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The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose Thursday, extending Wall Street’s rally in the wake of President-elect Donald Trump’s victory, as traders weighed the latest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 gained 0.74% to close at a record high of 5,973.10. The S&P 500 jumped 2.53% for its best post-election day in history. Those big swings were the backdrop for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut Thursday afternoon. “The balance of risks gives the Fed ample room to lower the Fed Funds rate well into 2025.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Trump’s, Jerome Powell, , Jamie Cox, Trump, Tony Roth, we’ve, ” Roth, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Dow, Treasury, Harris Financial, Wilmington Trust, , Big Tech, Apple, Nvidia, JPMorgan, American Express Locations: Wilmington
Stock futures slid on Wednesday evening, as Wall Street absorbed a fresh batch of earnings reports from megacap technology names. S&P 500 futures lost 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5%. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 27 points. The S&P 500 declined 0.3%, while the Dow dropped 0.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 0.6%. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect that the PCE grew by 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.1% from a year earlier.
Persons: Dow Jones, Jamie Cox Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Dow, Investors, Federal, Harris Financial, Tech, Apple, Merck, Intel
Odds of a "no landing" scenario for the economy are rising amid continued strong economic data. The "no landing" scenario entails a continued run of hot economic data and growth that boosts markets but also precludes a steep rate-cutting cycle from the Federal Reserve. According to Cox, that means that short-term interest rates will drop to around 3% in the no landing scenario, even if long-term rates remain elevated. AdvertisementAfter all, a no landing scenario is the best outcome for the economy, Cox said, and given hot growth, the situation effectively tosses recession fears out the window. This would be just the fourth time in US history that the Fed has cut interest rates without a downturn, he added.
Persons: , BofA, Reacceleration, Jamie Cox, Cox, They're, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bank of America, UBS, Fed, Nvidia, Apple
A weak consumer confidence reading caused indexes to briefly drop early morning. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . Investors reacted with dismay after the latest consumer sentiment reading, with confidence among US consumers logging its largest one-month drop in more than three years. The Conference Board's consumer confidence index came in at 98.7 for September, well below consensus estimates of a 104 reading. Advertisement"It's never good to see consumer confidence fall this much.
Persons: , Jamie Cox, Jensen Huang Organizations: Nvidia, Service, Harris Financial, Federal Locations: China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRecession is not imminent, says New Century Advisors' Claudia SahmClaudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors; Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group; and Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, join ‘The Exchange’ to discuss their expectations from the Fed, why the Fed is finally cutting rates, and more
Persons: Claudia Sahm Claudia Sahm, Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa Organizations: Advisors, New Century Advisors, Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale
US stocks rallied on cooling inflation data from the producer price index report. Investors are hoping for evidence of further cooling in Wednesday's consumer price index. Starbucks gained 23% on Tuesday on news Chipotle boss Brian Niccol will be the new CEO. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the producer price index rose 0.1% in July, underwhelming estimates of a 0.2% increase. Investors will now watch for further disinflationary signals in Wednesday's consumer price index report.
Persons: Brian Niccol, , Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Investors, Starbucks, Service, Labor Statistics, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Fed, Harris Financial Group, Bank of America
Squeeze on carry trades leave currency markets on edge
  + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
The Japanese yen and U.S. dollar on display in Yichang, Hubei province, Nov 13, 2023. The yen was 1% lower on Tuesday at 145.78 per dollar in early trading, after rising for five straight sessions and touching a seven-month high of 141.675 on Monday. "Sell-offs that manifest themselves through wild swings in the currency markets are sharp and swift, but usually very short lived," said Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. "Markets are clearly nervous about the divergent paths central banks are taking, leading to lots of volatility." The dollar index , which measures the U.S. unit versus six rivals, was flat at 102.87 in early trading after touching a seven-month low of 102.15 on Monday.
Persons: Jamie Cox, James Athey, undervaluation Organizations: U.S, Federal Reserve, Federal, Harris Financial, Traders, Bank of Japan, Marlborough Investment Management Locations: Yichang, Hubei province, recessionary, Japan, Switzerland, Tokyo
The stock market crashed Monday, with the Nasdaq 100 dropping nearly 6%. AdvertisementUS stocks crashed on Monday, with the Nasdaq shedding nearly 6% as the global market rout that kicked off late last week accelerated. AdvertisementThe losses accelerated on Monday after Japan's stock market experienced its worst decline since the Black Monday crash in 1987, falling 12%. Berkshire Hathaway now holds a record $277 billion in cash, leading to some investors worrying that Buffett has soured on the stock market. The bigger question is whether this bloodletting will prove sufficient to provide a basis for a resumption of the stock market rally, and ultimately fresh record highs.
Persons: , nonfarm payrolls, Jamie Cox, Warren, Berkshire Hathaway, Buffett, bitcoin, David Morrison Organizations: Nasdaq, Berkshire Hathaway's Apple, Service, Dow Jones, Amazon, Intel, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Berkshire Hathaway's, Berkshire, FCA Locations: Berkshire
"A 50 basis point Fed cut in September is clearly justified as the labor market is now showing clear signs of softening," said Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer at BMO Wealth Management. The firm, which has long been saying the Fed will need to cut aggressively this year, expects another 50 basis point cut in November by a 25 basis point cut move in December. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The S & P 500 lost more than 2.5% and Treasury yields plummeted, sending the policy-sensitive 2-year note down more than a quarter percentage point to 3.91%. "It's very possible the Fed alters its inter-meeting communications on the balance of risks to remove all doubt [of] a September rate cut."
Persons: Yung, Yu Ma, David Donabedian, Preston Caldwell, David Rosenberg, Jerome Powell, Jamie Cox Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Labor Statistics, BMO Wealth Management, Wall, Citigroup, CIBC Private Wealth, Morningstar, Rosenberg Research, Harris Financial
Separate data on spending shows that American shoppers are still shopping. That measure strengthened in the second quarter, rising to a 2.9% rate compared to 2.6% seen earlier this year. Generally, one risk that comes with an economy that’s expanding robustly is that price pressures can either get stuck or heat up. Businesses are still spending, but less on thisBusinesses invested much more in the second quarter than in the first three months of the year. The measure for that — known as “nonresidential fixed investment” — rose to a 5.2% rate in the second quarter, up from 4.4% in the first quarter.
Persons: That’s, pare, , Jamie Cox, ” Scott Helfstein, ” Oren Klachkin Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, PCE, Harris Financial Group, , Nationwide
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStocks have been quick to price in Trump policy agenda, says Michael FarrMichael Farr, president and CEO of Farr, Miller and Washington, and Jamie Cox, managing partner of Harris Financial Group, join CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss how the election is impacting markets, potential economic outcomes in Trump and Biden administrations, and more.
Persons: Michael Farr Michael Farr, Farr, Miller, Jamie Cox, CNBC's Organizations: Harris Financial Group, Trump, Biden Locations: Washington
U.S. stock futures hovered near the flatline Thursday night after the S&P 500 briefly climbed above 5,500 for the first time. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched lower by 3 points, or 0.01%.S&P 500 futures were unchanged, and Nasdaq 100 futures advanced 0.07%. In Thursday's regular session, the S&P 500 closed 0.25% lower. At its highs of the day, the broad market index was up by as much as 0.34%, reaching 5,505.53. The S&P 500 is tracking for a roughly 0.8% advance, while the Nasdaq is up 0.2%.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Cox Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Microsoft, Harris Financial
Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 11, 2023. Stock futures were little changed on Thursday evening, following the worst session in more than a year for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. S&P 500 futures ticked up by 0.04%, while Nasdaq 100 futures pulled back 0.02%. The Dow suffered a 1.53% decline for its worst session since March 2023, weighed down by a 7.6% drop in Boeing. To that end, the S&P 500 is tracking for a weekly loss of 0.7%, while the Dow is on pace to drop about 2.4%.
Persons: Dow, Jamie Cox, Dow Jones Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Stock, Dow Jones, Dow, Nasdaq, Intuit, Ross Stores, Nvidia, Boeing, Harris Financial, Federal Reserve, University of Locations: New York City, U.S
Health care shouldn't be overlooked as a place to buy amid the current market turmoil, according to Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group. He's been particularly interested in health care — pharma more specifically — as the industry feels tailwinds from artificial intelligence and the weight-loss drug boom. "The amount of money that the health care industry is making is being completely ignored by investors," Cox told CNBC Pro. "The noise of the short-term back-and-forth ... gives you good opportunity to buy high-quality companies, while people are just selling indiscriminately." For more diversified exposure, Cox recommended the Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) .
Persons: Jamie Cox, Cox, He's, FactSet, That's, they're, Johnson, Eli Lilly Organizations: Harris Financial Group, Federal Reserve, pharma, CNBC, Pharma, Novo Nordisk, Novartis, Pfizer, Swiss, Novo, Vanguard Health Care Locations: U.S
Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange on April 5, 2024. Stocks rebounded Friday following the Dow Jones Industrial Average 's worst session in more than a year as traders cheered a stronger-than-expected jobs report and looked past a jump in rates. The 30-stock Dow climbed 307.06 points, or 0.8%, to settle at 38,904.04. The Dow slid 2.27%, posting its worst weekly performance in 2024. The Dow tumbled about 530 points, or 1.35%, on Thursday, marking its biggest daily drop since March 2023 and its fourth consecutive losing session.
Persons: Stocks, Dow, Nonfarm payrolls, Dow Jones, Jamie Cox, Neel Kashkari Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Treasury, Labor, Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Minneapolis Federal Locations: Minneapolis
Thursday on Wall Street, the S&P 500 added 0.4% to 4,894.16 and set a record for a fifth straight day. IBM helped lead the market with a gain of 9.5% after it reported a better profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. The electric-vehicle maker reported earnings and revenue that fell short of forecasts and warned of lower sales growth this year. Such a resilient economy should drive profits for companies, which are one of the main inputs that set stock prices. On the losing end of Wall Street, Humana tumbled 11.7% after the insurer reported worse results for the end of 2023 than expected.
Persons: ” Robert Carnell, Seng, Tesla, , Jamie Cox Organizations: TOKYO, Nikkei, Bank of Japan, ING, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, IBM, U.S ., Federal Reserve, Harris Financial, Treasury, . American Airlines, Humana, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent Locations: U.S, Asia, Pacific, Shanghai, Australia, Wall
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFiscal policy should be prioritized in 2024, says Harris Financial's Jamie CoxJamie Cox, Harris Financial Group managing partner, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss fiscal policy and the market, fiscal policy uncertainty, and more.
Persons: Harris, Jamie Cox Jamie Cox Organizations: Harris Financial Group
[1/5] A trader reacts as a screen displays the Fed rate announcement on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 26, 2023. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 14 (Reuters) - A benign U.S. inflation report is bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve can bring down consumer prices without hurting the economy, a so-called Goldilocks environment that investors believe will benefit stocks and bonds. This does feel like a Goldilocks moment for the entire market.”The data fueled a powerful rally in stocks and bonds. The S&P 500 (.SPX) was up about 2% on the day, on track for its biggest one-day rise since January. Still, some investors believed it was too early to call a victory in the fight against inflation.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Eric Kuby, bearish, , Daniel Kirsch, Piper Sandler, Thomas Hayes, , Brian Rose, Jamie Cox, Lewis Krauskopf, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Davide Barbuscia, Ankika Biswas, Ira Iosebashvili, Nick Zieminski Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, North Star Investment Management Corp, Thomson Reuters, BofA's Global, Fed, Fund, UBS Global Wealth Management, Harris Financial, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Thomson Reuters United States, New York, Bengaluru
US stocks saw an impressive rally as the latest CPI data surprised investors with an inflation slowdown. Bond yields dropped dramatically, with the 10-year rate plummeting over 19 basis points. AdvertisementUS stocks shot up on Tuesday, as markets rallied around October's Consumer Price Index report, which surprised investors with softer-than-predicted inflation data. Since the CPI report, market expectations of rate hike in December dropped from 14% to 0%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. AdvertisementAccording to October's report, prices remained flat on a monthly basis, despite expectations of a 0.1% rise.
Persons: Bond, , That's, Bill Adams, Jamie Cox Organizations: Service, October's, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal, Comerica Bank, Treasury, Harris Financial, Here's Locations: United States
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. Seven of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors climbed, with information technology (.SPLRCT) and consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) leading gains. Other speakers include voting members such as Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan. A total of 403 companies in the S&P 500 have reported profits to date in the third quarter, with 81.6% surpassing analyst estimates, per LSEG data. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.01-to-1 ratio on the NYSE and for a 1.24-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Tesla, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Jamie Cox, Walt Disney, Erik Carlson, Whitney Wolfe, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Maju Samuel Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dish, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Tesla, Reuters, Traders, Federal Reserve, Lisa Cook , New York Fed, Dallas Fed, Harris Financial, Fed, University of, Dow Jones, Dish Network, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Berlin ., Lisa Cook , New
European markets open lower amid Middle East turmoil
  + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Holly Ellyatt | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
The next 10 years will be unlike the last two decades for investors, according to investment advisors and wealth managers. Charles-Henry Monchau, chief investment officer at Swiss private bank Syz, said investors risk making long-term decisions with a "cognitive bias" and urges those investing $1 million over the next decade not to extrapolate too much from recent history. Jamie Cox, financial planner at Harris Financial Group, believes international stocks will outperform U.S. stocks in the coming decade as rising rates and inflation change market dynamics. Both share with CNBC Pro their thoughts on how investors with $1 million should invest over the next decade. Subscribers can read more here.
Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Jamie Cox, — Ganesh Rao Organizations: Harris Financial Group, CNBC Locations: Swiss
The next 10 years will be unlike the last two decades for investors, according to investment advisors and wealth managers. Those conditions could create more volatility and lower returns for assets that have done well over the past decade, according to Monchau. ELTIFs allow individual investors to invest alongside institutions in assets like infrastructure, private equity and private credit. "The ability to generate income is going to be far and away the better place for the next decade for investment," he said. For younger investors more than 10 years from retirement, Cox recommends a 100% equity portfolio, maximising returns with low-cost index ETFs.
Persons: Charles, Henry Monchau, Monchau, There's, Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton, Jamie Cox, Cox, it's, maximising Organizations: CNBC Pro, Swiss, BlackRock, Harris Financial Group, Unilever, Nestle, Broadcom Locations: Swiss, Geneva, Richmond , Virginia
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 122 points, or 0.4%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.4%, while Nasdaq 100 futures added 0.6%. The looming threat of a government shutdown weighed on investors last week, which also marked the end of the trading month and quarter. September marked the worst monthly performance of the year for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite . The S&P 500 is down about 6% from its 2023 high close in July, but still up 11% for the year.
Persons: Joe Biden, Jamie Cox, Cox, They're, Dow Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Harris Financial, Futures, Investors Locations: Ukraine, U.S
US stocks tumbled on Tuesday as weak economic data sparked the worst loss since March. Investors are also contending with a possible interest rate hike and a government shutdown. AdvertisementAdvertisementUS stocks plummeted on Tuesday as weak economic data sparked fears of a recession, adding to worries about rates and a government shutdown. "So far, higher interest rates haven't made a dent in housing prices this year. AdvertisementAdvertisementBefore this, investors were already grappling with uncertainty, as the Federal Reserve indicated that another interest rate could come up before the year end.
Persons: , haven't, Jamie Cox Organizations: Service, Harris Financial, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation will return to the Fed's 2% target by next year, says Moody's Analytics' Mark ZandiJamie Cox, Harris Financial Group managing partner, Subadra Rajappa, head of U.S. rates strategy at Societe Generale, and Mark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, join 'The Exchange' to discuss signals that indicate the Fed could be done with rate hikes this year, cues in the dot plot about the Fed's 2024 agenda, and fears of a potential government shutdown.
Persons: Zandi Jamie Cox, Subadra Rajappa, Mark Zandi Organizations: Harris Financial Group, Societe Generale
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