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☆ 2024 marks a 21st century rarity: Almost everyone thinks the election results are legitimate
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —The reaction from Democrats to Donald Trump’s 2024 victory is, to put it mildly, very much unlike their reaction to his 2016 win. When asked whether Trump’s win was legitimate, about 94% of voters said it was. This includes 64% who agreed that Trump’s win was legitimate and supported his presidency and another 30% who accepted Trump’s victory but indicated that they would oppose his presidency. A third of Clinton supporters in a mid-November 2016 ABC News/Washington Post poll said that Trump’s win was not legitimate. Democrats may have accepted Trump’s win, but he’s likely to upset them greatly during his presidency.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Biden’s, Trump, Biden, Kamala Harris, – it’s, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Donald Trump, Trump's, Spencer Platt, Clinton, Trump’s, didn’t, George W, Obama’s, delegitimize Obama’s, Obama Organizations: CNN, Reuters, Quinnipiac University, Republicans, Trump, Electoral, GOP, Biden, Getty, ABC, Washington Post, Gallup, CBS Locations: New York

☆ Why these are the five (or six) states to watch on election night
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-04 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

The only thing that matters is getting to 270 electoral votes through the Electoral College. Meanwhile, 219 electoral votes seem to be leaning in the former president’s direction. Closing off the ‘blue wall’Looking at those battleground states, Harris has the easier path than Trump to getting to 270 electoral votes. She could win by corralling Michigan (15 electoral votes), Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes) and Wisconsin (10 electoral votes). But the bottom line is this election is most likely going to come down to five states … or maybe six.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Al Gore, Harris, there’s, Ann Selzer’s, corralling Michigan, Jacquelyn Martin, Clinton, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Trump’s, Chip Somodevilla Organizations: CNN, Electoral, Congressional District, Trump, Ann Selzer’s Des Moines Register, corralling, Southern Sun, State, North, Georgia, Democratic, North Carolina, Silver State Locations: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Washington, Ann Selzer’s Des, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Madison , Wisconsin, North Carolina, Trump, Southern, Greensboro , North Carolina, Nevada, , Arizona, Arizona . Arizona, Silver

☆ Video: New polling shows Harris and Trump virtually tied in two battleground states
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-31 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

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☆ Who will be the next president? News outlets are running out of ways to communicate the uncertainty
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-30 | by ( Brian Stelter | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

New York CNN —“Jump ball.” “Coin flip.” “Toss up.” “Dead heat.” “Deadlocked.” On TV and online, political analysts are running out of ways to say the presidential race is effectively tied. As CNN’s Dana Bash said on “Inside Politics” Tuesday, “this race could not be closer.”In this final week of the campaign, the most important thing for the news media to communicate is uncertainty. On the right, former President Donald Trump and many of his right-wing media allies are expressing unbridled confidence that the Republican is going to win next week. “I spend more hours figuring out ways to say this race is close than New Yorkers spend in traffic,” Enten quipped. Even after all the polls are closed, there may still be uncertainty about the outcome since different states tabulate votes in different ways.

Persons: ”, ” “, CNN’s Dana Bash, Rick Klein, Donald Trump, Laura Ingraham, Jesse Watters, Trump, Matt Lewis, Donie O’Sullivan, “, Kamala Harris, they’re, Michelle Obama, Harry Enten, ” Enten, Enten, Harris, “ I’ve, ” Anthony Salvanto, ” Salvanto Organizations: New, New York CNN, ”, ABC News Washington, CNN, Republican, Fox News, Trump, MSNBC, Fox, Journalists, CBS News Locations: New York, “ MAGA, New

☆ Trump was doing historically well among Hispanic voters before Madison Square Garden rally backlash
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-28 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Consider an average of recent polling data on Hispanic voters: Kamala Harris is ahead of Trump by just 13 points. That’s well off an average of post-election and exit poll data from 2020, when Joe Biden carried Hispanic voters by 26 points. Trump lost Hispanic voters by 39 points to Hillary Clinton, according to an average of exit poll and post-election data. Trump has been doing particularly well among Hispanic men, as well as Hispanic voters without a college degree. Immigration ranked third for all likely voters, at 12%, which, again, mirrors the 15% of likely Hispanic voters who felt the same way.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, Tony Hinchcliffe’s, Trump, George W, Bush, Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Spencer Platt, Harris, it’s, Biden, Will Organizations: CNN, Madison, New York City, GOP, Trump, Getty, New York Times, Siena College, Immigration, White, Google Locations: New York, Puerto Rico, New York City, South Bronx, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Both Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Philadelphia, Detroit, Madison , Wisconsin, Madison

☆ Why nobody knows who will win the 2024 election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

CNN —Almost two weeks to Election Day, I feel more uncertain about this year’s result than any election I’ve covered professionally. Many Republicans are hoping that the close polling points to a blowout win for Trump next month. If we had a polling miss like two years ago, Harris would probably win over 300 electoral votes. Jonathan Drake/ReutersYou might be tempted to guess the direction of a potential polling miss by the macro trends. Ironically, only 24% of those undecided voters agree that this election is the most important of their lifetime.

Persons: I’ve, Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, it’s, Harris, Joe Biden, Trump, we’ve, Jonathan Drake, he’d, pollsters, underperformed, White Organizations: CNN, Trump, Let’s, Nebraska’s, Republicans, New York Times, Siena College, Pennsylvania, Keystone State, Republican, Black, Democratic Locations: Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Asheville , North Carolina, Keystone, Pennsylvania

☆ The WNBA is having a real moment - Caitlin Clark and the league’s historic season by the numbers
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-10 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

They’ve been higher this WNBA season, starting with the draft in April, than at any point since we’ve had data (2004). A little more than 4,000 people attended their average game in 2023, which ranked them second to last. Angel Reese and Caitlin Clark were teammates in the 2024 WNBA All-Star Game. More people tuned into the average nationally televised WNBA game this season, 657k, than in any season in the 21st century. These Sky-Fever numbers actually match or exceed the average nationally televised MLB regular season game.

Persons: I’m, Caitlin Clark, They’ve, we’ve, Clark, Angel Reese, Juan Ocampo, Reese, Reese showdowns, Tiffany Hayes, Sabally, Ethan Miller, Aaron Judge, Mike Trout, It’s Organizations: CNN, Indiana Fever, WNBA, NBA, hometown Indiana Pacers, Chicago Sky, Getty, CBS Sports, ESPN, Liberty, Las Vegas Aces, Clark’s Locations: York

☆ Video: Data reporter breaks down poll numbers weeks before the election
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-06 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ Trump is getting wilder and wilder, but the White House race remains a toss-up
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-23 | by ( Stephen Collinson | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +11 min

But the nature of the race — a toss-up contest in swing states — has not budged. No clear leaderBut despite the rising heat on the campaign trail, the race remains where it has been for weeks: deadlocked. The vice president is at 50% compared with Trump’s 47% in the latest CNN Poll of Polls average. Vice President Kamala Harris boards Air Force Two in Queens, New York, on September 22, 2024. Former President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign rally at the Aero Center in Wilmington, North Carolina, on September 21, 2024.

Persons: Donald Trump’s, he’d, —, Trump, He’s, CNN’s KFile, Kamala Harris, Harry Enten, Democrat John F, Richard Nixon, Gretchen Whitmer, Harris ’, “, Harris, Sharyl Attkisson, ”, Joe Biden, Matt Rourke, Biden, Donald Trump, Jim Watson, Republicans —, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, she’s, “ I’m, “ I’ve, ” Harris, South Carolina Sen, Lindsey Graham, NBC’s Kristen Welker, Who’s Organizations: CNN, White, North Carolina, Democrat, Michigan Gov, Democrats, Trump, NBC News, Democratic, Electoral, Air Force, Capitol, Oval, Democratic National Convention, Republican Party, Aero Center, Getty, Republicans, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, NBC, —, Federal Reserve, mull, Republican, South, “ Locations: Ohio, “ State, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, Nevada , Wisconsin , Michigan, North Carolina, United States, Queens , New York, Trump, Chicago, Wilmington , North Carolina, AFP, Florida, South Carolina

☆ Analysis: Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump is the closest presidential race of the century
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-22 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

On average, according to the latest CNN Poll of Polls, Harris is ahead by 3 points. Instead, it is a race to 270 electoral votes through the Electoral College. Per CNN’s current race ratings, Harris starts at 225 electoral votes to Trump’s 219. A win in Nebraska’s 2nd District would likely give Harris exactly 270 electoral votes when added to Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Some Nebraska Republicans, urged on by Trump, want to change the state’s method of allocating electoral votes to a winner-take-all format.

Persons: Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, Harris ’, Harris, Joe Biden, –, Nate Silver, Trump, he’s, Biden, SSRS Organizations: CNN, White, Republican, Electoral, CBS News, NBC News, Democratic, CBS, NBC, ABC News, Fox News, The New York Times, Siena College, Trump, Harris, Electoral College, Congressional, Trump North, Cornhusker, Nebraska’s, Nebraska Republicans, Democrat, Nebraska, Silver State Locations: Nebraska’s, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Trump North Carolina, Maine, Omaha

☆ Why are we still talking about cat memes in the 2024 campaign?
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-18 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —Far be it from anyone to identify a defined strategy in the cat memes that have overtaken the American political conversation in a pivotal election year. Never mind the state’s Republican governor, who also counseled against a campaign visit, called out state troopers to city schools to ease concern about scores of bomb threats. Intentional or not, the insult cued a new round of stories about how the Trump campaign doesn’t seem to mind turning off women voters. Women voters have shifted away from Trump since Harris entered the race, according to polls. “Every time I do a focus group with swing voters, they bring up JD Vance talking about childless cat ladies.

Persons: “, Donald Trump’s, Ramaswamy, Vivek Ramaswamy, Roberto Schmidt, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Kamala Harris, Sanders, Harris, ” Harris, Kristen Soltis Anderson, ” That’s, Harris ”, Anderson, Trump, Sen, JD Vance, Harry Enten, we’ve, Enten, Nicky Jam, He’s, Taylor Swift’s, Billie Eilish’s, Lance Trover, Doug Burgum, Trover, “ I’m, ” Trover, it’s, ” Anderson, Vance, Sarah Longwell, CNN’s Jake Tapper, “ I’ve, ” Longwell Organizations: CNN, Republican, he’d, AFP, Getty, Arkansas Gov, Trump, New York Times, Siena College, Puerto, Pennsylvania doesn’t, North Dakota Gov, The New York Times, Trump Republican Locations: Ohio, Springfield, Springfield , Ohio, Michigan, Puerto Rican, Las Vegas, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

(The poll was conducted last week, before Sunday’s apparent assassination attempt against Trump.) What makes the Selzer survey so important is that it’s been accurate in an era when other pollsters have struggled. This Selzer poll could also be an outlier, and much could change between now and Election Day. But the current poll is a far better result than the previous Selzer survey from June – when Biden was still in the race. The bottom line: You’d much rather have the Selzer poll in your corner than not.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sunday’s, Selzer, Harris, Selzer’s, –, Biden, Trump, Clinton, Read Organizations: Des Moines Register, Selzer, Trump, Hawkeye, Biden Locations: America, Iowa, Wisconsin

☆ Kamala Harris just got one of her best polls of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-17 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

CNN —One of the best pollsters in America recently came out with its latest survey, and it’s good news for Kamala Harris. That result fell well short of the lead he had in preelection state polling. The fact that the Selzer poll is indicating a similar shift in Harris’ favor in Iowa makes me think the Wisconsin polls may be on to something. This Selzer poll could also be an outlier, and much could change between now and Election Day. The bottom line: You’d much rather have the Selzer poll in your corner than not.

Persons: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Sunday’s, Selzer, Harris, Trump, Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, underestimating Trump, SSRS, Clinton, Harris ’, That’s, Selzer’s, –, Biden Organizations: CNN, Des Moines Register, Selzer, Trump, Hawkeye, Iowa, Wisconsin –, Selzer’s, Badger State, Marquette University Law School, CBS, Badger, Wisconsin, Biden Locations: America, Iowa, Wisconsin, Marquette, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , North Carolina, Pennsylvania

☆ How Taylor Swift’s endorsement of Kamala Harris matters
▼ + stars: | 2024-09-11 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

CNN —It was the Instagram endorsement read ‘round the world: Pop superstar Taylor Swift backs Kamala Harris for president. Swift’s support for Harris and voter registration will likely have some impact, but not as much as some would hope. That said, Harris and the Democratic Party are struggling with young voters and voter registration, so they’ll take any help they can get. Let’s start out with what we know about Swift’s post. An examination of Google trends revealed a spike in searches for voter registration after Swift’s post, a Washington Post analysis found.

Persons: Taylor Swift, Kamala Harris, Swift’s, Harris, Let’s, Swift, Donald Trump, “ Swifties, That’s, Joe Biden, Biden, won’t, Phil Bredesen, Bredesen Organizations: CNN, Democratic Party, General Services Administration, Republicans, Swift, GOP, Grinnell College, Fox Locations: Swift’s, Washington, Arizona , Nevada , North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, Harris

☆ Analysis: The math behind why Harris picked Walz and why she may regret it
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-06 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

So what took Walz from, nationally speaking, a relative unknown to major-party vice presidential nominee? But is the Walz pick indicative of a campaign that is too online? After all, the Harris campaign has been riding a wave of good emotions since she became the presumptive Democratic nominee. One of the first rules when it comes to a vice presidential pick is to “Do no harm.” Harris likely did no harm with this pick. She seems to have momentum, and the Walz pick will probably do nothing to impede it.

Persons: Tim Walz hadn’t, Kamala Harris, Walz, Donald Trump, JD Vance, Vance, He’s, Harris, ” Harris, Joe Biden’s, Josh Shapiro, Shapiro, Walz’s, can’t, –, ’ Organizations: CNN, Minnesota Gov, Republican Party, Republican, Pennsylvania Gov, Democratic Party, Democratic, North Star State, Biden, White, ” Locations: Shapiro . Minnesota, Washington, . Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania, Minnesota

☆ We are 100 days from the 2024 presidential election. Here's where things stand.
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-28 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +11 min

Harris opens up new potential paths to victorySince entering the race, Harris has shown momentum in early polling. This became worrisome for the Biden campaign as warning signs flashed in states like Virginia and New Hampshire. The positive early polling is a great sign for the vice president, but it isn't the only metric that shows momentum. Trump's pick for vice president makes things interestingVice presidential picks are far from guaranteed to help a presidential hopeful win a state. With Biden out of the race, Democrats will likely seek to tie the election — anchored by Harris' candidacy — to the party's future.

Persons: —, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Lyndon B, Johnson, Joe Biden's, Biden, Biden's, Trump, Harris, isn't, Sen, JD Vance, MAGA, Joe Biden, hto4J6PkOw —, Harry Enten, Harris —, Al Gore, George W, Vance, Ohio Sen, Win McNamee, Doug Emhoff, Mike Pence, John McCain of, Jim Vondruska, Mark Kelly of Arizona, Josh Shapiro, Tim Walz, Andy Beshear, Roy Cooper of, JB Pritzker, Gretchen Whitmer, Pete Buttigieg, Cedric Richmond of, Kelly, Shapiro, Walz Organizations: Service, The United, Democratic, Business, Democrats, Republican National Convention, Democratic National Convention, GOP, New York Times, Trump, Biden, Harris, CNN, Electoral, NV, Omaha -, Black, Anselm College, Convention, Ohio, Ohio Republican, Senate, Ohio Republicans, White, Getty, Pennsylvania, Bloomberg, Illinois, Navy Locations: The United States, Vietnam, Harris, Chicago, Ohio, Siena, Michigan , Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Omaha, Nebraska, Virginia, New Hampshire, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina, Georgia, John McCain of Arizona, Michigan, Kentucky, Roy Cooper of North Carolina, Cedric Richmond of Louisiana, Arizona, Wisconsin

☆ JD Vance breaks polling records in the worst way
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Alice Tecotzky | John L. Dorman | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Read previewVice presidential candidates typically receive a ratings bump after their party's convention, but JD Vance is bucking the tradition. Since 2000, vice presidential candidates typically have a net positive rating immediately following the convention, at plus 19 points. Vance, however, is polling at minus six points just one week after accepting the vice presidential nomination and officially embarking on the campaign, according to the network. "The JD Vance pick makes no sense from a statistical polling perspective," CNN political data reporter Harry Enten said. "We'd like to be the first to congratulate JD Vance on making history as the least popular VP pick, well…ever," it reads.

Persons: —, JD Vance, Vance, Tim Ryan, Mike DeWine, Nan Whaley, Harry Enten, Harris, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, Trumpworld, Donald Trump, Trump's, Biden, There's, Trump Organizations: Service, Republican National Convention, CNN, Business, Ohio Senate, Democratic, Republican Gov Locations: Ohio, Dayton

☆ How Kamala Harris can beat Donald Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-24 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +4 min

Still, the 2020 results show that Harris can make up even more ground with these groups in her expected matchup against Donald Trump. Among Black voters, Biden led Trump 84% to 9% at the end of the 2020 campaign. This may seem like bad news for the Harris campaign, and, in one clear way, it is. Without improving among these groups, Harris likely cannot win against the former president. The bottom line is that the latest CNN polling provides the Harris campaign with some hope.

Persons: CNN — Kamala Harris, Joe Biden, Harris, Donald Trump, Biden, It’s Harris, there’s, Harris overperforms Biden, It’s Organizations: CNN, Trump, Black, Biden, Voters, Democratic, Electoral, Congressional District, Sun Locations: Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona , Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, battlegrounds

Former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden. If you average the national polls since the debate 15 days ago, Trump’s ahead by 3 points. Biden and Trump’s own history should make you think twice about calling wraps on this race as well. Biden was ahead by 9 points in the early July national polls in 2020. Read Harry Enten’s full analysis of the state of the race and the latest polling.

Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Joe Biden’s, Biden’s, Democrat Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, Bush, Dukakis, Biden, Trump’s, Read Harry Enten’s Organizations: Getty, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Biden, Trump, Democrat, Republican Locations: Republican George H.W ., Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, George , Nevada, North Carolina

☆ Donald Trump is favored, but Joe Biden can still win this election
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-12 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +5 min

If you average the national polls since the debate 15 days ago, Trump’s ahead by 3 points. An NPR/PBS News/Marist College poll out Friday morning even put the race at 50% for Biden to 48% for Trump (a result within the margin of error). Biden was ahead by 9 points in the early July national polls in 2020. I think it’s totally fair to say that Trump is the favorite and that Biden has his work cut out for him. There is also data to suggest that Vice President Kamala Harris would be a stronger Democratic nominee against Trump than Biden.

Persons: Joe Biden’s, Biden’s, Donald Trump, Democrat Michael Dukakis, Republican George H.W, Republican George H.W . Bush, Bush, Dukakis, Biden, Trump’s, Trump, we’ve, Nate Silver, Hillary Clinton, Clinton ”, We’ve, Kamala Harris, Harris Organizations: CNN, NPR, PBS, Marist College, Biden, Trump, Democrat, Republican, Biden’s, Democratic Locations: Republican George H.W ., Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, George , Nevada, North Carolina

☆ Democrats go public with fears of GOP ‘landslide’ that could jeopardize US democracy
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-10 | by ( Zachary B. Wolf | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

CNN —President Joe Biden and his advisers keep issuing unequivocal declarations that he’s staying in the 2024 race, but Democrats aren’t hearing it. “Speaker Pelosi fully supports whatever President Biden decides to do,” a spokesperson said in a subsequent statement. “Donald Trump is on track, I think, to win this election, and maybe win it by a landslide, and take with him the Senate and the House,” he told CNN’s Kaitlan Collins. Trump is currently aheadCNN’s Road to 270 assessment of the electoral map shows Trump in position to win the election. “Donald Trump and the Republicans have loved every minute of watching this discussion,” Rep. Debbie Dingell, who represents the battleground state of Michigan, told CNN’s Jessica Dean.

Persons: Joe Biden, “, Nancy Pelosi, ”, Biden, Pelosi, Vermont Sen, Peter Welch, —, Colorado Sen, Michael Bennet, “ Donald Trump, CNN’s Kaitlan Collins, Adam Smith, ” Smith, Trump, CNN’s Wolf, Ritchie Torres —, Biden —, Clooney, George Clooney, cohosted, “ Joe Biden, ” Clooney, He’s, Rob Reiner, Michael Douglas, ABC’s George Stephanopoulos, doesn’t, Lester Holt, ’ Bennet, Sens, Sherrod Brown, Jon Tester, ” Bennet, Donald Trump, CNN’s, Ronald Brownstein, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Harry Enten, CNN’s Jim Acosta, Hakeem Jeffries, Annie Grayer, Manu Raju, Jeffries, Debbie Dingell, CNN’s Jessica Dean Organizations: CNN, Democratic, Democrat, New York Rep, Congressional Black Caucus, The New York Times, Democrats, Trump, Biden, Hollywood, Democratic National Convention, NATO, NBC, Colorado Democrat, Senate, Republicans, White, House Democratic Caucus, ” Locations: Vermont, Washington, Los Angeles, California, Chicago, Russia, New York City, Georgia , Michigan, Nevada, Michigan

☆ Biden's path to victory is much narrower following his debate disaster with states like New Mexico and Virginia suddenly in play for Trump
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-03 | by ( Brent D. Griffiths | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Under the University of Virginia Center for Politics' current projections, there are five true toss-up states: Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada. The reality is that if Biden is stuck playing defense in states Democrats usually win, Trump's return to the White House will be a foregone conclusion. The only question then will be how many Electoral College votes would the former president win. "If Biden's position gets worse, that's when you see maybe a Virginia or New Mexico get in play," Kondik said. Virginia, New Hampshire, New Mexico, or Minnesota are not going to be the states that put Trump over 270.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Nate Silver, Biden, hadn't, Trump, Crystal Ball, Kyle Kondik, Kondik, Ball, hasn't, George H.W, George H.W . Bush, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Jen O'Malley Dillon, O'Malley Dillon, There's, Trump's, Harry Enten, Biden's, 8KhJEsd8Dc —, Kamala Harris, Gretchen Whitmer, Gavin Newsom, Lloyd Doggett, we're Organizations: Service, Nebraska, Trump, Business, Sun, Lean, University of Virginia Center, Politics, Electoral College, Republican, Saint Anselm College, Biden, Independent, Granite, Democratic National Convention, California Gov Locations: Michigan , Wisconsin, Omaha, Midwest, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Michigan , Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, Nevada, Virginia, New Mexico, Maine, Nebraska, George H.W ., New Hampshire, Granite State, Florida, Texas, Virginia , New Hampshire , New Mexico

☆ Video: New poll shows impact of Biden’s debate performance
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-30 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: 1 min

☆ ‘Deeply concerned.’ 16 Nobel economists sound the alarm on Trump and inflation
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-26 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

Yet 16 Nobel Prize-winning economists are warning that Trump’s proposals wouldn’t just fail to fix inflation — they would make matters worse. “We the undersigned are deeply concerned about the risks of a second Trump administration for the US economy,” the economists wrote in the Tuesday letter, which was first reported by Axios. The letter, organized by famed economist Joseph Stiglitz, argued there are valid reasons to worry the Trump agenda will “reignite” inflation. Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks at the Road to Majority conference in Washington, Saturday, June 22, 2024. Jae C. Hong/Pool/APIn the letter, the 16 Nobel economists expressed concern about the rule of law and stability if Trump wins the White House again.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, Axios, Joseph Stiglitz, Trump’s, Manuel Balce Ceneta, Joe Biden, ”, Stiglitz, —, Biden, Jae C, “ Donald Trump, Robert Shiller, Paul Romer, George Akerlof, Janet Yellen, Biden’s, Joe, Donald Trump’s, ” Karoline Leavitt, don’t, Harry Enten, Moody’s Organizations: CNN, Peterson Institute, Oxford Economics, Allianz, Republican, AP Trump, Congressional, Federal Reserve, Trump, World Bank, Biden, ABC, Voters Locations: Washington, China, U.S, Mexico, Nogales, Ariz

☆ Willie Mays: My father taught me everything I needed to know about the most complete ballplayer ever
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-20 | by ( Harry Enten | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

CNN —When people ask me how good of a player Willie Mays was, I give them a perhaps odd answer. You see, my Father watched Mays play when he came up as a rookie for the New York Giants in 1951. That short splice of film is our version of getting to see Mays play. Mays is a big reason why my Father was one of the few people who wore a New York Giants baseball cap throughout his later years. It’s a connection I try to carry on to this day whether it’s by wearing a New York Giants baseball hat on television or by answering “the New York Giants” when asked what baseball team I root for.

Persons: Willie Mays, Mays, –, ”, Harry Enten, CNN Mays, ” –, Vic Wertz, Harry Hall, Neil Paine, Long, New York – Organizations: CNN, San Francisco Giants, New York Mets, Mets, of Fame, New York Giants, Giants, NL, Brooklyn Dodgers, National League, Cleveland Indians, AP, Chicago Cubs, Baseball, Major League, Negro League, MLB, Negro Leagues, Birmingham Black Barons Locations: Cleveland, New York, West Coast, Chicago, Mays, Mississippi, Bronx

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