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☆ Trump's Treasury Secretary: The best commentary about who the president-elect should nominate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-18 | by ( Chris Johnston | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

After announcing a swathe of names for his Cabinet, president-elect Donald Trump appears to be conducting auditions for his Treasury Secretary. AdvertisementHere's some of the best commentary we've seen about the race to be the next Treasury Secretary. Blowups somewhere are inevitable, and a Treasury secretary needs the experience to deal with the fallout in a way that reassures markets. There could now be a contest for Treasury Secretary where … the no1 job is reassuring the markets. In return he might be rewarded with the job of treasury secretary.

Persons: Donald Trump, Scott Bessent, Howard Lutnick, Marc Rowan, Kevin Warsh, Cantor Fitzgerald, Trump, Rowan, Apollo, Jay Powell, Warsh, Powell, hasn't, Kyle Bass, Mike Allen, You've, Ian Bremmer, Marco Rubio, Mike Waltz, Biden, Mr Lutnick, Mr Trump, … Mr Lutnick, …, Mr Lutnick's, John Thune, Jeff Stein Organizations: Key Square Capital Management, Apollo Global Management, Federal Reserve, New York Times, The Times, Times, Hayman Capital Management, X, Trump's, Treasury, CNBC, Trump, Fed, White, National Economic Council, Eurasia Group, Bloomberg, The, The Washington Post Locations: X U.S, Eurasia, Washington, United States, The Washington

☆ Postelection stock market thrust unable to be sustained as rate and valuation worries creep back in
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-16 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

.SPX 1M mountain S & P 500, 1 month The S & P is still about 3-4% above levels where chart readers would start to get more concerned about the underlying trajectory. Even in Friday's 1.3% slide in the S & P 500, only two-thirds of all stocks were down on the day and the equal-weight S & P was off a modest three-quarters of a percent. It makes sense that the market wasn't able to summon a sustained thrust of exuberance after the election anxiety evaporated, given the somewhat demanding starting point. A more mature economic and risk cycle and vulnerability to higher rates among smaller, lower-quality stocks mean they aren't likely to lead from here, Pies says. Is the market presciently foretelling an unleashing of transactional fervor that will return Wall Steet's middlemen to their former glory?

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Russell, Jay Powell, Warren Pies, Goldman Organizations: Nasdaq, KBW, ICE, Trump, Federal Reserve, Investors, Bank, 3Fourteen Research, Wall Street Locations: Friday's

☆ Barclays: Markets will be range-bound until there's clarity on Trump's policies
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBarclays: Markets will be range-bound until there's clarity on Trump's policiesAjay Rajadhyaksha of Barclays says Fed chair Jay Powell "will sue" if there is political pressure to push him out of his role and discusses the U.S. economic and market outlook following Trump's election victory.

Persons: Ajay Rajadhyaksha, Jay Powell Organizations: Barclays, Markets

☆ Bull market revs back up on Trump enthusiasm as traders race to grab small caps, banks and Tesla
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-09 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

For one, the market was already in a sturdy uptrend, the S & P ahead by 20% in 2024 by October. Now, the S & P is up 44% in the past 18 months and the P/E is above 22 on more elevated margins. Here's the S & P 500 Value vs Growth relationship since 2014. His call is for investors to fade any near-term rally that takes the S & P above his 6100 "bull case" target for year end. For sure, the S & P 500 is by some measures running a bit hot, pushing above the top end of its two-year bull-market path.

Persons: Donald Trump's, Jay Powell, Trump, Cyclicals, Russell, YTD, Doug Ramsey, we're, reflating, Scott Chronert, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Republican, Trump Trade, Federal, Treasury, financials, Nasdaq, Group, Investment, Trump, Russell, Citi Locations: upending Washington, U.S, year's

Fed Chair Jay Powell said Thursday that he would not resign if president-elect Donald Trump asked him to. Asked whether he would step down amid chatter that Trump's advisors had suggested he do so, Powell replied, "No." Trump himself nominated Powell as Federal Reserve chairman in 2017 in his first administration. Powell made the comments during his regularly scheduled remarks following the release of the Federal Open Market Committee's latest statement on interest rate policy. Representatives for Trump did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Persons: Jay Powell, Donald Trump, Powell, Trump, readying, ” Trump, Scott Bessent, Kevin Warsh Organizations: Federal, Trump, Bloomberg, Chicago Economic, Reuters, CNN, NBC News, CNBC

☆ Jim Cramer says investors too worried about the Fed's next move are missing opportunities
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-17 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer on Thursday said some investors are missing market opportunities because they are too focused on what the Federal Reserve will do next when it comes to interest rates. "I'm not saying the stock market will never go down when the Fed's easing," he said. But Blackstone reported an impressive quarter, and the stock reached a new all-time high, up more than 6% by the close. He also referenced the turbulence this week in the semiconductor space — triggered by a bad quarter from Dutch chipmaker ASML on Tuesday — saying investors' Fed worries may have scared them out of expensive stocks. "Everyone who's obsessed with the Fed's next foray is basically investing with blinders on, and as a result, they're missing out on some of the greatest moves I've ever seen in my life," Cramer said.

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, I'm, Jay Powell, Blackstone, ASML, Jensen, they're, I've, Cramer Organizations: Federal Reserve, Blackstone, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor

☆ It's entirely possible Jay Powell & the Fed pulled off a soft landing: North Island's Glenn Hutchins
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's entirely possible Jay Powell & the Fed pulled off a soft landing: North Island's Glenn HutchinsGlenn Hutchins, North Island chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate decision, rate path outlook, 2024 election, Trump vs. Harris on the economy, and more.

Persons: Jay Powell, Glenn Hutchins Glenn Hutchins, Harris Organizations: Fed, Trump Locations: Island

Stocks surged to open Thursday trading in the wake of the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it was lowering interest rates by half a percentage point. The Fed’s cut was widely expected, but came in larger than many analysts were forecasting. “The continued decline in mortgage rates is giving the mortgage market a much-needed boost,” Bob Broeksmit, the president and CEO of the Mortgage Bankers Association, said in a statement. At the same time, a growing set of indicators suggest economic growth may have begun heading in the wrong direction. “The Fed has signaled a high sensitivity to labor-market weakness,” Nomura Holdings financial group said in a note to clients Thursday.

Persons: Stocks, Jay Powell, ” Powell, It’s, “, Bob Broeksmit, ”, Powell Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Fed, Mortgage Bankers Association, ” Nomura Holdings, Wall Street, Bank of America Locations: U.S

☆ Ron Insana: Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell unnecessarily complicated the outlook for interest rate policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In the spirit of ESPN's Monday Night Countdown, a word to Federal Reserve Chairman, Jay Powell ... "C'Mon Man!" While the markets have rebounded nicely on Thursday, it seems to me that Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell unnecessarily complicated the outlook for interest rate policy on Wednesday by saying the Fed will decide, meeting by meeting, what to do next. Meanwhile, long-term interest rates, after having fallen for weeks in anticipation of a half-point cut, which the Fed delivered, have actually moved up a bit. I'm not entirely certain but I suspect it's the lack of clear direction on future rate policy that is the culprit. In those days, the Fed was loathe to discuss its actions publicly and only signaled to markets what it had done with respect to interest rate policy a considerable time after the action was undertaken.

Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, Paul Volcker Organizations: Federal, Fed Locations: China

☆ Jay Powell was politically pressured into delivering a 'crisis level' rate cut: Kenny Polcari
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJay Powell was politically pressured into delivering a 'crisis level' rate cut: Kenny PolcariKenny Polcari from SlateStone explains why he thinks the 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed is seen as political "pandering" six weeks before the U.S. presidential election.

Persons: Jay Powell, Kenny Polcari Kenny Polcari, SlateStone Organizations: U.S

But a series of data points showing worsening economic conditions has made some analysts believe a 0.5% cut is more likely — and perhaps even necessary. “We do not seek or welcome further cooling in labor market conditions,” Fed Chair Jay Powell said in a speech last month. “A (0.5%) cut is usually done in emergencies,” like the Covid-19 pandemic, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s financial group. Mortgage interest rates have hit their lowest level since February 2023, while auto loan rates are also falling. A 0.5% cut would more directly affect rates tied to the fed funds rate, including credit cards, home equity lines of credit and small-business loans.

Persons: Steve Liesman, Jay Powell, Bill Dudley, ” Dudley, Preston Mui, Mui, ”, “, Mark Zandi, Greg McBride, ” McBride Organizations: Federal, CNBC, Wall, Minneapolis Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Bloomberg News, Fed, Bankrate Locations: Minneapolis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, America

☆ Former Dallas Fed President Kaplan advocates for a half-point interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

If Robert Kaplan still had a say in the matter, he'd be pushing for a half percentage point interest rate reduction at this week's Federal Reserve meeting. The former Dallas Fed president told CNBC on Tuesday that making the bolder move of 50 basis points would better position policymakers heading into the latter part of the year and the economic challenges ahead. "If I were sitting at the table, I would be advocating for 50 in this meeting," Kaplan said during a "Squawk Box" interview. One basis point equals 0.01%. Kaplan ran the Dallas Fed from 2015-21 and is now a managing director at Goldman Sachs.

Persons: Robert Kaplan, Kaplan, Jerome Powell, Jay Powell, Goldman Sachs Organizations: Dallas Fed, CNBC, Federal

☆ Jim Cramer breaks down the trends affecting tech and bank stocks right now
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-10 | by ( Julie Coleman | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

CNBC's Jim Cramer reviewed Tuesday's market action and asserted that tech stocks are easier to own for the long term while bank stocks suffer as the market broadens and experiences "economic choppiness." "You simply can't bank on the bank stocks right now, hence why the great broadening out is indeed fraught with risk," he said. "Meanwhile, tech may be torturous to own on a day-to-day basis, but long-term it's a cornucopia of rewards." He said many of these tech companies have lasting, secular themes, adding that any business related to data centers has "tremendous pin action." We don't have to play an interest rate guessing game with tech because the Fed is tangential."

Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Daniel Pinto backtracked, Cramer, Jay Powell Organizations: JPMorgan, Federal, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, Oracle

Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell said Friday he expects the central bank will cut its key interest rate in the near future in response to slower economic growth and cooling inflation. "The labor market is no longer overheated, and conditions are now less tight than those that prevailed before the pandemic. Starting in the spring of 2022, the Fed raised interest rates to a level not seen in nearly two decades as it worked to combat soaring inflation. "Make no mistake, if the labor market shows signs of further cooling, the Fed will cut with conviction," Shah wrote. Lower interest rates will provide some relief to consumer borrowers, but it will not be immediate, according to Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, ” Powell, “, Seema Shah, —, Shah, Greg McBride, McBride Organizations: ”, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, midmorning, Market Committee, Management Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, U.S

☆ Haefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHaefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolioMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management, talks about the big event of the week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell speaking in Jackson Hole.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Jay Powell Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Jackson

☆ Here's how a week's worth of huge economic news will affect the Fed's decision-making
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-17 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

We have to remember, the Fed made one mistake, the transitory" call on inflation, said Quincy Krosby, chief global strategist at LPL Financial. Specifically, the Fed is faced with how quickly and aggressively it should respond now that the inflation rate is waning . "Jay Powell says they don't want to be data point dependent, and I think that makes sense. I don't think you have signs of weakness in the economy. You don't have signs of inflation being controlled, and you don't have any signal for the Fed to switch focus."

Persons: Jerome Powell's, Jackson, Quincy Krosby, Krosby, Richard Clarida, nonfarm payrolls, Powell, Jay Powell, Clarida, we'll, Komal, Kumar, He's Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, LPL, CNBC, Sri, Kumar Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming

☆ Ferguson: We're definitely in a place to cut interest rates and should do so
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFerguson: We're definitely in a place to cut interest rates and should do soRoger Ferguson, former Fed vice chairman and past president of TIAA, discusses the inflation picture, and what Fed chairman Jay Powell may say when he speaks at the Jackson Hole symposium next week.

Persons: Ferguson, We're, Roger Ferguson, TIAA, Jay Powell

☆ Why Jay Powell refuses to be bullied by Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

The whole episode underscored a fundamental tension between the Fed, which is focused on economic stability, and Wall Street, which is focused on profit. The message from Powell and other policymakers is clear: We won’t be strong-armed by Wall Street. The BOJ’s deputy governor, Shinichi Uchida, citing volatility in financial markets, said the bank would not raise its policy interest rate as long as markets remain unstable. Powell (formerly in finance, hazel eyes, great ties) appears to have a real opportunity to Volcker it up even more in the coming weeks. That gives Wall Street plenty of time to sit in the corner and deal with its feelings.

Persons: CNN Business ’, Summer, Tim Walz’s, Jerome Hayden Powell, Here’s, Powell, ”, Powell’s, It’s, Paul Volcker fanboy, Shinichi Uchida, Mohamed El, “, Volcker, quieting, Powell isn’t Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, Finance, Federal, Stock, CNBC, Wall, Bank of Japan, Bloomberg Locations: New York, FiDi, Powell, Japan

☆ Jeremy Siegel backs off on calls for the Fed to do an emergency interest rate cut
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Wharton School Professor Jeremy Siegel no longer thinks it's vital for the Federal Reserve to implement an emergency interest rate reduction, but still wants policymakers to cut quickly and aggressively. "Obviously, I wanted to shake things up," Siegel said of his call for an intermeeting move. However, those expectations have been volatile as investors watch how quickly the Fed thinks it should ease policy. An emergency cut under these circumstances is "just not the way Jay Powell does things," Siegel said. "But Jay Powell has done things way too slow, certainly on the way up, and I just want to make sure he doesn't make the same mistakes on the way down."

Persons: Jeremy Siegel, Siegel, Jerome Powell, Powell, Jay Powell Organizations: Wharton, Federal Reserve, CNBC Locations: WisdomTree

☆ Jobs Report Shows the Labor Market Is in Danger, Recession Possible
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-07 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +9 min

The jobs report said the US economy added 114,000 jobs in July, far fewer than the 176,000 jobs that economists expected. The weakness of the jobs report tipped the worry scale and sent markets into meltdown mode. Outside the July jobs report, there were plenty of signs the labor market was cooling off. If that seems confusing, here's the only thing you really need to know: The July jobs report triggered the Sahm rule. Nobody should be losing a ton of sleep over the state of the labor market or over the economy overall.

Persons: it's, Guy Berger, doesn't, Skanda Amarnath, there's, what's, Claudia Sahm, we're, Amarnath, Alí Bustamante, Bustamante, would've, it'll, Jay Powell, Berger, Emily Stewart Organizations: Federal Reserve, Glass, Labor, Survey, New Century Advisors, Worker Power, Economic Security, Roosevelt Institute, Fed, Business

☆ The Fed is trying to 'fight a ghost' as recession fears mount, investor says
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Karen Gilchrist | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

LONDON — As a global market sell off continues amid fears of a looming U.S. recession, the Federal Reserve may have little room for manoeuvre, investor Cole Smead warned Monday. "The Fed is trying to fight a ghost in some respects. But it's a fiscal problem, and that fiscal problem's not ending," he said. The CBOE Volatility Index, also know as the "VIX" — a measure of expected market volatility — jumped to 41.65, according to LSEG data, hitting its highest level since October 2020, as risk fears returned to the market. "Whoever comes in, be it Kamala Harris or Donald Trump, there's going to be an interest in trying to prop up anything," he said.

Persons: Jerome Powell, William McChesney Martin, Cole Smead, Smead, CNBC's, Jay Powell, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump Organizations: Federal Reserves, Washington , D.C, LONDON, Federal, Smead Capital Management, CNBC, Reuters Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Europe, Asia

Trumponomics and the FedOne of the hot debates on Wall Street this election cycle is how Donald Trump would deal with the Fed if he is re-elected and, in particular, if he would fire or demote Jay Powell as chair, The Times’s Jeanna Smialek writes for DealBook. In an interview with Bloomberg Businessweek conducted before last weekend’s assassination attempt, Trump said that he did not plan to fire Powell, allowing him to serve out his term. Trump appointed Powell, but turned on him over interest rate policy. The former president was displeased when the central banker refused to cut rates to bolster economic growth. President Biden reappointed Powell to a new four-year term that started in 2022.

Persons: Donald Trump, Jay Powell, Smialek, Trump, Powell, it’s, Biden Organizations: Bloomberg Businessweek, Trump

☆ You might have just missed Earth-shattering economic news
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Allison Morrow | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Instead, the single best economic news of the past decade is but a murmur of chit-chat, barely audible against a clamor of politicos shouting about President Joe Biden’s age. Bidenomics worked and no one caresFor the past three years, President Biden’s biggest political liabilities have been painfully obvious: his age and inflation. Still, Thursday should have been a day for the White House to spike the football and double down on a message that has, historically, fallen flat — that Bidenomics is working. Rather than doing a victory lap, Biden on Thursday was preparing for a high-stakes news conference in front of a ravenous White House press corps that focused their questions almost entirely on his fitness to lead. The White House can finally cross out “inflation” on its list of presidential liabilities.

Persons: CNN Business ’, New York CNN —, it’s, Aaron Sojourner, Jay Powell, Joe Biden’s, Bidenomics, Biden’s, doesn’t, that’s, whoever’s, aren’t, Alicia Wallace, Biden, Donald Trump, it’ll, sipping Champagne Organizations: CNN Business, New York CNN, econ, Biden, Consumers, Labor Department, White, House, Democratic Locations: New York, America

Powell’s balancing actThe S&P 500 is on a six-day winning streak and closed at another record on Tuesday, as investors grow more confident that the Fed could cut interest rates soon. The market rally came after Jay Powell, the Fed chair, made encouraging comments about inflation and the labor market in his first of two days of testimony on Capitol Hill. Lowering rates prematurely could risk reigniting inflation, and doing so too slowly could undermine growth. “We’re very much balancing those two risks, and that’s really the essence of what we’re thinking about these days,” Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday. In something of a rarity in recent months, financial services stocks led the way on Tuesday.

Persons: Jay Powell, that’s, ” Powell, Powell Organizations: Capitol, Senate, Wall

☆ Smialek: Fed likely sees data as a reason to be weary but not panicked
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSmialek: Fed likely sees data as a reason to be weary but not panickedJeanna Smialek, Federal Reserve and Economy Reporter at The New York Times, discusses Jay Powell's testimony on Capitol Hill.

Persons: Jeanna Smialek, Jay Powell's Organizations: Federal Reserve, The New York Times, Capitol

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