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☆ Wall St Week Ahead Investors zero in on health of consumer with retail sales, earnings
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-13 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The Wall Street sign is pictured at the New York Stock exchange (NYSE) in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., March 9, 2020. Retail sales data, due out on Tuesday, may have to walk a tightrope to satisfy investors. A survey on Friday showed U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated in October, with households expecting higher inflation over the next year. Todd, of Greenwood Capital, is focused on insight from companies about the cumulative effect of "higher inflation and higher rates on the consumer." “The conclusions from the consumer next week, I think, is going to be bad news is good news."

Persons: Carlo Allegri, that’s, Hogan, ”, Walter Todd, Todd, Jack Ablin, Ablin, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Jonathan Oatis Organizations: New York Stock, REUTERS, Procter & Gamble, Netflix, Federal, Riley, ”, Reuters, University of Michigan, Major, Greenwood Capital, Bank of America, America Airlines Group, Treasury, Cresset, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Israel, Major U.S

☆ Analysis: Apple's growing stock market heft poses dilemma for fund managers
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The company’s weighting in the S&P 500 has swelled to 7.6%, the biggest of any one stock in the history of the benchmark index, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices. If shares of Apple keep rallying, that could hurt the results of active fund managers, who strive to beat indexes such as the S&P 500 or Russell 1000. The cost of limiting Apple shares may be particularly high for fund managers this year, given the stock's swelling weight in indexes. “Fund managers at their own peril don’t hold Apple and a handful of stocks just like it at index weight or about index weight,” Morris said. The stock is still his firm's fourth-largest holding, even though at 4% of the portfolio, it puts it underweight Apple versus the S&P 500.

Persons: Dow, Russell, Todd Sohn, Robby Greengold, Walter Todd, Todd, Alex Morris, ” Morris, Refinitiv Datastream, Peter Tuz, ” Tuz, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Anna Driver Organizations: YORK, Dow Jones, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Morningstar, Greenwood Capital, Research, “, Chase Investment, Thomson Locations: Apple’s, South Carolina, United Kingdom, Russell

☆ Market roiled by bank fears faces critical U.S. inflation data
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-13 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

NEW YORK, March 13 (Reuters) - A market rocked by a banking crisis faces a potential one-two punch as investors await a U.S. inflation report that could further complicate views on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory. It has taken on added relevance in recent days, however, following concerns over financial stability after the swift collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SIVB.O), the biggest bank failure since the financial crisis, and Signature Bank (SBNY.O). CPI for February is expected to rise 0.4% on a month-over-month basis, and 6% annually, according to a Reuters poll of economists. "That might lead to a partial reversal of the recent rally in bonds, worsening the problems in the banking sector," Capital Economics said in a note. Reporting by Lewis Krauskopf; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Jonathan OatisOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead Last year's laggards lead U.S. stocks' 2023 rebound, for now
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-11 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

NEW YORK, Feb 10 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks that took a beating last year are surging in the early weeks of 2023, leading markets higher. A range of factors are driving the moves, including the attractiveness of beaten-up shares, a tailwind from falling bond yields and market participants unwinding bearish bets against stocks. “When interest rates fall, lower quality, longer duration assets do well," said Rob Almeida, global investment strategist at MFS Investment Management. That's weighed on stocks in the latest week, which saw the S&P 500 lose 1.1% after two straight weeks of gains. David Kotok, chief investment officer at Cumberland Advisors, is skeptical of the latest rally and some of the stocks leading the current run.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead U.S. bank stocks falter as recession worries take hold
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-16 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

The S&P 500 banks index (.SPXBK) has slumped some 11% this month against a 5.5% drop for the broader index (.SPX) in the same period. While bank stocks have traded broadly in line with the S&P 500 throughout the year, their decline accelerated in recent weeks, with the S&P 500 bank index now off over 24% in 2022. The S&P 500 is down 19% year-to-date, on pace for its biggest annual percentage drop since 2008. Expectations of a slowdown led Todd's firm to sell some of its bank shares earlier this year. King Lip, chief strategist at Baker Avenue Wealth Management, said his firm recently bought bank stocks, convinced that any hit to U.S. growth will likely be moderate.

☆ Wall St Week Ahead U.S. stock rally faces gauntlet of CPI data, Fed meeting
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-09 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

The index has bounced about 10% from its October lows but remains down more than 17% on the year. Equities’ trajectory in the near future may depend on whether Tuesday’s consumer price index report shows inflation is responding to the most aggressive Fed hiking cycle since the 1980s. Hotter-than-expected data could bolster fears of more Fed hawkishness, pressuring stocks. A second helping of benign data could bolster the case for a peak in inflation and buoy equities further. Reuters GraphicsMeanwhile, investors are factoring in a half-percentage-point rate hike from the Fed next week, a step down from its recent series of three-quarter-point increases.

☆ Wall Street Week Ahead: Megacap earnings to test fledgling U.S. stock rebound
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-21 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

Top stocks' market value as percentage of S&P 500The S&P 500 is up nearly 5% from its Oct 12 closing low for the year after posting its biggest weekly gain since late June. Even with stocks' latest rebound, the index has dropped 21% so far in 2022, on track for its biggest decline since 2008. Yields continued to rise this week, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hitting a fresh 14-year high. All four stocks command higher valuations than the S&P 500, which trades at nearly 16 times forward earnings estimates. The P/Es for Apple and Microsoft are both about 22 times, Alphabet trades at 17.5 times, while Amazon sits at 60 times, according to Refinitiv Datastream.

☆ Analysis: Goodbye, TINA: higher yields muddy outlook for struggling U.S. stocks
▼ + stars: | 2022-09-29 | by ( Lewis Krauskopf | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +4 min

NEW YORK, Sept 29 (Reuters) - Soaring interest rates are providing investors with attractive alternatives to stocks, complicating the picture for equities in an already-vicious year. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterThat calculus has drastically changed as the Fed hikes interest rates to stave off the worst inflation in decades, bolstering yields on everything from Treasuries to money markets. Money market funds took in $30 billion in the latest week, according to Refinitiv Lipper, while equity funds, taxable fixed income funds, and tax-exempt bond funds all had net redemptions. "We are definitely getting a resizing of that now.”Reuters GraphicsOf course, the alternatives to stocks are far from risk free. Still, the robust yields are likely to continue presenting a challenge to stocks, investors said.

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