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Scientists with the National Weather Service and the National Hurricane Center began sounding the alarm as early as Sept. 23. In a YouTube video posted that morning, the National Hurricane Center’s deputy director, Jamie Rhome, described a tropical cyclone that would “briskly develop” into a hurricane. Monday night, the National Weather Service posted on X that heavy rain and powerful wind gusts would hit the Southeast later in the week. “It is not common for the National Weather Service to use words like ‘catastrophic’ to describe forecasts,” Buncombe County Manager Avril Pinder said at a news conference Thursday morning. That has made even apolitical groups like the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the National Weather Service a target of some Republicans.

Persons: Hurricane Helene, Amanda Wright, Wright, ” Wright, “, Jamie Rhome, David Novak, Avril Pinder, grimly, ” Novak, ”, Mae Creadick, Donald Trump, Helene, ” Trump, Kelli Burns, ” Burns, Chris Gloninger, Gloninger, we’re, ” Gloninger, Asheville ”, ” Ophir Organizations: Hurricane, National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center, NWS, Prediction, Social, NBC News, ”, Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, NOAA, University of South, University of Buffalo Locations: U.S, Knoxville , Tennessee, Asheville , North Carolina, Florida’s Big Bend, Hurricane, North, Buncombe, Taylor County , Florida, Buncombe County, Asheville, Columbia , South Carolina, ” In Tennessee, University of South Florida, North Carolina, Kings Mountain , North Carolina, Ophir

☆ Artificial Intelligence Gives Weather Forecasters a New Edge
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-29 | by ( William J. Broad | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +13 min

Artificial Intelligence Gives Weather Forecasters a New Edge The brainy machines are predicting global weather patterns with new speed and precision, doing in minutes and seconds what once took hours. GraphCast GraphCast Miss. specialist at the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, the agency that got upstaged on its Beryl forecast. Even so, reliable weather forecasts turn out to be extraordinarily hard to achieve. As a result, weather forecasts can fail after a few days, and sometimes after a few hours.

Persons: Hurricane Beryl, GraphCast, Beryl MEXICO, Hurricane Beryl Miss ., William B, Davis, ”, Matthew Chantry, Christopher S, Amy McGovern, Dr, McGovern, “, Brandon Bell, Maria Molina, Bretherton, Sir Richard Friend, Rémi Lam, GraphCast’s, Lam, . Lam, Beryl, Hurricane Lee, DeepMind’s GraphCast, . Chantry, Chantry, Paul G, Allen, ‘, we’ve, Molina, Jamie Rhome, Rhome, Mr, There’s Organizations: A.I, Beryl MEXICO CUBA European, JAMAICA European, Beryl MEXICO CUBA JAMAICA Hurricane, National Hurricane Center, Hurricane, NOAA, European Press Agency, Google, European Center, University of Washington, University of Oklahoma, University of Maryland, Royal Academy of Engineering, Cambridge University, Getty, Nvidia, Huawei, Fudan University, Allen Institute for A.I, Microsoft Locations: Va . Ky, N.C, Okla, ., Ala . Texas, Texas, Fla, Va, Kan, Mo, Ky, Beryl MEXICO CUBA, VENEZUELA COLOMBIA, Tenn, Okla ., Beryl MEXICO CUBA JAMAICA, Caribbean, Mexico, Houston, London, DeepMind, Land , Texas, A.I, Freeport , Texas, England, Canada, Nova Scotia, China, Corpus Christi , Texas, Miami

They propose a sixth category for storms with winds that exceed 192 miles per hour (309 kilometers per hour). Currently, storms with winds of 157 mph (252 kilometers per hour) or higher are Category 5. From time to time, experts have proposed a Category 6, especially since Typhoon Haiyan reached 195 mph wind speeds (315 kilometers per hour) over the open Pacific. Wehner said that as temperatures rise, the number of days with conditions ripe for potential Category 6 storms in the Gulf of Mexico will grow. “Perhaps I'll change my tune when a rapidly intensifying storm in the Gulf achieves a Category 6,” Corbosiero said in an email.

Persons: Michael Wehner, Brian McNoldy, Haiyan, Patricia, ”, Jim Kossin, Kossin, Wehner, Kerry Emanuel, Jamie Rhome, Simpson, McNoldy, Craig Fugate, Kristen Corbosiero, ” Corbosiero, ___ Read, Seth Borenstein Organizations: National Academy of Sciences, Associated Press, Lawrence Berkley National, University of Miami, dateline, NOAA, First Street Foundation . Pacific, MIT, National Hurricane Center, Emergency Management, University of Albany Locations: Philippines, Gulf of Mexico, United States, Australia, Jalisco, Mexico, Taiwan, China, Asia, Russia, of Mexico, Caribbean, Gulf, AP.org

“This experimental graphic will help better convey wind hazard risk inland in addition to coastal wind hazards,” the center said in the post. Heavy rains and strong winds can be deadly and cause significant damage inland, which happened in 2022 with Hurricane Ian, when 149 people died in Florida. The goal of the expanded forecast cone is to make sure people who don't live along a coast are aware of the dangers they could still face, said Jamie Rhome, deputy director of the hurricane center. Ian produced between 10 and 20 inches (51 centimeters) of rain across much of central Florida, the hurricane center reported. Only Hurricane Idalia struck the U.S., coming ashore in the lightly-populated Big Bend region of Florida's Gulf Coast but also causing significant inland flooding.

Persons: Hurricane Ian, Jamie Rhome, ” Rhome, Ian, Ian slogged, Chad Jorgensen, Alberto, Idalia Organizations: National Hurricane Center, Hurricane, Fire, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration Locations: PETERSBURG, Fla, The Miami, Florida, Fort Myers, Orlando, Kissimmee, Daytona Beach, Florida’s, DeSoto County, U.S, Florida's Gulf

☆ Hurricane Lee path: Now a post-tropical cyclone, storm brings rain to New England and Atlantic Canada
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-16 | by ( Aya Elamroussi | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —Now a post-tropical cyclone, Lee continues to churn hurricane-strength winds early Saturday morning while delivering rainfall to parts of southeastern New England and Atlantic Canada, according to the National Hurricane Center. Weakening is forecast tonight and Sunday while Lee moves across Atlantic Canada,” the National Hurricane Center said Saturday in its 5 a.m. advisory, adding the storm has lost sufficient tropical characteristics to be considered a hurricane. ET Saturday, the hurricane center said. “These conditions are likely to lead to downed trees and potential power outages,” the hurricane center warned. A sustained wind of 43 mph and 59 mph gust were recently measured at Dennis, Massachusetts, the hurricane center said.

Persons: Lee, “ Lee, Maura Healey, Michael Brennan, Jamie Rhome, ” Rhome, Steve Heaslip, ”, Kyle Leavitt Organizations: CNN, National Hurricane Center ., Atlantic, National Hurricane Center, US, Massachusetts Gov, New, Organization Locations: New England, Atlantic Canada, Nova Scotia, Maine, Canadian, New Brunswick, Eastport , Maine, Halifax , Nova Scotia, US East Coast, Massachusetts, Lee’s, Dennis , Massachusetts, New Hampshire , Massachusetts, Rhode, Martha’s Vineyard, Nantucket, Canada, Florida, Toms River , New Jersey, Ortley, Nauset, East Orleans , Massachusetts

☆ See August’s second supermoon and bright Saturn in the night sky
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Ashley Strickland | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —August began with a bright supermoon and will end the same way as another one lights up the night sky this week. ET, the bright glow of Saturn will appear about 5 degrees to the upper right of the moon. Over the course of the evening, Saturn will appear to move clockwise around the moon, according to NASA. The second full moon in one month is also known as a blue moon, like the phrase “once in a blue moon,” according to NASA. This results in a blue moon about every 2.5 years, and the last one occurred in August 2021.

Persons: CNN —, Saturn, Jamie Rhome, Raksha, ●, Leonids, Geminids, Ursids Organizations: CNN, NASA, Hurricane Idalia, National Hurricane Center, August’s, Farmers, Meteor Locations: Hurricane, North, Central, South America, Europe, Asia, Australia, North America, South Africa

☆ Florida: Category 3 Hurricane Idalia threatens to hit state as an even stronger storm Wednesday, and conditions are already deteriorating
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( Nouran Salahieh | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

It could be the first major hurricane at Category 3 or stronger to hit the Big Bend region. ET, with sustained winds 120 mph winds that are projected to grow stronger as it approaches the state, the hurricane center said. Tampa, well south of the projected landfall area, was also bracing for Idalia’s wrath and seeing storm surge beginning to flood streets Tuesday. • Much of Florida under state of emergency: DeSantis has issued an emergency declaration to 49 of 67 Florida counties. “Idalia is likely to still be a hurricane while moving across southern Georgia, and possibly when it reaches the coast of Georgia or southern South Carolina on Wednesday,” the hurricane center said Tuesday evening.

Persons: Idalia, “, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, ” DeSantis, ” Perry, Lee Bercaw, ” Bercaw, Jamie Rhome, Mayor Heath Davis, Levy, •, Florida won’t, “ Idalia Organizations: CNN, National Guard, National Hurricane Center, Fort Myers, National Weather Service, Florida, Florida Gov, Big, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, Tampa Police, Mayor, Florida Gulf, • Travel, Tampa International Airport, Pete, Clearwater International, •, Guard, Pasadena Hospital, HCA, HCA Florida Trinity West Hospital, HCA Florida West Tampa Hospital, Tampa General Hospital, Florida Department of Corrections, Carolinas, North Carolina Locations: Florida’s, Big Bend, Bend, Cedar Key , Florida, Madeira Beach, Fort, Fort Myers Beach, Tallahassee, Apalachee, Panhandle, Taylor, Florida, Idalia’s, Perry, Tampa, Florida Gulf Coast, Alachua, Baker, Citrus, Dixie, Franklin, Gilchrist, Gulf, Hamilton, Hernando, Hillsborough, Jefferson, Lafayette, Leon, Madison , Manatee, Marion, Nassau, Pasco , Pinellas, Putnam, Sarasota, Suwannee, Sumter, Union, Volusia, Wakulla, HCA Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, North, North Carolina

CNN —Florida is bracing for “major impact” as Tropical Storm Idalia is expected to rapidly strengthen into a powerful Category 3 hurricane and aim for its Gulf Coast, threatening dangerous storm surge and winds, authorities said. “Idalia could become a hurricane later this morning, and is forecast to become a major hurricane by early Wednesday,” the National Hurricane Center said. The Florida National Guard activated: More than 5,000 National Guard members were activated to help respond to the storm. Idalia posed a “notable risk” of this phenomenon, the National Hurricane Center warned Monday, as it travels through the Gulf of Mexico. Cedar Key could be cut off by the high storm surge, National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome said.

Persons: Idalia, “, Ron DeSantis, It’s, Taylor, DeSantis, ” Barbara Tripp, ” Tripp, Ian —, Chris O'Meara, Jamie Rhome, “ I’m, ” Rhome, Andrew Kruczkiewicz, ” Organizations: CNN, Sunshine State, National Hurricane Center, ”, Carolinas, Tampa International, Pete, Clearwater International, Florida State University, University of Florida, M University . Emergencies, DeSantis, Florida National Guard, National Guard, US Navy, Navy, ., Pasadena Hospital, HCA, HCA Florida Trinity West Hospital, HCA Florida West Tampa Hospital, Tampa Fire, Facebook, National Oceanic, Atmospheric Administration, Columbia, Climate Locations: Florida, Gulf, Bend, Tampa, Tallahassee, Cuba, Mexico, Georgia, Carolinas, Hillsborough, Franklin, Levy, Citrus, Manatee, Pasco, Hernando, Pinellas, Sarasota, HCA Florida, Gulf of Mexico, Tampa , Florida, Big, Idalia

☆ Hilary weakens to Category 1 hurricane as storm moves within striking distance of Mexican peninsula
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-19 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The maximum sustained wind speed remained unchanged at 85 mph while spreading "heavy rains" northward over the peninsula. Jamie Rhome Director, U.S. National Hurricane CenterIt was not immediately clear whether officials considered the fatality related to the hurricane, but video posted by local officials showed torrents of water coursing through the town's streets. Forecasters said the storm was still expected to enter the history books as the first tropical storm to hit Southern California in 84 years, bringing flash floods, mudslides, isolated tornadoes, high winds and power outages. Hilary brought heavy rain and flooding to Mexico and the southwestern U.S. on Saturday, ahead of the storm's expected Sunday border crossing. Forecasters warned it could dump up to 10 inches (25 centimeters) — a year's worth of rain for some areas — in southern California and southern Nevada.

Persons: Hurricane Hilary, Reuters Hurricane Hilary, Edith Aguilar Villavicencio, Jamie Rhome, Elizabeth Adams, Gavin Newsom, Hilary Organizations: Reuters, Reuters Hurricane, National Weather Service, National Weather Center, National Hurricane, Santa, National Weather Service San Diego, California Gov, Sunday Locations: Armeria, Colima, Mexico, Baja California, Miami, Punta Eugenia, San Diego , California, Mexican, Santa Rosalia, Mulege, Southern California, Santa Catalina, Southern, California, U.S, Canada, Hawaii's, Maui, Lahaina, Nevada

☆ Powerful Hurricane Hilary to weaken before reaching California Sunday
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

Proteccion Civil Estatal Colima (PC_Colima) via X/Handout via REUTERS/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsCompanies Estado de Baja California FollowMEXICO CITY, Aug 18 (Reuters) - Category 4 Hurricane Hilary was rushing toward Mexico's Baja California peninsula on Friday morning, a U.S. government agency said, though it should weaken before hitting the U.S. Pacific coast this weekend. The powerful storm is threatening parts of Mexico and the south-western United States with "significant flooding" and prompted the country's National Hurricane Center (NHC) to issue its first ever tropical storm watch for California. Hilary is expected to approach the west coast of Mexico's Baja California as a hurricane this weekend but weaken to a tropical storm before hitting the U.S. state on Sunday afternoon. Rhome said California and southern Nevada faced risks from severe flooding caused by up to 10 inches of rainfall. A storm surge could cause coastal flooding and destructive waves along the Baja California peninsula, the NHC said.

Persons: Hurricane Hilary, Jamie Rhome, Hilary, Rhome, Valentine Hilaire, Rich Mckay, Timothy Ahmann, Frank McGurty, Isabel Woodford, Jonathan Oatis, Aurora Ellis Organizations: Reuters, REUTERS, Estado, Hurricane, Mexico's, U.S, National Hurricane Center, NHC, National Weather Service, Thomson Locations: Hurricane, Manzanillo, Colima, Mexico, PC_Colima, California, MEXICO, Mexico's Baja California, U.S, Pacific, United States, Nevada, Baja California, California , Nevada, Arizona, Phoenix , Arizona, Mexico City, Atlanta, New York

Hurricane Ian had weakened to a Category 1 late Wednesday, but the powerful storm that caused life-threatening storm surges, floods that stranded people in their homes and knocked out power to more than 2 million was not over, officials warned. At 2 a.m., Ian was around 55 miles southwest of Cape Canaveral and moving northeast at 9 mph, the hurricane center said. The storm is believed to be one of the strongest hurricanes ever recorded making landfall in Florida. Central and northeast Florida could get 20 inches of rain, and life-threatening storm surge remained a risk for parts of Florida’s western and eastern coasts, the hurricane center said. But it then will likely turn north and approach the northeastern Florida, Georgia and South Carolina coasts Friday, according to the hurricane center.

☆ Jan. 6 committee postpones Wednesday hearing as Hurricane Ian bears down on Florida
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-27 | by ( Erin Snodgrass | Warren Rojas | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

The panel cited Hurricane Ian, which is set to hit Florida on Wednesday, as reason for the delay. Chairman Bennie G. Thompson and Vice Chair Liz Cheney released a Tuesday statement announcing that the panel's next public hearing, which was scheduled for Wednesday afternoon, will be postponed. "In light of Hurricane Ian bearing down on parts of Florida, we have decided to postpone tomorrow's proceedings," the lawmakers said. Sewing up 'loose ends'January 6 committee member Rep. Jamie Raskin told reporters that the goal of the ninth – and presumably last – public hearing was to sew up "some loose ends." "People understand that the former president wouldn't take no for an answer," Raskin told reporters outside the US Capitol on September 22.

Ian was in the Caribbean Sea on Sunday night, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph, the National Hurricane Center said, but the storm was intensifying. It was forecast to skirt western Florida on Wednesday and Thursday, according to the National Hurricane Center. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency for all of Florida because of the threat, and the Florida National Guard activated 2,500 service members. Tropical storm warnings covered the Cuban provinces of La Habana, Mayabeque and Matanzas, and Little Cayman and Cayman Brac were under a tropical storm watch. The entire western coast of Florida is vulnerable to storm surge, said Rhome, of the National Hurricane Center.

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