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This, despite the fact that younger investors were more optimistic about the economy, their incomes, their living situations, and their investments. Millennial investors have been deeply scarred by two life-changing crises in their young lives. But if you look at hard numbers from the Federal Reserve about what millennial investors actually own, you can see that this stereotype is misguided. When you compare millennials' cash levels with Gen X's cash levels at the same age, though, the risk aversion becomes clear. But when it comes to younger investors, I think the scars run deeper than worries about a coming downturn.
Persons: Cash, it's, millennials, Gen Xers, boomers, There's, would've, you'd Organizations: Bank of, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan, Occupy, Dow, Netflix Locations: eToro, United States, YOLO
Namely, millennials invest in exchange-traded funds more than any generation before them, according to State Street Global Advisors' 2024 ETF Impact Survey. AdvertisementOverall, State Street, which manages $4.3 trillion in assets, found that boomers are doomers when it comes to the overall economic outlook. State Street Global AdvisorsMillennials across the world are also more likely than any other generation to hold ETFs in their portfolios. AdvertisementETFs also offer easy liquidity, especially when compared to the mutual funds that are popular with older demographics. Investors can't trade mutual funds intraday because trades are executed once a day after the 4 p.m. market close.
Persons: , aren't, Scott Chronert, Chronert, millennials, Michael Arone, Vanguard Russell, Russell, That's Organizations: Service, Street Global Advisors, Business, State Street Global Advisors, Mutual, Citigroup, Bank of America, State, Trust, Vanguard, Nasdaq, Boomers, Bond, Bond Market, State Street, Galaxy Asset Management, Street Locations: Australia, Singapore, Japan
The five-month, 28% sprint from the October correction low to the record high on the last trading day of the first quarter left the S & P 500 overbought, overheated and over-loved. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD So far, so good, three weeks down and now three weeks up, taking the S & P 500 back to within 1% of its March 28 peak. More specifically, he tracks the correlation between S & P 500 and the Citi Economic Surprise Index. Fidelity Investments head of global macro Jurrien Timmer fashioned this look at the path of S & P 500 earnings heading into and through each calendar year, with 2024 holding up better than 2023 was last year at this time. The last time the S & P 500 was at today's level above 5200 in late March, the 12-month forward price/earnings multiple was 21.
Persons: that's, Jerome Powell, Scott Chronert, It's, Powell, Lori Calvasina, we've Organizations: U.S, Bank, Citi, Citi U.S, Fidelity Investments, Treasury, RBC Capital
Here are Tuesday's biggest calls on Wall Street: Morgan Stanley downgrades Oatly to equal weight from overweight Morgan Stanley resumed coverage of the oats company and said it sees too many negative catalysts. " Morgan Stanley reiterates Tesla as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's sticking with Tesla despite a slew of negative data points in a recent investor survey. Morgan Stanley reiterates Nvidia as overweight Morgan Stanley said it's standing by Nvidia heading into earnings later this week. Morgan Stanley initiates CG Oncology as buy Morgan Stanley said shares of the bladder cancer company are "compelling." "We initiate coverage on Morgan Stanley Direct Lending with a Buy rating and $23.50 PT.
Persons: Morgan Stanley downgrades Oatly, Morgan Stanley, Tesla, Bernstein, Siri, it's, Disney, Ingersoll Rand, Rosenblatt, MSCI's, Goldman Sachs, Wolfe, Piper Sandler, Riley, Grainger, Northcoast, JPMorgan downgrades Holley Organizations: Apple, Nvidia, Disney, RBC, Aerospace, BAE Systems, Caterpillar, SMCI, Deutsche Bank, JetBlue, Alaska Air, ASM, Health, BrightSpring Health, Brunswick Corporation, Barclays, JPMorgan, Mizuho, Oncology, UBS, Morgan, Fund, Seaport, Booking Holdings, " Bank of America, AIG, Bank of America, General Insurance Locations: Silicon Valley, Alaska, Brunswick, MIBS, Texas, Europe, Asia
Its price target of $4,380 suggests nearly 18% upside from Friday's close. "We expect numbers to reset lower (again) with the downward revision a negative catalyst for the multiple, and the margin story likely being pushed out to 2025," wrote analyst Christian Carlino. Analyst Anthony Powell accompanied the move by raising his price target to $204 from $194, implying a potential 15% rally for the stock. The investment firm upgraded the airline stock to market-perform from underperform, boosting its price target to $32 from $26. His price target of $338 per share implies upside of just 5% from Friday's close.
Persons: Bernstein, Evercore, Piper Sandler, Brian Mullan, Mullan, — Jesse Pound, Aaron Kessler, — Michelle Fox, JPMorgan downgrades Holley, Holley, Christian Carlino, Carlino, HLLY, hasn't, — Lisa Kailai Han, AvalonBay, Anthony Powell, Powell, AVB, Lisa Kailai Han, Joshua Shanker, Morgan Stanley, bullish Tesla, Tesla, Adam Jonas, Jonas, Russell Quelch, Quelch, MSCI, Arun Viswanathan, Viswanathan, Rosenblatt, Hans Mosesmann, Mosesmann, Michael Linenberg, Linenberg, David Vernon, David Raso, Raso, Assuredness, Fred Imbert, ~$ ~$ Organizations: CNBC, Airlines, Southwest Airlines, Deutsche Bank, JetBlue, Caterpillar, Foods, . Restaurant, Seaport Research, Booking Holdings Seaport Research Partners, Booking Holdings, JPMorgan, Barclays, Bank of America, AIG, of America, Tesla Network, RBC, Ball Corporation, Markets, Ball Corp, Aerospace, BAE Systems, Ball, Micro Computer, Super Micro Computer, Micro, ASM, Spirit Airlines, Bernstein, Spirit, Boeing Max, ISI, CAT Locations: Southwest, Friday's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInvestors are jumping back into the market, according to the latest Investopedia investor surveyCaleb Silver, Investopedia EIC, joins 'Fast Money' to talk the latest results out of the Investopedia Investor's Survey.
Persons: Caleb Silver, Investopedia
Right now, it's up 7.7% year-over-year and continues to rise, prompting Kantrowitz to say it's a "huge red flag for me." Still, while the unemployment rate is up to 3.9% from its 3.4% low earlier this year, unemployment claims have not spiked meaningfully. Piper Sandler"Regarding employment – I see enough data that has me convinced that we are at the very onset of a recession right now," Kantrowitz said. If the unemployment rate continues to tick upward, even slightly, it will likely trigger the Sahm rule mentioned above. Plenty of market onlookers see a recession in 2024, including DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffery Gundlach and Citadel founder Ken Griffin.
Persons: Piper Sandler's Michael Kantrowitz, Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, Sahm's, It's, Claudia Sahm, Jon Wolfenbarger, Wolfenbarger, Jeffery Gundlach, Ken Griffin, Goldman Sachs, Jan Hatzius, Brian Moynihan Organizations: Federal, Business, Institute for Supply Management's, Investor, Federal Reserve, National Federal, Independent, Treasury, Conference, DoubleLine Capital, Citadel, Bank of America
In a recent note to clients, Kantrowitz highlighted unemployment claims data leading up to the Great Recession. But looking at the revised data, a clearer trend starts in September of 2007, he said. Looking at prior yield curve inversions, it's taken more than 12 months for jobless claims to start to meaningfully trend upward. Piper SandlerAnother indicator that tells Kantrowitz that jobless claims are going to start increase is — interestingly enough — furniture sales. For example, Bank of America and JPMorgan strategists both walked back their 2023 recession calls earlier this year.
Persons: Michael Kantrowitz, Piper Sandler, it's, Kantrowitz, there's, he's, Jeremy Grantham, Gary Shilling Organizations: Wall Street, The Conference Board, RBC, Bank of America, JPMorgan
REUTERS/Carlo Allegri/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Investors expect hedge funds to produce higher returns with the prospect of interest rates staying higher for longer, a BNP Paribas [RIC:RIC:BNPPL.UL] investor survey showed on Wednesday. Investors now expect hedge funds to return an average of 9.75% annually within an average of 19 months, up from 6.85%, according to the survey. However, hedge funds themselves think this will take longer, up to 29 months, the survey showed. BNP Paribas said historical evidence shows hedge funds tend to perform well in higher and stable interest rate environments and less so when rates are lower. BNP Capital Introduction Group surveyed 82 hedge fund managers in what it called the "summer" of 2023.
Persons: Carlo Allegri, Michael Oliver Weinberg, , , Weinberg, Nell Mackenzie, Dhara Ranasinghe, Kirsten Donovan Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, BNP, RIC, Investors, Group, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S
How the $13 trillion economy's slowdown will affect other emerging markets is still an unanswered question for investors. "Lower for longer Chinese growth is shaping a new regime of investments," Amundi's head of emerging markets Yerlan Syzdykov told Reuters. The World Bank trimmed its 2024 China growth forecast to 4.4% from 4.8%. 6/DEVELOPING REFORMThe World Bank, IMF and other multilateral development banks are under pressure to boost lending to poorer countries to fund development and tackle climate change. China and other large emerging economies have long demanded a greater say in the global financial architecture, which is still dominated by parameters set out by the 1944 Bretton Woods meeting, where the IMF and World Bank were established.
Persons: Abdelhak, Joseph Cuthbertson, Syzdykov, Anna Gelpern, Gregory Smith, Smith, Mehmet Simsek, Tayyip Erdogan, Erdogan, drubbing, Timothy Ash, Jorgelina, Rosario, Rachel Savage, Marc Jones, Karin Strohecker, Christina Fincher Organizations: International Monetary Fund, World Bank, Palais des, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, International Monetary, PineBridge Investments, Reuters, Bank, Ukraine, U.S, Kyiv, Paris Club, IMF, American, London, G Investments, JPMorgan, Egypt IMF, Fitch, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Finance, BlueBay Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Palais, Palais des Congres, Marrakech, Morocco, Argentina, Pakistan, Kenya, Egypt, CHINA, China, UKRAINE, Ukraine, Zambia, Sri Lanka, Ghana, Georgetown, Nigeria, TURKEY, Ankara, New York, Washington, London, Woods
65% of surveyed investors believe the US office market is in for a steep crash, Bloomberg reported. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe US office market is in for a long, steep fall, according to investors surveyed by Bloomberg. In Bloomberg's latest Market Live Pulse survey, 65% of investors said they believed the US office market would only start to perk up after undergoing a serious decline. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe outlook for the broader commercial real estate market is similarly troubled. A crashing office market means banks could incur around $250 billion in losses, according to one hedge fund manager.
Persons: , Goldman Sachs Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, National Association of Realtors, Capital Economics, JPMorgan
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, September 26, 2023. Brendan McDermid | ReutersA majority of Wall Street investors haven't taken solace in stocks' 2023 gains, thinking the market could retreat further as risk of a recession creeps up, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwardsMore than 60% of respondents believe the stock market's gain this year has just been a bear market bounce, seeing more trouble ahead. A total of 39% of investors believe we are already in a new bull market. The market also contended with a rally in crude oil as well as a 10-week winning streak for the dollar.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Stocks Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, Wall Street, CNBC Delivering Alpha, CNBC, Federal Reserve Locations: New York City
"We think potential disruption from industrial action is likely to create buying opportunities in the D3 shares," the analyst said in a Friday note. "D3," or "the Detroit Three," refers to General Motors, Ford and Stellantis. It also marked the first time in history that the UAW launched strikes at all three of the big automakers simultaneously. Ford shares were flat. "Moving forward, we expect all three stocks to be sensitive to UAW newsflow especially as it relates to the potential duration of industrial action," Jonas said.
Persons: Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas, Stellantis, Jonas, Itay Michaeli, Citi's Michaeli, Michaeli, Morgan Stanley, Michael Bloom, Mike Wayland, John Rosevear Organizations: United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford, Detroit, Motors, Union, UAW, Citi, GM Locations: Wentzville , Missouri, Wayne , Michigan, Toledo , Ohio
Consumer spending held up the US economy even as many worried about the prospect of a recession. Even as interest rates skyrocketed over the past 18 months, strong consumer spending kept the US economy moving. Higher rates start to biteLet's start with interest rates. Credit-card debt, in contrast, tends to move up and down with interest rates. That COVID cash stockpile helped support the economy despite rising interest rates and historically high inflation.
Persons: Barbie, Taylor Swift, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Morgan Stanley, Janet Yellen, Yellen, John David Rainey, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, We've, Piper, Nancy Lazar, Lazar Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Credit, Federal Reserve Bank of New, CNBC, San Francisco Fed, Walmart, Fox News Digital Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Ukraine
Spending by the ever-reliable US consumer is about to fizzle out, according to a Bloomberg investor survey. Such resilience has staved off widespread recession fears, but as household savings run out, the fortunes of the US economy could reverse. AdvertisementAdvertisementIndeed, excess savings accumulated since the pandemic are poised to evaporate by as early as the end of September, the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco has said. "We still have very high prices, but we don't have all of that funny money around anymore, and the excess savings are going negative." The famed investor says the drying up of consumer savings is set to hammer corporate profits as spending declines.
Persons: , Jeffrey Gundlach, Michael Burry Organizations: Bloomberg, Service, Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Bank of San, Billionaire, DoubleLine, Fox Business Locations: Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
US furniture retailers like RH and Williams-Sonoma are struggling to sell products in a tight housing market. The unaffordable housing market is stretching wallets and making new furniture less of a priority for buyers. A slew of furniture brands have reported weaker earnings in the most recent quarter. Furniture retailers have reported weaker sales as Americans, who are struggling to break into the housing market, aren't buying the usual amount of couches, tables, and home goods. "A housing shortage and the over 20-year high on fixed mortgage rates has slowed down housing activity.
Persons: RH, Hooker, Jeremy Hoff Organizations: Williams, Service, Bloomberg, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank Locations: Sonoma, Wall, Silicon, Williams, Elm, Virginia
And with China's post-COVID recovery running into the ground and suffering a deepening real estate bust, western investment curbs throw more sand in the wheels. A question now is whether a retreat of western money from emerging markets at least partly explains both their recent underperformance and that of western government bonds, in which emerging central banks and sovereign funds are heavily invested. The picture has not been much better in aggregate emerging bond indices, even if they have done marginally better than developed world counterparts, and worries over emerging high-yield and property linked bonds are rising. Have global investors high-tailed it from emerging markets already? If western money grows more wary and is increasingly warned off China and other selective emerging investments, will there be a mutual pullback of official emerging money from western bond markets?
Persons: Aly, Joe Biden, Morgan, Biden, crumb, Mike Dolan, Richard Chang Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, U.S ., Bank of, Institute for International Finance, Treasury, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Shanghai, Shenzhen, China, Ukraine, Washington, Russia, United States, Beijing, Moscow, Taiwan, Brazil, India, South Africa, Hong Kong, Saudi Arabia, South Korea
Morning Bid: U.S. retail therapy as China funk deepens
  + stars: | 2023-08-15 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +5 min
Raindrops hang on a sign for Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange in Manhattan in New York City, New York, U.S., October 26, 2020. China stocks fell again (.CSI300) and 10-year government bond yields fell to three-year lows. Ten-year Treasury yields hit their highest for the year at 4.23%. Elsewhere in the so-called BRICS emerging economies - the grouping of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa - the dollar was also in command. Back stateside, the retail sales report will be accompanied by an earnings update from Home Depot - the first of the big retailers to report this week.
Persons: Mike Segar, Mike Dolan, Jackson, Jack Henry *, Neel Kashkari, Susan Fenton Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Micron Technology, Bank of America's, Treasury, Agilent Technologies, Cardinal Health, NY, Minneapolis Federal, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, China, Japan, Brazil, Russia, India, South Africa, Ukraine, Argentina's, Canada
LONDON, July 7 (Reuters) - Unsure which way the cookie crumbles from here - investors are being tempted to drop the bond. The broadest measures of government and corporate bonds have just stuck in mud. Two-year government bond yields are soaring. With June U.S. jobs growth going up yet another gear, U.S. Treasury yields hit 16-year highs above 5%, German equivalents hit their highest in 15 years and British gilt yields scaled 2008 peaks. For all but longer-term pension and insurance funds or banks, bonds may be neither fish nor fowl for a while to come.
Persons: hasn't, Stocks, midyear underperformance, Mike Dolan, Josie Kao Organizations: Global, Bloomberg U.S, Treasury, Bank of, JPMorgan, Europe, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson
Source: NYSEThe majority of Wall Street investors believe stocks have entered a new bull market and the U.S. economy will skirt a recession in 2023, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. Zoom In Icon Arrows pointing outwardsSixty-one percent of respondents believe the market has entered a new bull run, while 39% think this is a bear market rally. Technically speaking, some have already declared a brand new bull market after the S&P 500 met the most simplistic standard by closing up 20% from its October bear market low. However, many investors do not consider it the end of a bear market until the S&P 500 reaches a new high. The S&P 500 is about to end the first half with flying colors, up nearly 15% after four straight winning months in a row.
Persons: Carol Schleif, Jason Draho Organizations: NYSE, Wall, CNBC Delivering Alpha, CNBC, BMO Family Office, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S
Most Wall Street investors believe the best way to take advantage of the artificial intelligence boom is to buy Big Tech stocks, according to the new CNBC Delivering Alpha investor survey. Forty-seven percent of respondents said big-cap tech companies are the best way to invest in AI, while 37% believe there's too much hype around the space. The chipmaker has been at the center of an AI craze on Wall Street. Investors piled into the AI enabler after the company recently made a shockingly strong forecast of future demand. Alphabet's AI capabilities and ambition attracted buying from big investors recently, including Stanley Druckenmiller 's Duquesne Family Office, Dan Loeb's Third Point and Bill Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management.
Persons: Buzzy chatbot ChatGPT, Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb's, Bill Ackman's Organizations: Big Tech, CNBC Delivering Alpha, CNBC, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Google, Duquesne Family Office, Bill Ackman's Pershing, Capital Management
For young professionals new to the workforce — particularly recent college graduates — here are four common money myths that have been passed down through generations, debunked. The idea has likely inhibited women and people of color in particular from being confident about investing, Ransom-Cooper says. The gap has begun to close, though, with 58% of Black Americans investing in 2022, compared with 63% of white Americans. What's more, young professionals do not have to wait until their student loans or other outstanding debt is completely paid off to begin. Investing early and growing your retirement savings, for example, are valuable ways to build wealth outside of the real estate market.
Persons: you've, Chelsea Ransom, Cooper, Ransom, Schwab, Roth, it's Organizations: Zenith Wealth Partners, CNBC, Investor Survey, Roth IRA
Can that real wage growth persist if the jobs market now loosens with a lag from the swingeing five percentage points of rate hikes in just 15 months? What's more, other surveys have yet to show inflation expectations falling so sharply or lifting confidence. The possibility of a disinflation spur to demand at this juncture may complicate that picture considerably. Importantly, the slower fall in inflation in both Britain and the euro zone means real wage growth remains negative - unlike the latest twist stateside. Bank of America chart on investor survey growth outlookReuters GraphicsThe opinions expressed here are those of the author, a columnist for Reutersby Mike Dolan, Twitter: @reutersMikeD.
Persons: it's, Goldman Sachs, Dom Wilson, Mike Dolan, Alexander Smith Organizations: University of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of America, Bank of, UBS Global Wealth Management, Fed, Reuters, Twitter, Thomson Locations: Michigan, Europe, Britain
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'The new bull market': Digging into Investopedia's latest investor surveyCaleb Silver, Investopedia editor-in-chief, joins 'Fast Money' to talk a shift in retail investor sentiment, Investopedia's latest investor survey results, and more.
Persons: Caleb Silver
The review is merely to note that the beginning of a potential bull market is a process, not a moment, occurring as the weight of the evidence gradually shifts in favor of the optimists. A new bull market, even if in place, doesn't always mean a timely sprint to hefty further gains. In a bear market, that's toppy; while in a bull market backdrop, such a level of optimism is fairly routine. In a bear market, 14 is "too low," In a bull market, it's middling. The S & P 500 has built a cushion with which to absorb routine pullbacks without jeopardizing the broader trend.
Persons: JFK, didn't, , doesn't, Stephen Suttmeier, Bull headwinds, I've, they've, there's Organizations: Bank of America, Investment Group, Lehman, Investment, American Association of Locations: New York,
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