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The Federal Reserve likely will stick to the business at hand when it wraps up its meeting Thursday with another interest rate cut, but will have its eye on the future against a backdrop that suddenly has gotten a lot more complicated. The focus, though, will turn to what's ahead for Chair Jerome Powell and his Fed colleagues as they navigate a shifting economy — and the political earthquake of Donald Trump's stunning victory in the presidential race. So while the immediate action will be to stay the course and enact the cut, which equals 25 basis points, the market's attention likely will turn to what the committee and Powell have to say about the future. The fed funds rate, which sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending but often influences consumer debt as well, is currently targeted in a range between 4.75%-5.0%. Market pricing currently favors another quarter-point cut in December, followed by a January pause then multiple reductions through 2025.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Donald Trump's, Powell, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, Evercore ISI
Some longtime Intel employees are eligible for up to 19 months of severance. After years of layoffs, buyouts, and even one temporary pay cut, many employees have thought about what they might do after Intel. BI spoke to three former Intel employees who are using the company's hard times as an opportunity to upend their lives. Over his 24 years at Intel, Guha used his spare time to develop a wealth management strategy based on the philosophies of Warren Buffet. Lessons learned at IntelThough several departing Intel employees expressed some frustration with the current state of the company, they still believe it can be successful.
Persons: , Shi Choong, she's, Choong, It's, Javier Apostol, Apostol, he's, Sumit Guha, Guha, Warren Buffet, He's, sabbaticals Organizations: Intel, Service, Business, IRS, AARP, Engineers Locations: Portland, Oregon, San Francisco Bay, Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, Arizona, Yuma County , California, formalwear
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEvercore ISI's Krishna Guha on rate cuts: Base case is 25 bps, but investors should stay hunkered downKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss his expectation from the Fed next week, what investors should watch out, and more.
Persons: Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEvercore ISI's Mahaney on rate cuts: Base case is 25 bps, but investors should stay hunkered downKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, joins ‘The Exchange’ to discuss his expectation from the Fed next week, what investors should watch out, and more.
Persons: Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Fed
Job openings slumped to their lowest level in 3½ years in July, the Labor Department reported Wednesday in another sign of slack in the labor market. "The labor market is no longer cooling down to its pre-pandemic temperature, it's dropped past it," said Nick Bunker, head of economic research at the Indeed Hiring Lab. "Nobody, and certainly not policymakers at the Federal Reserve, should want the labor market to get any cooler at this point." While the job openings level declined, layoffs increased to 1.76 million, up 202,000 from June. "The still low level of layoffs and tick up in hires suggests the labor market is not cracking.
Persons: Dow Jones, it's, Nick Bunker, Krishna Guha, nonfarm Organizations: Labor Department, Labor, Survey, Federal Reserve, Global Policy, Central Bank, Evercore ISI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailLabor data will decide the amount of rate cuts this year, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what's driving the Fed, the markets, and the economy.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Labor, Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHow a second Trump presidency could impact the Fed and the economyKrishna Guha, Vice Chairman of Evercore ISI, discusses how a second Trump presidency could impact the Federal Reserve.
Persons: Trump, Krishna Guha Organizations: ISI, Federal Reserve
The wedding was followed by a blessing ceremony on Saturday, where Prime Minister Narendra Modi bestowed the young couple and their families with well wishes. No expense was spared by the family that owns India’s largest private corporation, Reliance Industries. Kim and Khloé Kardashian are seen leaving their hotel on their way to a wedding event on Saturday. Anant Ambani and Radhika Merchant at their wedding ceremony on Friday. An event as huge in scale as the Ambani-Merchant celebration would emit far more carbon than even the largest and most lavish Indian wedding, he added.
Persons: CNN —, Anant Ambani, Radhika Merchant, Kim, Khloé Kardashian, Narendra Modi, Mangal Utsav ”, Anant’s, Mukesh, The Ambani, Abu Jani Sandeep Khosla, Ambani, Sabyasachi Mukherjee, Merchant, Jayasri Burman, Rhea Kapoor, Anamika Khanna, Shah Rukh Khan, Savita Chhibber, Gauri Khan, Suhana Khan, Prodip Guha, Preston Bailey, Serena Williams, LeBron James, Bailey, Ambani’s, , Akash, Isha, Manish Malhotra, India ”, Justin Bieber, , Shamita Yadav, Sushant Singh, Adar Poonawalla, Natasha Poonawalla, Punit Paranjpe, Ashwin Malwade, Mark Zuckerberg, Ivanka Trump, Bill Gates, Karlie, Rihanna Organizations: CNN, British, Reliance Industries, Forbes, Convention, Gabbana’s, , Centre for Policy Research, Mr, Chhatrapati Shivaji International Locations: Mumbai, Varanasi, India, Indian, Jamnagar, AFP, Chhatrapati
India and Pakistan will take on each other in the Men’s T20 World Cup. But I soon realized that one of the unexpected pleasures of cricket in America was seeing the sport bloom between the cracks. Through their eyes, the New York cricket world continued to bloom in front of me. I discovered weekend leagues, a high school league and peculiarly, the NYPD Youth Cricket League — the subject of my upcoming feature documentary. This year there’s a second competition, the National Cricket League, headquartered in Dallas, home to a large South Asian community.
Persons: Ashish Ravinran, , Read, Ashish Ravinran Richa Dayal, who’d, ” Tanvir Ahmed, who’ve, Alex Davidson, We’re, we’ve, I’ve, Ramchandra, Fawwaz Baksh, They’ve, Bolt, Sean Paul, America ’, they’d Organizations: NYPD, CNN, South, Oxford, Cricket, New, NYPD Youth Cricket League —, Citi Field, American, Major League Cricket, National Cricket League, American College Cricket, West Indies, ICC, Bangladesh, Nassau County International Cricket, ” Sports, Local, World Trade Center, Times, Twitter, Facebook, America, Angeles Locations: Singaporean, New York City, Long, , New York, India, Pakistan, America, Caribbean, New York, Singapore, Bangladeshi, Brooklyn, Corona Park, Queens, Prairie, Texas, Morrisville, North Carolina, Dallas, Lauderhill, Florida, Jamaican, West, Canada, Eisenhower, Manhattan, Fort Lauderdale, Bangladesh, Texas , Florida
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIn a few months we'll have a much clearer picture on Q1 inflation, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk what's ahead for the Fed and what we should take from the latest economic data.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Fed
New York CNN —Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy decision will likely be pretty boring for investors — officials are widely expected to keep interest rates the same, just as they have since July 2023. They think that the Fed may curtail its quantitative tightening (QT) program — that’s the selling off of its assets to decrease money supply and increase interest rates — by as much as half. Those purchases ended up pushing down interest rates in certain parts of the economy, like housing and auto sales. That led to a “repo crisis”, where the interest rates for overnight loans between banks spiked unusually high. That’s because a taper should send bond prices higher, and interest rates lower.
Persons: there’s, Jamie Dimon, Jerome Powell doesn’t, Krishna Guha, Marco Casiraghi, , Bill Adams, Biden, reclassify, General Merrick Garland, Xochitl Hinojosa, , Nancy Mace, Earl Blumenauer, ” Read, Zhao, Allison Morrow, ” Binance Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Fed, JPMorgan Chase, Comerica Bank, Bank of America, CNN, US Department of Justice, Federal Register, Congress, Associated Press, Republican, CZ, Binance, Bloomberg Locations: New York, South Carolina, Oregon, Seattle
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThings went the wrong way for the Fed in the first quarter, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, news of Trump allies drafting plans to erode the Fed's independence if he wins the 2024 election, and more.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Fed, Trump
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe know the March PCE isn't going to be good enough for rate cuts, says Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk recent market action, what's next for the Fed, and more.
Persons: PCE isn't, Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore, what's Organizations: PCE, Fed
S&P 500 futures added 0.2% and Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 0.3%. The losses caused the Dow to shed 2.4% last week for its worst week since March 2023 and its second down week in a row. The S&P 500 slid 1.5% for its worst week since October 2023. Iran launched drones and missiles on Israel on Saturday night, marking the first direct attack on Israel from Iranian territory. Guha added that the a key question remaining is how Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will respond to the attack.
Persons: Dow, Krishna Guha, Evercore, Guha, Benjamin Netanyahu, Biden, Netanyahu, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Iran's, Dow, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Global Policy, Central Bank Strategy, Israel, T, Treasury, JPMorgan Locations: Israel, Iran
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailEvercore ISI's Krishna Guha: Not clear if the Fed has a good plan BKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss how problematic the recent CPI report is for the Federal Reserve, what the plan B is for the Federal Reserve, and more.
Persons: Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Federal Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJune and three rate cuts is still the right base case, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI vice chairman, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's interest rate outlook, state of the economy, and more.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore
If she does not course-correct, she’s headed for another shellacking by the circuit – and possible removal from the case. That statute outlines the parameters between a president’s official and personal records, and sets up processes for how official documents are preserved. If this were true, the mere fact that Trump took the documents with him from the White House would inherently turn them into personal records. Importantly, Smith asked Cannon to let both parties know “promptly” how she viewed the law. Ejecting her from the case would be extremely unusual and Smith does not mention seeking it in his papers.
Persons: Norman Eisen, Trump, Danya Perry, Perry Guha, Joshua Kolb, Jack Smith, Donald Trump’s, Smith, Aileen Cannon, Donald, Cannon, she’s, counterarguments, Cannon’s, , fashioning, Organizations: Democrats, Brookings, New, Public, CNN, Appeals, Circuit, Trump, Records, National Archives, Records Administration, White Locations: Lago, Bedminster , New Jersey
Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates and other CEOs and celebs are at a wedding pre-party in India this weekend. NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . The centibillionaire's grip on domestic commerce makes him a powerful partner for Western companies trying to break into the Indian market. Vital growth frontierUS executives are eager to cozy up to Ambani and Reliance because they see dollar signs when they look at India.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Bill Gates, Mukesh, , Sundar Pichai, Ivanka Trump, Mukesh Ambani's, Ambani, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, Anant, Radhika Merchant, Mukesh Ambani, Nita, Prodip Guha, Tim Cook, Cook, Apple's, Ted Sarandos, Meta Organizations: Apple, Microsoft, Netflix, Service, Reliance Industries, Bloomberg, Qualcomm, Intel, Hindustan Times, Amazon, Indian Locations: India, China, New Delhi
While most of the market's attention has been on interest rates, the Federal Reserve is quietly getting ready to loosen policy in another respect as it prepares to slow down the shedding of assets on its balance sheet. Tapering down the roll-off could see the Fed reducing the caps in half, according to a projection from BNP Paribas. The QT program has resulted in a nearly $1.3 trillion reduction in total holdings, with the total balance sheet now standing at about $7.7 trillion. With confidence growing that inflation is easing, policymakers are looking to loosen up policy, albeit at a measured pace. So at this meeting, we did have some discussion of the balance sheet, and we're planning to begin in-depth discussions of balance sheet issues at our next meeting in March," Chair Jerome Powell said in his January post-meeting news conference .
Persons: Krishna Guha, Goldman Sachs, We're, Jerome Powell, we're Organizations: Federal Reserve, Evercore ISI, Fed, MBS, New York Fed, BNP Paribas, BNP
If nothing else, the January inflation report released Tuesday finally appears to have convinced markets that Federal Reserve officials weren't kidding around when they said they will take a deliberate approach to cutting interest rates this year. Following the consumer price index report showing the year-over-year reading well ahead of the Fed's desired inflation goal, markets recalibrated their monetary policy expectations. The Fed "faces a challenging task in balancing economic growth and employment while trying to control inflation," he added. Indeed, the narrative of the Fed being able to start cutting early, and moving rapidly through the year, was all but dead Tuesday. The January CPI report is a "setback for the Fed and makes a May rate cut unlikely.
Persons: Ditto, , it's, Sung Won Sohn, Dow, Jerome Powell, Jason Pride, there's, Powell, Matthew Ryan, Krishna Guha, Guha Organizations: Federal Reserve, CME, Labor, CPI, Loyola Marymount University, SS Economics, Dow Jones, US2Y, CBS, Bank of America, Citigroup, Fed, Evercore ISI
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email'May is looking pretty good' for the start of rate cuts, says Evercore ISI's Krishna GuhaKrishna Guha, Evercore ISI Vice Chairman, joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' to talk the Federal Reserve's decision to leave rates unchanged.
Persons: Evercore ISI's Krishna Guha Krishna Guha, Evercore
In December, the policymakers collectively forecast that they would cut their rate three times this year. The Fed prefers for inflation to be about 2%, which it sees as having little negative effect on the economy. Fed officials, he added, will want to see further evidence that inflation is still on track to 2% before embarking on rate cuts. Before Waller spoke, Wall Street investors had placed a 72% likelihood of a rate cut in March, based on futures prices. Waller's comments followed similarly optimistic remarks from John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, last week.
Persons: Christopher Waller, , ” Waller, Waller, Krishna Guha, Waller's, ” Guha, John Williams, Williams, Powell's, ” Williams Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Fed's, of Governors, Fed, Wall Street, Brookings Institution, , Federal Reserve Bank of New Locations: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
December's inflation data provided just enough evidence to show that the pace of price increases is continuing to cool while also serving up a reminder that the war isn't won yet. One is that regardless of the headline numbers, the parts of inflation that don't fluctuate as much have been fairly stubborn. So-called sticky inflation, which includes things such as housing costs, auto insurance, medical care services and household furnishings, are indeed holding higher. On a one-month annualized basis, the measure also was at 4.6%, but that's up a full percentage point from the previous month. Fed policymakers also are attuned to the relationship between wages and inflation.
Persons: isn't, Disinflation, Jamie Dimon, cautioning, Krishna Guha, Goldman Sachs, Goldman, Ian Shepherdson, Dan North Organizations: Separate Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Nomura Global Economics, JPMorgan Chase, Evercore ISI, PPI, Citigroup, Commerce, Fed, Pantheon, Atlanta, Allianz Trade Locations: Red
Watch CNBC's full interview with Maya McGuineas and Krishna Guha
  + stars: | 2023-11-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Maya McGuineas and Krishna GuhaMaya MacGuineas, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget president, and Krishna Guha, Evercore ISI head of global policy, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the looming government shutdown deadline, increasing U.S. debt, and more.
Persons: Maya McGuineas, Krishna Guha Maya MacGuineas, Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: Federal
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailU.S. recession where interest rates rise is unlikely, says Evercore's Krishna GuhaMaya MacGuineas, Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget president, and Krishna Guha, Evercore ISI head of global policy, join 'The Exchange' to discuss the looming government shutdown deadline, increasing U.S. debt, and more.
Persons: Evercore's Krishna Guha Maya MacGuineas, Krishna Guha, Evercore Organizations: U.S, Federal
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