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☆ March in a presidential election year may kick off a weak period. Here's why that could be a buying opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Seasonally speaking, stocks could be in for a pullback as the calendar turns to March in a presidential election year. In every March since 1950, the S & P 500 historically rises 1.1%, but the same month in presidential election years scores a smaller 0.4% advance on average. Currently, the S & P 500 is trading around the 5,100 level. But Hirsch advised investors to watch S & P 500 support levels closer to 4,800, the prior all-time high, or 4,600, the high from the summer of 2023. That's because Hirsch anticipates the S & P 500 will rise to 5,500 by year end, so any dips may prove a buying opportunity for investors.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Russell, Hirsch, it's, you've, —, Hirsch isn't, Katie Stockton, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, CFRA Research

☆ Don't fear December: Stocks usually see year-end gains, especially before a presidential election year
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-27 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

December is the time of the season when investors seldom have to worry about stock market performance, particularly in years that come before a presidential election. "Trading in December is holiday-inspired and fueled by a buying bias throughout the month," Hirsch recently told subscribers. "However, the first part of the month tends to be weaker as tax-loss selling and yearend portfolio restructuring begins." December does even better for small-cap stocks, at least going back to 1979, delivering the year's second-highest monthly return. That small cap return is usually back end loaded, however, only starting around the middle of the month.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Hirsch, outsized, Dow Industrials, Russell Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Nvidia, Tesla, Meta, Microsoft Locations: Decembers

☆ Starz to lay off more than 10% of employees ahead of Lionsgate spinoff
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-03 | by ( Alex Sherman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A Starz spokesperson declined to comment on the number of cuts but confirmed the authenticity of the letter to staff. Lionsgate and Starz have been part of the same company since December 2016, when Lionsgate acquired Starz for $4.4 billion. That marriage will end in the first quarter, when the company plans to spin Lionsgate as a separately traded company. Starz announced last quarter it planned to exit Latin America to focus on the U.S., U.K. and Canada. Starz ended last quarter with about 12 million domestic streaming subscribers and about 20 million total customers when including those who sign up through traditional pay TV.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Hirsch Organizations: Starz, CNBC, Lionsgate, E Networks, Paramount, BET Locations: Australia, America, Canada

☆ Stocks go up in in the fourth quarter of the year 80% of the time—what that means for your money
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Don't look now, but the market is entering what's historically been a good period for investors. No, it's not McRib season, although there's a case to made that the sandwich's reappearance bodes well for stocks. Rather, investors will be glad to know that October kicks off what is typically a good three months for stocks, following a month in September that historically tends to be rough. The S&P 500 index posted September declines of 3.9% in 2020, 4.8% in 2021, 9.3% in 2022 and 4.7% in 2023. In fact, stocks have gone up in the fourth quarter 79.5% of the time — the highest success rate of any quarter.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch

☆ If you sold in May, it's time to start buying again, says the Stock Trader's Almanac
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-12 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

A Monday evening note from Almanac editor Jeffrey Hirsch said that the stock market appears to be in the early stages of an end-of-year rally. SPY YTD mountain The S & P 500 is up since May, but did suffer a late-summer swoon. The buy signal could help offset the multiple negatives working against the stock market, including bond yield volatility and the conflict in the Middle East. The Almanac's portfolio changes show an expectation of a broad market rally. The moves include buying the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) , SPDR S & P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) , and the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) as well as the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) .

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, SPDR, Russell Organizations: Dow Jones, ETF Trust, Trust, P Biotech, Consumer, Vanguard, Index

☆ Wall Street sees the market's bumpy ride continuing in the 4th quarter. Here are the risks in store
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-05 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Many investors expect that could be the capitulation event equities need to bottom out before rebounding. "If you get down to five and a quarter all hell's gonna break loose," Rob Ginsberg, managing director at Wolfe Research. The yield on the 10-year Treasury has spiked sharply to about 4.8% this week, about 1 whole percentage point above where it was in mid-July at around 3.7%. In fact, it won't take much for the positive narrative to start to take hold in markets, Hogan said. Hogan anticipates the S & P 500 could rise to 4,800 by year end, about 13% above where it is currently.

Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Fitch, Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, Wolfe Research's Ginsberg, Ginsberg doesn't, You'll, Ginsberg, Riley Financial's Art Hogan, they'll, Read, Hogan, Kevin McCarthy, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Katie Stockton, Bank of America's Stephen Suttmeier, Jeffrey Hirsch, I'm, Hirsch Organizations: Dow Jones, Treasury, Wolfe Research, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, CNBC Pro's, Supply, Bank of America's Locations: Saudi Arabia

☆ MediaMath founder Joe Zawadzki's 'Project Phoenix' looks to raise at least $10 million to help buy back the bankrupt adtech company
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( Lara O'Reilly | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

"Project Phoenix" is seeking to raise at least $10 million in a SAFE financing. Project Phoenix is being operated by team members of Zawadzki's VC fund AperiamVentures. Project Phoenix, registered as Phoenix Project Acquisition Inc., is raising the investment with a "post-money valuation cap" of $20 million — the maximum price at which investors can convert their SAFE investment notes into equity. A person familiar with the matter said it was likely Project Phoenix would need to raise further funds if it wins the auction. Correction: August 11, 2023 — An earlier version of this story misstated the date of bankruptcy auction.

Persons: Joe Zawadzki, Jeffrey Hirsch, Zawadzki, Hirsch didn't, MediaMath, MediaMath's Organizations: Phoenix, Inc, Google Locations: AperiamVentures, Delaware, York

☆ Wall Street prepares for more gains this month after past week's breakout
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-16 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

For now, it's not a brighter economic picture or an exuberant earnings outlook pushing stocks higher. Another reason that some investors have come back to stocks is simply because the S & P 500 ended the week more than 23% above last October's low. "The next level of resistance is above 4,500 on the S & P. Historically, the market gains 14.5% on average between the 20% threshold level and the next decline of 5% or more. "Inflation peaked in June of last year and has been rapidly declining over the past 12 months. Trading the week after is often treacherous, Hirsch said, with the Dow Jones Industrials falling in 27 of the past 33 years and the S & P 500 down in 23 of 33 years.

Persons: it's, Sam Stovall, Clinton, Wells Fargo, Chris Harvey, Harvey, Jay Hatfield, Price, CarMax, Stovall, Jeffrey Hirsch, Hirsch, Dow Jones Industrials, York Fed's John Williams, Jerome Powell, Philip Jefferson, Lisa Cook, Adriana Kugler, Avid Bioservices, Patterson Cos, Christopher Waller, Michael Bloom, Fred Imbert, Alex Harring Organizations: Fed, CFRA, Microsoft, Infrastructure Capital Management, Consumer, PPI, FedEx, Darden, Dow, Housing, Financial, Enerpac, Avid, Banking, Accenture, Commercial Metals, P, PMI Locations: New York, York, Dublin

☆ Next week promises any debt deal relief may prove short-lived with jobs report, Fed decision looming
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-26 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

"The overhangs on the market this year [are] the debt ceiling negotiation, hawkish Fed commentary and a banking crisis. It appears we are going to get a debt ceiling deal over the weekend, which should help the market to stabilize." The problem for many on the Street is the action in the S & P 500 Tech Index, up more than 5% this week; the Nasdaq Composite , ahead about 2.5%; and the S & P 500 , with a 0.3% gain, masks so much weakness beneath the surface. The S & P 500 consumer staples, materials, health care and utilities were all down between 2.4% and 3.2% this week, and the Dow Industrials were lower 1%. Although the S & P 500 is 9.5% higher so far in 2023, only a few stocks are doing well. "

☆ What to watch for in the markets in the week ahead: Monster tech earnings, then sell in May?
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-21 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

More than one third (35%) of the S & P 500 reports earnings next week — including megacaps Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Amazon — versus less than 12% in the week just ended and only 2% last week. So far this quarter, S & P 500 earnings are running 4.7% below the same period a year ago, Refinitiv data shows. Back then, the S & P 500 fell 19.4% from its April high to a low on October 3. Meanwhile, next week is the last full trading week before Wall Street's old adage to "sell in May and go away" takes hold. ET: FHFA Home Price index (February); S & P Case-Shiller home price indexes (February) 10:00 a.m.

☆ April is usually the best month for the Dow. Here’s how much it typically goes up and why
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-31 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

By comparison, the Dow has gained around 0.7% in an average month since 1950. April has historically been the second best month for the S & P 500 and fourth best for the Nasdaq Composite (and second best for Russell 1000 and third best for the Russell 3000). More good news: The Aprils of previous pre-election years have posted an even stronger average performance. Lately, the Dow Industrials have exhibited strength following the tax filing deadline, per the Almanac, which falls on April 18 this year. A March advance would mark a reversal from February, when the Dow Industrials lost 4.2% and briefly gave up all of its early 2023 gain.

☆ Wall Street's 'free lunch'? A simple holiday trade that tends to beat the market
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-20 | by ( Scott Schnipper | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

The almanac's editor-in-chief Jeffrey Hirsch wrote that "this `free lunch' is an extremely short-term strategy reserved for the nimblest traders." Also listed on the table are the average percentage of analysts rating each one a buy and the potential upside represented by analysts' 12-month price targets. Five financial stocks also popped up: Capital One , Signature Bank , Extra Space Storage , Lincoln National and Global Payments . Three tech stocks, two utilities and one consumer non-discretionary and one healthcare stock each round out the screen. Salesforce and Signature Bank both offer potential upside of more than 70%, the highest of the 13, based on analysts' average price targets.

☆ 'The best buying opportunity': Why now is a good time to invest, according to a stock market historian
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( Ryan Ermey | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

If you've looked at your portfolio lately, 2022 may not seem like a "sweet spot" for much of anything. But a "sweet spot" is exactly what Jeffrey Hirsch, a market historian and publisher of the Stock Trader's Alamanac, says investors can take advantage of now. Hirsch sees the market's decline in the first three quarters of 2022 not as a negative but as a potential entry point for investors. That's because since 1946, the S&P 500 has gained an average of 28.2% over the next five quarters after sinking for the first three of a calendar year, with no losses, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac. "We think the market is setting up for the best buying opportunity of the 4-Year Cycle," Hirsch recently wrote on his website.

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