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The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The Australian dollar hovered close to its highest level of the year on Tuesday, with the central bank set to hold policy steady later and traders focused on any hints of potential near-term easing. The yen edged up to 143.45 per dollar, but remained close to the center of its September range of 147.20 to 139.58, a more than one-year peak reached on Sept. 16. The yen has retreated amid waning bets for aggressive tightening by the BOJ, particularly after governor Ueda struck a cautious tone of Friday, saying the central bank would spend some time monitoring global growth risks. The BoE kept rates unchanged last Thursday, with its governor saying the central bank had to be "careful not to cut too fast or by too much".
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, , Pan Gongsheng, Ueda, Sterling, BoE Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Reuters, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, People's Bank of China, P Global Locations: China
What are zombie companies? Japan's "zombie" problem has been around for a long time, said William Pesek, author of the book "Japanization: What the World Can Learn from Japan's Lost Decades." Raising the borrowing cost will put these zombie companies at risk of bankruptcy and bailouts, which could have a broader impact on the economy if there are job losses. "But the aid program has led to an increase in the number of 'zombie' companies that would otherwise have been unable to continue operating," the report added. Japan's stock markets have also been testing new highs since 2023, and higher interest rates could halt the bull run.
Persons: Adam Pretty, William Pesek, we've, Pesek, CNBC's Martin Soong, Warren Buffett's, Warren Buffett, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda Organizations: Getty, Bank of Japan, Tide, Asia Times, Japan Times, CNBC, Nikkei Locations: TOKYO, JAPAN, Roppongi Hills, Tokyo, Japan, Asia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBank of Japan will take a 'gradual and phased' approach in normalizing monetary policyKei Okamura of Neuberger Berman thinks Bank of Japan Governor Ueda will be "quite cautious" in monetary policy decisions.
Persons: Kei Okamura, Neuberger Berman, Ueda Organizations: Email Bank of Japan, Bank, Japan
Ueda's intentions are based on interviews with six sources familiar with the BOJ's thinking, including government officials with direct interaction with the bank. "Given uncertainty over the economic outlook, the BOJ probably wants to wait at least until spring next year in normalising policy," said another source. If the yen continues to fall, that could heighten political pressure on the BOJ to exit sooner than it wants, some analysts say. The risk of sharp yen falls and an inflation overshoot may leave the BOJ with less time than it wants to exit. "The BOJ doesn't have much time left, a point governor Ueda is probably mindful of."
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Kuroda, it's, Robert Samson, Ueda hasn't, Hiromi Yamaoka, Leika Kihara, Anisha, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Japan, Kyodo, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Nikko Asset Management, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, BOJ, YCC, TOKYO, U.S, Bengaluru
The BOJ sets a target of around 0% for the 10-year yield under YCC. Since then, rising global bond yields and persistent inflation have put the BOJ in a tight spot with the 10-year JGB yield threatening to breach the 1% cap. The 10-year bond yield rose to a fresh decade high of 0.955% on Tuesday. Sources told Reuters last week the BOJ could debate further tweaks to YCC at the Oct. 30-31 meeting to relax its grip on the 10-year yield. The BOJ is widely expected to maintain the 0% target for the 10-year yield and that for short-term rates at -0.1%.
Persons: BOJ, Ueda, Ataru Okumura, Kazuo Ueda, Leika Kihara, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of, Nikkei, Nikko Securities, Reuters, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Bank of Japan, Japan
A passerby walks past an electric monitor displaying recent movements of various stock prices outside a bank in Tokyo, Japan, March 22, 2023. The U.S. 10-year yield has shot up 35 basis points this week, on track for its biggest weekly rise in over a decade. The 2s/10s yield curve has steepened 27 basis points, which would be the biggest weekly steepening move since March. The 10-year yield rose as high as 4.996%, a level not seen since July 2007. On the economic data front, data are expected to show Japan's annual core inflation rate was 2.7% in September, cooling from 3.1% in August.
Persons: Issei KatoFile, Jamie McGeever, Kazuo Ueda, Jerome Powell, Ueda, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, People's Bank of, Federal, Netflix, Thomson, Reuters Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Treasuries, Malaysia, Hong Kong, China, People's Bank of China, Asia, U.S, Hill, East
FILE PHOTO: Japanese national flag is hoisted atop the headquarters of Bank of Japan in Tokyo, Japan September 20, 2023. Under yield curve control (YCC), the BOJ guides short-term interest rates at -0.1% and the 10-year bond yield around zero. A Reuters poll in September forecast that the central bank will end its negative interest rate policy some time next year and YCC by end of 2024. “Even if the BOJ were to terminate its negative interest rate policy, this can be considered as continuation of monetary easing if real interest rates remain negative. But he has also said the BOJ will consider an exit when sustained, stable achievement of its price target is in sight.
Persons: Issei Kato, Kazuo Ueda’s, Governor Ueda, Ueda Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Reuters, Bank Locations: TOKYO, Tokyo, Japan, YCC
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. In the broader currency market, the dollar steadied after last week's gains as the Federal Reserve surprised markets by signalling U.S. rates would need to stay higher for longer than initially expected. The yen was last flat at 148.38 per dollar after falling to its lowest level of 148.49 per dollar since late October. "It is possible of course that exactly such fears of interventions might have prevented a weaker yen for now". The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.64 and was last 0.1% higher.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Esther Reichelt, Reichelt, Francois Villeroy de Galhau, Sterling, Joice Alves, Rae Wee, Ed Osmond Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank, Thomson Locations: Japan, London, Singapore
Sliding yen raises intervention threat, dollar reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "I don't think the level matters that much and will be the trigger (for intervention). Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan "depends on the details" of the situation. Elsewhere, the euro gained 0.05% to $1.0649, after having fallen to a six-month low of $1.0615 on Friday against a stronger dollar. The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.58.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Governor Ueda, Carol Kong, Janet, Yellen, Sterling, Thierry Wizman, Rae Wee, Christopher Cushing Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Treasury, Bank, Fed, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Washington, Japan, U.S
Sliding yen stokes intervention threat; dollar reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. "I don't think the level matters that much and will be the trigger (for intervention). Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan "depends on the details" of the situation. Elsewhere, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0649, after having fallen to a six-month low of $1.0615 on Friday against a stronger dollar. The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.57 in early Asia trade.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Governor Ueda, Carol Kong, Janet, Yellen, Sterling steadied, Thierry Wizman, Rae Wee Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Treasury, Bank, Fed, New Zealand, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Washington, Japan, U.S, Asia
Sliding yen stokes intervention threat, dollar reigns
  + stars: | 2023-09-25 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
An employee counts Japanese 10,000 yen banknotes at the Birdy Exchange in Hong Kong, China. Several factors were supporting the recovery in the Japanese yen on Tuesday. Yellen said last week whether Washington would show understanding over another yen-buying intervention by Japan "depends on the details" of the situation. Elsewhere, the euro gained 0.04% to $1.0649, after having fallen to a six-month low of $1.0615 on Friday against a stronger dollar. The dollar index , which on Friday touched an over six-month high, firmed at 105.57 in early Asia trade.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Governor Ueda, Carol Kong, Janet, Yellen, Sterling steadied, Thierry Wizman Organizations: Birdy, Bank of Japan, Reserve, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, U.S, Treasury, Bank, Fed, New Zealand Locations: Hong Kong, China, Washington, Japan, U.S, Asia
The data comes hours before the Bank of Japan (BOJ) concludes its two-day policy meeting that began on Thursday. While government subsidies pushed down utility bills, prices rose for a range of food and daily necessities in a sign that steady inflation was taking hold in the world's third-largest economy. "The persistent stickiness of inflation means the BOJ will need to revise up their inflation forecasts at its October meeting," said Gabriel Ng, an economist at Capital Economics. After hitting a peak of 4.2% in January, core inflation continued to slow as the effects of last year's sharp rises in fuel and raw material prices dissipate. But some analysts say the slowdown has not been as large as expected due to steady rises in food prices, and could keep inflation above the BOJ's target longer than initially thought.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Gabriel Ng, Ueda, Leika Kihara, Shri Navaratnam, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, Capital Economics, Thomson Locations: TOKYO
Yen worries increase as dollar strengthens after Fed
  + stars: | 2023-09-21 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese 10,000 yen and U.S. 100 dollar banknotes are arranged for a photograph in Tokyo, Japan, on Sept. 7, 2017. The dollar hit fresh peaks on Thursday, sitting around its highest against the yen since November after a hawkish pause by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The Fed met market expectations at its monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, holding interest rates steady at the 5.25% to 5.50% range. The index climbed for its ninth straight week last week, its longest winning streak in nearly a decade as resilient U.S. growth fueled a rebound in the dollar. The Japanese yen was feeling the heat after the Fed meeting, hovering around 148.39 per dollar and just off a fresh low of 148.47, its weakest since November.
Persons: Sterling, Ueda, Carol Kong, BOE Organizations: U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Fed, U.S, Bank of Japan, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Bank of, CPI, National Australia Bank Locations: Tokyo, Japan, U.S
REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsLONDON/SINGAPORE, Sept 18 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near a six-month high on Monday as traders looked ahead to interest rate decisions this week from the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. the yen was up a similar amount at 147.69 to the dollar, with traders out for a Japanese public holiday. Traders were looking towards central bank decisions later in the week which could shake up the currency market. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates on hold in the 5.25% to 5.5% range on Wednesday. The European Central Bank raised interest rates to 4% last week, but said this hike could be its last.
Persons: Lee Jae, Alvin Tan, RBC's Tan, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda's, Carol Kong, Ueda, Sterling, BoE, Harry Robertson, Vidya Ranganathan, Lincoln, Bernadette Baum, Alexander Smith Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Asia FX, RBC Capital Markets, Traders, Investors, Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, European Central Bank, Thomson Locations: Seoul, SINGAPORE, U.S, Asia, Europe, China, Bank of England, Ukraine, London, Singapore
The Bank of Japan's policy meeting on Friday is the highlight of the week in Asia, after Governor Kazuo Ueda stoked speculation of an imminent move away from ultra-loose policy. The yen was flat versus the greenback between 147.63 and 147.88 per dollar, with markets in Japan closed for a national holiday. "Anticipation of new BOJ rate guidance could support the yen into the meeting date, with the FOMC meeting also contributing to volatility this week," Chang said. The European Central Bank raised interest rates to 4% last week but said this hike could be its last. Futures are pricing in almost no chance that the Fed raises interest rates at the end of its two-day meeting next Wednesday.
Persons: Yen, Dado Ruvic, Kazuo Ueda, That's, Carol Kong, Kong, Ueda, Wei, Liang Chang, Chang, Sterling, Lincoln Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, The, of, U.S . Federal, Bank of, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, DBS Bank, European Central Bank, Japan, . U.S, Treasury, The Bank of England, Brent, Saudi, Global, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, Asia, Bank of England, Japan, ., U.S, Ukraine
Japan's yen in spotlight ahead of 'live' BOJ meeting
  + stars: | 2023-09-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
In a week packed with central bank meetings, decisions are also due from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday and Bank of England on Thursday. The yen was flat versus the greenback at 147.82 per dollar with markets in Japan closed for a national holiday. Carol Kong, economist and currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said she expects the yen to be volatile leading up to the policy meeting. "So that means dollar yen can track higher, particularly if Governor Ueda sounds dovish and dashes hopes of policy tightening at the upcoming meeting," she said. The European Central Bank raised interest rates to 4% last week but said this hike could be its last.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Carol Kong, Kong, Ueda, Sterling Organizations: U.S ., The, of, U.S . Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, European Central Bank, Japan, . U.S, Treasury, Deutsche Bank Research, Brent, Saudi Locations: Asia, Japan, ., U.S, Ukraine
The dollar index , which tracks the currency against six peers including yen, euro and sterling, held firm, though moves were subdued, up 0.1% to 104.70, as traders awaited the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) reading for August. The release comes just a week before Federal Reserve officials gather to decide on interest rate policy. Elsewhere, the euro edged 0.1% lower to $1.0742 ahead of the ECB meeting on Thursday. A source told Reuters that the ECB expects inflation in the 20-nation euro zone to remain above 3% next year, bolstering the case for a 10th consecutive interest rate increase on Thursday. YEN RETRACES GAINSThe yen fell as traders further digested comments from Japan's top central banker on a possible early exit from its negative interest rate policy.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, CME's, Jim Reid, Deutsche Bank . Sterling, YEN RETRACES, Hiroshige Seko, Kazuo Ueda's, Ueda, Joice Alves, Brigid Riley, Alison Williams Organizations: REUTERS, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve, Commerzbank, ECB, Reuters, Deutsche Bank ., Bank of Japan, Fed, Thomson Locations: Japan, London, Tokyo
What will BOJ's policy normalisation path look like?
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Leika Kihara | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda speaks at a group interview with media in Tokyo, Japan, May 25, 2023. But his hawkish remarks have pushed up the 10-year JGB yield to a near decade-high of 0.715% on Tuesday. It also likely sees 0.8% as a threshold it wants to defend to avoid the 10-year yield from reaching 1%. That could mean the BOJ will retain the yield cap as a precaution when it raises short-term rates, some analysts say. There are no scheduled public appearances of BOJ executives until governor Ueda's regular news conference, to be held after the BOJ's next two-day policy meeting ending on Sept. 22.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Kim Kyung, Kazuo Ueda's hawkish, Ueda, Haruhiko Kuroda, Ueda's, Leika Kihara, Tetsushi, Shri Navaratnam Organizations: Japan, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Rengo, NEXT, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
Yen stands tall, dollar finds floor ahead of US inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( Rae Wee | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes are seen with a currency exchange rate graph in this illustration picture taken June 16, 2022. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 146.61 per dollar, after scaling a one-week top of 145.91 in the previous session. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar reversed some of its close to 0.5% loss against a basket of currencies on Monday. The U.S. dollar index , which ended last week with an eight-week winning streak, rose 0.03% to 104.60, after falling 0.46% in the previous session. The offshore yuan found some support near Monday's one-week high and last bought 7.3020 per dollar.
Persons: Florence Lo, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Chris Weston, we've, Tony Sycamore, Sterling steadied, bitcoin, Ether, Kyle Rodda, Rae Wee, Sam Holmes Organizations: U.S, REUTERS, Rights, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Fed, Capital.com, Thomson Locations: Rights SINGAPORE, United States, U.S, Tony Sycamore ., Monday's, China
Yen stands tall, dollar finds floor ahead of U.S. inflation
  + stars: | 2023-09-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
Photo taken on April 20, 2022 shows the Japanese yen and U.S. dollar banknotes in Tokyo, Japan. The Japanese currency was last marginally lower at 146.61 per dollar, after scaling a one-week top of 145.91 in the previous session. Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar reversed some of its close to 0.5% loss against a basket of currencies on Monday. The U.S. dollar index, which ended last week with an eight-week winning streak, rose 0.03% to 104.60, after falling 0.46% in the previous session. The offshore yuan found some support near Monday's one-week high and last bought 7.3020 per dollar.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, Chris Weston, we've, Tony Sycamore, Sterling steadied, bitcoin, Ether, Kyle Rodda Organizations: U.S, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve, New Zealand, Fed Locations: Tokyo, Japan, United States, U.S, Tony Sycamore ., Monday's, China
The central bank could have enough data by year-end to determine whether it can end negative rates, Ueda told the paper in an interview on Wednesday. "If we judge that Japan can achieve its inflation target even after ending negative rates, we'll do so," he added. The BOJ currently guides short-term interest rates at -0.1% under its negative rate policy. Ueda repeated the stance in the interview, saying the BOJ will "patiently" maintain ultra-loose policy for the time being. Under a negative rate policy, banks and other financial institutions are required to pay interest for parking excess cash -- beyond what authorities say they must keep on hand for safety reasons -- with the central bank.
Persons: Florence Lo, BOJ, Ueda BOJ, Kazuo Ueda, Ueda, we're, Leika, Jonathan Oatis, Josie Kao, David Gregorio Our Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan, Yomiuri, Thomson Locations: TOKYO, Japan
TOKYO (Reuters) - Policymakers in Tokyo believe China’s deepening economic woes could hit Japan’s fragile recovery, especially if Beijing fails to shore up demand with meaningful stimulus, potentially delaying an exit from ultra-loose monetary policy. China is Japan’s largest trading partner, accounting for 20% of its exports, having replaced the United States in 2020. “Exports to China had already been weak and headwinds to inbound tourism are clearly bad for Japan’s economy,” said Toru Suehiro, chief economist at Daiwa Securities. Firms also promised wage hikes unseen in three decades this year, heightening the case for a retreat from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. The darkening outlook for Japan’s recovery may push back the timing of a BOJ policy shift.
Persons: Marko Djurica, Kazuo Ueda’s, , Hiroyuki Ogawa, Ogawa, Takeshi Niinami, Toru Suehiro, Ueda, Toyoaki Nakamura, , Seisaku Kameda Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan’s, Reuters, Japan, Komatsu Ltd, Komatsu, Suntory Holdings, Daiwa Securities, Japan’s Sompo Holdings Locations: TOKYO, Tokyo, Beijing, Japan, United States, China
In a sign of growing pessimism over China, the government also said its monthly economic report for August that "concern over China's outlook" was among risks to Japan's recovery. "Exports to China had already been weak and headwinds to inbound tourism are clearly bad for Japan's economy," said Toru Suehiro, chief economist at Daiwa Securities. "All in all, it's hard to justify tightening monetary policy any time soon." Firms also promised wage hikes unseen in three decades this year, heightening the case for a retreat from decades of ultra-loose monetary policy. The darkening outlook for Japan's recovery may push back the timing of a BOJ policy shift.
Persons: Marko Djurica, Kazuo Ueda's, Hiroyuki Ogawa, Ogawa, Takeshi Niinami, Toru Suehiro, Ueda, Toyoaki Nakamura, Seisaku Kameda, Tetsushi Kajimoto, Sam Holmes Organizations: REUTERS, Bank of Japan's, Reuters, Japan, Komatsu Ltd, Komatsu, Suntory Holdings, Daiwa Securities, Japan's Sompo Holdings, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan, China, TOKYO, Beijing, United States
The remarks are the strongest signal to date by a Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymaker that rising inflation and wages could prod the bank to take bolder steps towards phasing out its radical stimulus. "About a decade has passed since the BOJ began efforts to sustainably and stably achieve its 2% inflation target. For now, the BOJ must sustain monetary easing to scrutinise wage and price developments, said the former commercial banker. "Abandoning negative rates will obviously be among options" if the BOJ were to normalise policy, he said. "Even if the BOJ were to end negative rates, it won't be scaling back monetary easing as long as it can keep interest rates low."
Persons: Issei Kato, Tamura BOJ, KUSHIRO, Naoki Tamura, Tamura, Kazuo Ueda, Shinichi Uchida, Ueda, Leika Kihara, Muralikumar Anantharaman, Sam Holmes Organizations: Bank of Japan, REUTERS, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Tokyo, Japan
BOJ Governor Ueda's comments at news conference
  + stars: | 2023-07-28 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Following are excerpts from BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's comments at his post-meeting news conference, which was conducted in Japanese, as translated by Reuters:BOND YIELD"We will not tolerate an increase in the 10-year bond yield above 1% and will step in if it does. ON WHY THE BOJ DECIDED TO MOVE NOW"The inflation forecast for this fiscal year has been revised up quite significantly. The bond market is pretty stable now and we saw uncertainty over the outlook very high. Given uncertainty over the outlook, we decided to pre-empt risks by setting 1% as a loose framework along with the 0% target and the 0.5% yield band." ON WHETHER THE MARKET'S SIDE-EFFECTS OF YCC INCLUDE VOLATILE CURRENCY MARKET MOVES"The BOJ does not target currency rates in guiding monetary policy.
Persons: Kazuo Ueda's, haven't, That's, we're, Leika Kihara, Subhranshu Sahu Organizations: Bank of Japan, Reuters, THE, Thomson Locations: Japan
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