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London CNN —For consumers still scarred by jumps in their energy bills in recent years, the International Energy Agency has good news: Oil and natural gas prices will probably be lower over the next five years. Energy prices soared in the wake of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, which followed a rise in global demand as economies reopened after Covid lockdowns put lives on hold. And that “would move us into a very different energy world from the one we have experienced in recent years during the global energy crisis,” he added in a statement accompanying the IEA’s latest World Energy Outlook report. But global oil output has been increasing, thanks mostly to producers in the United States and other countries in the Americas. The energy body reiterated its previous forecasts that demand for oil, natural gas and coal will peak by the end of the decade.
Persons: Covid lockdowns, Ukraine don’t, Fatih Birol, Birol, ” Birol, Organizations: London CNN, International Energy Agency, Energy, Brent, IEA, US, CNN, Locations: Ukraine, United States, Americas, Qatar
Year to date, U.S. crude oil has fallen more than 1%. But Croft warned of a spiral of escalation that could ultimately lead to an oil disruption. Israel could be holding the oil card in reserve until they see how Iran responds to their strike, she said. OPEC also has millions of barrels per day in spare capacity that could jump into the breach if there is a supply disruption. “They will want to see that there is a physical supply disruption before they really jump in front of this.”
Persons: Israel, Helima Croft, CNBC’s, Brent, Croft, ” Croft, , Organizations: Biden, NBC News, RBC Capital Markets, West Texas Intermediate, Natural Gas, Israel, Global, International Energy Agency, IEA, OPEC Locations: Israel, Iran, Americas, U.S, Saudi Arabia
Crude oil futures fell more than 4% on Tuesday, as a looming global oil surplus next year overshadowed the risk of a supply disruption from the conflict between Israel and Iran. Oil prices spiked earlier this month after Iran hit Israel with a ballistic missile attack, raising fears that Israel would respond by targeting the Islamic Republic's oil facilities. The International Energy Agency said Tuesday that its members are prepared to take action if there is a supply disruption in the Middle East. Meanwhile, crude production in the Americas, led by the U.S., is poised to grow by 1.5 million bpd this year and next, the IEA said. OPEC has cut its oil 2024 forecast for the third consecutive month in a row.
Persons: Israel Organizations: International Energy Agency, OPEC Locations: Israel, Iran, Americas, U.S
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNew technologies like EVs are impacting oil demand growth, IEA's Bosoni saysToril Bosoni, head of the oil industry and markets division at IEA, discusses the organization's latest oil market report.
Persons: IEA's Bosoni, Toril Bosoni Organizations: IEA
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOil prices likely to remain under pressure over the coming months, IEA chief saysInternational Energy Agency Executive Director Fatih Birol discusses the outlook for global oil demand and crude prices over the coming months.
Persons: Fatih Birol Organizations: International Energy Agency
Low global demand forecasts, coupled with new oil supply coming from non-OPEC countries, spell a long period of subdued crude prices. Has demand growth hit its apex, and is it just downhill from here? The oil producer group's 2024 World Oil Outlook report, released Tuesday, predicts strong energy demand growth of 24% globally between now and 2050. It also forecasts "robust medium-term growth" in oil demand reaching 112.3 million barrels per day in 2029, an increase of 10.1 million barrels per day compared to 2023. The IEA still sees global oil demand rising; it just forecasts a smaller rise, and expects it to peak by the end of the decade.
Persons: It's Organizations: Brent, International Energy Agency, The, IEA Locations: Saudi, Ras Tanura, Saudi Arabia, OPEC, The Paris
CNN —Ukraine’s electricity supply risks “severe disruptions” this winter, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned, urging Kyiv’s allies to help address the country’s energy security. Russia has repeatedly attacked Ukraine’s energy infrastructure with missiles and drones since its full-scale invasion in February 2022, but its bombardments have intensified recently, leaving the country in a precarious position as colder weather approaches. Ukraine has also attacked Russia’s energy infrastructure. In its report, the agency outlines 10 measures that Ukraine and its allies should implement to tackle risks to the country’s energy supply. She also noted that the EU had contributed at least €2 billion ($2.2 billion) toward Ukraine’s energy system since Russia’s full-scale invasion began.
Persons: Kyiv’s, Fatih Birol, Ukraine’s, Ursula von der Leyen Organizations: CNN, International Energy Agency, European Union, Work, EU Locations: Russia, Ukraine, Moscow, Denmark, Europe, Lithuania
"We estimate that Brent could fall to roughly $50 per barrel in a moderate [U.S.] recession … We have a fairly benign view on the global economy," Struyven said during the conference. en Luckock global head of oil at Trafigura"Things are slowing down. Trading Giant Trafigura raised concerns about China's weak demand, and the global oil consumption tied to it. China's slowdown has spurred some to scour for alternative oil demand drivers, with a few eyeing India as a potential candidate. India is the third largest consumer of oil at around 5 million barrels of oil per day, 5% of the world's oil consumption.
Persons: Andrey Rudakov, Goldman Sachs, Brent, Struyven, Torbjörn Törnqvist, Ben Luckock, we're, Bing Chen, Gunvor Organizations: Tuapsinsky, Rosneft Oil, Bloomberg, Getty, Global Commodities, Daan, CNBC, Global, Brent, U.S, West Texas Locations: Tuapse, Russia, China, U.S, Ukraine, India, Japan, Germany, Hong
Investors are ignoring two major risks to the market, according to Vahan Janjigian, chief investment officer at Greenwich Wealth Management. Geopolitical tensions and weak oil prices are the second risk, Janjigian said. He has been "surprised" that the Russia-Ukraine war, the Israel-Hamas conflict and weak oil prices haven't elicited a bigger reaction from the market. The International Energy Agency said in its recently monthly reports that global oil demand has been decelerating , adding that oil consumption in China — long the "engine of global oil demand growth" — contracted in April and May this year. In June, it added that Chinese oil demand contracted for a third consecutive month , driven by a slump in industrial activity.
Persons: Vahan Janjigian, CNBC's, Janjigian, , Pfizer —, he's Organizations: Greenwich Wealth Management, U.S, International Energy Agency, IEA, IBM, Verizon, Pfizer, FactSet, Nvidia Locations: U.S, United States, U.S . Federal, Russia, Ukraine, Israel, China
The meeting, which hasn’t been previously reported, is the first time senior White House officials will sit down with tech company leadership to discuss how to quench AI’s insatiable thirst for energy. The source said the White House expects to detail how the public and private sector can work together to maintain US leadership in AI in a sustainable way. AI is expected to spark a 160% surge in power demand from data centers by 2030, according to Goldman Sachs. Exowatt just launched a new system that can generate and store clean energy to AI data centers. Other US officials expected to attend Thursday’s AI power meeting include White House Chief of Staff Jeff Zients, National Economic Adviser Lael Brainard, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan and top climate officials Ali Zaidi and John Podesta.
Persons: Sam Altman, Ruth Porat, Dario Amodei, hasn’t, Jennifer Granholm, Gina Raimondo, Harris, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Biden, Goldman Sachs, Altman, , ” Altman, , Robyn Patterson, Jeff Zients, Lael Brainard, Jake Sullivan, Ali Zaidi, John Podesta, Oprah Winfrey, Bill Gates Organizations: CNN, White, Google, White House, Wall, . Energy, Biden, Microsoft, International Energy Agency, Washington Post, United, , National Economic, National, ABC Locations: America, Washington, United States, Exowatt
OPEC+ extends oil output cuts again through November
  + stars: | 2024-09-05 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
This isn’t the first time OPEC+ has extended output cuts in a bid to boost crude prices. That same month, OPEC+ extended a cut of 1.65 million barrels per day announced in April 2023 until the end of 2025. Oil prices rose initially but settled slightly lower Thursday. Oil prices have declined this year despite continued output cuts and ongoing geopolitical tension in the Middle East. In June, the International Energy Agency said that a glut of oil supply could weaken the sway OPEC+ has over oil prices.
Persons: Organizations: New, New York CNN, of, Petroleum, West Texas, Brent, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: New York, OPEC, China, United States
London CNN —The United States and Europe are racing to narrow China’s commanding lead in clean energy technologies, throwing subsidies at local manufacturers and hiking tariffs on Chinese imports in a strikingly protectionist turn. Without China’s electric vehicles (EVs), solar panels, wind turbines, and batteries, reducing planet-heating pollution could take longer and ultimately increase costs for businesses and consumers. Beijing’s virtual monopoly on the processing of some critical minerals comes with particular risks for the global green transition. Zhu Haipeng/VCG/APAny delay in switching to clean energy will exact a heavy toll on the planet. Birol at the IEA also advocates for trade policies that diversify supply chains while reducing the risk of delays to the clean energy transition.
Persons: , Margrethe Vestager, , ” Fatih Birol, David G, Victor, Michael R, Davidson, ” Victor, Pierre, Olivier Gourinchas, Zhu Haipeng, Victor of, Birol, don’t Organizations: London CNN, Russia, Getty, , International Energy Agency, Global, University of California, CNN, Monetary Fund, McKinsey Global Institute, Victor of University of California, IEA Locations: United States, Europe, China, Lianyungang, Washington, Netherlands, Japan, Beijing, of Taicang, Suzhou, Brookings, University of California San Diego, Fuzhou, Victor of University of California San Diego
Oil strengthens as fall estimated in U.S. crude inventories
  + stars: | 2024-08-14 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Oil prices climbed on Wednesday on estimates about shrinking U.S. crude and gasoline inventories as the market watched for a possible widening of the Middle Eastern war, which could curtail global oil supplies. U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories were expected to have fallen last week, while distillate stocks rose, according to market sources, citing American Petroleum Institute data on Tuesday. Gasoline inventories eased by 3.69 million barrels, and distillates rose by 612,000 barrels. A broadening conflict in the region could affect crude supplies from Iran and neighboring producer countries, analysts said, tightening inventories and supporting prices. Keeping oil prices from moving even higher, the International Energy Agency (IEA), meanwhile, kept its 2024 global oil demand growth forecast unchanged on Tuesday but trimmed its 2025 estimate, citing the impact of a weakened Chinese economy on consumption.
Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, American Petroleum Institute, Energy, Administration, U.S . Navy, International Energy Agency Locations: Stanton , Texas, U.S, Iran, Tehran, Israel
Air New Zealand is waiting for eight Boeing 787 Dreamliners and five Airbus A320neo and A3201neo planes, according to its website. SAF has a lower carbon footprint than traditional jet fuel because it’s made from waste products, where the carbon has already been emitted; or from plants that absorb CO2 as they grow. That was much higher than the 5% reduction target in international aviation emissions by 2030 agreed by 193 countries at a United Nations-backed conference last November. The aviation industry accounted for 2% of global energy-related carbon emissions in 2022, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). “Planned production capacity for sustainable aviation fuels will provide just a small fraction of jet fuel demand by 2027,” notes the IEA on its website.
Persons: ” Greg Foran, , it’s, Organizations: London CNN — Air, Zealand, Air, Boeing, Airbus, CNN, SAF, United, International Energy Agency, New, Reuters Locations: Zealand, Air, United Nations, New Zealand
We're seeing a clear slowdown in oil demand growth, says IEA
  + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're seeing a clear slowdown in oil demand growth, says IEAToril Bosoni, head of the oil industry and markets division at the IEA, discusses the agency's latest Oil Market Report.
Crude oil futures rose Thursday as inflation eased, bolstering hopes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later this year. Lower interest rates typically stimulate economic growth, which can bolster crude oil demand. The inflation and interest rate outlook overshadowed mixed signals on oil demand for this year. The IEA is forecasting global oil demand growth will average just under 1 million bpd in 2024 due to subpar economic growth, greater energy efficiency and electric vehicle adoption. OPEC, on the other hand, is much more bullish, forecasting demand growth of 2.2 million bpd as the cartel sees solid economic growth of 2.9% this year.
Organizations: Federal Reserve, Department of Labor, Reserve, International Energy Agency, IEA Locations: Stanton , Texas, Paris, China
Read previewChina has spent at least $230 billion on government support to electric vehicle makers such as BYD since 2009, according to a new study from the Centre for Strategic & International Studies think tank. Government subsidies have been a central pillar of China's quest to become an EV powerhouse over the past decade. AdvertisementChina is now the world's largest electric vehicle market, accounting for 60% of global EV sales in 2023, per the IEA — well above rivals like the US and Japan. EV makers in China can get government support through several routes, including infrastructure subsidies, tax exemptions, and buyer rebates. Massive government support has cultivated intense competition among China's legion of EV companies, which in turn has led to low prices.
Persons: , BYD, Tesla Organizations: Service, Centre, Strategic & International Studies, Business, European Union, EV, CSIS, Battery, Penn Wharton University Locations: China, Europe, Japan, America
OPEC+ members recently announced plans to bring 2.5 million bpd back to the market from October through September 2025. If the group follows through with its announced plan, the oil market will see a surplus of 2.6 million bpd or more. Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Hsueh said the OPEC+ production plan will cast a bearish shadow over the next two years . It is "inconceivable that the market could absorb anything close" to 2.5 million bpd, Hsueh said. The International Energy Agency warned Wednesday the world will be awash in oil by 2030, with production capacity outpacing demand projections by eight million bpd.
Persons: Brent, Michael Hsueh, Hsueh, Fatih Birol Organizations: Citi, Brent, Deutsche Bank, United Arab Emirates, TD Securities, International Energy Agency Locations: OPEC, North America, Brazil, Guyana, U.S
The head of OPEC said Thursday the world will need to invest in fossil fuels for decades to come in order to prevent an energy shortage, dismissing predictions that oil demand will peak in the near future. The OPEC chief called for "continued oil industry investment, today, tomorrow, and many decades into the future given the products derived from crude oil are essential for our daily lives." Oil supply capacity will rise to 114 million per day by 2030, 8 million barrels more than global demand, according to the IEA. Deutsche Bank and Citi, however, see OPEC coming under pressure in the coming years. Citi analysts see a substantial oil surplus in 2025 as production keeps growing in North America, Brazil and Guyana, while demand slows due to energy efficiency improvements and electric vehicle adoption.
Persons: Haitham Al Ghais, Al Ghais, Fatih Birol, OPEC's Al Ghais, Helima, Croft, I'm, Robert McNally, McNally, EVs, Michael Hsueh Organizations: OPEC, International Energy Agency, IEA, IEA ., RBC Capital Markets, Rapidan Energy, Deutsche Bank, Citi, Brent Locations: China, India, North America, Europe, Northeast Asia, Asia, U.S, OPEC, Brazil, Guyana
In its latest medium-term market report, titled Oil 2024, the global energy watchdog said oil demand growth was on track to slow down before ultimately reaching its peak of near 106 million barrels per day by 2030. That's up from just over 102 million barrels per day in 2023. At the same time, the IEA expects total oil production capacity to surge to nearly 114 million barrels per day by 2030 — a whopping 8 million barrels per day above projected global demand. The burning of fossil fuels such as coal, oil and gas is the chief driver of the climate crisis. The share of fossil fuels in the global energy supply has stayed at around 80% for decades, according to the IEA, although it expects this to fall to around 73% by 2030.
Persons: Fatih Birol, Birol Organizations: The International Energy Agency, Big Oil, IEA Locations: Monahans , Texas, U.S, OPEC
The Paris-based IEA said Wednesday that it expects growth in global oil production — led by the United States and other countries in the Americas — to “inflate the world’s spare (oil) capacity cushion” to levels seen only once before, during the coronavirus pandemic when oil prices crashed. By 2030, global oil supply will outstrip demand by a “staggering” 8 million barrels per day, according to forecasts published by the agency in its medium-term oil market report. “(That’s) a major, major surplus and… might be one of the highest in the history,” Fatih Birol, the IEA’s executive director, told reporters. The IEA also forecast growth in global oil demand to “slow progressively” over the rest of the decade, with demand peaking by 2029 before contracting slightly the year after. Despite the cuts, oil prices have trended downward in recent months.
Persons: London CNN —, upend, ” Fatih Birol Organizations: London CNN, Organization of, Petroleum, International Energy Agency, The, , OPEC, CNN, IEA, Brent, West Texas Locations: OPEC, The Paris, United States, Americas, Russia, Syria, China
An offshore oil platform is seen at sunset on February 9, 2024 near Huntington Beach, California. Oil prices rose on Tuesday, extending the previous day's rally on hopes of higher seasonal fuel demand and potential U.S. crude purchases for its petroleum reserve, though gains were capped by a firmer dollar. Brent crude futures climbed 28 cents, or 0.3%, to $81.91 per barrel by 0038 GMT and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 31 cents, or 0.4%, to $78.05. "Since WTI is near its 200-day average, we expect oil prices to remain close to current levels for a while," he said. U.S. crude oil stockpiles were expected to have fallen while product inventories likely rose last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.
Persons: WTI, Hiroyuki Kikukawa, Jennifer Granholm, Goldman Sachs, Brent Organizations: Brent, . West Texas, . Federal Reserve, NS, Nissan Securities, Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Energy, Reuters, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Information Administration, U.S . Department of Energy, U.S . Energy Information Administration, International Energy Agency Locations: Huntington Beach , California, U.S, .
OPEC+ to extend deep oil production cuts into 2025
  + stars: | 2024-06-02 | by ( Anna Cooban | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
CNN —The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies — a group of leading oil producers known as OPEC+ — agreed Sunday to extend a voluntary production cut of 2.2 million barrels of crude oil a day into 2025. The group also released its 2025 production requirements for member and nonmember countries, which were essentially the same as this year’s. Despite the OPEC+ cuts, equivalent to about 5.7% of global crude supply, and ongoing tensions in the Middle East, global oil prices have fallen by about 10% since hitting a five-month high in early April. The IEA expects global supply to increase by just 580,000 barrels per day this year. Sunday’s OPEC+ decision coincides with Saudi Arabia selling some more shares in its oil company Aramco.
Persons: , Russia —, Brent Organizations: CNN, of, Petroleum, United, Emirates, Brent, West Texas, International Monetary Fund, International Energy Agency, IEA, Saudi, Aramco Locations: OPEC, Saudi Arabia, Russia, United States, , Syria, China, Europe, Paris, Riyadh
This old technology getting some fresh attention is a trend investors may not want to miss: Heat pumps. Heat pumps provide both air conditioning and heat — all in one device. Heat pumps could play a viable role in this regard," Muhedini said in a research note last week. The DOE also runs a Residential Cold Climate Heat Pump Technology Challenge , which is partnered with Trane, Carrier, and Johnson Controls, among other leading heat pump makers. In the chemicals sector, companies that produce more eco-friendly refrigerants for heat pumps could one day reap the benefits of recent legislation in the U.S. that will ban next year the production of heat pumps that use refrigerants with high levels of global warming potential.
Persons: hasn't, They're, William Thompson, Amantia, Muhedini, Thompson, Johnson, Jefferies, Stephen Volkmann, Trane, Andrew Kaplowitz, Deane Dray, Dray, Lennox, Owens, It's, they've, Nestle Organizations: UBS, McKinsey, Barclays, United Nations, UN, International Energy Agency, Johnson Controls, Carrier, Solutions, Citi, Wednesday, U.S . Department, DOE, Trane, RBC Capital, Johnson, Companies, Rockwell Automation, Honeywell International, Arkema, Unilever Locations: industrials, U.S, Paris, Trane, Monday's, Spain, Switzerland
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIranian regime 'strong enough' to engineer elections in its favor, analyst saysNeil Atkinson, independent energy analyst at EnergyAnalysis.FR and former head of oil at the IEA, discusses the death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi.
Persons: Neil Atkinson, Ebrahim Raisi
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