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The euro has declined rapidly, meanwhile, briefly dipping below $1.05 on Nov. 14 for the first time since October 2023. Modeling by Barclays' economists shows the euro hitting dollar parity with a 10% tariff on European products and subsequent retaliation. The bank said the prospect of Trump tariffs and fiscal reforms had caused it to revise its view that the dollar would gradually decline through the year, instead seeing the U.S. currency "stronger for longer." Since hitting a low in September 2022, the euro has been comfortably back above parity even if below its long-range average. One of those 2022 factors roared back into focus this week, weighing broadly on European assets: the threat of escalating tensions with Russia.
Persons: Donald Trump, James Reilly, Reilly, George Saravelos, Trump, Saravelos, Goldman Sachs, Goldman Organizations: U.S, Republican, China —, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, Federal, European Central Bank, FX Research, Deutsche Bank, Trump, Barclays, ECB, Fed Locations: Congress, China, U.S, Europe, Russia, Ukraine
The AI-fueled stock market bubble will burst in 2026, according to Capital Economics. The research firm said rising interest rates and higher inflation will weigh down equity valuations. AdvertisementAn artificial intelligence-fueled stock market bubble will burst in 2026, according to Capital Economics. The research firm has said that a stock market bubble, driven by investor excitement towards artificial intelligence, would drive the S&P 500 to as high as 6,500 by 2025, led by technology stocks. The expected bursting of the stock market bubble should lead to a decade of investment returns that favor bonds over stocks.
Persons: , Diana Iovanel, James Reilly, Iovanel, Reilly Organizations: Capital Economics, Service, Capital, US
AdvertisementThe 2024 presidential election seems destined to be the rematch many voters have been expecting : President Joe Biden against former President Donald Trump. So what would Trump's return to the White House mean for stocks? President Joe Biden gives remarks on the conflict between Israel and Palestine at the White House in Washington on October 7, 2023. During his speech, President Biden reiterated the United States' support for Israel. Amanda Andrade-Rhoades/For The Washington Post via Getty ImagesAmong the world's more powerful people, opinions are divided on the impact of Trump's return.
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London CNN —Turkey’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has promised to continue with his unorthodox policy of cutting interest rates to reduce sky-high inflation if he is re-elected on May 28. “I have a thesis that interest rates and inflation, they are directly correlated. The lower the interest rates, the lower the inflation will be,” Erdoğan told CNN. “In this country, the inflation rate will come down along with the interest rates, so that we will come to a point where people will be relieved. This is not an illusion.”Soaring pricesIn late 2021, as price rises started to accelerate around the world, Erdoğan ordered Turkey’s central bank to slash interest rates.
In an exclusive interview with CNN on Thursday, Erdogan promised to continue cutting interest rates to tackle soaring prices if he is re-elected on May 28, my colleague Olesya Dmitracova reports. “Please do follow me in the aftermath of the elections, and you will see that inflation will be going down along with interest rates,” Erdogan told CNN’s Becky Anderson. “I have a thesis that interest rates and inflation, they are directly correlated. As price hikes started to accelerate around the world in late 2021, Erdogan ordered Turkey’s central bank to slash interest rates. The weekly claims attributed to Massachusetts fell by 14,042 on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, representing three-quarters of the decline of 18,605 claims.
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