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☆ How to juice the yield in your fixed income portfolio as Trump returns to the White House
▼ + stars: | 2024-11-07 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

The tax cuts and tariffs floated by Trump has raised worries of a widening fiscal deficit, spurring Treasury yields higher as of late. Bond yields move inversely to their prices. A buying opportunity in bonds Sinead Colton Grant, chief investment officer at BNY Wealth, believes that bond investors overreacted. US10Y YTD mountain U.S. 10-year Treasury "The biggest determinant of your long-term return is the yield," Grant said. Munis While municipal bond yields don't move as quickly as Treasury yields, they are expected to follow, said BNY Wealth's Grant.

Persons: Donald Trump, Bond, Mark Haefele, Sinead Colton Grant, overreacted, Trump, Grant, it's, Brian Rehling, Charles Failla, BNY Wealth's Grant, Sudip Mukherjee Organizations: White, Federal Reserve, Trump, UBS, Fargo Investment, Sovereign Financial Group, AAA, Moody's Locations: Fargo, Stamford, Conn, New York City, muni

☆ A skip from the Fed at its next meeting would be great for economic strength, says UBS' Mark Haefele
▼ + stars: | 2024-10-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailA skip from the Fed at its next meeting would be great for economic strength, says UBS' Mark HaefeleMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management CIO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the idea of the Federal Reserve skipping at cut at its next meeting, what to expect from markets through the end of the year, and much more.

Persons: Mark Haefele Mark Haefele Organizations: Fed, UBS, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal

☆ Haefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolio
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHaefele: with the cash rate coming down, now is a great time to move towards a balanced portfolioMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management, talks about the big event of the week, Fed Chairman Jay Powell speaking in Jackson Hole.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Jay Powell Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: Jackson

☆ Nvidia, Super Micro Computer lead AI trade carnage with both stocks down more than 12%
▼ + stars: | 2024-08-05 | by ( Samantha Subin | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

With investors in a risk-off mood, AI shares with high valuations were among the first to be dumped from portfolios. Nvidia and Super Micro Computer shed about 12% each before the bell, while Advanced Micro Devices lost about 5%. Megacap technology stocks also sold off during premarket trading, with Alphabet , Meta Platforms and Amazon falling more than 5% each. Major technology stocks — with the exception of Nvidia — wrapped up a busy earnings stretch last week. Nvidia, Alphabet and Meta Platforms pulled back more than 5%, while Microsoft dropped more than 6%.

Persons: Tesla, Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway, Nvidia —, Mark Haefele, Jefferies Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nvidia, Computer, Super, VanEck, Microsoft, Apple, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Biden's withdrawal from the presidential race spells uncertainty for the 'Trump trade'
▼ + stars: | 2024-07-22 | by ( Huileng Tan | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Joe Biden's withdrawal from the 2024 presidential race is causing market uncertainty. Analysts now expect more market volatility after Biden pulled out of the race. AdvertisementUS President Joe Biden's withdrawal from the presidential election is throwing fresh uncertainty into the markets for a second straight week. Investors were already trying to position themselves for the so-called "Trump trade" following the failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump on July 13. Markets at large were relatively calm following Biden's withdrawal after the Trump trade gripped sentiment last week.

Persons: Joe Biden's, Trump, Biden, —, Donald Trump, Mark Haefele, Jim Reid, Kyle Rodda, Harris, Chris Weston, Pepperstone, Kamala Harris, Biden's, Haefele Organizations: Service, Trump, Republican, UBS Global Wealth Management's, Nasdaq, Treasury, Deutsche Bank, Democrats, Democratic Party, Democratic, UBS

☆ UBS GWM CIO breaks down the potential impact of the U.S. presidential election
▼ + stars: | 2024-06-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS GWM CIO breaks down the potential impact of the U.S. presidential electionMark Haefele of UBS Global Wealth Management says a second Trump presidency will benefit some bank and commodity stocks, but be "less good" for consumer staples and renewables stocks.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Trump Organizations: UBS, U.S, UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ UBS expects a comeback for the 60/40 portfolio — and warns investors to limit cash
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-31 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The 60/40 portfolio isn't dead — in fact, it tends to outperform over the long term, according to UBS. The strategy revolves around a simple balanced portfolio, allocating 60% to stocks and 40% to fixed income. That theory was tested when both equities and fixed income slumped in 2022. Crafting a balanced portfolio Falconio expects the new 60/40 construction to look a little different with the rise in popularity of alternative assets. When it comes to traditional fixed income assets, UBS suggests holding strategic, diversified exposure throughout fixed income.

Persons: Cash, Mark Haefele, Leslie Falconio, Falconio, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, Darla Mercado Organizations: UBS, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, U.S . Locations: UBS Americas, —

☆ The small-cap slump is getting historically long. Here's what needs to change for a rebound
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-30 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

"With yields holding firm at elevated levels , large caps continue to outperform small caps. Hopes for multiple rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year have dimmed after recent inflation readings showed signs of stickiness. An economy that is growing more slowly, but with cooler inflation, could be the combination small caps need. Small caps could also benefit from an uptick in the global economy that benefits areas like manufacturing that has heavy representation in the small-cap index. Investors who really want exposure to small caps could also look outside of the U.S. Wolfe Research analyst Rob Ginsberg said in a May 29 note to clients that global small caps are outperforming their U.S. counterparts and are poised for a potential breakout.

Persons: Russell, Todd Sohn, JC O'Hara, Roth MKM, Chad Miller, you've, Miller, Cayla, Seder, Mark Haefele, Solita, Angelo Kourkafas, Edward Jones, Rob Ginsberg, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: CNBC, ESG, Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Big Tech, Companies, UBS, Institute, Supply, PMI, Investors, U.S . Wolfe Research Locations: Thrivent, Silicon

☆ Hafele: There's currently a benign backdrop for both stocks and bonds
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-28 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHafele: There's currently a benign backdrop for both stocks and bondsMark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses his new S&P 500 price target and the markets this week.

Persons: There's, Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ Tech stocks still attractive in long term, UBS Wealth Management CIO says
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTech stocks still attractive in long term, UBS Wealth Management CIO saysMark Haefele, CIO at UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses the outlook for the U.S. economy and markets.

Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: Tech, UBS Wealth Management, UBS Global Wealth Management Locations: U.S

☆ Goldilocks scenario is coming through thanks to AI and strong U.S. economy, says Mark Haefele
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-23 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailGoldilocks scenario is coming through thanks to AI and strong U.S. economy, says Mark HaefeleMark Haefele, Chief Investment Officer of UBS Global Wealth Management, discusses earnings, the S&P 500, and the stock market rally.

Persons: Mark Haefele Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

☆ S&P 500 could rise to 5,300 after hitting latest milestone, says UBS wealth head
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

While the S & P 500 has more doubled since hitting its pandemic low in March 2020, UBS thinks stock values are "well supported" and that the benchmark could exceed its original forecast for 2024. UBS global wealth management chief Mark Haefele said things were lining up for the S & P 500 to make a run toward 5,300 this year, about 6% upside from current levels. Haefele's base case for 2024 was a gain to around 5,000, but the S & P 500 has already reached that point in a hurry, up 5% year-to-date. "In this event, we believe the S & P 500 has the potential to rise to around 5,300 this year." The benchmark is on pace for five-straight positive weeks as tech shares rally and companies report higher fourth-quarter earnings than expected.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Haefele Organizations: UBS, Labor Department Locations: Thursday's

☆ A slate of banks slashed CD yields. Here’s where you can still find a solid rate
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-26 | by ( Darla Mercado | Cfp | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Online banks, which have offered some of the richest annual percentage yields on savings products, are slashing the interest they pay. Though the 1-year Treasury bill is yielding about 4.78%, select institutions will offer upward of 5% to hold your cash in a 1-year CD. "We believe banks are repositioning their CD rates ahead of potential Fed rate cuts in 2024," said analyst Michael Kaye in a report on Friday. See below for a table of where online banks now stand on 1-year CD rates. Wells Fargo scanned the online banks under its coverage and found the average APY for a 1-year CD was 0.64% in March 2022.

Persons: Wells Fargo, Michael Kaye, Mark Haefele, Cash Organizations: Treasury, Federal Reserve, CME Group, Synchrony, UBS Locations: Wells

☆ Take advantage of this stock market correction and another quarter of strong earnings by making these 10 moves now, according to top strategists at 4 investment firms
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +7 min

The S&P 500 is down 7% since the start of September and briefly entered correction territory from its summer high last week. However, strategists say these threats are mostly priced into stocks, but higher earnings aren't. After three straight quarters of contracting profits, both BofA and UBS expect earnings to grow at least 3% year-over-year in Q3. "Within the context of our expectations for a continued choppy backdrop, we are incrementally more positive," Lerner wrote in a late October note. Truist's more constructive view on equities is based on strong results so far in Q3, Lerner wrote.

Persons: Oppenheimer, Savita Subramanian, Marcelli, David Lefkowitz, Lefkowitz, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, Keith Lerner, Lerner, it's, Truist, Mark Haefele Organizations: Bank of America, UBS, Bank of America's, Equity, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, Israel, Oppenheimer Asset Management Locations: Israel, Ukraine, Truist, Real, Charlotte

☆ UBS Global CIO: This is the great time for people to get their portfolios more in balance
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailUBS Global CIO: This is the great time for people to get their portfolios more in balanceMark Haefele, Global CIO of UBS Wealth Management, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss whether the 10-year yield will test the 4.8% yield level, if he sees a downside scenario coming for the benchmark 10-year treasury yield, and more.

Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global, Global, UBS Wealth Management

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 11, 2023. ET is expected to show the producer price index for final demand increased 0.3% last month after a 0.7% rise in August, ahead of Thursday's closely watched consumer inflation data. Yields on government bonds have eased from their multi-year highs on dovish remarks from Fed officials earlier this week. Central bank officials such as Fed Governor Christopher Waller, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Boston Fed President Susan Collins are also scheduled to speak on Wednesday. Exxon Mobil (XOM.N) lost 1.7% as the oil and gas producer is set to buy shale producer Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD.N) in an all-stock deal valued at $59.5 billion.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Fed's Bowman, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, Raphael Bostic, Susan Collins, Mark Haefele, Birkenstock, Tim Wentworth, Piper Sandler, Drugmaker Eli Lilly, LLY.N, Novo, Shashwat Chauhan, Ankika Biswas, Arun Koyyur, Shounak Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies, Fed's Bowman Exxon, Futures, Dow, Nasdaq, Treasury, Federal, Labor Department, Atlanta Fed, Boston Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management, Traders, Microsoft, Nvidia, Palestinian, Hamas, Dow e, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Arista Networks, Exxon Mobil, Natural Resources, Novo Nordisk's, Baxter International, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Gaza, Thursday's, Middle East, Israel, Bengaluru

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., September 26, 2023. While the 30-year Treasury yield crossed above 5% for the first time since August 2007, the 10-year and five-year yields hit their highest since 2007. The CBOE volatility index (.VIX), Wall Street's "fear gauge", briefly hit a five-month high and topped its long-term average of 20. A day after U.S. job openings unexpectedly rose in August, investors will closely monitor September ADP National Employment data at 8:15 a.m. Reporting by Ankika Biswas and Shashwat Chauhan in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Kevin McCarthy, Mark Haefele, Haefele, Austan Goolsbee, Michelle Bowman, Eli Lilly, LLY.N, Mike Mason, Ankika Biswas, Shashwat Chauhan, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, U.S . House Republicans, Treasury, Microsoft, Nvidia, Dow e, Nasdaq, Federal, UBS Global Wealth, Institute, Supply, PMI, Chicago, Traders, Dow, Intel, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

By contrast, both funds received their highest monthly net inflows of 2023 in June, gaining $265.5 million and $29.74 million, respectively, according to Lipper data. But AI stocks have suffered along with broader markets in recent weeks, as Treasury yields hovering around 16-year highs dull investors' risk appetite. Retail investor flows into the sector have also cooled as the initial fervor surrounding AI wanes. September saw the lowest net monthly retail flows of $1.96 billion into AI-linked stocks since April, according to Vanda Research. "It is possible this negative sentiment could reverse again in Q4, particularly if large cap tech stocks like Nvidia held in AI-themed tech ETFs continue to show strong earnings growth," CFRA's Ullal added.

Persons: Dado Ruvic, Aniket, Mark Haefele, Bansari Mayur, Ira Iosebashvili, Mark Potter Organizations: REUTERS, Robotics, Intelligence, Global Robotics, Automation, CFRA Research, Vanda Research, Global, Nvidia, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson, & $ Locations: Bengaluru

☆ Start snapping up AI leaders again because tech stocks' slump has made them undervalued, UBS says
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. AdvertisementAdvertisementTech stocks have struggled over the past two months – the mini-slump is a buying opportunity, according to UBS. "Tech stocks have remained under pressure in September, with rising yields and mixed results weighing on performance," a team led by CIO Mark Haefele wrote in a research note. "But, we believe the recent weakness provides a good opportunity to add exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) leaders." UBS's view is that the rollout of new AI products will give tech stocks a much-needed boost as investors gauge how listed companies will monetize the field.

Persons: that's, —, Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS, Nasdaq, Service, Tech, Federal Reserve Locations: Swiss

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. "While the dot plots suggest upside risks to interest rates, we retain our expectations that the hike cycle is likely done and for the Fed not to raise rates again," Mark Haefele Chief Investment Officer, UBS Global Wealth Management, said in a note. Meanwhile, weak performance of recent listings after their debut highs has dampened hopes of a likely revival in the initial public offering market amid high interest rates and broader market declines. Arm Holdings also fell 3.0% to $51.3 premarket, nearing its IPO price of $51 per share while Instacart (CART.O) lost 1.4%. ET, Dow e-minis were down 188 points, or 0.54%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 34.75 points, or 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 160.75 points, or 1.06%.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mark, Ankika Biswas, Shristi, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, FedEx, Broadcom, Google, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Apple, Nvidia, Wall, UBS Global Wealth Management, Arm Holdings, Dow e, Marvell Technology, Marvell, Warner Bros Discovery, Paramount Global, Writers Guild of America, WGA, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Bengaluru

☆ Haefele: For the S&P 500 to rally, the mega-cap stocks can't pull back
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-15 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHaefele: For the S&P 500 to rally, the mega-cap stocks can't pull backMark Haefele, UBS Global Wealth Management CIO, discusses where to invest in the markets and the outlook for the economy.

Persons: Mark Haefele Organizations: UBS Global Wealth Management

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. The Consumer Price Index reading for August is due on Sept. 13, while the Federal Reserve's policy decision is scheduled for Sept. 20. New York Fed President John Williams kept his options open over future interest rate policy and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said while it "could be appropriate" to skip a rate hike in the upcoming meeting, more policy tightening might be needed. DocuSign (DOCU.O) added 3.1% as the e-Signature product provider beat second-quarter results estimates and raised its annual revenue forecast. GameStop (GME.N) fell 2.3% on a report that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission was investigating the videogame retailer's chairman, Ryan Cohen.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Mark Haefele, Morgan Stanley, John Williams, Lorie Logan, Mary Daly, Ryan Cohen, Shristi Achar, Arun Koyyur, Vinay Dwivedi Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Mizuho, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, UBS Global Wealth Management, Traders, FedWatch, Apple, Wall, Dow e, . New York Fed, Dallas Fed, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, GameStop, U.S . Securities, Exchange Commission, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Beijing, China, Bengaluru

☆ Asia markets fall as Australia holds rates; investors assess inflation, business activity data
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-05 | by ( Lim Hui Jie | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

UBS is sticking by its view of a "softish" landing for the U.S. economy, saying inflation is moving closer to the Federal Reserve's target without a recession this year. "August was a tough month for investors," said Mark Haefele, global wealth management chief investment officer at UBS, noting that the S&P 500 ended last month down 1.6%. Last month's increase in core PCE came out well above the Fed's target, which could sustain the possibility of another rate hike, the analyst said. UBS is also watching for a potential rebound in savings rates and further cooling in the labor market. We expect US Treasury yields to fall by year-end as both US economic growth and inflation moderate," Haefele wrote.

Persons: Mark Haefele, Haefele, — Pia Singh Organizations: UBS, Fed Locations: U.S

People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021. Focus now shifts to a report on the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, which is set to be released on Thursday and the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday. ET, Dow e-minis were up 74 points, or 0.22%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 6.5 points, or 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 41.5 points, or 0.28%. Horizon Therapeutics' shares rose 5.2%. Reporting by Shristi Achar A and Amruta Khandekar in Bengaluru; Editing by Shounak DasguptaOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Brendan McDermid, Stocks, Jerome Powell, Mark Haefele, Powell's Jackson, Shristi Achar, Shounak Dasgupta Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, Fed, UBS Global Wealth Management, U.S, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Dow e, U.S . Federal Trade Commission, Horizon Therapeutics, Therapeutics, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, China, Xpeng, Bengaluru

☆ Nasdaq futures rally as Nvidia's blowout forecast boosts AI stocks
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-24 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

The logo of technology company Nvidia is seen at its headquarters in Santa Clara, California February 11, 2015. Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 172 points, or 1.13% and S&P 500 e-minis were up 21.75 points, or 0.49% at 5:28 a.m. "It is clear...that AI demand is still outstripping supply," Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said in a note. "Within the tech sector, we think software and internet stocks are best positioned to ride the next wave of the technology cycle and the broadening of AI demand." Splunk Inc (SPLK.O) gained 13.9% after the data analytics software maker forecast third-quarter revenue above market estimates on expectations of AI-related spending.

Persons: Robert Galbraith, Mark Haefele, Jerome Powell, Amruta Khandekar, Shreyashi Sanyal, Savio D'Souza, Shinjini Organizations: Nvidia, REUTERS, Dow, Nasdaq, UBS Global Wealth Management, Microsoft, Palantir Technologies, Micro Devices, Marvell Technology, Semiconductor, Europe's ASM, BE Semiconductor, ASML, Investors, Federal Reserve, U.S, Treasury, Boeing, Splunk Inc, Thomson Locations: Santa Clara , California, United States, Jackson, U.S, Bengaluru

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