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☆ Insana: Stock market exuberance after Trump’s win could be overshadowing economic worries
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-19 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In the wake of President-elect Donald Trump's Nov. 5th victory, the stock and bond markets have had decidedly different reactions to the news. Initially, the stock market surged, while bonds sold off and drove interest rates higher. The bond market, along with other inflation indicators, have shown some concern about the notion that tax cuts pay for themselves. There have also been worries that the Trump tax cuts, if extended, would add considerably to annual deficits and the sum of the national debt. The stock market is viewed more favorably by many, as was Zeus in "Clash of the Titans."

Persons: Donald Trump's, Biden, Trump, Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ramaswamy, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Trump, of Government, Social Security, Congressional, Office, CNBC Locations: U.S, Trump's, China

☆ Watch CNBC's full interview with Mark Luschini and Ron Insana
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Mark Luschini and Ron InsanaMark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott chief investment strategist, and Ron Isana, iFi AI CEO, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss expectations for how a Trump administration may impact markets, whether markets will react any differently than they did in 2016, and more.

Persons: Mark Luschini, Ron Insana Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery, Ron Isana, Trump Organizations: Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ Market will continue to price in business-friendly aspects of Trump administration, says Ron Insana
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarket will continue to price in business-friendly aspects of Trump administration, says Ron InsanaMark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott chief investment strategist, and Ron Isana, iFi AI CEO, join CNBC's 'Power Lunch' to discuss expectations for how a Trump administration may impact markets, whether markets will react any differently than they did in 2016, and more.

Persons: Ron Insana Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery, Ron Isana, Trump Organizations: Trump, Janney Montgomery Scott

☆ Insana: Musk, Paulson seek sharp U.S. budget cuts. This ‘shock therapy’ isn’t likely to work
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

They have thrown economies into a tailspin, causing deep recessions and social upheaval. Elon Musk and hedge fund manager John Paulson are calling for cuts to the U.S. budget if former President Donald Trump is re-elected and they join his cabinet. Both have both endorsed slashing budgets, with Musk this week calling for a $2 trillion reduction. The other question involves the impact of sharp budget cuts on the U.S. economy. Musk has suggested the economy – and, by extension, Americans — would need to endure short-term pain for long-term gains.

Persons: Elon Musk, Elon, John Paulson, Donald Trump, Trump, Paulson, Musk Organizations: SpaceX, Tesla, Ridley High School, Social Security, Congressional Locations: Folsom , Pennsylvania, U.S

☆ Insana: The market is on a hot streak, and these factors – not the election – are driving it
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-22 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Both have opined that the rally on Wall Street underscores a growing belief that former President Donald Trump will win on Nov. 5. However, I don't yet believe that Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue have intersected just yet. Indeed, if the stock market is anticipating a Trump victory, what might the bond market and gold market be telling us, assuming they expect the same outcome? Are those markets telling us a Trump victory would lead to higher inflation and bigger fiscal deficits? Those betting on a Trump win would be loath to say so if they follow the messages of multiple markets.

Persons: Stanley Druckenmiller, Dan Loeb, Donald Trump, Loeb, it's, Dow Jones, Kamala Harris, Trump, Ron Insana Organizations: Senate, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Atlanta, Dow, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Nvidia, European Central Bank, Trump, stoke, Democratic, Pennsylvania, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Ron Insana: September consumer inflation report was a mere blip in a wider cooling trend
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

After the latest blast of consumer inflation data, traders are facing a conundrum around how they should interpret the monthly numbers. September's consumer price index report topped the Street's expectations, rising 0.1% from the month prior and increasing at a pace of 2.4% over the past 12 months. Still, the annual inflation rate was the lowest since February 2021. Relative to expectations, September's CPI number does not imply a reacceleration of inflation. Rather, the rate of consumer inflation continues to slow, albeit at a more modest pace than some had hoped for.

Persons: Dow Jones, Nonfarm payrolls, Austan Goolsbee, Ron Insana Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS, Social Security, Dow Jones, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ Ron Insana: China's stock rally won't last because its economic problems run too deep
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-26 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

China's stock market has recently rebounded on the promise of further economic and market stimulus. The measures include cuts to a variety of interest rates , as well as support for China's flagging real estate sector . China's stimulus efforts The Shanghai Composite has rallied sharply in the aftermath of those moves but remains about 50% below its all-time high of nearly 6,000, last seen in 2007. These moves have failed to boost growth or lead to a durable and sustainable stock market rally. The U.S. stock market accounted for roughly 60% of global stock market valuation in 2023.

Persons: David Tepper, Let's, Ron Insana Organizations: Bank, Atlanta, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, European Union, U.S . Energy, Administration, The, U.S, Olympus, CNBC Locations: United States, China, It's, Shanghai, U.S, Beijing, Europe, Canada, European, The U.S, Russia, Iran, North Korea

☆ Ron Insana: Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell unnecessarily complicated the outlook for interest rate policy
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-19 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

In the spirit of ESPN's Monday Night Countdown, a word to Federal Reserve Chairman, Jay Powell ... "C'Mon Man!" While the markets have rebounded nicely on Thursday, it seems to me that Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell unnecessarily complicated the outlook for interest rate policy on Wednesday by saying the Fed will decide, meeting by meeting, what to do next. Meanwhile, long-term interest rates, after having fallen for weeks in anticipation of a half-point cut, which the Fed delivered, have actually moved up a bit. I'm not entirely certain but I suspect it's the lack of clear direction on future rate policy that is the culprit. In those days, the Fed was loathe to discuss its actions publicly and only signaled to markets what it had done with respect to interest rate policy a considerable time after the action was undertaken.

Persons: Jay Powell, Powell, Paul Volcker Organizations: Federal, Fed Locations: China

☆ Ron Insana: Even as inflation cools, markets show that risks to the soft landing are rising
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

What people say about growth and inflation doesn't matter much anymore – even as the latest consumer inflation report shows a cooling trend. That means a notable drop in both wholesale and consumer prices is coming down the road. Now, it appears that the U.S. is slipping behind the rest of the world, turning its policy actions toward growth risks rather than inflation risks. It's also important to remind Fed policymakers that there is ample evidence of slower consumer spending among middle-to-lower income families. Further, recent revisions to job growth in the 12-month period through March 2024 confirm that a soft landing is at risk.

Persons: Stocks, that's, We're, It's, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, U.S ., CNBC Locations: China, U.S

☆ Watch CNBC’s full interview with iFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie Link
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC’s full interview with iFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie LinkiFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie Link, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market sell-off, the Fed's next move and their market outlook.

Persons: iFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus, Dan Greenhaus, Stephanie Link iFi, Ron Insana, Stephanie Link

☆ Ron Insana: Fed should reassure market it's ready to act, as this resembles late '90s foreign markets crises
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

First, when everything is being sold – and just about everything is being sold on Monday – someone is in big trouble. The spillover effect – exacerbated by a Federal Reserve reluctant to cut interest rates even as inflation cools – has put all assets on sale. This suggests that fears of a financial market problem are greater than those of a widening Middle East war. Should the situation become more tumultuous, the Fed could be forced into cutting interest rates between meetings. Indeed, when the Fed responded to the 1998 event by cutting interest rates , stocks went on a tear before topping out in 2000.

Persons: I've, Michael Gayed, Cashin, It's, Stanley Druckenmiller, Japan —, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nikkei, UBS, Term Capital Management, CNBC Locations: Japan, Israel, Iran

☆ An inter-meeting Fed cut would be a mistake, says Solus' Dan Greenhaus
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAn inter-meeting Fed cut would be a mistake, says Solus' Dan GreenhausiFi AI's Ron Insana, Solus' Dan Greenhaus and Hightower’s Stephanie Link, join 'Closing Bell' to discuss the market sell-off, the Fed's next move and their market outlook.

Persons: Solus, Dan Greenhaus iFi, Ron Insana, Dan Greenhaus, Stephanie Link

☆ The Fed has not stuck the soft landing yet, says Ron Isana
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed has not stuck the soft landing yet, says Ron IsanaRon Insana, chief market strategist at Dynasty Financial Partners, and Keith Fitz-Gerald, principal of Fitz-Gerald Group, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss macro outlooks.

Persons: Ron Isana Ron Insana, Keith Fitz, Gerald, Fitz, Gerald Group Organizations: Financial Partners

☆ Ron Insana: The economic slowdown is here, and the Fed will be key to avoiding a recession
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-31 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

It is a question based on recent market behavior, corporate profit reports and prospective economic policy changes at home and abroad. It suggests that declining inflation and economic weakness may well be in our future. Recent U.S. economic data has been unexpectedly steady, with recent growth pegged at an annual rate of 2.8% in the second quarter. Unemployment data flashes a warning sign The unemployment rate remains low at 4.1% as of June, but it has risen from 3.7% back in January . Some economists argue that an increase of half a percentage point in the unemployment rate, off the lows, is a precursor to a recession.

Persons: you've, Ron Insana Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Procter, Gamble, Federal Reserve, Clearwater, CNBC Locations: Clearwater, Japan, Switzerland, Venezuela, U.S

☆ Ron Insana: How investors ought to prepare their portfolios for November’s elections
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-27 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The GOP, under presidential candidate Donald Trump, could seek to extend the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. In the abstract, one can argue that tax cuts and deregulation are good for business. However, further unfunded tax cuts would add to the nation's deficits and debt. He has also pushed for raising the corporate tax rate to 28%. Currently, that rate is at 20%, plus a 3.8% net investment income tax for high earners.

Persons: we've, Donald Trump, Trump, Biden, Eisenhower, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden Organizations: GOP, Wall, United, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Observers, White, Trump, Biden, Federal Reserve Locations: Washington ,, United States, U.S, America

☆ Ron Insana sees political risk rising for investors as the presidential election heats up
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-18 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The selloff in the Nasdaq on Wednesday, more specifically in semiconductor stocks, has added a relatively new wrinkle to what has been an unexpectedly exceptional year for stocks: political risk. And by that I do not mean the outcome of the 2024 presidential election , per se, but the risk of trial balloons being floated for the next several months leading up to the election. Two news items on Wednesday rocked the chip stocks as the Biden administration is reportedly considering much tighter constraints on chip sales to China . Competing proposals We've already heard of some of the potential policy prescriptions that either a Biden or Trump administration might pursue beginning in 2025. Some may never see the light of day depending, not only on the outcome of the presidential election, but also on the composition of the next Congress.

Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Trump Organizations: Nasdaq, U.S, Biden, Federal Locations: China, Taiwan, Trump, U.S

☆ Ron Insana: Look to the U.S. for economic resilience and continued global stock market leadership
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-13 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., July 3, 2024. The S&P 500 is up nearly 18% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite is up 22% in that same time frame. Americans have often been accused, especially by those living abroad, of having a rather narrow view of the world. But President Xi Jinping's "party over prosperity" political model continues to dampen enthusiasm among both foreign investors and domestic consumers. There may be a day that that becomes true and other economies and markets may prove more alluring, but that day has yet to come.

Persons: it's, Xi Jinping's, It's, Dorothy Gale of, Ron Insana Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, U.S, National Institution for Finance, Development, Monetary Fund, Overseas, Treasurys, U.S ., CNBC Locations: New York City, U.S, Japan, Argentina, Turkey, China, Shanghai, Italy, Spain, America, Dorothy Gale of Kansas

☆ Both small and large caps can rally from Fed cuts, says Dynasty’s Ron Insana
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBoth small and large caps can rally from Fed cuts, says Dynasty’s Ron InsanaRockland’s David Smith and Dynasty’s Ron Insana, join 'Power Lunch' to discuss what to expect from the markets if the Fed cuts.

Persons: Ron Insana Rockland’s David Smith, Dynasty’s Ron Insana

☆ Ron Insana: Why this jobs report should spur the Fed to cut rates in July
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-05 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

It's time for the Fed to cut rates at the end of July. Add to that the moderation in the consumer price index , the producer price index and the personal consumption expenditures price index – the Fed's preferred inflation gauge – and the need to wait for further signs of improvement seems like overkill. Also, if the Fed dials back policy later – rather than sooner – there will be claims of political interference if it cut rates immediately before the presidential election. The central bank has been dealing with an economy-crashing pandemic, a surge in prices and uncertainty over how its policies would affect the broad economy, inflation and consumer behavior over time. This is a factor that will likely drive inflation rates lower.

Persons: Adrian –, –, Mickey, Dow Jones, Joe Biden, Adrian . Go, Ron Insana Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow, New York Federal, Atlanta, CNBC

☆ Ron Insana: Never mind the narrow leadership. This is a powerful bull market
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

There has been a fair amount of nervous chatter lately about the state of the stock market. As of Thursday's close, the S & P 500 was up about 15% in 2024, while the Nasdaq Composite was just shy of 19%. Companies like Microsoft , Cisco Systems and Intel were among the biggest gainers in the S & P 500. Further, the S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index , with a roughly 4% gain in 2024, is far underperforming its capital-weighted counterpart. .SPXEW .SPX YTD line The S & P 500 Equal Weighted Index vs. the S & P 500 in 2024 Having said that, in years past, these types of divergences would worry me to the point of distraction.

Persons: it's, Bubbles, It's, rebalancing, Ron Insana Organizations: Nasdaq, Microsoft, Cisco Systems, Intel, Federal Reserve, Nvidia, CNBC Locations: U.S

☆ These stocks are an AI model's biggest upside picks after a week of mild economic data
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-15 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The iFi AI model, powered by IBM's Watsonx, was still projecting big upside for bitcoin miner Marathon Digital as of Friday morning. The stock was also near the top of iFi AI's projections for 30-day returns on screens earlier in June. The AI model uses a variety of inputs, including fundamental data, technical analysis and company news, to make its predictions. Here are some of the model's biggest upside plays after a week of downward-trending inflation data and sliding Treasury yields. Ron Insana, CNBC senior analyst and commentator, is the CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March .

Persons: IBM's Watsonx, Ron Insana Organizations: Marathon, Group, homebuilder, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto's, CNBC Locations: Marathon, Carvana, Palo

☆ Ron Insana: How Trump’s pitch to replace the income tax with tariffs on imports could rattle the economy
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-14 | by ( Ron Insana | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Anna Moneymaker | Getty ImagesFormer President Donald Trump's recent proposal to replace the U.S. income tax with a tariff on all imported goods is a twist on a clarion call from conservatives — and it could come with unintended consequences. This week, Trump floated the concept of imposing an "all tariff policy," ultimately to eliminate the income tax, sources told CNBC. Entities like the Kemp Commission and Steve Forbes have commonly called to replace the income tax with a flat tax. Trump's proposal brings a new wrinkle to the movement, as it would replace the income tax with a levy on all imported goods. Simple math would suggest that the government may need to impose a 65% tax on all imported goods and services to raise the needed $2.5 trillion.

Persons: Donald Trump, Anna Moneymaker, Donald Trump's, Trump, Steve Forbes, We've, Herbert Hoover Organizations: National Republican, Committee, Washington , D.C, Getty, —, CNBC, Kemp Commission, Smoot Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Hawley, China

☆ This AI model sees big upside for Carvana and Meta Platforms in the next month
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-10 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

IFi AI is an investment firm that uses IBM's Watsonx to help make projections about the short-term directions of stocks. The stocks below are the highest upside stocks for the next 30 days in iFi's top confidence category that have a market cap of at least $2 billion. The bitcoin miner hasn't popped yet, with shares down about 1% month to date, but iFi still sees upside of nearly 40%. META YTD mountain Shares of Meta Platforms are below their all-time high reached in April. CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana is the CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March .

Persons: hasn't, iFi, PVH, Ron Insana Organizations: Oil, ConocoPhillips, Marathon, Holdings, CNBC

☆ This AI model sees big upside for a bitcoin miner and several biotech stocks
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

An AI model that is trying to use machine learning to pick stocks is optimistic about the outlook for some names in volatile sectors over the next month. IFi AI is a company aimed at individual investors that identifies stocks with potential upside based on a blend of fundamental, technical and news data. The stock in the model's highest confidence bracket with the most projected upside is a similarly named company — Marathon Digital . But instead of being an energy company, Marathon Digital is a bitcoin miner. CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana is the CEO if iFi AI, which launched in March .

Persons: IBM's Watsonx, —, Kilroy, Ron Insana Organizations: Marathon Oil, ConocoPhillips, Marathon, iFi, Kilroy Realty, BridgeBio Pharma, Viking Therapeutics, Therapeutics, CNBC Locations: California

☆ This energy stock and other plays are set to jump the most over the next month, according to an AI model
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-20 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

One AI model that is built to help investors pick winners in the stock market has grown confident in the near-term upside for a mid-sized energy stock. Some of the data sources that feed into the iFi AI model include macroeconomic updates, news articles, fundamental company data and technical trading indicators. The AI model is bullish on more energy stocks than just Marathon, as Southwestern Energy also makes the cut. One potential momentum play from the iFi AI list is Vertiv , whose share price has more than doubled in 2024. The CEO of iFi AI, which launched in March , is CNBC senior analyst and commentator Ron Insana.

Persons: Ai, Ron Insana Organizations: Oil, Southwestern Energy, CNBC Locations: Marathon, LSEG, The Ohio

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