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☆ Exit polls of this year’s Republican primaries show how Trump has reshaped the Republican Party
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Ariel Edwards-Levy | Tami Luhby | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Exit polls are a valuable tool to help understand primary voters’ demographic profile and political views. The share of Republican primary voters and caucusgoers holding these views about Trump’s fitness for office and the 2020 election varies from state to state, even as the dominant sentiment remains largely the same. Exit poll data this year finds GOP primary voters divided in their desired approach to abortion policy in a post-Roe v. Wade era. Trump has also racked up support among those primary voters who are the most acutely unhappy with the way things are going in the US. Exit polls for the Iowa Republican caucuses and the New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia and California Republican presidential primaries were conducted by Edison Research on behalf of the National Election Pool.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, they’d, Joe Biden’s, Nikki Haley, Biden’s, Haley, Trump, –, California –, MAGA, Wade, Biden Organizations: CNN —, GOP, Trump, South Carolina Gov, Republican, New Hampshire Republican, Election, Iowa GOP, Voters, Iowa Republican, California Republican, Edison Research, New, South Carolina Republican, North Carolina Republican, Virginia Republican Locations: – Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, California, Super, Iowa, New, California , Virginia

But Iowa caucusgoers and New Hampshire primary voters also exposed noticeable chinks in Trump’s electoral armor and worrying general election headwinds that he and his campaign will face in the coming months. Yes, Trump handily won a head-to-head matchup in a New Hampshire primary contest that wasn’t limited to just Republicans. “Twenty percent of GOP voters will not vote for him,” the Republican member told CNN. Visibly miffed by Haley’s conviction to continue on after New Hampshire, Trump spent the evening lashing out at her online and trashing her appearance in his victory speech. Of the 30% of New Hampshire GOP primary voters who named immigration as their top concern, nearly 8 in 10 voted for Trump, according to CNN’s exit poll.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Nikki Haley, Haley, –, Ronna McDaniel –, McDaniel, “, ” McDaniel, Chris Sununu, ” Sununu, you’re, ”, Biden, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Trump’s, Reagan, ” DeSantis, Steve Deace, “ He’s, ” Trump, Sen, Tim Scott, Trey Gowdy, ” Jim McLaughlin, pollsters, Brett Loyd, they’ve, ” Loyd, “ They’ve, CNN’s Manu Raju, Donald Trump’s Organizations: CNN, Iowa, Advisers, Trump, Democratic, South Carolina Gov, Republicans, New, White, GOP, Republican, Republican National, Fox News, RNC, New Hampshire Gov, Biden, Hill, “, Florida Gov, South Carolina Rep, Fox, New Hampshire GOP, University of Michigan Locations: New Hampshire, Iowa, Florida, ‘, Trump, Arizona, Pennsylvania

And I think he’s right there with Reagan as far as his track record, what he did overall throughout his presidency. I think it really does set her up well as you do move on into some other states. nick corasanitiSo New Hampshire has a long history of really just going against Iowa, right? Those independents is where the question of the final results really, really come in. They were economic voters, taxation voters, pro-gun voters, not any of those kind of evangelical issues that we heard in Iowa.

Persons: I’m, We’ve, I’m Astead, ”, Iowans, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki ”, Haley, it’s, Ames, Harrison Barnes, Doug McDermott, Troy Hill, Nikki Haley, Vivek, — he’s, wouldn’t, “, aren’t, Reagan, DeSantis, Nikki, Ramaswamy, Ron, he’s, Biden, Ron DeSantis, —, I’ve, who’s, It’s, hasn’t, caucusing, Roe, Astead Herndon, Aaron, it’s Trump, They’re, Mike Pence, you’ll, we’re, Anna, Teresa didn’t, Teresa, haven’t, Nikki Haley’s, Donald Trump’s, Vivek Ramaswamy, Nick Corasaniti, astead herndon, Nick, Trump’s, astead, There’s, they’re, Rand Paul, herndon, Bill Clinton, — astead herndon Isn’t, John McCain, George W, Bush, isn’t, They’ve, unquote, astead herndon It’s, He’s, Chris Christie, Christie, that’s, “ Trump, it’ll, she’s, I’d Organizations: Trump, The New York Times, Republican, CNN, Iowa, America, Iowa State University, NBA, Republicans, Republican Party, Associated Press, NBC, CBS, Iowa Republican, New, astead herndon, New Hampshire, Democrat, New Hampshire Republican, Prosperity Locations: Iowa, New Hampshire, I’m Astead Herndon, , Iowa, Ames , Iowa, Des Moines, Trump, Troy, Ukraine, Congo, , New Hampshire, COVID, Indiana, Ames, “, Hampshire, astead herndon, Portsmouth

☆ Trump keeps returning to his birther playbook
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-18 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Trump has also baselessly questioned whether Vice President Kamala Harris, whose parents are immigrants, was eligible. Sen. Marco Rubio, the Florida Republican who Trump also bested in that 2016 primary with taunts of “Little Marco,” also again endorsed Trump this week. It is actually Trump who faces more legitimate questions about his eligibility under the 14th Amendment. It is not true, as he alleges, that Democrats can take part in the GOP primary. “You have a group of people coming in that are not Republicans, and it’s artificially boosting her numbers here,” Trump said.

Persons: Donald Trump’s playbook, Barack Obama, Hussein, Trump, Kamala Harris, Ted Cruz, John F, Kennedy, Lee Harvey Oswald, Cruz, Trump’s, Sen, Marco Rubio, “ Little Marco, ”, Nikki Haley, Haley, “, ” Haley, Joe Biden, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis, Jeff Zeleny, “ He’s, Nia, Malika Henderson, ” Henderson, Haley’s, ” Trump, E, Jean Carroll, Carroll, Utah Sen, Mitt Romney, Romney, CNN’s Manu Raju, Biden, Donald Trump, ” Romney, Raju Organizations: CNN, White, GOP, Republican, National Enquirer, Florida Republican, Trump, South, United Nations, Supreme, Florida Gov, Bloomberg, CNN New Locations: Texas, Cuba, Iowa, Florida, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Maine, Colorado, CNN New Hampshire, Utah

☆ Turnout drops and voters get more conservative in Trump’s decisive Iowa victory
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-16 | by ( Zachary Wolf | Analysis Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Two-thirds of Republican voters don’t think President Joe Biden’s 2020 victory was legitimate, despite all evidence to the contrary. Iowa caucusgoers, unlike most of the country, overwhelmingly support banning most or all abortions nationwide. Iowa voters could be asked on the general election ballot to make clear there is no right to abortion guaranteed in their state’s constitution. While Trump held a commanding lead among Iowa caucusgoers without college degrees, college graduates were more closely divided among Trump, former South Carolina Gov. But she made clear this week that she would ultimately support Trump if he’s the nominee.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, MAGA, Trump, Joe Biden’s, caucusgoers, Biden, Sen, Ted Cruz, Ariel Edwards, Levy, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, ”, Republican caucusgoers, it’s, Jack Smith, Kim Reynolds, “ I’m, Chris Sununu, Haley, Sununu, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, he’s, “, – there’s, Chris Christie, DeSantis Organizations: CNN, Iowa Republican, GOP, Republican, Trump, Republicans, Voters, Iowa’s Republican, Iowa, GOP CNN, South Carolina Gov, Florida Gov, White, Iowa Gov, Fox News, New, New Hampshire Gov, New Jersey Gov Locations: Iowa, Ted Cruz of Texas, Caucusgoers, Washington, DC, New Hampshire, New Jersey

☆ Majority of Iowa caucusgoers say Trump conviction wouldn’t affect their support
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-15 | by ( Https | Media-Cldnry.S-Nbcnews.Com Image Upload Newscms Mark-Murray-Circle-Byline-Template.Jpg | Mark Murray | ) www.nbcnews.com time to read: +1 min

By comparison, 19% of likely Iowa caucusgoers say a Trump conviction would make it more likely that they’d back Trump, while 18% say it would make them less likely to support the former president in the general election. As with the other findings from the Iowa poll, the likely caucusgoers backing former U.N. Among Haley’s supporters, 56% say a possible conviction of Trump doesn’t matter to their Nov. 2024 vote choice, but 41% say it would make them less likely to back Trump. By comparison, 70% of DeSantis supporters say it wouldn’t matter to them if Trump was convicted, versus 26% who say it will make them less likely to support the former president. And among Trump’s supporters, 58% say a conviction wouldn’t matter — and an additional 35% say a conviction would make them more likely to support their favored candidate.

Persons: caucusgoers, Donald Trump, Trump, Nikki Haley — Organizations: caucusgoers —, NBC, Des Moines, Trump, GOP, Des Moines Register Locations: Iowa

About an additional 6 in 10 caucusgoers say they want substantial changes. The vast majority of Iowa caucusgoers trust elections in their state, but about 4 in 10 are not too confident or not at all confident in the integrity of U.S. elections. About two-thirds of Iowa caucusgoers favor continuing aid to Israel in its fight against Hamas. ABORTIONViews on abortion are far from simple, but most Iowa GOP caucusgoers say there should be limited access to the procedure. ___For the latest updates on the Iowa caucuses, follow the AP’s live coverage.

Persons: Donald Trump, VoteCast, Trump, GOP caucusgoers, Nikki Haleyis, Haley, Democrat Joe Biden, Haley’s, Ron DeSantis, DeSantis ’, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, TRUMP Organizations: WASHINGTON, Iowa Republicans, Trump, White, AP, The Associated Press, NORC, for Public Affairs Research, GOP, Republicans, South Carolina Gov, Democrat, Trump . Florida Gov, U.S . Capitol, Iowa GOP, Fox News Locations: U.S, Mexico, United States, Iowa, Florida, Israel, Ukraine, Russia

☆ The Iowa caucuses are fast approaching. Here's a look at the first GOP presidential nominating contests of 2024.
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-25 | by ( John L. Dorman | Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

Nikki Haley of South Carolina, Chris Christie of New Jersey, and Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas; and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy. Former South Carolina Gov. If Christie is to generate momentum headed into the South Carolina primary, he must do well in New Hampshire. But South Carolina is also Haley's home and the state where she served as governor from 2011 to 2017. In 2020, South Carolina propelled Biden to the Democratic nomination and the presidency, and he's looking for another robust showing in the state.

Persons: Trump, Nikki Haley, —, Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Asa Hutchinson of, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mike Pence, Sen, Tim Scott of, Miami Mayor Francis Suarez, Will Hurd, Larry Elder, Joe Biden, DeSantis, Kim Reynolds, Haley, Ramaswamy, Christie, Michael Dwyer, it's, he's, Henry McMaster, Lindsey Graham, Scott, Haley overperforms, Biden, Dean Phillips, Marianne Williamson Organizations: Republicans, Service, Republican, Miami Mayor, Democratic, GOP, Iowa, AP, Trump, Democratic National Committee, Hawkeye State Democrats, Nevada Republicans, Granite State . Former South Carolina Gov, South, Carolina, The South, Gov, South Carolina, Rep, Dean Phillips of Minnesota Locations: Iowa, Iowa , New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, North Dakota, New Jersey, Asa Hutchinson of Arkansas, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Will Hurd of Texas, South Carolina . Iowa, Nevada, Hampshire, England, Granite, New Hampshire, The, The South Carolina, But South Carolina

☆ Trump Dominates in New Iowa Poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-21 | by ( Anjali Huynh | More About Anjali Huynh | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Former President Donald J. Trump leads his closest rival by double digits in a poll of likely Iowa caucusgoers released Monday, a showing that demonstrates both his continued political dominance and the remarkable stability of the Republican race. That survey found Mr. Trump with 44 percent support among likely Iowa G.O.P. caucusgoers, Mr. DeSantis with 20 percent support and Mr. Scott with 9 percent. Other rivals who showed single-digit support in the Times/Siena poll have been unable to improve their positions, according to the poll released Monday. This year’s contest is seen as the best chance for Republicans to slow Mr. Trump on his way to the nomination.

Persons: Donald J, Trump, Trump’s, Ron DeSantis, Tim Scott of, caucusgoers, Scott Organizations: Republican, Des Moines Register, NBC, Gov, The New York Times, Siena College, Times Locations: Iowa, Georgia, Florida, Tim Scott of South Carolina, Siena

☆ Trump Leads G.O.P. in Iowa, but His Hold Is Less Dominant
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Jonathan Weisman | More About Jonathan Weisman | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: 1 min

Former President Donald J. Trump’s pull among likely Republican voters is less dominant in Iowa than it is nationwide, though he still leads his nearest rival, Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida, in the key early state by double digits, according to a new New York Times/Siena College poll. The survey of 432 likely Iowa caucusgoers was taken before a third indictment against Mr. Trump was made public on Tuesday, this one charging him with federal crimes connected to his efforts to cling to office after losing re-election in 2020. But any dent in his dominance in the Hawkeye state may have more to do with factors like personality flaws and voters’ fatigue after eight years of Trumpian drama than his latest legal travails. Iowa Republicans showed some real doubts about which candidate — Mr. Trump or Mr. DeSantis — is more moral, likable or able to beat President Biden in 2024.

Persons: Donald J, Ron DeSantis, Trump, Hawkeye, Mr, DeSantis, Biden Organizations: Republican, Gov, New York Times, Siena, Mr, Republicans Locations: Iowa, Florida

☆ DeSantis is crushing Trump among college-educated Republicans in Iowa. It's still not enough to win the caucuses.
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-04 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Ron DeSantis has a double-digit lead among Iowa college-educated Republicans in a hypothetical matchup with Trump. Ron DeSantis holds a double-digit lead over former President Donald Trump among college-educated Republicans in a hypothetical one-on-one match-up in Iowa. There simply aren't enough college-educated Republicans in Iowa. As Atlantic senior editor Ronald Brownstein previously pointed out, part of DeSantis' national struggle is that there are not enough college-educated Republicans still in the party. Among the larger field in Iowa, Trump holds a 40-point lead over DeSantis.

Persons: Ron DeSantis, Trump, Donald Trump, DeSantis, Ronald Brownstein, Joe Biden, it's, Kim Reynolds, It's, Iowa caucusgoers Organizations: Florida Gov, Iowa, Republicans, Trump, GOP, Service, Gov, New York Times, Siena College, Iowa GOP, Atlantic, Republican, Iowa Gov, Iowa Republican, Times Locations: Florida, Iowa, Wall, Silicon, DeSantis, Siena, New Hampshire , Nevada, South Carolina

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