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As Election Day begins to wind down, polls suggest that the presidential race will be one of the closest in the history of American politics, as neither candidate holds a meaningful edge in enough states to win 270 electoral votes.
Opinion | Meet the New Boss, Same as the Old Boss
  + stars: | 2024-08-13 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
In just a few months, Trump may join the exclusive club of two-time presidential losers. Of course, it is still too early to make any real prediction about November. But the sharp reversal in Trump’s electoral fortunes raises an obvious question worth thinking about now: If Trump loses, and perhaps especially if he loses badly, what comes next for the Republican Party? One of the defining attributes of his leadership of the Republican Party is the extent to which he has so thoroughly reshaped Republican identity while leading Republican politicians to a string of national election defeats. Following Trump’s surprise win in 2016, Republicans either lost or underperformed in 2018, 2020 and 2022.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Andrew Jackson, Abraham Lincoln, Franklin Roosevelt, Ronald Reagan, Trump’s, George H.W, Bush, Doug Mastriano Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Republican Locations: — Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Kari Lake, Arizona, Pennsylvania
The single most troubling thing about Senator JD Vance — his bizarre understanding of the work of J.R.R. Tolkien notwithstanding — is his close relationship with some of the most extreme elements of the American right. Yarvin has also written favorably of human bondage (slavery, he once wrote, “is a natural human relationship”) and wondered aloud if apartheid wasn’t better for Black South Africans. Take Vance’s view that the United States is in a period of Romanesque decline. “We are in a late republican period,” Vance said on a podcast in 2021.
Persons: JD Vance, Tolkien, , Vance, Peter Thiel, Curtis Yarvin, provocateur, Yarvin, , Thiel, ideologues, ” Vance Organizations: Black South Locations: United States, , Overton
Trump and JD Vance, Kamala Harris and her allies say, are “weird.”It started with Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota, now Harris’s running mate. They want to be in your exam room.”Democrats immediately embraced Walz’s characterization of the former president and his running mate. Pete Buttigieg, the secretary of transportation, said Trump was getting “older and stranger.” Gov. Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania called Trump “weird” at a rally for Harris, as did Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, who also said that Vance was “erratic.”
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald, , , Trump, MAGA, JD Vance, Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Walz, Pete Buttigieg, Josh Shapiro, Harris, Chuck Schumer, Vance Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Democratic Party, Gov, Republican, MSNBC, Pennsylvania Locations: America, Minnesota, New York
For years, before he won the Republican presidential nomination in 2016, Donald Trump was something like the spiritual leader of the Republican Party’s right-wing base. Birtherism made Trump a celebrity on the right. It made him so popular with Republican voters that, while fighting to win the 2012 race for the Republican presidential nomination, Mitt Romney ventured out to Las Vegas to receive Trump’s blessing and support. To attack the former president, Trump liked to insinuate that he wasn’t born in the United States. “He’s spent millions of dollars trying to get away from this issue,” Trump said in 2011.
Persons: Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Birtherism, Trump, Mitt Romney, ” Romney, Donald Trump’s, I’m, birtherism, , delegitimize Obama, “ He’s, ” Trump, Organizations: Republican, Republican Party, Trump, Locations: United States, Las Vegas, birtherism, Trump
It is just my luck that the week I was on vacation also happened to be one of the most consequential weeks in recent American political history. I have a lot of thoughts about all this, but for now I want to talk about one of the minor characters in this saga — JD Vance, the Republican nominee for vice president. A few days after he received the nomination, Politico published a story on his deep affinity for “The Lord of the Rings,” the series of fantasy novels by J.R.R. Tolkien that were adapted, about 20 years ago, into blockbuster fantasy epics. Vance has, according to Politico, “pointed to Tolkien’s high fantasy epics as a window into understanding his worldview.”
Persons: Donald Trump’s, Biden’s, Kamala Harris, JD Vance, Vance, Trump, J.R.R, Tolkien, Organizations: Republican National Convention, Republican, Politico
Patrick Healy: Kamala Harris will announce her running mate very soon. Michelle Goldberg: Like a lot of progressives, I barely knew who Tim Walz was two weeks ago. Now I love him, even though I worry that his normal Midwestern guy affect is starting to border on shtick. Goldberg: He reads like an all-American heartland normie — a hunter and former high school football coach — who can articulate progressive priorities in a plain-spoken, unapologetic way. And branding Republicans “weird” was a stroke of genius, capturing the large part of the Venn diagram where sinister authoritarianism and ridiculous online subcultural tics overlap.
Persons: Patrick Healy, Jamelle Bouie, Ross Douthat, Michelle Goldberg, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Harris, JD Vance, Tim Walz, it’s, Andy Beshear, Healy, Michelle, Walz, Goldberg, Organizations: Electoral College, Democrats, Trump Locations: shtick, Kentucky
Opinion | Joe Biden Issues a Stinging Dissent
  + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The Supreme Court is caught in a crisis of its own making. There is the gross corruption of Justice Clarence Thomas and Justice Samuel Alito, who have received millions of dollars in gifts and benefits from various billionaire benefactors. There is the court’s open assault on the basic rights of tens of millions of Americans, exemplified in its decision to overturn the constitutional right to an abortion on the basis of a vague and inconsistent standard of “text, history and tradition.”And there is the hubris of Chief Justice Roberts, who, the legal scholar Eric J. Segall writes, has “led the court to coerce both state and federal governments to abide by his personal preferences, whether or not positive legal sources supported those decisions and at times even when prior law quite clearly did not justify the chief’s opinions and votes.”It is a testament to Roberts’s skill as a politician that he is often viewed as a modest and moderate judicial institutionalist when, in fact, he has used his position on the court to spearhead a remarkable campaign of judicial activism. In cases like Shelby County v. Holder in 2013 or the more recent West Virginia v. EPA, Roberts all but deployed novel constitutional doctrines (“equal state sovereignty” and the “major questions doctrine”) to achieve his preferred results. In just the last term, the Roberts court has rewritten the 14th Amendment to keep Donald Trump on the presidential ballot as well as radically expanded presidential power in direct contravention of the history, text and structure of the Constitution.
Persons: Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Justice Roberts, Eric J, Segall, Holder, Roberts, Donald Trump Organizations: EPA Locations: Shelby, West Virginia
Charles M. Blow It was the night of Black people (all but one of them men), Hispanics (mostly women) and white women — groups that Republicans are trying to increase their percentages among. Sean O’Brien probably had the most impact, even though his speech tried to walk the middle of the road. At times it felt as though he was speaking at the wrong convention. Jamelle Bouie This was a perfectly average night at a political convention. I suppose you could say, however, that it was helpful for the president of the Teamsters to be onstage.
Persons: Charles M, Sean O’Brien Organizations: Republicans, Teamsters
Opinion | John Roberts Makes His Bid for Infamy
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
The most important takeaway from the Supreme Court’s decision in Trump v. United States is that John Roberts, with the approval of his Republican colleagues, rewrote the Constitution to place the president above the law. The chief justice erased the Constitution’s clear contemplation of criminal charges for presidential misconduct. He conjured, out of thin air, a distinction between “official” and “unofficial” acts that can’t survive the slightest scrutiny. And Roberts did this, he says, to preserve the separation of powers and the integrity of the executive branch. Presidential impunity for criminal behavior isn’t the issue, Roberts suggests.
Persons: John Roberts, Roberts, , Donald Trump’s, — Roberts Organizations: Trump, Trump v . Locations: Trump v, Trump v . United States
It was once a fringe opinion to say President Biden should drop his re-election bid and Democrats should embrace an open convention. [You can listen to this episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” on the NYT Audio App, Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts.] My colleague, the Times Opinion columnist Jamelle Bouie, has been making some of the strongest arguments against Biden dropping out and throwing the nomination contest to a brokered convention. So I invited him on the show to talk through where he and I diverge and how our thinking is changing. You can listen to our whole conversation by following “The Ezra Klein Show” on the NYT Audio App, Apple, Spotify, Google or wherever you get your podcasts.
Persons: Biden, there’s, , Ezra Klein, Jamelle Bouie Organizations: Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, YouTube, Google
Opinion | Trump’s Lust for Expulsion Has Deep Roots
  + stars: | 2024-07-09 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Last week, millions of Americans celebrated our nation’s founding and with it our history of political and social inclusion. It is this history, of newcomers adding to the tapestry of the American experience, that is the foundation of our creedal nationalism, of the contested belief that “Americans are united by principles despite their ethnic, cultural and religious plurality.”I was at an Independence Day celebration of this belief at Monticello, Thomas Jefferson’s mountaintop home and plantation in Virginia, where dozens of new American citizens were welcomed into the national community with a festive naturalization ceremony, opened — as you might imagine — with a solemn reading of the preamble to the Declaration of Independence. Less central to our collective cultural memory than our history of inclusion — but no less central to American history as it actually unfolded — is a politics of expulsion, of the removal of people, groups and even ideas deemed incompatible with the national spirit, narrowly defined. “The suspicion of outsiders and quick resort to expulsion,” the historian Steven Hahn observes in “Illiberal America: A History,” is one of the defining features of the illiberal current in the American political tradition. If illiberalism — in stark contrast to the universalist claims of liberalism — ties rights and belonging to membership in specific communities of race, ethnicity, religion and gender; if it is “marked by social and cultural exclusions” and sees “violence as a legitimate and potentially necessary means” of wielding power, then it is only natural that illiberal movements or societies would wield expulsion as one method to discipline dissidents and outsiders.
Persons: , Steven Hahn, illiberalism Locations: Monticello, Thomas, Virginia, Independence, “ Illiberal America
Donald Trump pushed the Republican Party’s platform committee to change its language on abortion, and on the surface it looks like an exercise in relative moderation. But is it really? The lodestar for the anti-abortion movement has always been a constitutional guarantee of fetal personhood, which would outlaw abortion and threaten the legality of both IVF and hormonal birth control. (This endorsement of protection for fetal personhood also makes clear that the platform’s ostensible support for IVF is cheap political posturing.) To state, in the context of abortion, that the 14th Amendment guarantees due process and that legislatures are free to pass laws “protecting those rights” is to outright endorse the legal theory that the Constitution already outlaws abortion with or without amendment.
Persons: Donald Trump Organizations: Republican, NBC Locations: United States
Times Opinion asked 12 of our columnists and contributors to watch the presidential debate on Thursday night, assess who won and who lost and distill what stood out to them. Who won and whyJosh Barro Joe Biden failed at his key task: showing voters he’s still cut out for the presidency. In the first 20 minutes he was especially disastrous: mumbling, at times incoherent, and seeming really, really old. David French Trump won, but not because of Trump. Biden lost this debate for a simple reason: He acted his age in a way that can’t be spun and can’t be explained away.
Persons: Josh Barro Joe Biden, Trump, Jamelle, Biden, Donald Trump, David French Trump
What do they do about their candidate for president, and their campaign to beat Donald Trump? Michelle Goldberg: I think Biden has to get out. As you know, I’ve been arguing since 2022 that he’s too old to run for re-election. But recently, when people have asked me about it, I’ve wondered, is it too late? And I think that’s rapidly becoming the consensus not just among panicky pundits, but among senior Democrats.
Persons: Patrick Healy, I’ve, Biden’s, Kamala Harris, Biden, , Donald Trump, Michelle, Michelle Goldberg, Hakeem Jeffries, , Healy, Bret, “ Biden, It’s Organizations: Democratic National Convention, Associated Press, Biden, America, Democratic
The United States under President Biden is a “dictatorship,” according to Doug Burgum, governor of North Dakota. “Under Joe Biden,“ Burgum told Fox News, “we’re actually living under a dictatorship today where he’s, you know, bypassing Congress on immigration policy; he’s bypassing Congress on protecting our border; he’s bypassing Congress on student loan forgiveness; he’s defying the Supreme Court.”Asked on Sunday to defend his claim, Burgum, who is apparently on the short list of potential running mates for Donald Trump, stood his ground, telling CNN that Biden is “bypassing the other two branches of government to push an ideological view of — whether it’s on economics or whether it’s on climate extremism — he’s doing that without using the other branches.”It is an odd sort of dictatorship in which the head of state is bound by the rule of law as well as by the authority of other constitutional actors, one in which the dictator’s critics can organize to defeat him in an election without intimidation, penalty or threat of legal sanction — and in which he will leave office if he loses. If nothing else, it is hard to imagine a world in which Biden is both a dictator and someone who would allow Burgum, a regime opponent, to speak freely on national television as he works to defeat Biden at the ballot box.
Persons: Biden, Doug Burgum, Joe Biden, “ Burgum, “ we’re, , Burgum, Donald Trump Organizations: Fox News, CNN Locations: States, North Dakota
Opinion | J.D. Vance’s Strange Turn to 1876
  + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
This, in fact, was the argument made by Senator J.D. You would’ve actually tried to go to the states that had problems; you would try to marshal alternative slates of electors, like they did in the election of 1876. And then you have to actually prosecute that case; you have to make an argument to the American people.”Let’s look at what happened in 1876. Samuel Tilden of New York, won a majority of the national popular vote but fell one vote short of a majority in the Electoral College. In the three Southern states, where the elections were marred by fraud, violence and anti-Black intimidation, officials from both parties certified rival slates of electors.
Persons: Donald Trump’s, J.D, Vance of, Ross Douthat, Vance, ” Vance, analogized, , would’ve, Samuel Tilden, Rutherford Hayes Organizations: Democrat, Gov, Electoral College, The Republican Locations: Vance of Ohio, New York, Florida , Louisiana , Oregon, South Carolina
Justice Samuel Alito is right. No, Justice Alito is right about the fact of unresolvable conflict in American political life. They really can’t be compromised. In a 2020 keynote to a gathering of the Federalist Society, for example, the justice bemoaned changing attitudes on same-sex marriage. “You can’t say that marriage is the union between one man and one woman,” Alito said.
Persons: Samuel Alito, Donald Trump, Alito, Lauren Windsor, , it’s, , ” Alito, Roe, Wade Organizations: Supreme, Historical Society, Federalist Society, Notre Dame, School’s, Liberty Initiative, Jackson, Health Organization Locations: Rome, Dobbs v
Among the features that distinguish capitalist society from its predecessors, the political theorist Ellen Meiksins Wood once observed, is “the differentiation of the economic and the political.”The state, Wood pointed out, “stands apart from the economy even though it intervenes in it,” so that everyone — owner and worker, boss and bossed — can claim ownership in it “without usurping the exploitative power of the appropriator.”Or as the philosopher Nancy Fraser puts it, “the power to organize production is privatized and devolved to capital” while the “task of governing ‘noneconomic’ orders, including those that supply the external conditions for accumulation, falls to public power, which alone may utilize the ‘political’ media of law and ‘legitimate’ state violence.”The upshot of this dynamic is that democracy under capitalism is necessarily of limited scope. We have the power and capacity to regulate and structure the market, but the fundamental questions — of production and surplus, of ownership and social reproduction — are beyond the reach of democratic decision-making as presently constituted.
Persons: Ellen Meiksins Wood, Wood, , bossed, Nancy Fraser, ‘ noneconomic Locations:
The myth of Donald Trump is that he is immune to scandal — that there’s nothing he could say or do that would undermine his political prospects. In this rendering of the Trump dynamic, his shamelessness helps him glide past controversy, and the unshakable devotion of his base keeps him afloat through the worst of storms. The truth of Donald Trump is very far from the myth. Trump did not shrug off the debacle of the “Access Hollywood” tape; his campaign came as close as it ever would to total collapse. Even minor scandals, like his derisive reference to “shithole countries,” forced both Trump and his White House into a defensive crouch.
Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, , crouch Organizations: Trump, Republican, White Locations: Charlottesville, Va
Welcome to Opinion’s coverage of the guilty verdict in the Manhattan trial of Donald Trump. It is hard to imagine that he was helped, in any way, by his constant attacks on judge, jury and the trial itself. voters to Trump, helping him win a third consecutive Republican nomination. And when Trump concealed the nature of the payments, the prosecution could easily make the case — at least to a jury — that he must have known that the payments were legally problematic. Trial outcomes are often dictated by the side that can create the most coherent narrative, and the prosecution’s theory of the case was easy for the jury to grasp.
Persons: Donald Trump, Donald Trump —, Matthew Continetti, Alvin Bragg, Trump, G.O.P, Bragg, David French, Daniels Organizations: Trump, Republican, Trumpism Locations: Manhattan
Opinion | Trump’s ‘Dystopian Deportation Scheme’
  + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
To the Editor:Re “Trump’s Taste for Tyranny Finds a Target,” by Jamelle Bouie (column, May 26):Thank you, Mr. Bouie, for warning us about Donald Trump’s dystopian deportation scheme. On top of the massive social chaos and moral strife this would cause can be added the economic cost. The impact to the deficit, the economy and inflation would be catastrophic. Voters concerned about today’s prices who are considering voting for Mr. Trump will look back and yearn for the current economy and inflation — as will we all. According to the Center for Migration Studies, about 45 percent of U.S. agricultural workers are undocumented immigrants.
Persons: Jamelle Bouie, Bouie, Donald Trump’s, Trump, Daniel Samakow Venice Organizations: Voters, Mr, Center for Migration Studies Locations: Calif, U.S
Opinion | Trump’s Taste for Tyranny Finds a Target
  + stars: | 2024-05-24 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: 1 min
Among the worst episodes in American history are those moments when the federal government deploys the full weight of its power against the most vulnerable people in the country: the Trail of Tears and the Fugitive Slave Act in the 19th century and Japanese internment in the middle of the 20th, to name three. If he is granted a second term in the White House, Donald Trump hopes to add his own entry to this ignominious book of national shame. Trump’s signature promise, during the 2016 presidential election, was that he would build a wall on the U.S. border with Mexico. His signature promise, this time around, is that he’ll use his power as president to deport as many as 20 million people from the United States. “Following the Eisenhower model,” he told a crowd in Iowa last September, “we will carry out the largest domestic deportation operation in American history.”
Persons: Donald Trump, Eisenhower, , Locations: U.S, Mexico, United States, Iowa
Opinion | Justice Alito Is a True Believer
  + stars: | 2024-05-21 | by ( Jamelle Bouie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +2 min
In a large part of American political discourse, overt cynicism is the currency of sophistication. It is a sign of political savviness, even worldliness, to know that politicians are creatures of pure self-interest, with no solid beliefs, concerns or preoccupations. For years, the savviest position was the cynical one: Their vocal opposition notwithstanding, neither Republican lawmakers nor conservative judges would actually try to overturn Roe v. Wade. And public cynicism notwithstanding, they want to do this even if it costs them votes in the short term. The same was and remains true for Republicans and abortion.
Persons: Roe, Wade, , William Saletan, suburbanites, pare Organizations: Republican, Democratic Party, Democratic Locations: Slate
There is no franchise in Hollywood filmmaking that is as consistently good, and as consistently interesting, as “Planet of the Apes.”I feel very strongly about this, and not because I am an admitted enthusiast of genre filmmaking. Like any long-running series, “Planet of the Apes” — which spans 10 films and more than 50 years — has its lows. If you somehow are not familiar with the premise of “Planet of the Apes,” it is surprisingly straightforward. The first five films, beginning with 1968’s “Planet of the Apes” and concluding with 1973’s “Battle for the Planet of the Apes,” tell the story of the fall and rise (and fall again, perhaps) of ape society. When the apes finally arrive — as predators hunting a roving band of humans — it is in a kinetic sequence of genuine intensity.
Persons: , Charlton Heston, Franklin J . Schaffner, “ Patton, Leon Shamroy, Cleopatra ”, Taylor Organizations: Hollywood, of
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