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(This is a wrap-up of the key money moving discussions on CNBC's "Worldwide Exchange" exclusive for PRO subscribers. Worldwide Exchange airs at 5 a.m. "This is a time when markets are distorted… the October period before US elections have usually been distorted," Wieting said on Worldwide Exchange. He says Home Depot (HD) and American Express (AXP) are stocks that will benefit from continued spending of higher income earners. "The higher end consumer is where you want to be right now," said Zaman on Worldwide Exchange.
Persons: Patience Steven Wieting, Wieting, Aadil, JB Hunt Organizations: PRO, Worldwide, U.S, Citi Global Wealth Investments, American Express, Wall Street Alliance, Vanguard, Big Tech, US Freight, American Trucking Association, East, CSX Locations: U.S, East Coast
Stocks rose Thursday as investors digested strong retail sales data and more earnings. Retail sales data showed US consumer spending remains robust, with monthly spending up 0.4%. AdvertisementUS stocks climbed on Thursday as traders saw better-than-expected retail sales data and continued to digest strong corporate earnings reports. September's retail sales report showed consumer spending remains strong, with monthly spending up 0.4% from August, just above a Dow Jones consensus estimate of 0.3%. And almost every AI innovator is working with TSMC," TSMC chairman and CEO C.C.
Persons: Stocks, ASML, , C.C, Wei, TSMC, Morgan Stanley, JB Hunt Organizations: Service, Dow Jones, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Nvidia, AMD, chipmakers, United Airlines, Netflix, Caixin Global, JB Locations: Wednesday's, Here's, China
JB Hunt beat earnings estimates for the first time in two years. AdvertisementTrucking company JB Hunt earned the approval of stock investors on Wednesday after a stronger-than-expected earnings report showed demand is coming back. AdvertisementThese struggles have translated into weak market performance for JB Hunt and other freight carriers. AdvertisementGoing beyond JB Hunt, there has been other data suggesting better prospects ahead. DAT Freight & Analytics' trucking volume index rose year-over-year for all three different categories of freight equipment for the 12 months ended in September.
Persons: JB Hunt, , It's, Shelley Simpson, Nicholas Hobbs, Ken Adamo Organizations: Service, JB, DAT, Analytics
Wells Fargo reiterates Citi as overweight The firm said Citi remains a number one pick following earnings on Tuesday. Citi reiterates JB Hunt as a top pick Citi said the shipping giant remains a top pick following earnings on Tuesday. Citi upgrades Cisco to buy from neutral Citi says AI will play a bigger role in Cisco's future than investors assume. Bank of America upgrades Corteva to buy from neutral The firm said the ag chemical company has numerous tailwinds ahead. Citi reiterates Coinbase as buy The firm lowered its price target on the stock to $275 per share from $345.
Persons: Fargo, Goldman Sachs, Wells, Baird, Grainger, Jefferies, Rapid7, GTM, JB Hunt, JBHT, it's bullish, Bernstein, Tesla, it's, GOOG, TD Cowen, Yum, Cowen, Taco Bell, Morgan Stanley, Piper Sandler, Walt Disney, Guggenheim, HSBC downgrades Estee Lauder, Estee Lauder, Coinbase Organizations: Citi, FAST, BMO, Microsoft, Netflix, Autodesk, Nvidia, Barclays, Apple, DoJ, UBS, California Resources, CRC, Chord Energy, Yum Brands, Taco, Taco Bell, Disney, Walt, Cisco, HSBC downgrades, HSBC, Bank of America, Qualcomm Locations: China, Greater China
Earnings Exchange: United Airlines, JB Hunt, & Prologis
  + stars: | 2024-10-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEarnings Exchange: United Airlines, JB Hunt, & PrologisJeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to discuss three stocks: United Airlines, JB Hunt, and Prologis.
Persons: JB Hunt, Jeff Kilburg Organizations: United Airlines, KKM
Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB. Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Biden, ASML, Christophe Fourquet, We're, LVMH, Luis Vuitton, it's, Estee Lauder, JB Hunt, Morgan Stanley, Abbott, Wells Fargo, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, ., Energy, Technology, Dow, Semiconductors, Nvidia, Devices, Bloomberg News, U.S, Broadcom, Micron, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, United Airlines, Interactive, Abbott Laboratories, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, France, China, Estee
In Friday's look at wholesale inflation, the producer price index was unchanged month over month . We'll hear from Club holdings Morgan Stanley and Abbott Laboratories on Wednesday morning. Morgan Stanley: The ongoing recovery in investment banking will be front and center. That was a key theme in the second quarter , and the hope is that the July-to-September period showed a continuation of the trend for Morgan Stanley. Morgan Stanley has been strong lately, though.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, Gamble, — Wells, industrials, Goldman Sachs, ASML, Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley's, Louis, Abbott, Charles Schwab, Johnson, JB Hunt, Kinder Morgan, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Charly Triballeau Organizations: Club, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Procter, Federal, JPMorgan, , Tech, . Utilities, UnitedHealth, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Abbott Laboratories, Abbott Labs, NEC, Abbott, Food and Drug Administration, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Citigroup, Bank of America, United Airlines, Interactive, US Bancorp, Citizens, Alcoa, PPG Industries, CSX, Truist, Netflix, Crown Holdings, American Express, Gamble, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Financial, Afp, Getty Locations: Wells, U.S, Wells Fargo, St, Taiwan, New York City
Three of our Club rate plays — solar panel company Nextracker , Stanley Black & Decker , and Ford — were our top-performing stocks for the week. Friday also ushered in the start of the second quarter earnings season. Earnings Club name Morgan Stanley reports second-quarter earnings before Tuesday's opening bell. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Nextracker, Stanley Black, Decker, Ford —, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley, Abbott, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Johnson, Ally, Kinder Morgan, Horton, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Ted Pick, Adam Galici Organizations: Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Big Tech, PPI, Abbott Laboratories, Libre Rio, Bank of America, PNC Financial, PNC, Pinnacle Financial, Housing, U.S . Bancorp, Northern Trust Corporation, Citizens, United Airlines, Alcoa, Steel Dynamics, Green Realty, Taiwan Semiconductor, Nokia, Infosys Technologies, McLennan Companies, T Bank Corp, Forestar, Novartis, Textron, Netflix, PPG Industries, AAR, American Express, Fifth Third Bancorp, Halliburton, HAL, Comerica, CMA, Financial, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: Wells, BlackRock, BLK, U.S, Marsh, Davos, Switzerland
Here I'll break down a nuanced options trade for on a transportation stock reporting next week. JB Hunt Transport Services, Inc . Unfortunately, this has been the case for JB Hunt lately. While I'm not prepared to call for a stellar quarter - economic pressures generally don't resolve quickly - much of the near-term damage may be done. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: you've, JB Hunt, Hunt, I'm Organizations: JB, Transport Services, Inc, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL Locations: you've, North America's, Lowell , Arkansas
The US freight recession keeps getting deeper
  + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +1 min
J.B. Hunt stock slid as much as 13% on Wednesday after an earnings report that missed estimates. Demand for its freight services was weaker than expected in the first quarter. The firm is a bellwether for the freight industry, which has been mired in a post-pandemic recession. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementA leading freight company is seeing its stock tank after weak trucking volumes led to a first-quarter earnings miss on both profit and sales.
Persons: Hunt, , JB Hunt Organizations: Service, Business
Heightened tensions in the Middle East, including the possibility of Iran attacking Israel, sent stocks back down and oil prices higher. If the choice is between a weak economy with lower rates or a strong economy with higher rates, we'll take the strong economy every time. Low rates may help with valuation multiples, but it's a strong economy that leads to earnings growth and that's what we, as long-term investors care about. Shelter costs are a major sticking point for overall inflation, which makes Tuesday's housing starts and building permits report a key watch item. We'll get another look at housing with the release of the March existing home sales report on Thursday.
Persons: we've, we'll, Morgan Stanley, Wells, bode, we're, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Johnson, ERIC, JB Hunt, Kinder Morgan, DR, Ally, Huntington, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Abbott, Ethan Miller Organizations: Dow Jones, Wednesday, Federal Reserve, Abbott Labs, Cardiovascular Systems, Diagnostics, Procter & Gamble, Constellation Brands, Procter, T Bank, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, BK, PNC Financial, PNC, Ericsson, United Airlines, Interactive, ASML Holdings, US Bancorp, Citizens, Alcoa, CSX, Discover Financial, Nokia, Alaska Air, Blackstone BX, McLennan, Netflix, PPG Industries, Gamble, Financial, American Express, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Las Vegas Convention, Getty Locations: Iran, Israel, China, Marsh, Las Vegas , Nevada
The shift in the volume of freight being moved from the East Coast to the West Coast was first highlighted in February in the ITS Port Rail Ramp Freight Index. He said the disruptions from the Suez Canal and Panama Canal have contributed to an almost 20% increase into the West Coast ports. "For our ports, transloading containers is always going to happen and we have the capacity to do more." The West Coast container volume rebound will also have a ceiling. "We probably don't get to the historical 10-year levels of West Coast market share versus East Coast share," Chan said.
Persons: Michael Aldwell, Kuehne + Nagel, Chris Sikora, CH Robinson, Sikora, Tim Robertson, transloading, Paul Brashier, We're, Brashier, Bryan Kempisty, Matt Schrap, Bruce Chan, Chan, CH, Bascome Majors, J.B, Hunt, Schneider, JB Hunt, Jason Seidl, Knight, Swift, Seidl, Larry Organizations: Getty, U.S, Logistics, CNBC, Kuehne, Transportation Intelligence, . Logistics, DHL Global, ITS, Rail, ITS Logistics, Department of Transportation's, PortX Logistics, Harbor Trucking, J.B, Susquehanna International Group, Hub Group, Schneider, Union Pacific, Cowen Group, Universal Logistics Holdings, East, International Longshoremen's Association, Surface Transportation, Canadian Pacific, Kansas City Southern, Uber, Uber Technologies Locations: West Coast, East Coast, Panama, East, Red, Gulf, transload, transloading, West, Suez, Hunt, CH Robinson, Sea, Mexico, Kansas, Mobile , Alabama, Coatzacoalcos, Veracruz, Gulf of Mexico
There are macro cross currents: earnings are still good, but stocks are acting like the economy is slowing, and the commentary on the consumer has turned cautious. The markets are not sure, but parts are acting like the consumer is slowing down. The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index, a measure of activity at major architecuture firms, reported the lowest levels in September since December 2020, during the height of the pandemic. Earnings growth at 2.8% is good but also lower than the earlier reporters. earnings beat: 5.5% Earnings growth: 2.8% Revenue growth: 6.4% Source: Earnings Scout Welcome to 'higher for longer limbo' The bottom line: there is no escape velocity without relief on bonds.
Persons: Elon Musk, Tesla, Peter Arvan, JB Hunt, Parker Hannifin, Donaldson, WESCO, Martin Marietta, Parker, Hannifin, Ingersoll Rand Organizations: General Motors, Ford, Pool Corp, Revenue, Rand, Caterpillar, AIA, Billings, billings, Ingersoll, Vulcan, Fed Locations: Union, Ingersoll, Fluor
Morning Bid: Banks, Biden visit buoy markets
  + stars: | 2023-10-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. Biden leaves later on Tuesday for a high stakes visit to Israel and Jordan and Washington said Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had agreed to let humanitarian aid reach besieged Gazans. That reversed a pre-weekend 'safety bid' that emerged amid fears an Israeli ground invasion into Gaza could draw other regional countries and groups into the war. Before then, bond markets will have to negotiate tomorrow's 20-year Treasury auction. The relatively new 20-year tenor has often proved unpopular and will be watched closely after a poor reception for the latest 30-year bond last week.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mike Dolan, Joe Biden's, Biden, Washington, Benjamin Netanyahu, Wells, Goldman Sachs, Charles Schwab, Jerome Powell's, Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, Lockheed Martin, Johnson, JB Hunt, Michelle Bowman, John Williams, Neel Kashkari, Tom Barkin, Luis de Guindos, Joe Biden, Olaf Scholz Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Bank of America, Bank of New York Mellon, Federal Reserve, HK, Bank of England, Lockheed, United Airlines, Michelle Bowman , New York Fed, Minneapolis Fed, Richmond Fed, European Central Bank, European Union, Luxembourg Retail, Reuters Graphics Reuters, EIA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Israel, Gaza, Jordan, Israeli, Gazans, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, China, Russian, Beijing, Ukraine, United, Canada, Michelle Bowman , New, Frankfurt, Luxembourg, Venezuela
A fast-growing hedge fund tacked toward health care and industrial stocks during the second quarter, according to securities filings released this week. Durable Capital Partners is a relatively new firm by Henry Ellenbogen, who helmed T. Rowe Price's New Horizons fund for most of the last decade. In the second quarter, the fund added to several health care and industrial stocks, according to security filings and data compiled by Verity's InsiderScore. On the industrials side, Durable increased its stakes in JB Hunt Transportation and RBC Bearings by 27.3% and 10.2%, respectively, according to Verity and securities filings. Since the second quarter ended on June 30, Durable Capital has disclosed three more groups of transactions.
Persons: Henry Ellenbogen, Rowe, Morningstar, Ellenbogen, Verity's, Verity Organizations: Partners, West Pharmaceutical Services, Molina Healthcare, Privia, JB, Transportation, RBC, Intuit, FirstService Corp, SS, C Technologies Locations: West, MSCI, Duolingo
They stayed in Bentonville, Arkansas, for three days and stopped in Fayetteville — about 330 miles from Dallas — for coffee on the way back. Northwest Arkansas, which consists of Benton, Madison, and Washington counties, has become the country's 100th-largest metro area. Northwest Arkansas' plan to bring in new talentCompanies like Walmart, Tyson Foods, and JB Hunt are headquartered in Northwest Arkansas and have been attracting movers for years. The Northwest Arkansas Council tried luring remote tech talent with $10,000 and a mountain bike. Do you work in tech and recently move to Northwest Arkansas?
Persons: relocaters, Nicholas Falldine, Falldine, JB Hunt, John Mayer, Nelson Peacock, Peacock, Chris Thompson, Thompson, he's, Walton's, Keith Myers, jumpstart, , Fayetteville's, Jordan Pandy Organizations: Service, University of Arkansas, NWA, , Companies, Walmart, Tyson Foods, Better, Gardens, Northwest Arkansas Council, The Northwest, Kansas City Star, Austin, Census Bureau Locations: Northwest Arkansas, Wall, Silicon, Dallas, Bentonville , Arkansas, Fayetteville —, Benton , Madison, Washington, Austin, Arkansas, Fayetteville, Silicon Valley, Falldine . Northwest Arkansas, Bentonville, The, The Northwest Arkansas, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, homeownership, Tulsa , Oklahoma, Marina Del, Fayetteville Falldine
Goldman Sachs highlighted a slew of stocks on its U.S. "conviction list — director's cut" selection, naming several "most differentiated buy recommendations," in an August 1 research note. Goldman's "directors' cut" is a list of stocks chosen by its U.S. research analysts and managers. The bank collated a list of "top ideas that offer a combination of conviction, a differentiated view and high risk-adjusted returns," before shortlisting 20 to 25 names. Industrial names on the bank's "directors' cut" list included several that Goldman said are benefiting from post-pandemic demand, such as building services firm Johnson Controls and waste disposal company Republic Services . Goldman's note also included a "What has worked" heading, under which its analysts named three stocks.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Goldman's, Goldman, Johnson, Baker Hughes, – EBITDA, JB Hunt, Jordan Alliger, Michael Bloom Organizations: Apple, Healthcare, Merck, Services, Consumer, Body, International, Chevron, JPMorgan
Morning Bid: Retail, housing and banks test jaunty July
  + stars: | 2023-07-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike DolanThe benign July investment environment gets tested on Tuesday by updates on U.S. retail sales and housing while the corporate earnings season kicks back into gear with another sweep of bank reports. Consensus forecasts are for a modest rise in retail sales and industrial output last month, while the NAHB homebuilder index is expected to have ticked higher in July to underline the recent housing market recovery more broadly. U.S. stock futures were flat going into the open and 10-year Treasury yields ticked down to their lowest level of the month so far. Crude oil prices tried to find their footing after Monday's sharp drop and continue to sustain year-on-year losses of more than 25%. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
Persons: Mike Dolan, Wall, HSI, Evergrande, Goldman Sachs, Janet Yellen, Morgan Stanley, Lockheed Martin, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Michael Barr, Christina Fincher Organizations: New York Federal, Bank of America, Bank of New, Mellon, Novartis, Sandoz, Bank of New York Mellon, Lockheed, PNC Financial, Synchrony, JB, Federal, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Hong Kong, Treasuries, Canada
A lot was riding on these important measures of inflation after the scorching-hot ADP jobs report last week. Here are 3 things you need to know for the week ahead: 1. Industrial production and capacity utilization, also out Tuesday, shines a light on manufacturing, which attributes about 12% to U.S. GDP. Six months is generally considered to represent a balance between supply and demand in the housing market. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Stocks, Morgan Stanley, Johnson, Jeff Miller, Lockheed Martin, Charles Schwab, JB Hunt, Goldman, Baker Hughes, Ally, Kinder Morgan, Zions, Philip Morris, Abbott, ABT, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Scott Olson Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Housing, CPI, Halliburton, HAL, Johnson, of America Corp, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Corp, Novartis International AG, PNC Financial Services Group, Inc, PNC, Charles Schwab Corp, Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, BK, Synchrony, Interactive, Goldman Sachs Group, U.S . Bancorp, ASML, Citizens Financial, T Bank Corp, Northern Trust Corporation, Horizon National Corp, Business Machines Corp, IBM, United Airlines, Netflix, Steel Dynamics, Alcoa, Discover Financial Services, Crown, International Corp, Equifax Inc, Las Vegas Sands Corp, Liberty Energy Inc, Philip Morris International Inc, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, American Airlines Group Inc, Travelers Companies, SAP, Nokia Corp, Truist Financial Corporation, Company, McLennan Companies, Infosys Technologies Ltd, Newmont Mining Corp, Fifth Third Bancorp, Pool Corporation, Alfa Laval, Webster Financial Corp, Blackstone, Financial Corp, PPG Industries, CSX Corp, CSX, Berkley Corp, Swift Transportation Holdings Inc, American Express Co, AutoNation Inc, Interpublic, of Companies, Autoliv Inc, Huntington Bancshares, Financial Corporation, Roper Technologies, Comerica, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Getty Locations: U.S, Las, ZION, Horton, Freeport, Marsh, ALFVY, W.R, Lemont , Illinois
The slowing US economy is hitting truck drivers, and the sector could be heading for worse conditions than 2008. Freight demand has deteriorated over the last year, and per-mile rates for drivers have plunged since the pandemic boom in 2021. For example, drivers are commanding per-mile rates as low as $1.49 per mile, per FreightWaves. Those rates hovered at $3.01 two years ago, and are worse than the levels seen in a brutal 2019 slowdown. Meanwhile, the American Trucking Associations' advanced seasonally adjusted for-hire truck tonnage index dropped 5.4% in March, marking the largest monthly drop since April 2020.
Executives at trucking giant JB Hunt recently sounded the alarm about a freight recession. OOIDA, an American trucking association, is echoing the sentiment. Even industry gauges are signaling a slowdown: The American Trucking Association's for-hire contract truck tonnage index dropped by about 6% month-on-month to 95.8 in March, hitting the lowest level since August 2021. Higher inventory levels and overstocked warehouses are one of the key reasons truckers are facing a freight recession. Chappell, however, has a pragmatic outlook on the lingering effects of a freight recession on trucking companies: "Capacity will certainly leave the market, but trucking is cyclical."
Executives at trucking giant JB Hunt recently sounded the alarm about a freight recession. Over-buying during the pandemic is depressing the demand for goods, which is impacting freight and transport. Executives at trucking giant JB Hunt sounded the alarm over a "freight recession" at a first-quarter conference call last week. A freight recession basically means there are fewer trucks delivering goods across America. Notably, the freight recession is not a US-only problem.
For many months now, I've been having conversations and writing about economic indicators that all point to a recession. The US is in the midst of a "freight recession," meaning there's fewer trucks delivering goods around the country. In a call last week, JB Hunt reported a bad earnings miss, and executives said a recovery for trucking looks uncertain. Outside the trucking sector, the classic recession indicators are blaring, too:The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index just dipped for the 12th consecutive month. The New York Fed's Recession Probabilities Model puts the odds of a downturn at 57%, the highest mark since 1982.
The US is seeing a "freight recession," meaning fewer trucks delivering goods across the country. The slowdown in deliveries comes as diesel prices have dropped by roughly half since last year. The American Trucking Association's truck tonnage index dropped to the lowest since August 2021. Wholesale diesel prices in New York Harbor tumbled to $2.65 a gallon from $5.34 last May, per the Journal. And in an earnings call last week, JB Hunt executives sounded the alarm on a "freight recession" as the shipping company missed earnings views and reported across-the-board drops in volumes that sent revenue per truckload down by 17%.
Morning Bid: Banks calm the horses
  + stars: | 2023-04-17 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
As U.S. banking giants calm the horses, global investors are now concentrated on world growth and earnings signals more than interest rate rises for direction - with an assumption the latter are near an end anyway. Somewhat relieved analysts marginally brightened their dim outlook for first-quarter U.S. results compared with a week ago. Futures markets now see a more than 80% chance the Fed will execute one final quarter point rate rise next month - reversing it by September. That rate rise would bring the real Fed policy rate - adjusted by headline consumer price inflation - into positive territory for the first time in three years. The dollar extended Friday's rebound as the May rate rise pricing hardened.
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