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☆ Why these three states are the most consistent tipping point in American politics
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Ronald Brownstein | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +21 min

Trump won the presidency in 2016 by stunning Democrat Hillary Clinton to win all three states by a combined margin of about 80,000 votes. But, as in other states, Democrats have been concerned about the risk of depressed turnout and some gains for Trump among Black voters in Philadelphia. Eight years later, the two states split again, when Roosevelt comfortably won Pennsylvania and Michigan narrowly went to Republican Wendell Willkie. This trio of states has arguably become the most consistent tipping point in American politics. In the nine elections since 1920 when they split their vote, the candidate who carried two of these three states won seven times.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump –, Trump, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Harris, Bob Shrum, Shrum, Tad Devine, “, Biden, PRRI, William Frey, Tim Marema, don’t, Mason, Dixon, Barack Obama, Tony Evers, Gretchen Whitmer, Josh Shapiro, Republican Sen, Ron Johnson, Dane County, Ben Wikler, Pete Giangreco, ”, You’ve, That’s, Gene Ulm, Roe, Wade, Whitmer, Branden Snyder, It’s, Clinton, Dante Chinni, White, ” Chinni, they’ve, They’ve, Republican pollster Patrick Ruffini, Ruffini, “ I’m, ” Ruffini, Geoff Garin, Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, James Buchanan, John C, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Herbert Hoover, Republican Wendell Willkie, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter, Theodore Roosevelt’s, Al Gore, John Kerry, Republican Thomas Dewey, Hubert Humphrey, Garin Organizations: CNN, White House, Democratic, Michigan, Wisconsin, AdImpact, Trump, Center, University of Southern, “, Republicans, Survey, Blacks, of Labor Statistics, Public Religion Research, Whites, GOP, Brookings Metro, for Rural, doesn’t, Keystone State, Republican, Center for Rural, Democrats, Biden, Black, White, Wisconsin , Michigan Democrats, Detroit, Electoral, American Communities Project, …, Democrat, Pennsylvania, Republican Party Locations: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina , Arizona, Nevada, Flint , Michigan, University of Southern California, California , New York, Illinois, Texas, Florida, Ohio, . Michigan, Wisconsin’s, Milwaukee, Philadelphia, Detroit, Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington, Madison, Dane, Dane County, Eau Claire, Appleton, La Crosse, Outagamie, Winnebago, Green Bay, Green, Chicago, Scranton, Wilkes, Barre, ” Michigan, “ Michigan, Gaza, Wisconsin , Michigan, United States, “ Pennsylvania, Ulm, Pittsburgh, Butler , Pennsylvania, Republican George H.W ., Fremont, North Carolina, Michigan , Pennsylvania, “

☆ Opinion | The Attacks on Kamala Harris for Not Having Kids Will Backfire
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-23 | by ( Jessica Grose | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

On Sunday, almost immediately after prominent Democrats started endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris for president, attacks from the political right started pouring in. There were five others: George Washington, James Madison, Andrew Jackson, James Polk and James Buchanan. But more to the point, if you think that the concerns of parents and families will always be “abstract” to someone who doesn’t have children, you’re telling on yourself. It’s not simply that, by all accounts, Harris has a close, loving relationship with her stepkids. It should go without saying, but: Having children doesn’t necessarily make you a better person.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Will Chamberlain, Ron DeSantis’s, Harris, shouldn’t, ”, Harris wouldn’t, George Washington, James Madison, Andrew Jackson, James Polk, James Buchanan, Warren Harding, It’s, they’ll

Gavin Newsom of California, had previously said he would not challenge Ms. Harris. He often rambles incoherently in interviews and at campaign rallies and has confused names, dates and facts just as Mr. Biden has. Mr. Biden consistently maintained that his experience was an advantage, enabling him to pass landmark legislation and manage foreign policy crises. He maintained that he was the Democrat best equipped to defeat Mr. Trump given that he did so in 2020. On the international front, Mr. Biden revitalized international alliances that frayed under Mr. Trump, rallying much of the world to stand against Russia’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

Persons: Biden, Kamala Harris, Donald J, Trump, ”, Mr, Ms, Harris, “, it’s, I’ve, Kamala, —, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, pollsters, Franklin, Lyndon, Ketanji Brown Jackson, Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden’s, James K, Polk, James Buchanan, Rutherford B, Hayes, Lyndon Johnson, John F Organizations: Sunday, Trump, Democratic, Democratic Party, Gov, Mr, Democratic National Convention, Senate, Democrat, White, Roosevelt’s, Society, Supreme, Republican, Republicans, Hamas Locations: Michigan, California, Chicago, Europe, County, Delaware, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, Rafah, Afghanistan, Kabul, U.S, Vietnam

☆ Analysis: There is no direct precedent for Biden dropping out now. Here’s the history
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-06 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | Amy O Kruk | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Johnson and Truman left under pressure, handed the White House over to the other partyComparisons between Biden and any of these presidents are not perfect. Both Johnson and Truman then won the White House in their own right. Humphrey would go on to lose the White House to Richard Nixon, but Democrats kept control of the House and the Senate. Democrats lost control of the White House and the Senate in 1860, and Lincoln became the first Republican president. Reforming the civil service was a major issue of the day, and it played into Hayes’ decision, according to his letter accepting the Republican nomination in 1876.

Persons: Joe Biden, Donald Trump, Harry S, Truman, Lyndon B, Johnson, Biden, Dwight Eisenhower, Hubert Humphrey, Humphrey, Richard Nixon, Roosevelt, Coolidge, Theodore Roosevelt, Calvin Coolidge, William Howard Taft, Taft, Bull Moose, Woodrow Wilson, Warren G, Harding, Herbert Hoover, curt, –, ” –, James K, Zachary Taylor, Martin Van Buren, Taylor, James Buchanan, Buchanan, Abraham Lincoln’s, seceding, He’s, Lincoln, Rutherford B, Hayes, James Garfield, Garfield Organizations: CNN, Republicans, White, Democratic, Convention, Senate, Democratic National Convention, GOP, Republican, Democrats, Whig Party, Hayes, Trump Locations: New Hampshire, Washington, Chicago, San Francisco, Southern

☆ Opinion: What we can glean from a prisoner who ran for president
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-04 | by ( Opinion Thomas Balcerski | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —Donald Trump is the first former president to be found guilty of felonies, but he isn’t the first convicted person to run for president in the US. Despite having been sentenced to 10 years in prison for sedition, Debs incredibly received some 914,191 votes, a higher number than when he ran as a free man in 1912. 9653.”Even from prison, Debs cleverly electioneered through the new medium of motion pictures. Following the election of Warren G. Harding in 1920, pressure was placed on outgoing President Woodrow Wilson to pardon Debs. They will choose whether the verdict at Trump’s trial undermined faith in our legal system or was justice being served.

Persons: Thomas Balcerski, James Buchanan, William Rufus King ”, CNN — Donald Trump, Eugene V . Debs, Debs, Trump, ” Eugene Victor, Gene, ”, “, Warren G, Harding, Woodrow Wilson, Wilson, — Organizations: Eastern Connecticut State University, Oxford University Press, CNN, Socialist Party, Justice Department, Debs Universal, Republicans, Twitter, Facebook, Reuters, Republican, Trump Locations: Canton , Ohio, Atlanta, America, York

☆ Opinion | A Consequential President for All the Wrong Reasons
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Thomas B. Edsall | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

When historians and political scientists rank presidents from best to worst, Donald Trump invariably comes out at the bottom. This year, to give one example, the 2024 Presidential Greatness Project released the results of a survey of 154 current and former members of the Presidents and Executive Politics Section of the American Political Science Association. The highest ranked included no surprises: on a scale of 0 to 100, Abraham Lincoln (95.03), Franklin Delano Roosevelt (90.83), George Washington (90.32), Teddy Roosevelt (78.58) and Thomas Jefferson (77.53). Dead last: Donald Trump (10.92), substantially below James Buchanan (16.71), Andrew Johnson (21.56), Franklin Pierce (24.6) and William Henry Harrison (26.01).

Persons: Donald Trump, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin Delano Roosevelt, George Washington, Teddy Roosevelt, Thomas Jefferson, James Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, Franklin Pierce, William Henry Harrison Organizations: American Political Science Association

☆ Opinion | If It Walks Like an Insurrection and Talks Like an Insurrection …
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +2 min

While we await oral argument in Trump v. Anderson — the Supreme Court case that will evaluate the Colorado Supreme Court’s decision to exclude the former president from the state’s Republican primary ballot — it’s worth revisiting the arguments leveled against the Colorado court’s decision and, by extension, its interpretation of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. The first and most important one is that the plot to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election, culminating in the Jan. 6 attack on the United States Capitol, was not an insurrection. Related to this is the argument that, even if Jan. 6 was an insurrection, it’s still not clear that Donald Trump was an insurrectionist. If that isn’t persuasive, consider the evidence marshaled by the legal scholars Akhil Reed Amar and Vikram David Amar in a more recent amicus brief. They argue that top of mind for the drafters of the 14th Amendment were the actions of John B. Floyd, the secretary of war during the secession crisis of November 1860 to March 1861.

Persons: Anderson —, it’s, Donald Trump, Jonathan Chait, Trump, ” I’ve, Akhil Reed Amar, Vikram David Amar, John B, Floyd, Abraham Lincoln, “, Virginia slaveholder, ” Amar, Amar, Ulysses S, Grant, James Buchanan Organizations: Colorado Supreme, Republican, Colorado, U.S, U.S . Constitution, United States Capitol, Capitol, Colorado Supreme Court Locations: Trump, Colorado, U.S ., New York, Northern, Sumter, South Carolina

☆ Opinion: We could be witnessing the Republican Party break apart in real time
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-23 | by ( Thomas Balcerski | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Historically, political realignment has occurred when groups of voters change their affiliation to a new political party or candidate, especially around presidential and midterm elections. Yet the period between 1852 and 1860 is crucial here, for it saw the last time a major political party collapsed (the Whig Party in 1854) and the dissolution of another political party (the Democratic Party in 1860). The 1924 Democratic Party famously went through 103 ballots before agreeing on a compromise candidate, John W. Davis of West Virginia. Of course, party realignment is a tricky thing since we only come to know that it has happened in hindsight. A failure to reach a majority consensus signals the doom of an American political party.

Persons: Thomas Balcerski, James Buchanan, William Rufus King ”, Hakeem Jeffries, Patrick McHenry, let’s, V.O, Abraham Lincoln’s, Franklin D, Thomas Jefferson, John Adams, Andrew Jackson, Daniel Webster, Henry Clay, Lincoln, William Henry Seward, William L, Yancey, Stephen Douglas of, John C, Breckinridge, Theodore Roosevelt, Moose, Republican William Howard Taft, Woodrow Wilson, John W, Davis of, Hubert H, Humphrey, Republican Richard Nixon, “ Organizations: Eastern Connecticut State University, Oxford University Press, CNN, Republican Party, Democratic Party, Whig Party, Whigs, Republican Party . Southern Whigs, American Party, Democrats, Whig, Union, Democratic, Southern, Lincoln, splintering, Republican, GOP Locations: United States, Northern, Southern, Kansas, Nebraska, Charleston , South Carolina, Alabama, Baltimore, Stephen Douglas of Illinois, Kentucky, Davis of West Virginia, Vietnam, American

☆ How 1880s technology made it possible for 2 women to travel around the world in under 80 days
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-07 | by ( Jenny Mcgrath | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +19 min

In 1889, journalist Nellie Bly set off on a trip around the world, trying to make it under 80 days. "You see a huge emphasis being placed on building ships that were ever faster than the previous generation of ships," Goodman said. Once aboard the train, Bly began to receive telegrams from her editors and well-wishers. "Sometimes it literally literally just says, 'Nelly Bly's train,'" Behn said. For Behn, what Bly and Bisland did remains incredible and deserve to be remembered as much as Verne's story.

Persons: Nellie Bly, Elizabeth Bisland, —, Jules Verne's, Bly, Bisland, Adrien Behn, Matthew Goodman, Elizabeth Bisland's, Victoria, Augusta Victoria, Henry Guttmann, seasickness, Behn, San Francisco —, Bettmann, Goodman, John Mix Stanley, Said, Getty Images Bly, they'd, Alfred Touchemolin's, voyaged, She'd, James Buchanan, Joseph Pulitzer's, Nelly Bly's, Jules Verne, Thomas Cook, Fogg, Nelly, she'd Organizations: Service, Cosmopolitan, Atlantic, Hulton, Western, Central Pacific, Union Pacific, Union Pacific's Overland, Rockies, Railroad, US, Ships, Suez, Getty Images, Workers, SSPL, Headquarters, Thomas Cook &, Companies Locations: London, New Jersey, New York, California, Blackwell's, of, New York Harbor, Chicago, Omaha, Utah, San, Salt, Union, Iowa, San Francisco, Midwest, Between Nebraska, Sacramento , California, Sierra Nevada, Lake Jessie , North Dakota, Washington ,, Philadelphia, Suez, Europe, Asia, Africa, Britain, India, Port Said, Egypt, Yemen, commonwealths, British, Aden, Colombo, Penang, Hong Kong, Singapore, Ceylon, Yokohama, France, Germany, America, South China, Nevada, Russian Empire, East, North America, London's, Italy, Ireland, United States, Japan, China

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