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—Katie Stockton with Will Tamplin Access research from Fairlead Strategies for free here . Fairlead Strategies Disclaimer: This communication has been prepared by Fairlead Strategies LLC ("Fairlead Strategies") for informational purposes only. Securities, investment products, other financial products or strategies discussed herein may not be suitable for all investors. The recipient of this information must make its own independent decisions regarding any securities, investment products or other financial products mentioned herein. This material is not to be reproduced or redistributed absent the written consent of Fairlead Strategies.
Persons: CTVA, Katie Stockton Organizations: Invesco DB Agriculture Fund, Wheat, CNBC, NBC UNIVERSAL, Fairlead, CNBC Pro, Securities Locations: CTVA
More than halfway through the third quarter, many of the biggest commodity ETFs in the United States are in sizable holes. Kathy Kriskey, senior commodities ETF strategist at Invesco, said that oil supply is actually tight at the moment. The commodities slump could be partially due to mechanical factors in the market, such as low trading volumes combined with large commodity trading advisors betting against the sector, Kriskey said. "The price of corn has taken almost three full years from those 2022 spike highs to get back down. And oil, one of the biggest weights in commodity indexes, could see stepped up supply in coming months.
Persons: It's, Ryan Grabinski, Strategas, Kathy Kriskey, Kriskey, Sal Gilbertie, We're, Gilbertie, What's, Jerome Powell, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Matijn, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Strategy, United States Oil Fund, U.S ., Commodities, 4Q, DB Base Metals Fund Locations: United States, Ukraine, U.S, China
Commodity prices have tumbled over the past month, signaling underlying weakness in the global economy despite the U.S. stock market bouncing back from recession fears. But commodity markets may be telling a different story about the global economy. The Invesco DB Base Metals Fund is down more than 7% over the past month, while crude oil futures dropped 14% from July 5 through Aug. 5. @HG.1 YTD mountain Copper futures, YTD Weakness in China, the world's second-largest economy, is weighing on copper and oil in particular, Melek said. OPEC on Monday lowered its global oil demand growth forecast this year by 135,000 barrels per day as expectations in China have softened.
Persons: Rob Ginsberg, Ginsberg, Bart Melek, DBB @HG, We've, Melek, I'm Organizations: U.S, Investors, Invesco DB Base Metals, Wolfe Research, TD Securities, DBB, Metals, Copper, CNBC, Global, Beijing, European Union, World Trade Organization, Federal Reserve, Securities Locations: U.S, China, Beijing, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
As the price of gold hits new all-time highs and silver rallies to a multi-year high, Bank of America has identified four exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that offer attractive exposure to precious metals. The top-rated ETFs include abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF (ticker SIVR), iShares Silver Trust (SLV), Invesco DB Precious Metals Fund (DBP) and abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF (GLTR). Bank of America rated all four ETFs "more attractive" in comparison to other ETFs with similar assets. These funds reflect baskets of physical precious metals, with varying allocations to silver, gold, palladium, and platinum. abrdn Physical Silver Shares ETF SIVR is the cheapest silver fund in Bank of America's coverage, with a total expense ratio of 0.50%.
Persons: Jared Woodard, SLV, Michael Bloom Organizations: Bank of America, Precious Metals Fund, Bank of, Treasury, Bank, Precious Metals Locations: BofA
.DXY 1Y mountain The dollar index hit new highs for 2023 in September. "Energy equities haven't really kept up with the energy market rally," she added. The latest iShares outlook highlighted the firm's U.S. Energy ETF (IYE) as a way to play higher oil prices. Other major funds in that category include the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLE) , the Vanguard Energy Index ETF (VDE) and the Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (FENY) . Investors can outsource currency market decisions in the form of managed futures ETFs, which have exposure to currency markets in addition to other asset classes.
Persons: Gargi Chaudhuri, Morgan Stanley, Sasikanth Chilukuru, It's, Chaudhuri, Todd Sohn, Sohn, Andrew Beer, Beer, You've, Anastasia Amoroso, There's, Amoroso Organizations: Texas, BlackRock, iShares, Energy, U.S . Energy, Vanguard Energy, Fidelity MSCI Energy, Wall, U.S ., Invesco DB, Fund, WisdomTree Bloomberg, Investors, Global, Apple, Nvidia Locations: U.S, Saudi Arabia, DBi, Japan
"There is a subset that simply cannot do that," she said of paying down credit card debt going forward as rates rise. "In those tails and subsets I think you're going to have really unusual delinquencies, and just horrible recovery rates." You're going to see defaults increase." Delaney also emphasized being defensive, and said he likes corporate bonds, but those with floating rates, meaning they move with the market rate. The iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) is one way to gain exposure to long-term government bonds.
Persons: Dawn Fitzpatrick, Katie Koch, haven't, it's, Mark Delaney, Suni Harford, I'd, Brad Gerstner, Jerome Powell, Volcker, Koch, , We're, Rick Rieder, he's, Delaney, Fitzpatrick Organizations: CNBC's, Alpha, Federal Reserve, Soros Fund Management, TCW, UBS, Management, BlackRock, JPMorgan, Corporate, Treasury Bond ETF, Vanguard Energy, DB Oil Fund Locations: Europe, Saudi Arabia
JPMorgan's chief global markets strategist, Marko Kolanovic, advises investors to play commodities against recession risks. Kolanovic named natural gas as his top pick within the commodities sector. Investors can look to the United States Natural Gas Fund LP (UNG) to gain exposure to the commodity; it's down about 48% year to date. The strategist forecasts U.S. natural gas prices to undergo a 25% rally in the next few months on expectations of a supply growth reversal. Backwardation is what happens when the spot price is higher than the price of the approaching futures' contracts.
Persons: Marko Kolanovic, Kolanovic, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: United States Natural Gas Fund, DB Agriculture Fund, Brent Oil Fund Locations: U.S
He learned about target-date funds, which pool a basket of individual funds designed to rebalance the securities based on your years to retirement. Then, he compared the result to having 100% of the amount invested in a target-date index fund called the Fidelity Freedom Index 2050 Investor (FIPFX). "If I could go back in time, I would dump every penny to my name in a single target-date index," Schneider said. Pie chart breakdown of nine initial index funds Portfolio Visualizer, Jeremy Schneider. Additionally, holding a target-date fund in a regular brokerage account instead of a tax-advantaged account may not be tax optimal.
Persons: Jeremy Schneider, wouldn't, Schneider, patted, Visualizer, it's, FIPFX Organizations: Finance, DB, Fidelity
With returns bound to be muted, Shalett likes investments outside of US stocks. "Market psychology has been shaken, setting off a dynamic that likely raises the odds of an imminent recession. Morgan Stanley Wealth ManagementShalett doesn't expect the size of decline her Morgan Stanley colleague Mike Wilson sees. However, with spreads widening and long-term rates reflecting a more reasonable terminal value, bonds are a decent relative portfolio hedge," Shalett said. And finally, active money managers like hedge funds should outperform in an environment where index returns are muted, Shalett said.
Investors have a new way to bet on the commodities that are critical to a green energy future: The KraneShares Electrification Metals Strategy ETF launched on Thursday. The new fund tracks the Bloomberg Electrification Metals index and buys futures contracts on metals like aluminum, copper, zinc and lithium. The KraneShares fund is not the only ETF on the market that gives investors exposure to these industries. For example, VanEck offers a Green Metals ETF (GMET) as well as a Rare Earth/Strategic Metals (REMX) fund, which hold individual stocks in these industries. There are also some funds available that can hold futures contracts for the underlying metals, such as the United States Copper Index Fund (CPER) or the Invesco DB Base Metals Fund (DBB) .
The surging U.S. dollar is causing havoc in global currency markets and that appears to be spilling into the equity markets. Betting on the dollar The simplest way for investors to benefit from the surging U.S. dollar is to buy ETFs that track currency indexes. Currency hedging strategies For investors who want international exposure in their portfolios, the surging dollar is an even bigger worry. There are many currency-hedged ETFs that have outperformed their un-hedged counterparts so far this year, which could help investors limit the impact of a stronger dollar. There are many currency-hedged ETFs that have outperformed their un-hedged counterparts so far this year, which could help investors limit the impact of a stronger dollar.
As inflation remains stubbornly high, and volatility in U.S. stocks and bonds persists, one strategist has shared his top ways for investors to protect their income. High inflation increases the chances of the U.S. Federal Reserve raising rates further, which tends to mean a stronger dollar. His picks include the iShares Euro Inflation Linked Government Bond UCITS ETF and the iShares TIPS Bond ETF . That's a bad combination for agricultural output, and high gas prices will contribute to higher fertilizer prices, he added. The 'best sweet spot' As U.S. investors scramble to navigate continued volatility, particularly in stocks, Jolley said the "brave" could consider stocks overseas.
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