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Washington CNN —The US economy seems to have pulled off a remarkable and historic achievement. American shoppers continued to fuel economic growth in the third quarter with their spending, according to the report. That marked the biggest contributor to GDP growth in the third quarter by far. Government spending at both the federal and state level also contributed to third-quarter economic growth. Wednesday’s GDP report showed that the US economy remains on solid footing.
Persons: That’s, , James Bullard, Louis, Joe Biden, Harris Organizations: Washington CNN, Gross, Commerce Department, Federal, CNN, Federal Reserve Bank of St, Fed, White, Biden
New York CNN —Federal Reserve officials won’t say how former President Donald Trump winning a second term could impact the economy. But transcripts of closed-door Fed meetings from Trump’s first term give some clues about top economists’ true feelings about Trump’s economic agenda. “We don’t want to be involved … in politics in any way,” Powell said after July’s monetary policy meeting. The transcripts of past meetings that are publicly available, the most recent being from the December 2018 monetary policy meeting, suggest that some Fed officials had legitimate concerns about Trump’s trade policy and its impact on the economy. ‘Ill-conceived US government policies’At later meetings, as the Trump administration began to set the stage for a potential trade war with China, Fed officials started to sound more concerned.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Jerome Powell, Powell, ” Powell, Sen, Jack Reed, , it’s, Loretta Mester, ” Mester, , James Bullard, Bob Dylan, ” Bullard, Bullard, Mitch Daniels, , , , ” William Dudley, ” Dudley Organizations: New, New York CNN — Federal, Democrat, Trump, CNN, Cleveland Fed, Fed, Federal, Market, Louis Federal Reserve, Chicago Cubs, Mitch Daniels School of Business, Washington, Lee University Locations: New York, Rhode Island, , China, United States, Dudley
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed President: Probability of a recession isn't any higher now than ordinary timesFormer St. Louis Fed President James Bullard joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, what to make of today's GDP report, impact on the Fed's inflation fight, rate path outlook, and more.
Persons: Louis, James Bullard Organizations: Former, Louis Fed, St
Countdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to know
  + stars: | 2024-06-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailCountdown to Fed rate decision:Here's what you need to knowJames Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean and former St. Louis Fed President, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why it could be wise to cut sooner but slower, whether the Fed will stick with higher for longer, and if the Federal Reserve is keying in on rival central banks.
Persons: James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean, Louis Organizations: Purdue University's Business School, Louis Fed, Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed Pres. Bullard: March jobs report shows 'the economy is running pretty hot'James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean and former St. Louis Fed President, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the March jobs report, the impact on the Fed's interest rate path, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Louis Fed Pres, Bullard, James Bullard, Purdue University's Business School Dean, Louis Organizations: Former, Purdue University's Business School, Louis Fed
Opinion | Is the Fed Falling Prey to Groupthink?
  + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Peter Coy | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
If you’re looking to argue that the Fed suffers from too much unanimity, the inflationary surge of 2022 looks like evidence. In speeches, various members of the committee had been expressing concerns about inflation, but they weren’t voting that way. She worked at the Fed for 25 years in stints between 1984 and 2022, including one writing up the minutes of Federal Open Market Committee meetings. Meade said one reason dissents are few is that “the meetings aren’t about today, they’re about tomorrow.” Committee meetings occur eight times a year. If a voter feels uncomfortable with the (unanimous) rate decision, that person will try to rally support for a different path at future meetings.
Persons: James Bullard, Louis, Ellen Meade, , ” Meade, Levin, Meade Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of St, Duke University, Fed, Open
Economist Alberto Musalem was named the next president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on Thursday. The St. Louis Fed representative is an alternate member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee and will vote in 2025. St. Louis Fed First Vice President Kathy O'Neill has been holding the position in the interim. "Alberto will be an outstanding president and CEO of the St. Louis Fed," said St. Louis Fed director Carolyn Chism Hardy, president and CEO of Chism Hardy Investments and deputy chair of the bank's search committee. "I am deeply honored to serve as the next president of the St. Louis Fed and grateful for the opportunity to promote a strong, resilient and inclusive economy," Musalem said.
Persons: Alberto Musalem, Louis, Musalem, James Bullard, Kathy O'Neill, Alberto, Louis Fed, Carolyn Chism Hardy, Chism, Hardy, Paul Tudor Jones Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of St, Purdue University, Louis Fed, Market, Investments, Evince Asset Management, New York Fed, Tudor Investment Corp, Eighth, CNBC PRO Locations: St
Now, as Fed policymakers note improvement on inflation and some cooling in the labor market, the risks are seen as more balanced and the choices more nuanced. The following chart offers a look at how officials currently stack up on their outlooks for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers began raising interest rates in March 2022 to bring down high inflation. Their most recent policy rate hike, to a range of 5.25%-5.50%, was in July. Below is a Reuters count of policymakers in each category, heading into recent Fed meetings.
Persons: Jeff Schmid, Adriana Kugler, Louis Fed, James Bullard, Louis, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, Ann Saphir, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Federal Open Market, New York Fed, Kansas City Fed's, Fed's, Governors, Interim, Louis Fed, Thomson Locations: Kansas, St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFormer St. Louis Fed president says the FOMC still has 'a ways to go' on inflationJames Bullard, former president of the St. Louis Fed, discusses the outlook for interest rates and the U.S. economy.
Persons: Louis Fed, James Bullard Organizations: Former Locations: U.S
Fed doves, Fed hawks: US central bankers in their own words
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The following chart offers a stab at how officials stack up on their outlook for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers began raising interest rates in March 2022 to bring down high inflation. Their most recent policy rate hike, to a range of 5.25%-5.5%, was in July. Neither Jeff Schmid, Kansas City Fed's president since August and a voter in 2025, nor Adriana Kugler, a permanent voter who was confirmed to the Fed Board in September, have yet made any substantive policy remarks. The St. Louis Fed has begun a search to succeed president, James Bullard, who took a job in academia; the new chief will be a 2025 voter.
Persons: Jeff Schmid, Adriana Kugler, Louis Fed, James Bullard, Ann Saphir, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal, Federal Open Market, New York Fed, Jeff Schmid , Kansas City Fed's, Fed, Thomson Locations: Jeff Schmid , Kansas, St
NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Federal Reserve losses breached the $100 billion mark, central bank data released on Thursday showed, and they're likely to go a lot higher before the red ink stops. While there's considerable uncertainty around how it will all play out, some observers believe Fed losses, which began a year ago, could eventually as much as double before abating. William English, a former top central bank staffer now at Yale University, said he sees a "peak" loss of around $200 billion by 2025. Meanwhile, Derek Tang of forecasting firm LH Meyer said the loss is likely to be between $150 billion and $200 billion by next year. In 2022, the Fed handed back $76 billion, after returning $109 billion in 2021.
Persons: William English, Derek Tang, Meyer, James Bullard, Louis Fed, that's, What's, John Williams, Michael S, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal, Yale University, Fed, Treasury, . Bank, Securities, New York Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S
The likelihood that inflation numbers are going to remain stubbornly high for a while could mean more interest rate increases, former St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said Thursday. In a CNBC interview, the the current dean of the Mitchell E. Daniels Jr. School of Business at Purdue University raised the prospect of more policy tightening as core inflation is stuck around 4%. "That's raising the risk that the Fed will have to follow through on its promise rate increase sometime in the next couple of meetings, and there's some risk that they'd have to go a little bit higher even from there," Bullard told CNBC's Steve Liesman. Inflation numbers "have got to come down into the 3% range, and eventually the 2% range, and if that is not happening and they hang up too high, the Fed may have to do more," he said.
Persons: James Bullard, Mitchell, Daniels, Bullard, CNBC's Steve Liesman, — Jeff Cox Organizations: Louis Federal Reserve, CNBC, School of Business, Purdue University Locations: St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSeptember's SEP will have to be adjusted on GDP as the economy persists, says former Fed presidentFormer St. Louis Fed chief James Bullard joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the issue of the Federal Reserve's forecast for September, whether the outlook for the federal funds rate needs to go up to account for economic activity and more.
Persons: Louis, James Bullard Organizations: St, Louis Fed
Fed doves, Fed hawks: US central bankers in their words
  + stars: | 2023-08-22 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The following graphic offers a stab at how officials stack up on their outlook for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers have been driving up borrowing costs since March 2022 to bring down high inflation, and in July they increased the target policy rate range to 5.25%-5.5%. Longtime banker Jeff Schmid starts as Kansas City Fed president Aug. 21, and will be a voter in 2025. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, a vocal policy hawk, left the Fed in July for a job in academia; the new chief will be a 2025 voter. Reporting by Ann Saphir, Howard Schneider, Michael S. Derby and Dan Burns; Editing by Marguerita ChoyOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jeff Schmid, Louis, James Bullard, Ann Saphir, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Dan Burns, Marguerita Choy Organizations: Federal, Federal Open, New York Fed, Kansas City Fed, Louis Fed, Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: Kansas, St
Fed doves, Fed hawks: a look at how U.S. central bankers fly
  + stars: | 2023-08-11 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
The following graphic offers a stab at how officials stack up on their outlook for Fed policy and how to balance their goals of stable prices and full employment. Note: Fed policymakers have been driving up borrowing costs since March 2022 to bring down high inflation, and in July they increased the target policy rate range to 5.25%-5.5%. Longtime banker Jeff Schmid starts as Kansas City Fed president Aug. 21, and will be a voter in 2025. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, a vocal policy hawk, left the Fed in July for a job in academia; the new chief will be a 2025 voter. Reporting Ann Saphir, Howard Schneider, Michael S. Derby and Dan Burns; Editing by Andrea RicciOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jeff Schmid, Louis, James Bullard, Ann Saphir, Howard Schneider, Michael S, Dan Burns, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Open, New York Fed, Kansas City Fed, Louis Fed, Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: Kansas, St
Fed Chair Powell has said the Fed still has more work to do, and he himself hasn’t ruled out back-to-back rate hikes. But he also suggested that the Fed prefers to get rate hikes over with as soon as possible. The Fed is overwhelmingly expected to raise its key federal funds rate later this month after it paused in June after 10 straight rate hikes. If core inflation continues to moderate only slightly, Fed officials might just want to get the second rate hike over with. The FOMC next meets on July 25-26, with an announcement on rate hikes due at 2 p.m.
Persons: Louis, James Bullard, Adriana Kugler, Powell, hasn’t, Christopher Waller, ” Waller, , weren’t, Kugler, That’s Organizations: DC CNN, Federal Reserve, Fed, Louis Fed, Market Committee, , New York University Locations: Washington, April’s
St. Louis Fed President James Bullard Steps Down
  + stars: | 2023-07-13 | by ( Nick Timiraos | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
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Persons: Dow Jones, bullard Locations: louis
New York CNN —St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard announced Thursday he is stepping down from his position in mid-August. “It has been both a privilege and an honor to be part of the St. Louis Fed for the last 33 years, including serving as its president for the last 15 years,” Bullard said in a statement released Thursday afternoon. With the exception of the president of New York Fed, four regional bank presidents from the remaining 11 branches serve one-year terms on the Federal Open Market Committee on a rotating basis. Kathleen O’Neill Paese, the St. Louis Fed’s first vice president and chief operating officer, was confirmed Thursday by the bank’s board and assumed Bullard’s duties “immediately” in the interim, according to the statement. The St. Louis Fed said it is hiring “a national executive search firm” to help identify Bullard’s permanent successor.
Persons: James Bullard, Louis Fed, ” Bullard, Bullard, Purdue University’s Mitchell E, Daniels, Jr, Jerome Powell, won’t, Kathleen O’Neill Paese, Louis Fed’s, , Bullard’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Louis Federal Reserve, Purdue, School of Business, Fed, New York Fed, Federal, Seven, Governor Locations: New York, St
New York CNN —Despite promising signs that inflation is abating, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said the fight against price increases isn’t over. But she cautioned, “It’s really too early to declare victory on inflation.”The latest Consumer Price Index report published on Wednesday showed that annual inflation slowed from 4% to 3% in June, the lowest level since March 2021. However, the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, showed that inflation was double its 2% target in May. Daly acknowledged there’s a risk the Fed will raise rates higher than what’s ultimately needed to get inflation down to 2%. Daly, who will be voting on interest rates at the Fed’s meetings next year, said she wouldn’t necessarily consider cutting rates once inflation hits 2%.
Persons: Mary Daly, ” Daly, “ It’s, Daly, there’s, “ can’t, , Daly’s, James Bullard Organizations: New, New York CNN, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, CNBC, Louis Federal Reserve Bank Locations: New York, San, St
James Bullard, president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, delivers a speech in London, U.K., on Tuesday, Oct. 15, 2019. The St. Louis Federal Reserve announced Thursday that Jim Bullard will step down from his post as president, effective Aug. 14. "It has been both a privilege and an honor to be part of the St. Louis Fed for the last 33 years, including serving as its president for the last 15 years," Bullard said in a statement. "I am also grateful to have worked alongside such dedicated and inspiring colleagues across the Federal Reserve System." The St. Louis Fed said it will hire a "national executive search firm" to assist in seeking Bullard's successor.
Persons: James Bullard, Louis, Jim Bullard, Purdue University's Mitchell E, Daniels, Jr, Bullard, Louis Fed Organizations: Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Federal Reserve, Purdue, School of Business, Federal Reserve's, Market, Federal Reserve Locations: London, The St
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSt. Louis Fed President Bullard announces plans to step down in AugustCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Power Lunch' to report on St. Louis Fed President James Bullard announcing his plan to step down from the Fed in August.
Persons: Louis, Bullard, Steve Liesman, James Bullard Organizations: St, Louis Fed, Fed
He said in the statement released by the St. Louis Fed that the regional bank "is well-positioned for ongoing success and impact." The St. Louis Fed said Kathleen O'Neill Paese, the regional bank's first vice president and chief operating officer, will act as interim president. The regional bank said its search committee will look nationally for a new leader, noting that its search will be "robust, transparent, fair and inclusive." While they operate under the oversight of the Board of Governors in Washington, regional Fed banks are quasi-private institutions technically owned by member banks. With Bullard's exit, there will be two unfilled regional Fed bank slots.
Persons: James Bullard, Bullard, Louis Fed, Mitchell, Daniels, Jr, doesn't, Tim Duy, Duy, Derek Tang, LH Meyers, Wrightson ICAP, Kathleen Bostjancic, Kathleen O'Neill Paese, Louis Fed's, Esther George, Michael S, Ann Saphir, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: Louis Federal Reserve, U.S, Purdue, St, School of Business, Federal, Macro, Fed, Purdue University, Minneapolis Fed, Nationwide, Brookings Institution, Governors, Kansas City Fed, Derby, Thomson Locations: Indiana, St, Washington
Morning Bid: World markets calm after Russia drama
  + stars: | 2023-06-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
More perplexed by events than anything else, world markets stayed relatively calm on Monday after a dramatic Russian military mutiny at the weekend was uneasily quelled. For Russian markets themselves, the rouble slipped to 15-month lows - but it too had been falling last week as oil prices ebbed. Largely now isolated from western investment, Russian stocks fell about 1%. U.S. Treasury yields slipped lower, perhaps with a smidgen of a safety bid from the weekend events helping too. Turkey's lira slid again to record lows after the central bank took steps to simplify rules governing lenders' holdings and foreign deposits after a sharp but underwhelming interest rate rise last week.
Persons: Mike Dolan, uneasily, Vladimir Putin, Leonardo, Raphael Bostic, James Bullard, Loretta Mester, Ed Osmond Organizations: Wall, Saab, Rheinmetall, Brent, . U.S, Treasury, Bank for International Settlements, HSBC, Dallas Federal, Central Bank, Central Banking, Atlanta Federal Reserve, St Louis Fed, Cleveland Fed, PMI, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Ukraine, Moscow, Shanghai, Europe, United States, ., Canary Wharf, London, Sintra, Portugal
Morning Bid: Business brakes in June swoon, dollar jumps
  + stars: | 2023-06-23 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanJust as world stock prices raced ahead this month, broader business activity appeared to be stalling again. Equivalent Japanese and British surveys also showed sub-forecast growth and markets nervously await the U.S. version later on Friday. The dollar was the big market mover - surging into the weekend against Asia and European currencies. Inflation is falling faster, real wage growth is back positive, the jobs market is loosening slightly and housing is rebounding somewhat. So even as stock prices have come off the year's highs, the VIX (.VIX) implied volatility gauge continues to fall away - closing below 13 on Thursday for the first time since January 2020.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Jerome Powell, Wall, Powell's, Raphael Bostic, James Bullard, Loretta Mester, Jane Merriman Organizations: Asia, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, Brent, Japan's, Swiss, Atlanta Federal Reserve, St Louis Fed, Cleveland Fed, Reuters Graphics Reuters Graphics, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, Europe, Shanghai, Asia, United States
Appearing before the Senate Banking Committee, Powell reiterated his view that more rate hikes are likely in the months ahead. Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said he remains unconvinced that inflation is on a steady path downward, but would not prejudge what the Fed should do at its July 25-26 meeting. Investors will also monitor comments from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Cleveland Fed's President Loretta Mester. ET, Dow e-minis were down 109 points, or 0.32%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 22 points, or 0.5%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 101.75 points, or 0.67%. Reporting by Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Arun KoyyurOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Matt Britzman, Hargreaves Lansdown, Tom Barkin, Louis, James Bullard, Raphael Bostic, Loretta Mester, Shubham Batra, Shreyashi Sanyal, Shashwat Chauhan, Arun Koyyur Organizations: Dow, Nasdaq, Banking, Richmond Fed, Deutsche Bank, Louis Fed, Atlanta Fed, Cleveland, Dow e, 3M, Carmax Inc, Thomson Locations: U.S, Bengaluru
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