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Expect the unexpected in the jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-11-01 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +11 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJobs report impacted by temporary negative factors, says CEA chair Jared BernsteinJared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisors chair, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss how to understand the most recent jobs data, gas prices, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein Jared Bernstein Organizations: Economic Advisors
Expect the unexpected in Friday’s jobs report
  + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Alicia Wallace | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +10 min
In any other month, the finishing touch would be a clean reading on the labor market from the official jobs report. However, a common thread among economists is that the strikes and hurricanes could take a 100,000-job bite out of the October jobs report. The last time there were back-to-back major hurricanes — Harvey and Irma in 2017 — the forecasts for the following month’s jobs report were for a loss of 33,000 positions. And each contribute to two of the biggest numbers in the monthly jobs report. A key date to keep in mind for the jobs report is October 12, as it anchors the “reference period” for both surveys.
Persons: , Claudia Sahm, “ It’s, That’s, aren’t, FactSet, Joe Brusuelas, — Harvey, Irma, Sahm, Oliver Allen, Milton, , Harris, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump’s, We’re, Biden, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden’s, Organizations: CNN, Boeing, Reserve, New Century Advisors, Labor, Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics, of Labor, Challenger, ADP, BLS, RSM, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Republicans, The New York Times, Siena College, Associated Press Locations: Washington and Oregon
Goldman Sachs estimates that Helene could shave as much as 50,000 off the payrolls count, though Hurricane Milton probably happened too late to impact the October count. The Boeing strike, meanwhile, could lower the total by 41,000, added Goldman, which is forecasting total payrolls growth of 95,000. Data has been solidYet indicators leading up to the much-watched jobs report show that hiring has continued apace and layoffs are low, despite the damage done from the storms and the strikes. Still, the White House is estimating that the events cumulatively may hit the payrolls count by as many as 100,000. The "disruptions will make interpreting this month's jobs report harder than usual," Jared Bernstein, chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, said Wednesday.
Persons: Angus Mordant, Dow Jones, Milton, Michael Arone, Arone, Goldman Sachs, Helene, Hurricane Milton, Goldman, Jared Bernstein Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, of Labor Statistics, Hurricanes, Boeing, State Street Global Advisors, of Economic Advisers Locations: Catskill , New York, U.S, Hurricane
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation's round trip is just about completed, says CEA's Jared BernsteinJared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisors chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss recent economic data, the message those who doubted the Fed's ability to bring inflation lower, and much more.
Persons: CEA's Jared Bernstein Jared Bernstein Organizations: Economic Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'No victory lap yet' for President Biden, still more work to do on economy, says CEA chair BernsteinJared Bernstein, chairman of Council of Economic Advisors, joins CNBC's 'Money Movers' to discuss expectations for President Biden's visit to the Economic Club of Washington DC, reactions to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, and more.
Persons: Biden, Bernstein Jared Bernstein, Biden's Organizations: of Economic Advisors, Economic, of Washington DC
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (left) meets with President Joe Biden in the Oval Office on May 31, 2022. President Joe Biden on Thursday said he had "never once spoken" to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell while he was president. "The president was saying that he has not spoken to Chair Powell about interest rates," said Bernstein. Even in his 2022 Oval Office meeting with Powell, Biden stressed the importance of the Fed's independence in addressing inflation. Respect the Fed's independence," Biden said at the time.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, Biden, I've, Jared Bernstein, Powell, Bernstein, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Federal, Treasury, Economic, of Washington, of Washington , D.C, Fed, Republican, Federal Reserve, Street Journal, White Locations: of Washington ,
The U.S. economy created 818,000 fewer jobs than originally reported in the 12-month period through March 2024, the Labor Department reported Wednesday. Wall Street had been waiting for the revisions numbers, with many economists expecting a sizeable reduction in the originally reported figures. "The labor market appears weaker than originally reported," said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. "A deteriorating labor market will allow the Fed to highlight both sides of the dual mandate and investors should expect the Fed to prepare markets for a cut at the September meeting." Nonfarm payroll jobs totaled 158.7 million through July, an increase of 1.6% from the same month in 2023.
Persons: Jeffrey Roach, Jared Bernstein, Goldman Sachs, Jerome Powell Organizations: Labor Department, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Federal Reserve, LPL, Goldman Locations: U.S, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
Job report came in cooler than expected, says Jared Bernstein
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJob report came in cooler than expected, says Jared BernsteinJared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisers chairman, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss his reaction from the results of the July job reports, the housing market, upcoming presidential election, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein Jared Bernstein Organizations: Economic
CEA Chair Jared Bernstein on Q2 GDP
  + stars: | 2024-07-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCEA Chair Jared Bernstein on Q2 GDPJared Bernstein, President Biden's Council of Economic Advisers chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the his thoughts on the gross domestic product report, whether the inventories contribution takes the shine off the report, and much more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein Organizations: Biden's, Economic Advisers
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJune jobs report a good 'stabilizing' report, says CEA Chair Jared BernsteinJared Bernstein, President Biden's Council of Economic Advisers chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how Bernstein would assess Friday's jobs report, how fiscal spending is playing a role in added government jobs, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein Jared Bernstein, Bernstein Organizations: Biden's, Economic Advisers
Container ships are berthed at PSA's Pasir Panjang Terminal in Singapore July 15, 2019. Global port congestion has reached an 18-month high, with 60% of ships waiting at anchor located in Asia, maritime data firm Linerlytica said this month. SEVERE CONGESTIONSingapore, the world's second-largest container port, has seen particularly severe congestion in recent weeks. "The peak season, which traditionally starts in June, was advanced by a full month, causing ocean freight rates to soar." Container freight prices from Asia to the U.S. and Europe have tripled since early 2024.
Persons: Edgar Su, Linerlytica, Yemen's, Jayendu Krishna, Drewry, PortCast, Niki Frank, Dimerco, Jonathan Gold, Judah Levine, Jared Bernstein, Gene Seroka, Peter Sand, Jeslyn Lerh, Lisa Baertlein, Lisa Barrington, Miyoung Kim, Kim Coghill Organizations: REUTERS, Retailers, Ships, Drewry Maritime Advisors, Singapore, Singapore's, Port Authority, Drewry, Keppel, Tuas, Maersk, DHL Global, Asia, Descartes, National Retail Federation, Container, U.S ., of Economic Advisers, U.S, DHL, Thomson Locations: Pasir Panjang, Singapore, SEOUL, SINGAPORE, Asia, Africa, Malaysia's Port Klang, Tanjung Pelepas, Shanghai, Qingdao, China, South Korea, U.S, Europe, U.S . East Coast, U.S . West, of Los Angeles, Los Angeles, Seoul
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCEA Chair Jared Bernstein: We're taking aggressive action to lower costs for AmericansJared Bernstein, President Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers chair, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what President Biden is doing to lower the cost for living for Americans, government spending, impact on the federal budget deficit, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein, Biden Organizations: Biden’s, Economic Advisers
Courtesy Abby ChowningThe tariffs Biden left in place – which are paid by US importers and not China – hit roughly $300 billion of goods. After Trump’s tariffs hit, some US companies sought new manufacturers in other countries. The Covid-19 pandemic upended the global economy roughly two years after Trump’s trade war began. Several studies show that Trump’s tariffs only marginally contributed to the rise in US inflation experienced after the pandemic and the following supply chain crisis. Trump’s tariffs were meant to get China to address those issues.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Tiffany Zarfas Williams, , Zarfas Williams, Joe Biden, , “ Trump, ” Biden, , Biden, , Abby, China –, Rick Muskat, Jake Muskat, Alena Margolis, Muskat, ” Muskat, Phil Page, Page, Bryan Finch, ” Page, Morgan, Nate Herman, Matt Priest, Priest, Steve Madden, ” Jared Bernstein, we’ve, ” Bernstein, Justin Sullivan, ” Herman, Xi Jinping, Biden “ Organizations: Washington CNN —, China, Trump, Biden, Deer Stags, JCPenney, America, Cap America, American Apparel & Footwear Association, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Footwear Distributors, Retailers of America, Adidas, Columbia, Nike, White House Council, Economic Advisers, China Business, Trade, National Council of Textile Organizations, Port Locations: Lubbock, Texas, China, Ukraine, Missouri, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Port of Oakland, Oakland , California
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCEA Chair Jared Bernstein: We're doing all we can to lower costs for AmericansJared Bernstein, President Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers chair, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, President Biden's gas release plan, inflation concerns, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein, We're Organizations: Biden’s, Economic Advisers
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailPres. Biden recognizes the importance of investing in American manufacturing: CEA chair BernsteinJared Bernstein, President Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers chair, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss Biden administration's calls for tripling of tariffs on Chinese-made steel and aluminum, the potential inflationary impact of the tariffs, state of the U.S. economy, and more.
Persons: Pres, Biden, Bernstein Jared Bernstein Organizations: Biden’s, Economic Advisers Locations: U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCEA Chair: One of the key concepts of Pres. Biden's budget is investing in the American peopleJared Bernstein, President Biden’s Council of Economic Advisers chair, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss President Biden's $7.3 trillion budget plan, the potential impact on the federal deficit and taxes, state of the U.S. economy, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein, Biden's Organizations: Biden’s, Economic Advisers Locations: U.S
Last week, House Republicans passed a budget proposal outlining their priorities, which are far afield from what Democrats have called for. Mr. Biden has sought to reclaim strength on economic issues with voters who have given him low marks amid rapid inflation. But Mr. Biden has been unwavering in his core economic-policy strategy, and the budget is not expected to deviate from that plan. White House officials, previewing the budget release, said Mr. Biden would propose about $3 trillion in new measures to reduce the budget deficit over the next decade. House Republicans released a budget last week that seeks to reduce deficits much faster — balancing the budget by the end of the decade.
Persons: Biden, Donald J, Trump, , , ” Mr, ” Shalanda Young, Trump’s, Mr, Biden’s, . Young, Jared Bernstein Organizations: Republicans, Democrats, Republican, Tax, White, Budget, Mr, White House Council, Economic Advisers Locations: Israel, Ukraine
New York CNN —US markets broke a five-week winning streak last Friday after disappointing inflation data reignited economic and interest rate-related fears on Wall Street. Then last week, two key inflation indicators for January — the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index — rose above Wall Street expectations. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said the new data showed that the Fed needs more confidence before cutting rates. I think in this case, the market isn’t necessarily telling you much about the economy’s fundamentals, the market is telling you what other market participants think. And I think that those economic fundamentals get you to the part that says, you know, it’s not not the economy.
Persons: Price, Thomas Barkin, Raphael Bostic, isn’t, Bell, Jared Bernstein, Joe Biden, I’m, they’re, It’s, it’s, Joe Weisenthal, Elisabeth Buchwald, Hanna Ziady, Liam Peach, ” Peach Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Richmond Fed, White House Council, Economic Advisers, CPI, Apple, Google, Nvidia, Microsoft, Capital, Discover Financial Services, Discover, Hamas, Gross, Israel’s, Bureau, Statistics, Capital Economics Locations: New York
CEA chair on jobs report: Good news for working families
  + stars: | 2024-02-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCEA chair on jobs report: Good news for working familiesJared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisors chair, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss Friday's jobs report, the wage gains despite fewer hours worked, and whether inflation can reach the Fed's target with the current economic strength.
Persons: Jared Bernstein Organizations: Economic Advisors
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe have an economy that's continuing to defy expectations, says CEA Chair Jared BernsteinJared Bernstein, White House Council of Advisers Chair, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, whether 'Bidenomics' is working, and more.
Persons: Jared Bernstein Jared Bernstein Organizations: White House Council
A bipartisan group of lawmakers proposed boosting the child tax credit for parents. The White House told BI that Biden is committed to fighting "for the full expanded Child Tax Credit." AdvertisementA bipartisan proposal to boost the child tax credit for parents appears like it might be on track to get the White House's stamp of approval. "We're very supportive of expanding the child tax credit," Bernstein said. "So, helping hundreds of thousands of kids get out of poverty, reaching 16 million kids with a more fair child tax credit, that sounds like a really smart idea to us."
Persons: Jared Bernstein, Biden, , Ron Wyden, Jason Smith, Poppy Harlow, White, Bernstein, Joe Biden, hasn't, it's, Michael Kikukawa, Wyden, Smith's, Kikukawa, Democratic Sen, Sherrod Brown, GOP Sen, Mike Crapo Organizations: White House, Service, Democratic, Republican, Tax Relief, American Families and Workers, White House Council, Economic Advisers, American, Budget, Child, GOP
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCEA Chairman Jared Bernstein talks the Biden administration targeting bank overdraft feesJared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisers chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the Biden administration targeting overdraft fees.
Persons: Jared Bernstein, Biden Organizations: Biden, Economic
“It’s an ongoing effort,” said White House chief of staff Jeff Zients. “Under his leadership, we’ve attacked inflation from every angle.”The question is whether voters are feeling the improvement and will reward Biden. Or will they penalize him because inflation became a problem on his watch as the U.S. emerged from pandemic shutdowns? Past and current Biden administration officials say the decline in inflation since then was a result of a set of choices. Much of the public saw inflation through the lens of their grocery stores, strip malls and gas stations, but the White House considered it a worldwide issue.
Persons: Joe Biden, he's, Biden, , Jeff Zients, we’ve, Jason Smith of Missouri, Donald Trump, ” Trump, “ We're, Bharat Ramamurti, shutdowns, , Jared Bernstein, White, Ben Harris Organizations: WASHINGTON, White, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Biden, Federal Reserve, House, National Economic Council, Congressional, Medicare, Factories, Shipping, White House Council, Economic Advisers, White House, U.S, Republican, Treasury Department, Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Locations: , U.S, Los Angeles, Long Beach , California, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Red
"On the headwind side, certainly being in a higher rate environment is something we have to be mindful of. Bernstein said the U.S. economy was outperforming virtually all its competitors and urged Congress to pass the necessary appropriations bills to keep the government running. We've got a very strong backdrop to a U.S. economy that's outperforming virtually all our competitors," he said. Asked about recent negative polls reflecting concern about President Joe Biden's handling of the economy, Bernstein said Americans had to reset their price expectations given an increase in their buying power. Bernstein said the Biden administration had taken a series of steps to ease prices while maintaining a strong labor market.
Persons: Jared Bernstein, Amanda Andrade, Rhoades, Washington, Bernstein, We've, Joe Biden's, Biden, Jeff Mason, Eric Beech, Andrea Shalal, Dan Burns, Richard Chang Organizations: of Economic Advisers, Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Capitol, REUTERS, U.S . Council, Economic, Reuters NEXT, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Israel, Gaza, U.S, New York, joblessness
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