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As Election Day begins to wind down, polls suggest that the presidential race will be one of the closest in the history of American politics, as neither candidate holds a meaningful edge in enough states to win 270 electoral votes.
A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll shows Harris leading Trump by 3 points in the state. Political experts told Business Insider that the Iowa poll is significant for the Harris campaign given that the demographic makeup of Iowa — rural, older, and largely white voters — is similar to some key swing states. AdvertisementThe Iowa Poll has scrambled the conventional wisdom that former President Donald Trump will easily win the state. And notably, 69% of female respondents in the Selzer poll opposed the law, while only 27% of Iowa women backed the new restrictions. In the Selzer poll taken in September, Reynolds' job approval rating sat at 45%, while 50% of Iowans disapproved of her performance.
Persons: Harris, Trump, bode, , Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, they're, John Conway, Christian Grose, J, Ann Selzer —, Selzer, FiveThirtyEight, Patricia Crouse, it's, Joe Biden, Chip Somodevilla, Crouse, Al Gore, George W, Bush, Barack Obama's, Obama, Hillary Clinton, Joni Ernst, Kim Reynolds, Reynolds, Iowans Organizations: Des Moines Register, Trump, Service, Republicans Voters Against Trump, University of Southern, Harris, Selzer, University of New, Hawkeye State, Getty, Democratic, Texas Gov, GOP, Republicans, Republican Gov Locations: Iowa, It's, Pennsylvania, Michigan , Wisconsin, University of Southern California, Wisconsin , Michigan, Kansas, University of New Haven
A SpaceX spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment sent during the weekend. AdvertisementIn an interview on Monday at the All-In Summit, Musk mocked the FAA for the time it has taken the agency to approve SpaceX launches. An FAA spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment sent during the weekend. Unfortunately for the FAA, Musk isn't doling out any points for trying. Murray defended his office against claims from SpaceX and Musk that the agency was needlessly delaying the launch of Starship.
Persons: , Elon, Musk, Steven Kulm, Daniel Murray, Murray, There's, Trump, Christian Grose, I'm, they're Organizations: Service, Federal Aviation Administration, SpaceX, Business, FAA, Elon, Biden Administration, New York Times, Transportation Office, Global Aerospace Summit, Bloomberg, Summit, Twitter, University of Southern Locations: DC, University of Southern California
But two political scientists told Business Insider that Musk's desire to run the US government like a private business — an approach many private sector professionals have supported for decades — isn't as foolproof as the CEO might think. AdvertisementTrump, a businessman turned politician, based much of his first presidential campaign on the notion that his experience in the private sector would guide his approach to politics. "In the private sector, the motive is profit. "But inefficiency in the private sector isn't the same." Advertisement"A business isn't really self-correcting, at least not as easily as government is," Crouse said.
Persons: , Elon, Trump, Musk, Hillary Clinton, he's, it's, Patricia Crouse, Grose, Al Gore, Cynthia Johnson, Ronald Reagan, George W, Bush, isn't, Elon Musk, Crouse Organizations: Service, Summit, Business, Trump, University of New, University of Southern, Reinventing, Community Initiative, Washington, Twitter Locations: Los Angeles, University of New Haven, University of Southern California, Reaganomics, Texas, Pennsylvania, America
Three times a day my phone pings with a notification telling me that I have a new happiness survey to take. After I took 100 surveys over about a month, that’s not what my results told me. I reported the most happiness when I was eating and the least when I was working. Being reminded that most of my life is obligatory does not exactly spark joy. Rather than just walking one of my kids home from school and contentedly listening to her chatter about sedimentary rocks, I was thinking about the survey’s infernal happiness toggle and where this experience ranked relative to the other moments I had tracked.
Persons: that’s Locations: TrackYourHappiness.org
Opinion | Mockery Won’t Increase Fertility
  + stars: | 2024-08-08 | by ( David French | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
I’m not a natalist for economic reasons — though I do think aging societies can create economic problems. And I agree with my colleague Jessica Grose that there is too much panic among natalists about declining birthrates. Sacrificial love is not exclusive to parents, of course, but it flows naturally from decent people when they have kids. It has more promise as a cultural cause, but even then it is often scolding and even malicious. When JD Vance rants, for example, about “childless cat ladies,” he’s not engaged in a coherent cultural argument.
Persons: I’m, Jessica Grose, JD Vance, ” he’s, Charlie Kirk,
The gist, vis-à-vis relationship status, was that in every category more women than men identify as Democrats, with the biggest gap existing among divorced Americans. According to Gallup, Cox writes, “A majority (54 percent) of divorced men identify as Republican compared to 41 percent of divorced women,” the largest gender gap among divorced people in two decades. As my colleague Thomas Edsall noted in May, in recent years there’s also a yawning gender gap among young voters, with young women becoming increasingly Democratic and young men becoming increasingly Republican. Edsall quoted the Democratic pollster Celinda Lake, who cites Donald Trump’s “chaotic and divisive style” and lack of respect, among the reasons that young women have been fleeing the G.O.P. Young women, Lake said, “want stability and are very concerned about division and the potential for violence.”All this data was collected when Joe Biden was on course to be the Democratic presidential nominee.
Persons: , , Daniel Cox, Cox, Thomas Edsall, there’s, Edsall, Donald Trump’s, Lake, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, JD Vance Organizations: Republican Party, Trump, Survey Center, Gallup, Democratic Locations: Young
one memo from the Harris campaign read. The Harris campaign has already sent out fundraising emails with the subject line, "What happened to: 'Any time, any place?'" Campaign experts who spoke with BI said that the attacks so far appear to be working but also recognized that voters are still seeing the early formations of Harris' campaign. AdvertisementBloomberg reported that Harris' campaign has narrowed her list to three names, citing sources familiar with the matter, to Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly, Pennsylvania Gov. A Harris campaign spokesperson did not immediately return a request for comment from Business Insider.
Persons: , Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, haven't, Evan Siegfried, Harris, Biden, Seigfried, Trump, Blunt, JD Vance, Trump's, rebutting Vance, Christian Grose, Grose, Siegfried, goading Trump, Costas Panagopoulos, Panagopoulos, Tim Hogan, Arizona Sen, Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Tim Walz Organizations: Service, Democratic, Biden, Business, Republican, Trump, University of Southern, GOP, Northeastern University, Politico, BI, Bloomberg, Minnesota Gov Locations: Ohio, University of Southern California, Arizona, Pennsylvania
You may have heard about JD Vance’s “childless cat ladies” riff. It’s a statement, as my colleague Jessica Grose writes, that shows the desperation of Republicans who are still “clinging to the tag line that the G.O.P. It’s the kind of comment that makes you wonder if Vance thinks that he has been nominated by the Republican Party to serve as the vice president of the Republic of Gilead. Sorry — yes — Vance knows that our nation is still called the United States of America. But there’s a real “Handmaid’s Tale” vibe to a lot of what we’re hearing from the right.
Persons: JD Vance’s, Vance, they’ve, Kamala Harris, It’s, Jessica Grose, — Vance Organizations: Senate, Republican Party Locations: America, Republic of, United States of America
On Sunday, almost immediately after prominent Democrats started endorsing Vice President Kamala Harris for president, attacks from the political right started pouring in. There were five others: George Washington, James Madison, Andrew Jackson, James Polk and James Buchanan. But more to the point, if you think that the concerns of parents and families will always be “abstract” to someone who doesn’t have children, you’re telling on yourself. It’s not simply that, by all accounts, Harris has a close, loving relationship with her stepkids. It should go without saying, but: Having children doesn’t necessarily make you a better person.
Persons: Kamala Harris, Will Chamberlain, Ron DeSantis’s, Harris, shouldn’t, , Harris wouldn’t, George Washington, James Madison, Andrew Jackson, James Polk, James Buchanan, Warren Harding, It’s, they’ll
I found out during a live comedy show that the former president had been shot at. The second comic confirmed what the first one said, and joked that if this had happened in another era, they probably would have canceled the show. But at this point we’re all so primed for political chaos and inured to news of fresh violence that the audience — including me — barely reacted. From the right, that it was the result of a deep-state plot. As Becca Rothfeld put it in a review of “Black Pill” for The Washington Post, “The flotsam of the internet is childish, ridiculous and, consequently, easy to underestimate.
Persons: Donald Trump, , Corey Comperatore, David Dutch, James Copenhaver, Elle Reeve, , Becca Rothfeld, ” Reeve, Trump, Elliott Kline Organizations: Poison Society, The Washington Post Locations: Charlottesville, Va
As a way to dissociate from political news, I’ve spent the past week mainlining stories about the Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders; it started when I binged the new Netflix docuseries “America’s Sweethearts,” which follows the women trying out and training for the 2023-2024 squad. I’m a New York Jew who got kicked out of ballet class when I was 4 because I lacked any discernible talent or interest. So I didn’t expect to fall in love with a show that is so steeped in Southern and dance culture. Because the newbies are competing for positions against veterans, the acceptance rate in any given year can be comparable to that of an Ivy League school. The seven episodes of the Netflix series weren’t enough for me.
Persons: I’ve, I’m, Caitlin Dickerson, Reece, , Organizations: Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders, Netflix, Jew, Ivy League, Cowboys, CMT Locations: New
When I asked readers who identified as spiritual but not religious to reach out to me, I was astounded by how much variety there was in the faith experiences of individuals in this group. Some said they found spirituality both in the beauty of the physical world and in communing with other people. “I found the 12-step program to be sort of a spirituality that worked for me,” a woman named Maggie who lives in the Northeast told me. (I’m not using her last name because one of the tenets of her 12-step program is anonymity.) She finds the 12-step program to be free of that kind of hypocrisy and appreciates the “bone-scraping honesty” of her fellow group members.
Persons: , , Maggie, what’s Organizations: Northeast Locations: communing
Related stories"Something terrible happens to one of these candidates once every two weeks — usually Trump," Grose said. Justin Sullivan/Getty ImagesSCOTUS surprisesLess than 24 hours after the debate, the Supreme Court handed down two major decisions, which, at first glance, appeared to be more good news for Trump. On Friday, legal experts told Business Insider that the decision was good news for Trump's legal prospects. It could remind voters unhappy with the Supreme Court's conservative drift that another Trump term could mean more Trump SCOTUS appointees. Undecided voters with strong opinions on abortion and January 6 could be turned off by Trump's Supreme Court appointees and their increasingly conservative rulings, he suggested.
Persons: , Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Christian Grose, Grose, it's, David Triana, Justin Sullivan, SCOTUS, Jack Smith's, Triana Organizations: Service, Republican, Supreme Court, Trump, Business, Biden, University of Southern, Conservatives, Department of Justice, Trump's, Court Locations: University of Southern California, Trump
But that's not what it looked like on Thursday when Biden floundered in his debate performance against former President Donald Trump, political strategists told Business Insider. "It was a disaster for President Biden," Alex Zdan, GOP political strategist and former New Jersey Republican candidate for US Senate, told BI. Where the similarities endAnother Trump presidency would mean a vastly different America than if Biden won a second term. When BI reached out for comment, representatives for the Trump campaign declined to answer questions about similarities between Trump and Biden. To have a chance, Biden will need that constituency to ignore his poor debate performance and questions about his age.
Persons: Joe Biden, Biden, that's, Donald Trump, Alex Zdan, David Triana, Gavin Newsom, Triana, Dustin Siggins, Siggins, Rebecca Horan, MAGA, Horan, , Trump, Timothy Snyder, He's, He'd, gamely, he's, Christian Grose, Qasim Rashid, Rashid, Biden's Organizations: Service, North Carolina State Fairgrounds, Business, GOP, New, New Jersey Republican, US, Republicans, Democratic, Triana, Democratic Party, MAGA Republicans, Trump, BI, Independents, USC, Biden, New York Times, Board, Times Locations: New Jersey, North Carolina, American, China, Virginia and Illinois, America,
“Zofran girlies rise up.”Seeing that phrase on my screen as I idly scrolled TikTok made me stop and watch the whole video, but probably not for the reasons its creator wanted. Zofran is a drug that prevents nausea and vomiting. I’ve taken it a bunch of times — most memorably at a hospital via IV, when a doctor told me he wanted to “stop the barf cycle” during a bout with norovirus. It also comes in pill form, and it’s often prescribed for cancer patients to offset the side effects of chemotherapy. The Zofran girlies video asserts that “literally everyone” on TikTok is talking about Zofran, because “it’s so hard to get” — a claim I’d never heard before.
Persons: , TikTok, I’d
Her parents took her and her sister to nondenominational megachurches that adhered to a lot of Baptist and Pentecostal ideals, she said. As a kid, she loved the way every service felt “like a concert,” filled with music and light, and she made loads of friends through church. “So I didn’t want to associate with that kind of evangelicalism.”Draut is representative of an emerging trend: young women leaving church “in unprecedented numbers,” as Daniel Cox and Kelsey Eyre Hammond wrote in April for Cox’s newsletter, American Storylines. A new survey reveals that the pattern has now reversed.”While over the past half-century, Americans of all ages, genders and backgrounds have moved away from organized religion, as I wrote in a series on religious nones — atheists, agnostics and nothing-in-particulars — young women are now disaffiliating from organized religion in greater percentages than young men. And women pushing back on the beliefs and practices of several faiths, particularly different Christian traditions, is something I have been reading about more and more.
Persons: Alexis Draut, nondenominational, Draut, , Donald Trump, Daniel Cox, Kelsey Eyre Hammond, Cox, Hammond, we’ve Organizations: Berry College, Survey Center, American Enterprise Institute Locations: Kentucky, Georgia
Opinion | You Can’t Perform a Good Marriage
  + stars: | 2024-05-29 | by ( Jessica Grose | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
I saw the new Netflix documentary series “Ashley Madison: Sex, Lies & Scandal,” anticipating just some prurient garbage to half-watch before drifting off to sleep. That’s because ashleymadison.com is a website for married people looking to find partners in infidelity — its tagline is “Life is short. The heart of the series comes from the couples who were affected. Though one couple that had an open marriage seemed unruffled by the invasion of privacy, two other families are featured that were devastated by the hack. One of those couples is Sam and Nia Rader, a Texas-based Christian vlogging couple who had gone viral a few times before the hack.
Persons: Ashley Madison, , Daniel Victor, Nia Rader, ” Sam Rader, “ vlogging, John Gibson, Christi Gibson Organizations: Netflix, YouTube, Disney Locations: Texas, Louisiana
Opinion | The Gender Pay Gap Is a Culture Problem
  + stars: | 2024-05-22 | by ( Jessica Grose | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
American women made significant progress toward closing the gender pay gap in the second half of the 20th century, but that gap has barely budged over the past two decades. In 2022, according to Pew Research, “American women typically earned 82 cents for every dollar earned by men. While there are several factors at play, one of the key contributors to the gap is what’s known as the motherhood penalty and the corresponding fatherhood premium: Women’s pay decreases when they have children, while men’s pay increases. Somewhat surprisingly to me, his research, which builds on years of earlier scholarship, suggests that a country’s family policy has relatively little to do with how big the parenthood pay gap is. A society’s culture and norms seem to be much bigger factors in how big the motherhood penalty is: The more egalitarian the culture, the lower the gap.
Persons: don’t, , Henrik Kleven, Camille Landais, Gabriel Leite Organizations: Pew Research, of Economic Research
One day it will be better than a real [girlfriend]. One day, the real one will be the inferior choice.” The article goes on to breathlessly outline use cases for “A.I. companions,” suggesting that some future iteration of chatbots could stand in for mental health professionals, relationship coaches or chatty co-workers. This week, OpenAI released an update to its ChatGPT chatbot, an indication that the inhuman future foretold by the Andreessen Horowitz story is fast approaching. While some observers, including the Times Opinion contributing writer Julia Angwin, who called ChatGPT’s recent update “rather routine,” weren’t particularly impressed, there’s been plenty of hype about the potential for humanlike chatbots to ameliorate emotional challenges, particularly loneliness and social isolation.
Persons: Andreessen Horowitz, A.I, OpenAI, Horowitz, , Scarlett Johansson, Julia Angwin, weren’t, there’s Organizations: The Washington Post, omni
I understand why parents are unhappy with the proliferation of computers in school, as my Opinion colleague Jessica Grose documented in a recent series of newsletters. For example, imagine teaching ratios by showing a Yankees fan how to update Aaron Judge’s batting average. can also give teachers and parents the detailed information they need to help their young charges more effectively. As I wrote last month, there’s a risk that A.I. will substitute for human labor and eventually render us all superfluous.
Persons: Jessica Grose, , “ we’ve, Aaron Judge’s
Tradwife content has been a social media phenomenon for a few years, and even though the trend creates a lot of discourse online and off, I’ve resisted writing about it because I think it’s a trap. Their posts sometimes come with florid captions about the joy and freedom that come from submitting to their husbands, because biblical submission doesn’t connote inferiority. The whole discussion can be a trap because the content itself is meant to be a heightened provocation — some tradwife creators post things that they label as triggering opinions and then say they get so much hate for being stay-at-home moms. But they rely on that dissonance in order to create more engagement (which leads to more clicks and more money). These posts have a way of painting feminists as haters who resist their true nature and casting career women in opposition to women who don’t work for pay.
Persons: I’ve, Locations: gauzy
“Too much life enters this house,” Tillie Olsen, the writer, labor activist and mother of four daughters, wrote in a letter to the poet Anne Sexton. Olsen and Sexton were among the early recipients of a paid fellowship from the Radcliffe Institute for Independent Study. In some ways, remarkable progress has been made for American women since then — at the time, for example, it was perfectly legal to fire a woman for getting pregnant. (In other ways, we have returned to the 19th century.) The book made me ponder whether some of the conflicts that parents feel between their family responsibilities and other parts of their lives can be fully resolved.
Persons: ” Tillie Olsen, Anne Sexton, , lunchpacking —, Olsen, Sexton, Maggie Doherty’s, Radcliffe’s, Mary Ingraham Bunting, Maxine Kumin, Barbara Swan, Marianna Pineda Organizations: Radcliffe Institute for Independent, Art Locations: midcentury America, Doherty’s
Educational technology in schools is sometimes described as a wicked problem — a term coined by a design and planning professor, Horst Rittel, in the 1960s, meaning a problem for which even defining the scope of the dilemma is a struggle, because it has so many interconnected parts that never stop moving. When you have a wicked problem, solutions have to be holistic, flexible and developmentally appropriate. Which is to say that appropriate tech use for elementary schoolers in rural Oklahoma isn’t going to be the same as appropriate tech use in a Chicago high school. I spent the past few weeks speaking with parents, teachers, public school administrators and academics who study educational technology. We need a complete rethink of the ways that we’re evaluating and using tech in classrooms; the overall change that I want to see is that tech use in schools — devices and apps — should be driven by educators, not tech companies.
Persons: Horst Rittel, Julia Freeland Fisher, Jonathan Haidt, , Fisher Organizations: Christensen Institute Locations: Oklahoma, Chicago
Unconstrained skills are more complex ones that develop over a lifetime of learning and can deepen over the years. (It’s worth noting that many popular educational apps are not high-quality.) And I think those are the questions that researchers, policymakers, school leaders, teachers and principals should be asking,” he said. “What are the best use cases for this digital technology in the classroom?”In last week’s newsletter, I came in pretty hot about the pitfalls of educational technology in American classrooms. But that doesn’t mean there are no benefits to any use of educational technology.
Persons: Josh Gilbert, Gilbert, , I’m, haven’t Organizations: Boston College, Harvard
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