriev, Constant Organizations: Service, Human Rights Watch, London Business School, Intellectual, Organization, Russian, Russia, World Bank Locations: Russia, Russian, Europe, Moscow, Ukraine
☆ Meet the billionaires battling it out in the 2024 World Series
  + stars: | 2024-10-26 | by ( Madeline Berg | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +5 min
The Dodgers and Yankees will face off in the MLB 2024 World Series. AdvertisementWhen the Dodgers and Yankees take the field to battle it out for the 120th World Series championship, the players won't be the only ones with trophies on the line. The financier is worth $6 billion, according to Forbes. Now, the team is owned by George's kids, Hank Steinbrenner, Jessica Steinbrenner, Hal Steinbrenner, and Jennifer Steinbrenner Swindal. Related storiesThe bulk of the Steinbrenners' fortune is tied up in the Yankees, which is MLB's most valuable franchise, worth $7.93 billion, according to Sportico.
Persons: Mark Walter, Steinbrenner, —, Walter, Magic Johnson, Stan Kasten, I'm, Johnson, George Steinbrenner, Hank Steinbrenner, Jessica Steinbrenner, Hal Steinbrenner, Jennifer Steinbrenner Swindal, Forbes, I've, Marc Lasry, Sportico, Banks, Goldman Sachs, Ivo Voynov Organizations: Dodgers, Yankees, Sports, Service, Guggenheim Partners, Forbes, Atlanta Braves, Los Angeles, MLB, Los Angeles Times, CBS, franchise's YES, Major League Soccer's New, Major League Soccer's New York City FC, Legends Hospitality, Italian soccer, AC Milan, Professional, Yankee, Milwaukee Bucks, Citi Private Bank Locations: Major League Soccer's New York, Italian
☆ Georgia election official confirms ‘zero evidence’ of machines flipping votes
  + stars: | 2024-10-24 | by ( Jennifer Smith | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: 1 min
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