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While bad loans in India's banking sector are at a decade-low, estimated at 3.6% of assets by March 2024 by the central bank, Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das said this month the central bank was monitoring some categories of personal loans, without elaborating. What's worrying the regulator is a surge in tiny personal loans, particularly loans of up to 10,000 rupees ($120) taken for three to four months, often for "lifestyle" spending, according to a person familiar with the central bank's thinking. Four people discussed the central bank's concerns with Reuters but declined to be identified as they are not authorised to speak to the media. Ismail Sayyed, a 30-year old cab driver from Mumbai, took his first personal loan of 5,000 rupees this year. Central bank officials "have been ringing the bell", said an official at a large bank that has seen sharp growth in personal loans.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Shaktikanta Das, CRIF, Ismail Sayyed, Kadam, Rajeev Jain, Ira Dugal, Sonali Paul Organizations: Reserve Bank of India, REUTERS, Reuters, Bajaj Finance, UBS, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India

☆ Rupee likely to open weaker pressured by surging U.S. yields
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Jaspreet Kalra | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MUMBAI, Oct 3 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open weaker on Tuesday as U.S. treasury yields rose to fresh multi-year highs after the United States averted a partial government shutdown. Non-deliverable forwards indicate the rupee will open at around 83.25 to the U.S. dollar compared with a close of 83.04 in Friday's session. Buoyed by higher U.S. yields, the dollar index also climbed to 107.13 in Asia, its highest level since November 2022. While the rupee has come close to testing its record low levels in recent weeks, likely dollar sales from the RBI have managed to keep some of the weakness at bay. The rupee could see an intraday fall to a fresh record low if the dollar index continues to strengthen, said Dilip Parmar, a foreign exchange research analyst at HDFC Securities.

Persons: Loretta Mester, Dilip Parmar, Jaspreet Kalra, Sonia Cheema Organizations: U.S, . Federal Reserve, Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Reserve Bank of India, Brent, HDFC Securities, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, United States, Asia

A customer hands Indian currency notes to an attendant at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, August 13, 2018. REUTERS/Francis Mascarenhas Acquire Licensing RightsMUMBAI, Sept 20 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee, hovering near a record low, is expected to remain under pressure amid focus on crude oil prices and the U.S. Federal Reserve's policy decision. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate rupee will open at around 83.25-83.29 to the U.S. dollar compared with 83.2675 in the previous session. The Fed on Wednesday is widely expected to keep the policy rate unchanged with futures assigning a near zero percent probability of a rate hike. "We expect the 2023 median policy rate forecast to show one more 25bps hike, for a terminal rate of 5.5-5.75%," BofA Global Research said in a note.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, Brent, Nimesh Vora, Mrigank Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Reserve Bank of, Fed, Research, Brent, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, U.S . Federal, Reserve Bank of India, Asia

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) seal is pictured on a gate outside the RBI headquarters in Mumbai, India, February 2, 2016. Retail CBDC transactions are averaging close to 18,000 a day, way short of the RBI's one million-a-day target by 2023 end. UPI is an instant real-time payments system that allows users to transfer money across multiple banks without disclosing bank account details. The facility, announced in June, has been activated by large banks, including State Bank of India, the country's largest lender. Top private lender HDFC Bank is working with a technology firm IDEMIA to build a version of offline CBDC transactions for feature phones, according to two people aware of the plans.

Persons: Danish Siddiqui, Sharat Chandra, Akhil Handa, Handa, Jaspreet Kalra, Siddhi Nayak, Dhanya Ann Thoppil Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Danish, Rights, Reserve Bank of India, UPI, State Bank of India, India Blockchain, HDFC Bank, Bank of Baroda, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, Siddhi

MUMBAI, Sept 4 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee is likely to open little changed on Monday after a soft U.S. jobs report reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will not hike interest rates anymore, but the dollar still managed to rally. Non-deliverable forwards (NDF) indicate rupee will open at around Friday's level of 82.7150. Following the report, futures indicated almost no chance of a September rate hike and about a 35% chance of a hike in November. The dollar and U.S. yields initially dropped following the report but recovered later. The dollar index reached a high of 104.26 on Friday and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yields reached 4.17%.

Persons: Goldman Sachs, Nimesh, Eileen Soreng Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, ING Bank, Treasury, Labor, Brent, Thomson Locations: MUMBAI, U.S

A Reserve Bank of India (RBI) logo is seen inside its headquarters in Mumbai, India, April 6, 2023. India's trade deficit with the UAE was $21.62 billion in 2022/23, or 8.2% of its total deficit, government data shows. An RBI official communicated this message verbally to foreign exchange dealers at a seminar this month, four sources said. The central bank is "keen that volumes of such trades go up" and "has assured the market that they will be ready to support banks with INR-AED trades," this banker said. "The RBI is telling banks to first encourage large clients and corporates to start INR-AED trades because their balance sheets are relatively stronger," another banker said.

Persons: Francis Mascarenhas, corporates, Siddhi Nayak, Jaspreet, Savio D'Souza Organizations: Bank of India, REUTERS, Rights, United Arab, Reuters, Reserve Bank, Indian Oil Corp, Abu Dhabi National Oil Co, Siddhi, Thomson Locations: Mumbai, India, Rights MUMBAI, DELHI, United Arab Emirates, UAE, dirhams, Abu Dhabi

REUTERS/Adnan Abidi/File PhotoNEW DELHI, Aug 3 (Reuters) - India has restricted imports of laptops, tablets and personal computers with immediate effect, according to a government notice on Thursday, in a bid to push local manufacturing. In April-June, electronics imports, which include laptops, tablets and personal computers, was $19.7 billion, up 6.25% year-on-year. Electronics imports range between 7% to 10% of the country's total merchandise imports. "The move's spirit is to push manufacturing to India. India has been trying to push local manufacturing by giving production-linked incentives in over two dozen sectors, including electronics.

Persons: Adnan Abidi, It's, Ali Akhtar Jafri, Madhavi Arora, Shivam Patel, Shivangi Singh, Sudipto Ganguly, Raju Gopalakrishnan Organizations: REUTERS, Electronics, Dell, Samsung, LG Electronics, Apple Inc, Lenovo, HK, HP Inc, Dixon Technologies, Emkay, India Cellular and Electronics Association, Thomson Locations: New Delhi, India, China, Mumbai

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